May have completed wave 4, possibly wave 5 next to 5995. Looks bearish but the 4H candle has served bulls well recently. Long from 5773, 5798 and 5830.
Last week Oil performed well breaking above the target and key resistance area of 58.79. This week we would like to see consolidation above this broken resistance now support, with a view for further advances towards 61.74.
Just an idea, some similarities in the patterns and the fib levels seem to work. Wave 5 of C back to $26 before new cycle starts.
Many of us were looking for a correction last week but crude became stronger and stronger .... I think we may see some correction but it will be a buying opportunity Lets buy it lower and have fun :)
Another alternative count and I prefer this one as if you zoom out on the chart the fibs point to the same level as 1.618 of the larger wave 4. I believe that around 5980 could be a great shorting opportunity for around 400 pips.
Some minor changes to this theory >
BRENT Crude Oil UKOIL Update A nasty failed break above the upper paralle lhas forced Brent back to the lower parallel, the entry point was hoping for, so am going long at 62.18 with stop under 61.90. And if this call goes wrong and Brent breaks below the lower little parallel of this flag forming now will reverse completely for fall to 61.12. If it's going...
We've now reached the top of the channel. The larger wave 3 breached the channel so this wave 5 should stay within it. Expecting a retrace from here to .236 (5790) or .382 (5750) before a final push to 59+.
An alternative to wave 4 correction. Some waves plotted to 5892. I guess if yesterdays high is broken then this is possible.
Possible wave correction to .382 of wave 3 at 5714
Low probability in my opinion but wave 5 extension to 2.618, doubtful, but would be great :)
Buy on a pullback around 57.58 for a target to 58.85, stop below 56.98
Crude Oil Forecast And Technical Analysis Nov 22nd Latest News And Fundamentals: Oil prices climbed on Wednesday after a reported fall in U.S. crude inventories and on expectations that an OPEC-led production cut aimed at tightening the market will be extended beyond next March. It is obvious that Crude Oil Market is being supported by an effort led by the...
Potential mini waves
Some minor adjustments. Long since 5595.
Crude pulled back to 0.618 as per previous chart and now possibly starting wave 3 of 5 to around 5820 (1.618 of wave 1). Wave 4 pull back 0.382 of wave 3 to 5726. Wave 5 extend 1.618 of wave 4 to 5976 which is also 1.618 of the larger wave 4 (5788/5483).