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Fundamental Analysis

Bitcoin Price’s Grip on $115,000 Weakens—Here's the RiskBitcoin is trading at $114,770, slipping below the $115,000 support level in the process. Should bearish sentiment persist, BTC may fall further, potentially testing the uptrend line that has supported its rise since the start of the month. This would mark a crucial point for investors. If selling pressure intensifies, Bitcoin could struggle to hold $115,000 as support and slide toward $112,500. This would represent a critical setback, reinforcing the ongoing distribution phase observed among holders and limiting near-term upside potential for BTC. On the other hand, if Bitcoin absorbs the selling pressure and regains momentum, reclaiming $115,000 as support could trigger another rally. In this case, BTC would target $117,261 in the coming days, reaffirming its bullish outlook and reinforcing investor confidence.
by BeInCrypto
SHIB Swing Long Idea - MemecoinSHIB Swing Long Idea 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with speculation building for a possible 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy shifts are being driven by both inflation trends and weakening labor market data. The latest August and September job reports were soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This environment continues to fuel expectations for a major bullish run in the weeks ahead. 📈 Technical Analysis Price ran the HTF liquidity and got rejection from there. Price created the Daily Demand after the run which confirms the price wants to seek higher liquidity. Price made its first retest to Daily Demand and got rejection there, indicating that Daily Demand is valid and likely to send price higher. Price is also supported by the Weekly Demand zone. 📌 Game Plan 1. Price to come back and retest the Weekly Demand zone at 0.0125$ 2. Price to come back and retest the Daily Demand zone at 0.0117$ 3. Price to run Equal Lows (purple line – 0.0117$) and close back above 4. Price to hit the 0.75 most discounted range level 🎯 Setup Trigger I will be looking for a 4H break of structure before entering any position. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: Below the 4H swing low responsible for BOS Targets: • TP1: 0.0149$ • TP2: 0.016$ • TP3: 0.0175$ 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
BTC vs 116.7k–118k: breakout or FOMC rejection?__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is pinned below the 116.2k–118k supply after rebounding from ~107k, defending the 115.16k pivot. It’s a range-to-break with elevated intraday volumes against a cautious macro backdrop. Momentum: Range with a mild bullish tilt 📈 while 115.16k holds; a clean breakout needs > 116.74k. Key levels: - Resistances (4H/12H/D) : 116.18k–116.74k · 118.0k–118.8k · 124.28k (D). - Supports (2H/4H/W) : 115.16k–115.20k · 114.16k · 111.97k. Volumes: Normal on 1D; very high on 1H/30m/15m — a catalyst for a box breakout from 115.2k–116.2k. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H = Up; 6H/4H/1H = NEUTRAL BUY above 115.16k; 2H = NEUTRAL SELL — a close above 116.74k adds upside conviction; losing 114.16k reopens 111.97k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRE VENTE — a slight risk-off stance that contradicts the tactical bullish momentum; demand confirmations and smaller size. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic context: Higher-timeframe uptrend (12H/1D) but facing a tight 116.2k–118k supply wall — favor staged execution and confirmed breakouts. Global bias: Slight long bias while 115.16k holds; higher-timeframe invalidation on a clean daily close < 111.97k. Opportunities: - Long on breakout: Close/retest held > 116.74k aiming 118k/120k. - Tactical “buy-the-dip”: Reclaim of 115.20k after a sweep, stop below 114.16k. - Tactical short: Rejection at 116.7k–118k OR 30m/1H breakdown < 114.75k targeting 114.16k then 111.97k. Risk zones / invalidations: - Break below 114.16k invalidates intraday longs and opens 111.97k. - Strong reclaim > 116.40k–116.74k invalidates rejection shorts. Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): - FOMC: 25 bps cut widely expected; dot-plot and presser = volatility triggers; “sell-the-news” risk. - US Retail Sales (pre-Fed): could tilt the box breakout. - Softer China data: growth headwind; keeps risk appetite uneven. Action plan: - Long Plan : Entry 115.30–115.90 (reclaim/breakout) · Stop 114.16 · TP1 116.18 · TP2 116.74 · TP3 118.00 · R/R ≈ 1.5–3.0. - Short Plan : Entry 116.10–116.70 (rejection) or < 114.75 (breakdown) · Stop 116.90–117.00 (rejection) / 115.17 (breakdown) · TP1 115.16 · TP2 114.16 · TP3 111.97 · R/R ≈ 1.5–2.5. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Higher timeframes lean up, but the supply band at 116.2k–118k caps momentum. 1D/12H: Uptrend, compressing below 116.7k; a daily close > 118k would open 120k. 6H/4H/1H: Active range 115.16k ↔ 116.18/116.74k; buy-the-dip works above 115.16k if volumes confirm; intraday is whip-prone. 2H/30m/15m: 115.16k is the hinge; very high volumes create wicks — wait for clean retests; ISPD/MTFTI favor scalps while 115.16k is defended. Key divergence: Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = NEUTRE VENTE vs MTFTI Up — keep size modest and demand follow-through post-break. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ FOMC is the key macro catalyst in a hesitant risk-on regime, while on-chain/flows remain more subdued than euphoric phases. Macro events: 25 bps cut expected; dot-plot and Powell Q&A as triggers; “sell-the-news” possible. US Retail Sales can pre-position flows; softer China data is a growth headwind. Bitcoin analysis: Pressing the upper band (116.4k) and 116.7k–118k supply; a clean close above 118k opens >120k; a decisive loss of 115k reopens 114.16k → 111.97k. On-chain data: ETF flows declining, derivatives more influential; range 110k–116k — sustained holds above 114k attract flows; below 108k raises HTF downside risk. Expected impact: Macro/on-chain mix argues for “confirmation first, size second”; it supports a cautious bias until > 116.74k breaks with volume. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is coiling just below 116.7k–118k into FOMC week. - Trend: Higher-timeframe bullish but capped; slight risk-off background (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = NEUTRE VENTE). - Prime setup: Confirmed breakout > 116.74k (retest held) toward 118k/120k; alternatively, a break < 114.16k puts 111.97k back in play. - Macro: FOMC is well priced — first move can be a head fake. Stay disciplined: seek confirmations and retests, scale in tranches, and let the market show persistence. ⚖️
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Ox_kali
15/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $116,672.39 Last weeks low: $110,615.91 Midpoint: $113,644.15 It's FOMC week and finally the time has come for the FED to cut interest rates, but by how much? Currently the probability of a cut is 100%. The chance of a 25bps cut is ~90%, a 50bps cut ~12%. Therefore I believe a 25bps cut is priced in and expected by the majority, a 50bps cut would be bullish and no change would be devastating to the markets in the short term. Last week BTC continues its move up and flipped the important S/R level of $114,000 in preparation for FOMC. Ultimately the bulls should now target a flip of $117,500 to continue the larger bullrun move. Should the bulls fail to do so the rangebound environment looks to continue with the low being $106,000 (1D 200 EMA). As I have mentioned in previous post September often gives poor returns, so far this year BTC is up 6% from month open, perhaps in anticipation for the rate cut to come? I don't see many setups presenting themselves until after Thursday so just being patient until then. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
JIO FINANCIALSJio Financial Services Ltd. (currently trading at ₹316) is the financial arm of Reliance Industries, spun off to create a full-stack digital financial ecosystem. It operates across lending, insurance, payments, asset management, and reinsurance. With deep integration into Reliance’s consumer platforms, Jio Finance aims to serve underserved segments across urban, semi-urban, and rural India. The company has launched the JioFinance App, offering UPI, loans, insurance, tax filing, and investment products. It also operates Jio Payments Bank, and has entered into strategic joint ventures with BlackRock (AMC) and Allianz (reinsurance), positioning itself as a next-gen financial powerhouse. Jio Financial Services Ltd. – FY22–FY25 Snapshot • Sales – ₹417 Cr → ₹612 Cr → ₹850 Cr → ₹1,100 Cr Growth driven by lending, insurance broking • Net Profit – ₹312 Cr → ₹325 Cr → ₹420 Cr → ₹540 Cr Earnings supported by NII growth and fee income • Operating Performance – Moderate → Strong → Strong → Strong NIM expansion and operating leverage from tech platforms • Dividend Yield (%) – 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% No payouts; reinvestment-focused strategy • Equity Capital – ₹6,500 Cr (constant) No dilution; strong capital base post demerger • Total Debt – ₹0 Cr (debt-free) Fully equity-financed operations • Fixed Assets – ₹1,200 Cr → ₹1,350 Cr → ₹1,500 Cr → ₹1,650 Cr Capex focused on tech stack, data infra, and AMC expansion Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends Promoter holding stands at 47.00% via Reliance Industries. FIIs and DIIs have actively accumulated post demerger, citing platform potential and strategic partnerships. Delivery volumes reflect long-term positioning by fintech, AMC, and digital consumption-focused funds. Business Growth Verdict Jio Finance is scaling across lending, insurance, AMC, and reinsurance Margins improving due to platform monetization and NII growth Debt-free structure supports flexibility and reinvestment Capex supports long-term competitiveness and financial inclusion Management Con Call • Q1 FY26 revenue rose 46.6% YoY to ₹612 Cr; PAT up 3.8% YoY to ₹325 Cr • Net Interest Income jumped 52% YoY to ₹264 Cr; total income ₹619 Cr1 • JV with Allianz for reinsurance launched (Allianz Jio Reinsurance Ltd) • Jio BlackRock AMC launched 8 funds; AUM crossed ₹17,000 Cr2 • FY26 outlook: 30–35% revenue growth, AMC scale-up, and reinsurance approvals pending Final Investment Verdict Jio Financial Services Ltd. offers a high-growth digital finance story built on platform scale, strategic partnerships, and deep consumer integration. Its improving profitability, zero debt, and multi-vertical expansion make it suitable for accumulation by investors seeking exposure to India’s fintech, AMC, and insurance evolution.
NSE:JIOFINLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
The Stop-Loss Dilemma: Tight vs. Loose and When to Use EachToday we talk about stop losses. Love them or hate them, but don’t forget them, especially when things get wild out there. Some traders think of them as the trading equivalent of a safety net: you hope you’ll never need it, but when you slip off the tightrope, you’re grateful it’s there to catch you. Others believe they’re like training wheels that you can ditch when you think you’ve made it. But no matter your style, every trader eventually faces the same question: tight stop or loose stop? Let’s unpack. 🎯 What a Stop Loss Really Is At its core, a stop loss is an exit plan for the bad times (or learning times if you prefer). It’s not about being right, it’s about how wrong you want to be. You set a price level that says: “If the market gets here, I don’t want to be in this trade anymore.” That’s it. The dilemma starts when you realize how wide that safety net should be. Too tight, and you’re out of trades faster than you can say “fakeout.” That usually happens when the market gets too tough, especially around big news releases. But that’s why you have the Economic Calendar . Too loose, and you risk turning a small misstep into a full-blown account drain. 📏 The Case for Tight Stops Tight stops are for the traders who believe in precision. Think scalpers, intraday traders, or anyone not willing to take overnight risk, especially in the unpredictable corners of the crypto universe . These stops are fast, efficient, and don’t have any tolerance for error. And it happens quick: if you still have your position an hour or two later, you know you’ve survived. Pros: Keeps losses small. Risk per trade is limited. Forces you to be disciplined with entries (you need good timing). Frees up capital for more setups since each trade risks a relatively small amount. Cons: Markets love to hunt tight stops. Wiggles, noise, and random candles can boot you out of a perfectly good trade. Requires near-perfect timing. Short before the upside is over and you’re out. Can lead to overtrading – you may start seeing opportunities that aren’t really there. Tight stops can work if you’re trading liquid instruments with clear technical levels. But if you’re placing them under or over every tiny wick, you’re basically donating to the market makers’ La Marzocco fund. 🏝️ The Case for Loose Stops Loose stops are the opposite vibe. They belong to swing traders, position traders, and anyone who thinks the market needs “room to breathe.” A loose stop gives your trade the flexibility to be wrong in the short term while still right in the long run. It’s fairly boring trading. You open a relatively small position, you widen the stop and you forget about it. Pros: Avoids getting stopped out by random intraday noise. Lets you capture bigger moves without micromanaging. Works well in trending markets. Cons: You lock up capital if the trade moves sideways, i.e. risk missing out on other moves. Larger stops mean smaller position sizes (unless you enjoy blowing up accounts). Can tempt you to “hope and hold” instead of cutting losers early. Loose stops demand patience and conviction. They’re not an excuse to set a stop 30% away and take a vacation. They’re strategic, placed around real levels of support/resistance, trendlines, or even moving averages. ⚖️ Finding the Balance The reality? It’s not tight vs. loose – it’s about context. Your stop should reflect: Timeframe : Scalping the S&P 500 SP:SPX ? Tight. Swing trading Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ? Looser (notice the double “o”). Volatility : In calm markets, tighter stops work. In choppy ones (like individual stocks during earnings season ), they’ll get shredded. Strategy : Breakout traders often need loose stops (false breakouts happen). Mean-reversion traders can keep them tight. Think of it as tailoring your stop to the market’s mood. A tight stop in a trending, low-volatility stock might be perfect. That same stop in crypto? Time to say goodbye. 📉 The Asymmetric Opportunity Here’s where stop-loss talk gets spicy: risk-reward ratios . A tight stop with a big upside target creates an asymmetric bet. You risk $1 to make $5 or even $15. The problem is, you’ll get stopped out more often. A loose stop, on the other hand, lowers your win rate risk but demands patience and confidence to ride out volatility. Neither is better. It’s about whether you want more home runs with strikeouts (tight stops) or steady base hits with fewer fireworks (loose stops). 🧠 The Psychological Trap Stop losses aren’t just math, they’re psychology. Traders often tighten stops after a bruising loss, thinking they’ll “play it safe.” Then they get stopped out again and again. Others loosen stops out of fear, giving trades space, until their account looks like a shrinking balloon. The trick? Decide your stop before you enter. Not in the heat of the moment. Not after a candle fakes you out. Plan it. Write it down . Stick to it. 🚦 The Takeaway Stop losses aren’t about being tight or loose – they’re about being intentional. A good stop loss fits your strategy, your timeframe, and your psychology. It’s a line in the sand that says: “I’ll risk this much to make that much.” Next time you set a stop, are you protecting your capital or just trying to feel safe? Because the market doesn’t care about your comfort zone – it only respects discipline . 👉 Off to you : do you keep your stops tight, loose, or do you freestyle it? Let us know in the comments!
Education
by TradingView
31
CLSK - accumulation before a breakout or a trap?CLSK price is consolidating in the 9.5–10.5 buy zone, which aligns with a key volume area. On the weekly chart, a breakout from the falling wedge is forming, and if bulls manage to hold above the current range, the next targets stand at 17.98 and 24.72. Volumes indicate institutional interest, while RSI at lower levels suggests a potential reversal. Fundamentally , CLSK is strongly correlated with Bitcoin and the mining sector: declining hash rate among competitors and expectations of a softer Fed policy provide a supportive backdrop. The tactical setup is straightforward: defending 9.5–10.5 opens the way toward 17.98 and 24.72, while a breakdown would shift the price lower. For now, it looks like accumulation, but the real question is who will give up first - the bulls or the bears.
NASDAQ:CLSKLong
by TotoshkaTrades
7
Gold continues to fluctuate before the US interest rate decisionGold, after last Friday's continuation of the previous day's bottoming out and rebound, continued to fall into a range-bound oscillation mode, and after opening today, it continued to retreat to around 3626 before rising. Although there is no breakthrough between the bulls and bears at present, it is still in a tug-of-war, and the support below will also be maintained near the low point of 3626. This position is also the first watershed related to whether gold can continue to fall in the later period. The key pressure above is maintained near the previous secondary high point of 3655. This position is also the key suppression point for the recent retracement after multiple touches. It is also the shoulder position of the head and shoulders top, which also plays a role. It plays a connecting role, and once this position continues to suppress, gold may be under pressure again in the later period. If it does not break through again this week, gold may retreat again next week to test the support level of 3610. Although the daily line is still in a high sideways trend, the upward momentum has also declined significantly. If it bottoms out and rebounds, it needs a secondary definition of the European session, which is also an advance forecast of the US session. If gold rebounds to 3645-3655 during the day, short it and target around 3630-20. The strength of the European session may also determine the direction of the US session.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Copper’s Perfect Storm: Supply Strains Meet Fed TailwindsCaught between tightening global supply and shifting macro tailwinds, Copper is entering a pivotal phase. CHINA’S COPPER OUTPUT CONTRACTION TO FIRE UP PRICES As reported by Discovery Alert - a specialist mining research service provider - China’s refined copper output is set to fall 4–5% this month, the first seasonal drop since 2016. The slowdown stems from smelter inefficiencies with scrap operating rates down by 8 percentage points to under 60%, and widespread maintenance amid a severe concentrate shortage. This is creating pressure on margins and forcing some facilities to operate at a loss. LEANER COPPER INVENTORIES AND TIGHTER SUPPLY Inventories are diverging across regions. Stocks on major exchanges such as the LME and SHFE have been falling. At the same time, inventory has been accumulating in CME warehouses, creating an uneven distribution. This leaves the global copper market more sensitive to any disruption, as supply tightness in one region can quickly drive up prices and premium volatility elsewhere. Source: MacroMicro Demand for copper remains resilient. Long-term drivers are strong with EVs, renewable energy, and power grid upgrades consuming ever more copper. Put simply, copper faces low supply and steady demand. This combination makes the market tight and vulnerable to sudden price spikes, especially if global factors like a weaker US dollar or fresh Chinese stimulus kick in. With an 8.5 Mt supply deficit projected by 2030, the bias remains skewed to the upside. TECHNICAL SIGNALS POINT TO BULLISHNESS TOO CME Copper futures have steadily climbed above their Bollinger Band basis ($4.62/lb) since early September, with prices now testing the upper band, implying strengthening bullish momentum. RSI has recovered above 50, confirming improving buying strength after a prolonged consolidation. At the same time, the MACD is nearing a bullish crossover with the histogram turning positive, indicating momentum is shifting upward. Together, these signals highlight a market that has stabilized since August and is now priming towards a potential recovery if upside traction continues. Copper futures are consolidating within a defined range, holding support at $4.65 and facing resistance at $4.88, reflecting a pause in upward momentum. VOLATILITY EASES; CVOL & COT SIGNAL COPPER’S BULLISH TURN Balance between calmer volatility and constructive skew points to a market in transition, as shown below. Source: CVOL Index Managed Money increased its long positions by 16% WoW, while its short positions dropped by 4.7% lifting net long positions by 25.6%. Source: CME QuikStrike CoT This shift signals stronger bullish sentiment and adds near-term upside pressure to copper prices as funds increase long exposure. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Investors may consider a bullish copper futures trade setup, which is warranted given current supply-chain tightness, shifting inventory balance, macro tailwinds, and technical momentum confirmation. To express a bullish view on copper, investors can deploy a long position in CME Micro Copper Futures (each lot representing 2,500 pounds of copper) expiring in March 2026. Traders can also express this bullish view through standard CME Copper Futures, with each contract representing 25,000 pounds of copper. A hypothetical trade setup for this view is described below: • Current Price ($/lb): 4.71 • Entry ($/lb): 4.70 • Target ($/lb): 5.00 • Stop loss ($/lb): 4.50 • Profit at Target ($/lb): 0.30 (USD 750 per lot of CME Micro Copper Futures) • Loss at Stop ($/lb): 0.2 (USD 500 per lot of CME Micro Copper Futures) • Reward to Risk: 1.5x MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
COMEX:HGH2026Long
by mintdotfinance
Where Is ETH Going This Cycle? (Educational Perspective) Every cycle brings the same question: Where is Ethereum heading next? Most look for price guesses, but that’s a distraction. The real advantage comes from knowing what factors will drive ETH’s direction. Understanding the drivers doesn’t require prediction, it requires planning. A Look Back: ETH in Previous Cycles Ethereum has repeatedly proven its resilience and innovation leadership: 2016–2017: Breakout fueled by ICO boom—ETH became the token-launch backbone. 2018–2019: Bear market and ICO collapse—but builders persisted. 2020–2021: DeFi and NFT surge—Ethereum powered the blockchain economy as “digital oil.” 2022–2023: Post-Merge era—transition to PoS and reduced issuance amid regulatory uncertainty. Through every phase, ETH stayed central to crypto’s evolution. On-Chain Metrics to Watch Ethereum’s transparency lets us monitor structural strength in real time: Active addresses gauge real network use. Staking levels shrink available supply—over 35M ETH (≈30%) staked by mid-2025. ETH locked in DeFi reflects collateral demand. Gas fee burn continues to tighten supply post-EIP-1559. Macro & Narrative Drivers (2024–2025 Upgrades & ETF Momentum) Stories move markets, and Ethereum has some strong ones now: Spot ETH ETF Launch: Nearly $500M in institutional inflows since mid-2024. Staking Supply Constraint: Record ETH locked → tighter supply. Technical Enhancements: Dencun (2024) and Pectra (2025) improving scalability and validator usability. Regulatory & Macro Tailwinds: GENIUS Act, institutional adoption, favorable policies. The Real Question Traders Should Ask Price targets are clickbait. The real question is: “Which factors will move ETH this cycle?” By tracking ETF flows, staking ratios, upgrades, and macro conditions, traders avoid being surprised.
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by HyroTrader
12
Bitcoin — resistance test and growth targetsBitcoin is trading near the 115,000 zone, facing key resistance at the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci levels. A breakout above 116,900 would pave the way toward the next target at 125,000. In case of a pullback, support lies at 112,000 and 110,000, with deeper support near 104,000. From a fundamental perspective, cryptocurrencies remain supported by institutional inflows and the demand for digital assets as an inflation hedge. Growth potential persists as long as equity markets show strength and the US dollar remains under pressure. A stock you buy and forget — the longer you hold, the more you earn.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by InvestWorld_777
BoJ’s Unclear Stance and Japan’s Politics Weigh on Yen Ahead of BoJ’s Unclear Stance and Japan’s Politics Weigh on Yen Ahead of Key Central Bank Events Technical analysis USDJPY consolidated in a tight range for an extended period, indicating a short-term sideways correction. This price converged with multiple EMAs, suggesting a period of accumulation before a potential breakout into a new trend. Given the preceding uptrend before the consolidation, there's a higher probability of an upside breakout. This is further supported by the price holding above its ascending trendline. A decisive break and close above the upper bound of the sideways range above 148.60 would confirm a continuation of the uptrend. The next key resistance would be the previous peak around 151.00. However, if the price fails to hold and confirms a break below the ascending trendline, it could signal a significant plunge. Macro perspective A possible increase in fiscal stimulus under the new Japanese Prime Minister could add further downside pressure to the yen, exacerbating its depreciation. In the longer term, the persistence of yen-funded carry trades will remain a structural drag on the currency, especially during periods when the Federal Reserve embarks on a rate-cutting cycle. In such an environment, global investors are likely to accelerate purchases of US Treasuries to capture the yield differential before it narrows, reinforcing capital outflows from Japan and intensifying yen weakness. If the BoJ does not show a clear stance towards raising interest rates, and the dollar—which the market has already fully priced in for a rate cut—experiences some unwinding of that pricing, this could cause the yen to depreciate somewhat. The outlook in the upcoming week remains tied to central bank policy meetings and major US data releases. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by KrisadaYoonaisil
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cuts & Geopolitics Spark Trades!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) reversed an early Asian session dip from $3,626-$3,627 on Monday (15/09/2025), holding strong near record highs as markets price in a 100% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17/09, with two more expected in October and December (CME FedWatch). Geopolitical tensions, from Ukraine’s strikes on Russian energy to Iran’s call for Qatar to counter Israel, boost gold’s safe-haven appeal. With major central bank events looming, let’s analyze the market and find trade setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines Amid Uncertainty 🌟 Rate Cut Expectations: Weak US labor data (surging jobless claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) keeps USD near its 24/07 low and Treasury yields soft, driving gold’s 39% YTD rally. The Fed is set to cut rates three times in 2025, starting 17/09. Geopolitical Support: Ukraine’s attacks on Russian energy, US pressure on NATO for tougher Russia sanctions, and Iran’s missile proposal in Qatar ahead of the Arab-Islamic summit fuel gold’s safe-haven status. Key Events: Watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments (17/09), decisions from Bank of Canada, Bank of England (18/09), and Bank of Japan (19/09). Weak CPI and labor data suggest shallow dips—prime for buying! Technical Analysis: Broad Sideways Consolidation – Buy Dips 📉 Gold is consolidating in a wide sideways range on M30, H1, and H2 timeframes around 3650. If rate cut news triggers a sharp drop, FVG zones (3608-3598) offer buying opportunities. Monitor volume to confirm entries and avoid liquidity traps near round levels. Resistance: 3646 - 3655 - 3666 Support: 3623 - 3615 - 3608 - 3598 Trade Setups (Tight RR): Buy Scalp: Range: 3623 - 3621 SL: 3617 TP: 3626 - 3631 - 3636 - 3641 Buy Zone: Range: 3608 - 3606 SL: 3598 TP: 3616 - 3626 - 3636 - 3646 Sell Scalp: Range: 3654 - 3656 SL: 3660 TP: 3651 - 3646 - 3641 - 3636 Sell Zone: Range: 3665 - 3667 SL: 3675 TP: 3657 - 3647 - 3637 - 3627 Gold holds near highs—watch for liquidity traps around Fed news! Above 3623, bulls target new highs; below, test 3608/3598. Manage risk tightly with central bank volatility ahead! Will you buy dips or sell highs? Share your strategies below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
IONQ — trend breakout and growth potentialIonQ shares have consolidated above the 47–50 zone and successfully broke the trendline, opening the way for further upside. The first target is set around 120, and if buying pressure continues, the price could extend toward 200. Key support levels are at 47–48 and 36, providing attractive accumulation zones. From a fundamental perspective, the quantum computing sector is gaining momentum, and IonQ remains one of its leading players. Increasing demand for innovative technologies may support the continuation of the bullish trend in the medium term. A stock you buy and forget — the longer you hold, the more you earn.
NYSE:IONQLong
by InvestWorld_777