Firstly, apologies for coughing around the 8th min (too much chocolate). Basically this analysis builds on top of the HSI and China A50 analysis that I've done previously and that I expect Tencent to move down to $246 and hits the lower channel line as well as 1x of wave (1) distance by 2023 year end.
I expect BYD to fall to $166.8 given the following: 1. Price fall before trendline cut = price fall after trendline cut 2. Fibonacci extension level of wave 5 (of C) = 1.618 of wave 1 (of C).
Here is the market projection GOLD (XAUUSD) for the coming week from 26th to 29th of December. ANALYSIS: In monthly timeframe price is trading within major static support and resistance. The monthly candlestick in a sort of indecision, this may indicate a possibility of fading of the bullish momentum at the current market price. Weekly timeframe support the...
The S&P 500 is very bullish and the upward structure does not look finished. The bearish way out would be a flat structure: regular flat if we hold the ATH, expanded flat if we break the ATH.
We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). In the lower time frame, we are observing an ending impulse.
In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.
The wave (4) as a WXYXZ structure in the primary scenario was earlier confirmed as we took out the wave (3) high. We are now working on a wave (5). In the daily time frame, the upward move looks still very strong. Therefore, we are considering an alternative scenario where the wave (4) pullback is a wave (2) correction. That would mean that we are doing a wave (3) now.
This is my detailed analysis of AAPL and it is a strong Sell for the following reasons: 1. End of multiple wave 5s. 2. Triple Fibonacci targets reached. 3. Wave 4 as a triangle confirmed the 1 year move up as the last wave.
Decoding USDINR with Elliott Waves: A Comprehensive Analysis Weekly Perspective: Daily Perspective: 4 Hourly Perspective: Hourly Perspective: Current Stage: Inside iv of (c) of 2 of ((1)) of wave V of wave (III). Current Bias: Presently showing a bearish inclination on the hourly chart. Future Outlook: Post the completion of wave (c) of 2 , a...
The wave (4) as a WXYXZ structure in the primary scenario was earlier confirmed as we took out the wave (3) high. We are now working on a wave (5). In the daily time frame, the move up looks still very strong. Therefore, we are considering an alternative scenario where the wave (4) pullback is a wave (2) correction. That would mean that we are doing a wave (3) now.
We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). In the lower time frame, we are observing an ending impulse.
In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.
In Summary: 1. We see 5 waves up and wave1=wave5, and it doesn't matter if it is a 1-2-3-4-5 or a W-X-Y-X-Z. The next move should be down. 2. RSI(7) crosses 88 and based on 3 other historical instances of similar preceding pattern, the next move should be down. 3. The risk-reward is better on the short side than the long side.
This is a short update to HSI. I will expect that the burst up today is a corrective wave 4 and for the next 2 weeks, a correction down to 15000.
My previous analysis of the Hang Seng Index was invalidated. And now I've done a revamp of the wave counts for 2023. This is the summary: 1. Hang Seng will continue to fall either till Christmas or EOY. 2. Target support, or end of correction, will be 14980-15100. Look out for this support zone.
To summarize: 1. We are currently in the 5th wave down. The last wave. 2. Potentially a sharp drop for the last 2 weeks of Dec 2023. 3. Price might follow the same pattern as Dec 2018. 4. Target 10130-10145.
We made a new high in the DOW JONES and this has some implications. The wave ((2)) low could be in after a triple three correction or WXYXZ structure. This would mean that we are now working on an impulse. The upward structure is strong and we start to see 5 waves. It becomes less likely that the upward move is corrective. In case the upward move is corrective, it...
The wave (4) as a WXYXZ structure in the primary scenario was earlier confirmed as we took out the wave (3) high. On the one hand, this is bullish as we are now working on a wave (5). On the other hand, we have to be careful with the expectations for this fifth wave. With the current data, we favor some more upside but we do not expect a huge wave (5) bull run.