The Market Awaits the Fed to Set the TrendHi everyone, Domic here again.
On the chart, ETH is still holding its short-term uptrend as the 34 EMA (red) remains above the 89 EMA (blue), but the bullish momentum has clearly slowed down. Price is hovering just above both EMAs without forming any widening angle, while the EMAs themselves are being squeezed — a classic signal that the market is losing momentum, moving sideways, and waiting for new catalysts. The declining volume further confirms that buying pressure is no longer strong enough to push ETH decisively toward the 3,150–3,200 zone. This explains why, despite the uptrend remaining intact, ETH is “waiting” rather than accelerating.
On the news side, ETH is directly influenced by upcoming macro events:
The Fed meeting on December 9–10 is the key driver, and crypto markets typically go quiet ahead of such events to await direction.
Meanwhile, the DXY is weak and moving below the 100 level, but volatility is low — not enough to trigger a strong risk-on wave across crypto.
At the same time, speculation around a potential Ethereum spot ETF continues, but without any confirmation from the SEC, expectations exist — yet large capital remains cautious.
Based on these factors, I expect ETH to continue consolidating or potentially pull back to retest the 3,060–3,080 zone before showing a clearer reaction after the Fed meeting.
Chart Patterns
EURUSD | Pullback From Supply Zone,Bearish Scenario Still ActiveBy analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 6 hour timeframe, we can see that price climbed into the 1.168 supply zone exactly as expected and immediately faced strong selling pressure. This drop pushed EURUSD down to 1.1616, and it is now trading around 1.16345.
If EURUSD can stay below 1.165 during the next 12 hours, we can expect a deeper bearish move from this pair.
This scenario fails only if price breaks and holds above 1.168. Monitor the reaction closely.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Micron Technology - This bullrun is still not over!💵Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) can rally a final +25%:
🔎Analysis summary:
Micron Technology retested major support in mid 2025. After we then witnessed textbook bullish confirmation, it was clear that this stock will rally. With the recent move of +300%, Micron Technology is almost back at major resistance, but it can rally another +25% first.
📝Levels to watch:
$300
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
S&P500 The Bearish Divergence that may spoil the party.S&P500 (SPX) is extending a strong rally following the rebound on its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) almost 3 weeks ago. As we pointed out in a previous analysis, the price action of the past 2 months has been identical to the pattern after November 19 2024.
We are currently on the same 1D MA100 rebound towards the Higher Highs trend-line but the key development is that the 1D RSI on both fractals shows a huge Bearish Divergence, being on Lower Highs.
In February 2025 that led to the start of a strong correction in the stock markets. So as long as the 1D RSI Bearish Divergence holds, the S&P500 currently risks a technical correction towards at least the first Support level of 6500.
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Bitcoin Holds 90,000 Ahead of FOMCMarket fear pushed Bitcoin expectations toward 50,000, yet the 80,000 support and Santa rally narrative are holding the ground ahead of tomorrow's FOMC outcome.
Bitcoin is currently trading below the trendline connecting consecutive higher lows since November 2022, indicating a bearish bias unless price regains this barrier and the 110,000 resistance.
A close above 110,000 would re-establish bullish momentum, opening the door toward the all-time record at 126,000, followed by new potential records near 137,000, 150,000, and 190,000–200,000, in alignment with the trendline connecting higher highs from March 2024 to December 2024.
On the downside, a drop below 80,000 is expected to extend losses toward 70,000, and in more extreme cases, a drop below 70,000 could expose the 50,000-region. (Previous support zone between March and September 2024)
- Razan Hilal, CMT
EURUSD bullish retracement before continuing the bearish pushQuick Summary
EURUSD is expected to continue rising toward 1.16620 on the hourly chart, before potentially resuming its downward move toward 1.16145.
Full Analysis
On the 15m, EURUSD is likely to extend its upward move toward 1.16620. From this level, a reversal could take the pair down toward 1.16145, which is a key target. A break below this low would confirm further bearish pressure but will wait for confirmation first. On the 4-hour chart, the ascending trendline break supports the expectation of continued downside. you should monitor these levels for potential short entries and confirmation of trend continuation. Overall, while short-term bullish moves may occur, the bias turns bearish after a clear confirmation at 1.16620.
XAU/USD | A free fall or an bullish attempt? (READ THE CAPTION!)As you can see, Gold has been moving on a range recently, with no clear intention as to where it is headed. A possible scenario could be dropping down to the 4164 NDOG and then an uptrend move above the pool of liquidity above 4265 and the 4272 FVG.
However if it fails to make a move at that level, it'll drop further to 4111-4159 IFVG, which then I expect it to bounce back and go up again. However, if it fails to make a move then, we will witness a free fall of Gold.
Let's see what happens.
Compound interest within the golden rangeGold surged to 4118 yesterday, then fluctuated during the European session before falling rapidly during the US session. Today, the Asian and European sessions continued the bearish trend from yesterday's US session, but after falling to a low of 4170, it rebounded quickly. Currently, both bullish and bearish trends exist. Today, shorting at higher levels and going long at lower levels can be considered.
Overall strategy: Given the current range-bound trading, maintain range-bound trading for now. Further updates will be provided.
Selena | XAUUSD 30M – Demand Reaction Setup | Sweep → Retest PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Price has returned into a previous demand zone where market absorbed sell-side liquidity. As long as price holds above the invalidation line, gold has strong probability to push back upward toward premium pricing. Break below demand → structure flips bearish & deeper discount test opens.
Key Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Case – Reversal From Demand 🚀
Hold above 4165–4180 zone →
🎯 Target 1: 4212
🎯 Target 2: 4246
🎯 Target 3: 4270–4285 liquidity fill
❌ Bearish Invalidator
Clean break + candle close below 4165 →
🎯 Downside sweep into 4146 → 4110–4120 (major support)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4246 / 4270–4285
Support 🟢: 4165–4180 demand block
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Filecoin (FIL): Looking For Break of 100&200 EMA | Bullish SetupFIL is sitting right above the support zone again, and this area keeps showing good reactions. As long as price holds here, the R:R setup stays interesting, but buyers still need to step in stronger.
For any bullish continuation, buyers have to secure both the 100 and 200 EMAs. Those two have been acting as the main barrier, so a clean reclaim above them becomes the confirmation that opens the move toward the bullish CME target higher. Until that happens, FIL is just building up near support and waiting for momentum to shift.
Swallow Academy
GBP/USDGbp/Usd Is Braking To The Upside. One More Pullback Into The 4H OB And I Will Look For Longs.
Here Im Taking A Short From The 2H FVG, I'm Cautious Though As Its A Decending Channel Which Signifies A Break Upwards.
Patiently Waiting
Also Rate Cut Tomorrow So Possibly No Trade If We Dont Move Beofre The News Is Realeased.
Trade Carefully
gold is buyyou can buy gold on green support
Globally, gold still looks attractive because of supportive macroeconomic factors. A recent report by Bank for International Settlements (BIS) warned of a “double bubble” – with both gold and stocks rising sharply — suggesting many investors are turning to gold as a safe-haven as equity valuations climb.
XAUUSD (30m) – Breakdown | Supply Mitigation & Liquidity OutXAUUSD – Bearish Retracement Into Supply (30m)
Price has swept downside liquidity and is now retracing into a premium supply zone. Structure remains bearish, and this move looks corrective rather than impulsive. Watching how price reacts inside the unmitigated supply to confirm continuation.
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Extends Sharp UpsideMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Extends Sharp Upside
USD/JPY managed to reclaim 156.00 and might aim for more gains.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY climbed higher above 155.50 and 156.00.
- There is a bullish trend line forming with support near 156.30 on the hourly chart.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY, the pair started a decent increase from 154.35. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 155.00 against the Japanese Yen.
It settled above the 50-hour simple moving average and 156.00. The upward move was such that the pair even tested 156.90. A high was formed at 156.93 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor pullback below 156.75.
The current price action is positive, and the pair seems to be aiming for more gains. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support near 156.30 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 154.34 swing low to the 156.93 high.
Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 156.90. The first key hurdle sits at 157.00. If there is a close above 157.00 and the RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 157.50. The next stop for the bulls might be 157.80, above which the pair could test 158.40 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near the trend line at 156.30. The next area of interest could be near 155.65, below which the pair could test the 61.8% Fib retracement at 155.35. Any more losses could open the doors for a move toward 154.35.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BE → Two SLs → Discipline: A Raw, Honest Trading Day (With Recording Glitch)
Today wasn’t a winning day, and that’s exactly why I wanted to upload this video.
I started with a breakeven trade and then took two clean stop-losses. I’ve shared everything openly — no editing, no hiding, no reframing. This is what real trading looks like, and it’s important to show the losing days as honestly as the winning ones.
There was also a glitch while recording. The screen didn’t switch back from the Dhan platform to TradingView, so that part didn’t get captured visually, but the live commentary is still there. Even though the video isn’t perfect, I’ve uploaded it anyway for transparency.
My psychology is steady, and more importantly, I’m stopping here.
Knowing when to stop is part of discipline too.
I’ll come back tomorrow with a fresh mind and a fresh analysis.
For now, this video is simply a real look at a tough trading day — mistakes, losses, glitches, and the mindset behind handling all of it.
DOT USDT LONG SIGNAL---
📢 Official Trade Signal – DOT/USDT
📈 Position Type: LONG
💰 Entry Price: 2.179 (Limit Order)
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🎯 Take-Profit Targets (Partial Exits):
• TP1: 2.218
• TP2: 2.248
• TP3: 2.300
• TP4: 2.393
• TP5: —
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🛑 Stop-Loss: 2.084
📊 Timeframe: 15m
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: ≈ 2.25 (based on TP4)
💥 Suggested Leverage: 3× – 5×
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🧠 Technical Analysis Summary
DOT shows potential bullish momentum after stabilizing near a key support zone around 2.179.
A successful break above immediate resistance could trigger a move toward higher timeframe liquidity areas.
The 15m chart structure suggests a possible shift upward, with clear targets aligned with previous swing highs and orderbook liquidity levels.
Critical upside targets:
2.218 → 2.248 → 2.300 → 2.393
A sustained move above TP1 (2.218) may accelerate momentum toward 2.300 and 2.393.
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⚙️ Trade Management Rules
✔ Take partial profit at each TP level
✔ Move stop-loss to entry point once TP1 is reached
✔ Trail stop-loss as price progresses toward higher targets
✔ No re-entry if stop-loss (2.084) is triggered
✔ Confirm bullish structure on 15m chart before entering
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📌 TradingView Hashtags
#DOTUSDT #DOT #CryptoSignal #LongTrade
#TradingView #FuturesTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
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Let me know if you would like this translated to Persian or adjusted in any way.
Gold Bear Flag Ready for a Bullish BreakoutHello everyone, Helene here! XAUUSD is currently showing a more positive outlook as price structure starts shifting into a bullish direction.
The latest market interaction is particularly interesting. We’re seeing an early recovery phase, weakening bearish momentum, and low-volume candles suggesting seller exhaustion. This often acts as an early signal for a potential bullish move developing.
Based on the current pattern, my target is around 4,330 – a reasonable level aligned with the market structure. Should price continue in this direction, the next move could become a beautiful extension of the bullish story in Gold we’ve been following.
This setup looks very appealing. It’s a developing scenario, although it still requires patience and proper confirmation before fully validating the upside.
Even though a bearish scenario is still possible due to the clear support zone below, I personally lean toward additional bullish continuation as the pattern forming here supports that outlook.
Wishing you a successful trading session and the best of luck.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Stalls at ResistanceMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Stalls at Resistance
EUR/USD climbed higher and tested the 1.1680 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a downside correction from the 1.1680 pivot zone.
- There is a key declining channel forming with resistance at 1.1640 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD, the pair started a fresh increase from 1.1550. The Euro cleared a few key hurdles near 1.1600 to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above 1.1600 and the 50-hour simple moving average. A high was formed at 1.1681, and the pair started a downside correction. There was a drop below 1.1650, and the pair tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1555 swing low to the 1.1681 high.
However, the bulls are active above 1.1620. On the upside, the pair is now facing bears near 1.1640 and 1.1650. There is also a key declining channel forming with resistance at 1.1640.
The next breakout region sits at 1.1680. An upside break above 1.1680 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1750. Immediate support is 1.1620. The first major key area of interest on the EUR/USD chart is near the 76.4% Fib retracement at 1.1585.
If there is a downside break below 1.1585, the pair could drop toward 1.1555. The next key breakdown area sits at 1.1520, below which the pair could start a major decline.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold - accumulation phase before major news
As we consolidate waiting for major news to come out on Wednesday 10th December here's my current take on where price may go based on smart money concepts and market structure.
We're in a major type 2 dealing range at the moment created when Gold topped out at all-time highs and created relative equal highs in mid-October. This is the major liquidity that the market is drawing towards and we have been in a bullish run since the initial dip. Gold recently created more equal highs around 4260 which are likely to be taken either before the next move or after.
Since we are currently in a premium efficient price range there's a strong chance that price may drop first into a discount (below the 50% level on the Gann chart) to seek out the major imbalanced demand around the 4050-4100 level, watching out for a reversal in that area before a large distribution higher, possibly towards all-time highs. Therefore, although my outlook is bullish, I would be cautious on going long before a dip lower. If price does not make it to that level, it is likely to at least take the lows at the bottom of the current consolidation range.
If price closes below 4000 then outlook flips more bearish in the medium term.
For reference: A = accumulation, M = manipulation, D = distribution based on SMC Power of 3.
USDCAD plunges as BOC vs Fed divergence grows! Can it continue?USDCAD has broken sharply lower following Canada's surprise jobs blowout on Friday, with the pair now pricing in a divergence: the Bank of Canada is expected to hold rates Wednesday, while the Fed is expected to cut.
Canada added 54,000 jobs in November, and the unemployment rate plunged to 6.5%, taking a BOC cut off the table. Meanwhile, the Fed is 90% priced to cut by 25bps on Wednesday, narrowing the rate differential and weakening the US dollar against the loonie.
Key drivers
Canada jobs report beat expectations with +54k positions (vs expected loss), unemployment fell to 6.5% from 6.9% — three straight months of gains totalling 181k jobs.
BOC decision this week virtually certain to hold at 2.25% after cutting in October and signalling the easing cycle is likely over.
Fed FOMC decision on Wednesday priced in at 90% odds for a 25bps cut to 3.75–4%, the third consecutive cut driven by cooling US labour and dovish Fed commentary.
Technical: USDCAD corrected to 50% Fibonacci (1.4140–60) of the 1.4790–1.3543 impulse leg and is now breaking down in a potential head and shoulders pattern with neckline at 1.3543.
Downside targets: 1.3370–1.3396 (61.8% extension + 50% retracement confluence), 1.3068 (61.8% retracement), and 1.2895 (100% extension full measured move).
Risk scenario: Neckline hold above 1.3543 could see bounce back toward 1.36 or 1.43, but below 1.4140, the path of least resistance is lower.
Are you trading the USDCAD breakdown? Share your head and shoulders setups in the comments and follow for more central bank divergence and technical trade ideas.
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AUD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the AUD/CHF pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 0.528.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WTI OIL 1.5 month Channel Down started new Bearish Leg.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 1.5-month Channel Down (since the October 4 High), that priced last Friday its latest Lower High, this time above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
That initiated the new Bearish Leg (also confirmed by the 4H RSI rejection at the top of its range). All 4 previous Bearish Legs bottomed just when the hit the -0.236 Fibonacci extension.
Based on that, we are expecting WTI to make a new Lower Low at 56.200.
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