I think we head remarkably lower before we break out of this long-term downtrend. The triangle will be breached eventually, but I believe the $35 target level may be in order this year before moving higher again. What will they use as an excuse for such a scourge? "Saudi/OPEC turns on the taps to fight US Shale oil market share?"
I think we are still in a general uptrend in the RSI, and on the weekly chart for the VIX. Next target ~$40 after consolidating for no more than a week or two. I estimate we hit $40 by February 1st at the latest.
Based on this analysis, I go long on $DRIP to next fibonacci target of ~$33, setting trailing stop there with 5% maximum price offset.
I think in the...
Personally, I'm leaning towards a trend breakdown because of the RSI has lost it's trend and broken below it.
On the other hand, That symmetrical triangle is pretty attractive alternative option to watch.
It would appear that the intermediate term trend is going through an ABC correction.
Supply Zone exists in the $53.50-$57 range
Long Term Price Support exists at $54
50% Fibonacci retracement exists at $54
Measured Move exists at $55
Channel Resistance exists at $62
Long(er) Term Price Resistance exists at $63
Short Term trend bearish
I'll go long when I...