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Elliott Wave

End of GOLD correction#GOLD #XAUUSD UPDATE As I mentioned earlier, gold was forming a contracting triangle. The wave-(e) of the triangle has formed a double pattern diametric-X-triangle and has moved beyond my expectations (the post-pattern movement has passed ), breaking the trendline of (a)-(c). However, since it did not exceed the end of wave-(c), the contracting triangle has not been invalidated. We expect gold to gradually rise from this range and surpass $3,500. Good luck NEoWave Chart
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NEoWave-Chart
GOLD → The market is waiting for NFP. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off resistance at 3310, confirming the upper limit of the new trading range. The dollar continues to rally, but the market as a whole is stagnating ahead of upcoming news—NFP is coming up! Gold is consolidating at monthly lows around $3268, awaiting key US labor market data (NFP). Trump's new tariffs (10% globally, 35% for Canada, 39% for Switzerland) have boosted demand for the dollar, putting pressure on gold. Markets are waiting for NFP: forecast +110K jobs, unemployment 4.2%. Weak data (<100K) → gold may rise to $3400. Strong (>150K) → the dollar will strengthen, gold will continue to fall. The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is <50%. Based on yesterday's data, I would cautiously suggest that NFP will be in the range of 125K–145K, slightly above the consensus (110K). This will play into Trump's hands (I think you understand what I mean...). Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3320 Support levels: 3287, 3268, 3255 The news has a negative nuance — unpredictability. Be careful. Technically, based on the data we have at the moment, I would assume that the market may test resistance at 3300-3310 before a possible pullback to the specified support. BUT! Unpredictable data could turn the game around, and in that case, if the dollar falls, gold could start to rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
18
Today’s Opportunity: Stay Sharp on GBPJPY!Hey friends, Here's my latest analysis on GBPJPY. 📌 Buy Entry Zone: 197.590 - 197.336 🎯 Target Level: 198.642 📅 Today, major economic data will be released from the U.S. Make sure to factor this into your fundamental analysis. 📊 It’s not just about the charts—fundamentals matter too. Technical + Fundamental = Powerful outcomes ✅ 💬 Every like and bit of support keeps me going. Thanks so much to everyone backing this journey! 🙌
Long
by TraderTilki
16
Ping An Group (2318) is on the long riseHere is my Elliott Waves analysis for 2318 on HKEX. I did it for all history of the group and believe that we are at the start of wave 3 of very very big 3 now, which means it is going to be multi-year rise, of course, if the count is correct. After making a long correction, which I labeled as W-X-Y, the stock started to print a leading expanding diagonal. I detected this pattern in a number of stocks in China as situation started to improve with government support (JD is an example, see my previous idea). I believe that correction is 99% behind as we gapped up today on decent volumes from the bullish flag upper edge. And this today's move pushed the price above 200 Weekly EMA and closed there. Bullish cross of 50 to 100 EMAs on weekly is coming right now. I don't want to wait for EMAs to perfectly line up as now there is enough evidence for we are set to go higher long term. Full big picture labelling can be found here:
HKEX:2318Long
by evgenii_tr_tech
SP500 → Countertrend correction before growthFX:SPX500 is correcting against an upward trend. In the second half of the week, the market received fairly positive fundamentals during the reporting period. S&P 500 futures found support after strong reports from Meta and Microsoft, which exceeded earnings expectations and forecasts thanks to AI. The rise in futures supported demand for the “Magnificent Seven” despite Powell's hawkish comments. The focus is on Apple and Amazon reports in the evening, which could strengthen the tech rally. On Friday, we are seeing a countertrend correction in which the market is testing the 6288 zone of interest. Support levels: 6288.4, 6262.6 Resistance levels: 6342, 6371 Most likely, the market will form a false breakout of support during the correction. If the bulls keep the index above the key level, we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:SPX500Long
by RLinda
6
#Nifty directions and levels for August 1st:Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for August 1st: The global market (based on the Dow Jones) has shown a moderately bearish sentiment, while the local market continues to display a bearish tone. Today, Gift Nifty indicates a neutral opening. What can we expect today? In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced high volatility. However, the closing happened around the middle of the current swing, indicating a possible range-bound market. Until this range is broken, we cannot expect a strong directional move. If the range breaks, we can follow the breakout direction. In my side, the structures of Nifty and Bank Nifty appear slightly different. Nifty continues to show bearish sentiment, whereas Bank Nifty is showing signs of a mild bounce back. So, they may counterbalance each other, and if that happens, we may see a neutral closing by the end of the day. On the other hand, if the market breaks immediate support or resistance with a solid candle or after consolidation, we can expect a directional move in that breakout direction.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
1
Hood 5th wave looks toppyHood is one of my larger holdings and I have been riding the wave waiting for a pullback for months. I believe the time is now. This is chart I posted elsewhere that I forgot to share here. I think 65$ is a real possibility. The last four pullbacks were all over 40%. Not the stochastic monthly is starting divergence and the BBWP has remained elevated for a long time. My plan: Sit on my shares. Close my covered calls into 2027 if we dump a lot Buy zone between 65-75$
NASDAQ:HOODShort
by Apollo_21mil
1
ZORA 5-Wave Completion — 30% Crash Incoming?After exploding +1150% in just 20 days and completing all 5 waves, ZORA is now consolidating — trading sideways just under the $0.10 psychological level for the past 4 days. 📉 Current Market Structure The current structure shows signs of a developing Head & Shoulders pattern, with price: Trading below the daily open (dOpen) and weekly open (wOpen) → Bearish signs Hovering near the prior daily open (pdOpen) → a breakdown here would confirm bearish continuation 🔴 Short Setup - Bearish Scenario If ZORA breaks below pdOpen, we’re likely heading for: 0.618 Fib retracement at $0.06137 of the final wave 5 Confluence with 1.272 Trend-Based Fib Extension (TBFE) at $0.06148 This zone marks the next high-probability reaction point and a potential long opportunity if price shows a bounce or reversal. 📉 Overall Short Trade Target The full retracement target sits between $0.0529 and $0.0514, offering multiple layers of confluence: 0.5 Fib retracement of the full 1150% move 0.786 Fib retracement of the final wave 5 Aligned with an old trading range and daily level This makes it an ideal demand zone for patient bulls but only once price confirms. 💡 Educational Insight This setup highlights an example of Elliott Wave Theory in action — after a strong 5-wave impulse move, markets often enter a corrective phase. The completion of wave 5, especially near key psychological levels like $0.10, often marks a local top, where price corrects toward key Fibonacci retracement zones. Combining wave structure with confluence factors like Fib levels, VWAP, and prior trading ranges helps traders identify high-probability reversal zones — allowing for better timing, risk management, and trade planning. Always wait for confirmation before jumping into any trades. Summary Bearish continuation confirmed on pdOpen breakdown First support zone: $0.0613–$0.0614 Final downside target: $0.0529–$0.0514 Look for long opportunities only on reaction + confirmation _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
9
GOLD → Retest of resistance within a bearish runFX:XAUUSD breaks through the upward trend support amid a rallying dollar. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the zone of interest, but bears are quite aggressive... Gold is partially recovering after falling to $3,268, a monthly low caused by the Fed's hawkish tone. The Central Bank kept its rate at 4.25–4.5% (9 votes to 2), highlighting uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs. Markets now estimate the probability of the rate remaining unchanged in September at 58% (previously 35%). The dollar's rise slowed amid concerns about the extension of the US-China trade truce and profit-taking ahead of key US employment data (after strong ADP and GDP reports). The nearest drivers are labor market statistics and trade news, while the technical picture for gold remains bearish. Technically, on D1, the price is breaking key support zones, including the trend line, which overall only increases selling pressure on the metals market... Resistance levels: 3310, 3320, 3334 Support levels: 3287, 3267, 3255 As part of the correction, the price has exhausted the entire daily ATR, forming a retest of the liquidity and interest zone. If the bears keep the price below 3320-3310, gold may head towards support... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
24
XRPUSDT → Range formation. Retest of resistanceBINANCE:XRPUSDT.P , after a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352 and the elimination of traders, has entered a correction phase. The trading range shown below has been formed, with an emphasis on resistance... XRP previously formed a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352, as indicated in the idea above. After changing its market character, the price entered a correction phase. Focus on the range of 3.00 - 3.264. A retest of resistance (zone of interest and liquidity) is possible before falling to 3.161, 3.05 or to the liquidity zone of 3.00. There are no technical or fundamental reasons for exiting the consolidation; most likely, a retest of the zone of interest may end in manipulation and a pullback to support... Resistance levels: 3.1609, 3.264, 3.352 Support levels: 3.05, 3.00 I do not rule out the fact that a retest of the 3.264 resistance level may have a breakout structure and the price will continue to rise, but based on the price behavior pattern on D1, the market structure, and market stagnation, I conclude that at the moment, the chances of seeing a correction from resistance are higher. Further developments will need to be considered after the retest of key zones on the chart... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
12
Nasdaq Short: multiple reasonsOver here, I present to you the Nasdaq short idea again. For my previous idea, it was stopped out at 23500. This time, I changed the wave counts again, mainly merging the previous wave 5 into wave 3, allowing for the new high to be a wave 5. On top of that, here are the few other reasons for the short: 1. Fibonacci extension levels: Wave 5 is slightly more than Wave 1. 2. RSI overbought for the 3rd time on the hourly timeframe. 3. Rising wedge false breakout. 4. Head-and-shoulders on the 1-min timeframe. As usual, the stop for this idea is slightly above the recent high, around 23700. Thank you.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by yuchaosng
2
Nasdaq Short: Catching a rising knife. Stop loss at 23500.Hi everyone, here I am trying to catch the peak of Nasdaq again. As mentioned, the previous idea was stopped out at 23,320. Now, for this idea, I am attempting another short with a 30 points risk for Nasdaq. The stop for this idea is fixed at 23,500. The take profit is 22,650. This is a positional trade and I will re-evaluate as the waves unfolds. So the strategy will mainly be trailing the stop periodically. Thank you and good luck!
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by yuchaosng
BTCUSDT – Diametric G-Leg Underway?⏱ Timeframe: 4H / 1H 🔍 Method: NeoWave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC) 📍Posted by: CryptoPilot ⸻ 🧠 NeoWave Progression Update As outlined in our previous analysis, we are tracking a potential Contracting Diametric structure (A–G) originating from the March 2025 highs. 🚨 The G-Leg may now be actively unfolding. Here’s what just happened: • Price rejected sharply from the supply zone near 119,000–119,500, exactly where Wave F was expected to end. • After a drop to 115,780 (minor trendline), price bounced, but failed to make a new high, stalling at 118,700, forming a lower high → classic signature of a developing G-Leg. • This G-wave likely aims to break below Wave E low, seeking imbalance fills and structural resets. ⸻ 📊 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT) • 🟥 Bearish Market Structure confirmed via MSS on 1H: Lower Highs + Internal BOS • 🟨 Buy-side Liquidity above 120k was already swept • 🔻 Price failed to reclaim OB block around 119.5k • 🧩 FVGs remain open between 114.5k–113k, acting as magnet zones • 📉 Expectation: Price may now break the ascending minor trendline and accelerate toward the major structure low 📌 Primary Scenario: • Wave G of Diametric in motion • Potential structure: Zigzag or Complex Combination • Expectation: Bearish continuation to break below 113k 📌 Alternative Scenario: • If price closes above 120.5k, diametric structure may be invalidated • Watch for triangle/flat development instead ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Management Note: Price action near 118.7k–119.5k is crucial. Reclaiming that zone with strength changes the bias. Until then, sellers remain in control. 💬 Final Thought: We’re tracking the final stages of a multi-month complex correction. The rejection at supply, combined with SMC signals and NeoWave symmetry, suggests sellers may push price into deeper demand zones soon. ⸻ 📌 Follow CryptoPilot for advanced wave structure updates, market geometry insights, and ICT-style smart money traps. 💬 Share your views or alternate wave counts in the comments!
Short
by CryptoPilot
Gold (XAUUSD) – H1 Wave 5 in Progress | Bearish Setup Building📉 Gold (XAUUSD) – H1 Wave 5 in Progress | Bearish Setup Building 🕐 Timeframe: H1 🔍 Strategy: Elliott Wave + Support/Resistance + AO Divergence The market has likely initiated Wave 5 on the H1 timeframe following a clean 5-wave structure. We’re now watching for the internal corrective Wave 4 of Wave 5 to complete. 📌 Key Zone to Watch: Fibonacci Level 2.618 lines up with a previous support-turned-resistance zone — a high-probability reversal area. Awesome Oscillator (AO) shows convergence, signaling weakening bullish momentum. 🔧 Execution Plan: Waiting for M15 break of structure to confirm the end of the corrective sub-wave. Will look to enter sell on confirmation of bearish continuation. 🎯 Target Zone: The shaded green area below marks a strong support zone — potential TP area for Wave 5 completion.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AwesomeOscDad
#Nifty directions and levels for July 31st:Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for July 31st: In the past two sessions, the global market (based on Dow Jones) has shown a moderately bearish sentiment, while the local market continues to reflect a bearish tone. Today, Gift Nifty indicates a gap-down opening of around 160 points (as per the chart). What can we expect today? In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty went through consolidation. Structurally, we are still in a bearish tone, and with Gift Nifty indicating a gap-down start, if the market breaks the immediate support levels with a solid candle, we can expect further correction. On the other hand, if it finds support there, then the range-bound movement is likely to continue. Which means, if the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect consolidation within the previous day’s range.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
2
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 31st: What can we expect today? In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty went through consolidation. Structurally, we are still in a bearish tone, and with Gift Nifty indicating a gap-down start, if the market breaks the immediate support levels with a solid candle, we can expect further correction. On the other hand, if it finds support there, then the range-bound movement is likely to continue. Which means, if the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect consolidation within the previous day’s range.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders