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Fractal

Rejection Before 3800: A Final Window for ShortsDriven by market sentiment, gold has now reached a high of around 3792, just one step away from the 3800 mark. Judging from the current structure, gold is undoubtedly in a unilateral bull trend and has completely replicated the rising pattern of the previous wave, with almost no decent retracement during the rise. Now gold continues to break through historical highs and enter unknown areas. In addition, due to the promotion of market sentiment, the current technical level has been distorted, so there is no good reference target at present. It can only be calculated based on space and cycle; the foreseeable upper limit area in the short term is in the 3820-3830 area; but because there are obvious signs of stagnant growth before reaching the 3800 mark, gold may be the first to experience a pullback. Because gold is in an extreme rising mode, most funds may not have the opportunity to participate in long transactions, so in order to increase liquidity, gold also has a need for a retracement; however, because the current market enthusiasm remains unabated, it can be expected that the retracement space for gold is limited. The foreseeable retracement area is in the 3760-3750 area, and the second is in the area near 3730. In addition, look at it according to the cycle. It is not difficult to see from the financial calendar that China, a major gold holder, will usher in the National Day holiday. Before the holiday, some funds may take profits, which will also lead to a decline in gold prices. After the holiday, gold may end its retracement and return to the upward trend. So if you hold a short position, then when gold falls back to the 3760-3750 area, or even around 3730, it will be an opportunity for gold bears to get out of trouble. Once gold retreats to this area and escapes the predicament, it could be a good opportunity to re-enter the long position!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
XAU/USD 23 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. This is continuing. As per my analysis of yesterday, dated 22 September 2025, whereby I mentioned price could potentially continue to print higher-highs. This is how price printed, showing little to no signs of pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a horizontal blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,780,515. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserveโ€™s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs. Although price has printed a number of bearish CHoCH's, I will apply discretion and not classify them as such due to the insignificance of the pullback relative to recent price action. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trumpโ€™s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 22 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. Price previously, and has now for the third time, printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I have again marked this in red. Price has again continued with it's bullish trajectory. We are now trading within an internal high and fractal low. ChoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH, then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,720,020. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserveโ€™s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trumpโ€™s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: EURUSD Bias: Bullish HTF Overview (4H): Price is maintaining clean bullish structure, breaking previous weekly highs. Watching closely to see if price holds this momentum. MTF (2H/1H/30M): Refined structure + liquidity buildup noted. Eyeing the sell-side liquidity (SSL) to be taken before confirming continuation. LTF (30M/5M): Will wait for confirmation once price trades into refined zones. Looking for inducement โ†’ mitigation โ†’ 5M structural confirmation. Entry Zone: Pending refinement once SSL is swept and HTF OB aligns with LTF confirmation. Targets: โ€ข TP1: 5M highs โ€ข TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery) Mindset Note: Patience is key โ€” waiting for that SSL sweep keeps you out of fake momentum. Let structure guide the entry, not the impulse.
Long
by Juicemannn
2
$AAPL: Structure SurgeryResearch Notes Original Structure: Altering structure for experimental purposes Angle of fib channels that rises from cycle low, has been pushed into the past to the top of first major reaction. blue area resembles the change Reason The the angle of Fibonacci channels which cover the general decline (from perspective of ATH to end of cycle), are adjusted to the angle of the first bear wave of smaller scale. Therefore, when it comes to measurements of opposing forces for working out interference pattern, having this symmetric approach of mapping interconnections is fair.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by fract
1
XAU/USD 19 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 18 September 2025. As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. Price previously, and has now for the second time, printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I also have marked this in red. Price has continued with it's bullish trajectory, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established range, however, I shall continue to monitor price action with respect to depth of pullback relative to recent price action. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,703,240. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserveโ€™s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 18 September 2025. Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs. Previous price action printed a bearish CHoCH, subsequently printing higher, however, due to the insignificant depth of the pullback, relative to recent price action, I shall again apply discretion and not classify this an an internal high. This marked this in red. Price has since continued bullish, printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price has reacted from an M15 demand zone, within discount of 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal high priced at 3,703. 240 Alternative scenario: All HTF's require a corrective move, price has since failed to target and close above weak internal high therefore, and in order to confirm HTF bearish pullback phase, price could target strong internal low, priced at 3,612.240. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trumpโ€™s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Side way Breaks to new all time high Hello Traders, i can see big volume compared to the monthly trading at the ending of side way markets which will lead for a continuation for the bullish trend targets is already mentioned and it depends what you are investing for short intermediate long if we break the discount area we well go for big correction advice to sell with the retest however if we breaks the discount area huge profits coming. if you like the idea kindly show your support for more ideas to come good day.
EGX:ALCN
by TONYMONTANA87
DOUBLE PATTERN:Cup and TriangleHello Traders, All the eyes now on the next leg for the copper if Trump did not Finalize the Tariffs copper will go back to at least the bottom again 3.4 3.1 as every one kept loading up for the imports now the states is overloaded with loads of materials and minerals imagine what could happened if he didn't sign up this Tariffs on the mineral! they will be selling it for so cheap to cover the losses dramatically same like what happened with the oil its a commodity right !that's one scenario, the other one is every thing move as planned and the copper get back to the bottom of the triangle and shoot straight up so lets see what could happed I'm in short for now good luck, kindly support my idea if you like and make your decisions based on your research
PEPPERSTONE:COPPERShort
by TONYMONTANA87
XAU/USD 18 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. Price previously, and has now for the second time, printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I also have marked this in red. Price has continued with it's bullish trajectory, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established range, however, I shall continue to monitor price action with respect to depth of pullback relative to recent price action. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,703,240. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserveโ€™s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs. Previous price action printed a bearish CHoCH, subsequently printing higher, however, due to the insignificant depth of the pullback, relative to recent price action, I shall again apply discretion and not classify this an an internal high. This marked this in red. Price has since continued bullish, printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price has reacted from an M15 demand zone, within discount of 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal high priced at 3,703. 240 Alternative scenario: All HTF's require a corrective move, price has since failed to target and close above weak internal high therefore, and in order to confirm HTF bearish pullback phase, price could target strong internal low, priced at 3,612.240. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trumpโ€™s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
$GLQ: Two Roads, One Destination - HIGHER๐…๐ข๐› ๐„๐ฑ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง โ€ข ๐— ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ: Price didnโ€™t stop at the ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–, ๐Ÿ‘.๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–, or even the ๐Ÿ’.๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–. It blew past them - then ripped another ~๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘% ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ.โฃโฃ โฃโฃ โ€ข ๐— ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ: If the same behavior plays out, the ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ๐Ÿ– ($๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ‘) and ๐Ÿ‘.๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ๐Ÿ– ($๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ) become pit stops. The ๐Ÿ’.๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ๐Ÿ– ($๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ) acts as the launch pad. โฃโฃ A similar ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘% extension above that puts ๐— ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ‘ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ~$๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ•.โฃโฃ ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐…๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐š๐ฅ Move 1: 14x from low to high Move 2: 54x from low of move 1 to high of move 2. Move 2 is the same structure as move one, just on an expanded timeline. Thatโ€™s nearly 4x the multiple from Move 1 to Move 2. If that progression continues... Move 3 = ~200x from the base (~$3.77 AMEX:GLQ ) The targets donโ€™t perfectly alignโ€ฆ โฃ โ€ฆbut they tell the same story: ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ง๐ž๐ฑ๐ญ ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฏ๐ข๐จ๐ฅ๐ž๐ง๐ญ, ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฌ๐ข๐๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž.โฃ
Long
by charley1215
1
Fed Catalyst: The Bear AwakensGold rebounded after touching 3660 and is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3685. Gold is currently trading relatively cautiously, apparently waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to indicate its short-term direction. How to formulate a trading plan for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision market? In fact, in the short term, I think there will not be much room for gold to continue to rise, and the short-term peak may be in the 3705-3715 area; in addition, regarding the expectation of interest rate cuts, I think the Federal Reserve will adopt a step-by-step approach to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut, and as for Powellโ€™s attitude, I think it may rely more on the feedback from US employment data and inflation data to decide whether to continue to cut interest rates within the year. The attitude may not be obviously dovish, so I think there is limited room for short-term increases. Since I think the short-term peak of gold is in the 3705-3715 area, and the short-term resistance area is around 3690. Therefore, I will definitely ambush and short gold before the news is announced. Of course, the transaction needs to be set up in combination with the risk resistance ability of my account. At present, I tend to divide the upper space into two areas, namely 3685-3695 and 3705-3715. I will mainly short gold in batches around these two areas. Once gold falls as expected, I think it will first test the intraday low around 3660. Once it falls below this area, I think gold is likely to continue to test the area around 3635-3625. As for whether gold can take advantage of this opportunity to test the area around 3600. I believe I will overcome my greed and will not take risks to gamble for gains beyond my cognition. I will need to make a secondary judgment based on market fluctuations at that time.In any case, I would favor a short gold setup, so letโ€™s hope for a bearish recovery!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
UNITEDHEALTH UNH Long Scenario based on Seasonality and FractalsFrom a fractals Perspective I expect a chance for around 30% gain from an upcoming upmove. From a Seasonal Perspective I expect a retracement mode until End of Mid/September and then upside until early December. I hope we make the bigger upmove in this time and complete that move otherwise this fractals target could take some time/moths/years. Feel free to like / support the Idea, leave a comment or contact me in the chat. Good luck to all *this is not a trade call* Cheers!
GETTEX:UNHLong
by Amazing-Fractals
A dive into INTU (Intuit Inc.) seasonality and fractal analysisinto <> intu .... haha. me funny dude... Here you can see my prjection for the price upmove. It is based on seasonality which should give us some positive boost with high propability for the rest of the year. In addition I how to have identified 2 fractals correctly which support the idea of an upmove from at least 15%. Upmove going to start now or after closing the gap (see chart) Feel free to contact me, to like/support the idea or discuss in the comments. Cheers! *this is not a trade call and no financial advice in any way. just for educational purpose...
NASDAQ:INTULong
by Amazing-Fractals