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Fundamental Analysis

BITCOIN → Trend reversal. Is there a chance for growth?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is breaking the trend and local market structure, forming a rally. Giving hope to buyers, we see a strong reaction from the Asian session. Are the bulls returning? The fundamental background is unstable; if Trump continues to escalate the trade war, the cryptocurrency market may close within the range. However, technically, we have positive signs of a bull market. BTC is breaking through the resistance level of 107,350 and entering a rally, which only confirms the change in trend and the breakdown of the structure. Since the Asian session, the price has strengthened by 3%, and a retest of the nearest strong resistance at 112K-113.6K could lead to a pullback before growth. Globally, there is bearish pressure, but if the bulls can hold their defense above 110K, then in the medium term, the market will be able to fight for the 115K-120K zone. Resistance levels: 111960, 113600, 115730 Support levels: 109700, 109200 In the short term, I expect a false breakout of the specified resistance and a correction of 1/2 of the local impulse, i.e., a retest of the 110K - 109200 support zone, which, in turn, could lead to another bullish run to 115K - 120K. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
14
ETHEREUM → Manipulation before a possible fall BINANCE:ETHUSDT , as part of manipulation and updating the local maximum to 4108, confirms strong resistance, forms a false breakout, and falls, testing key support. Bitcoin, as part of yesterday's rally in the US trading session, is trying to turn the tide, but after encountering resistance at 113600, it forms a false breakout and sells off all the growth, which is generally a signal of readiness for a decline. This could have a negative impact on the entire market... Ethereum is testing support - trigger 3822.5. After a sharp drop, there is no rebound, which indicates buyer weakness. Consolidation is forming near support, which only reinforces the pre-breakdown potential. Resistance levels: 3963, 4030, 4090 Support levels: 3822, 3660, 3366 The classic implementation of the “liquidity hunt” scenario led to a rally to resistance, and a false breakout at 4090 led to heavy selling. As part of the current consolidation, the market is reducing volatility ahead of support, which only increases the chances of a breakdown. A close below 3822 could trigger a further decline. Key liquidity zones are 3658 - 3366. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
9
Dassault Cut 2025 ForecastDassault Systèmes Cuts 2025 Forecast Despite Maintaining 30% Operating Margin and Rising EPS By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades French group Dassault Systèmes (TICKER AT: DSY), a global leader in 3D design and engineering software, reported on Thursday results that demonstrate operational strength but a more cautious outlook for growth in the coming year. In the third quarter, the company posted a 5% increase in total revenue to €1.46 billion, supported by solid momentum in its recurring business, which rose 9% and now accounts for 86% of total software sales. The non-IFRS diluted earnings per share grew 10% to €0.29, while the operating margin improved slightly to 30.1%, driven by efficiency measures implemented during the year. However, the Vélizy-Villacoublay-based firm lowered its revenue growth forecast for 2025 to a range of 4%–6%, down from the previous 6%–8%, though it maintained its EPS growth target of 7%–10%. By business line, the Industrial Innovation division remained the group’s main growth driver with a 9% increase, fueled by strong performance from CATIA, DELMIA and ENOVIA, while Life Sciences fell 3% due to a slower start of projects at MEDIDATA. Regionally, the Americas grew 7%, and both Europe and Asia advanced 4%, with notable strength in India and South Korea. For the fourth quarter, Dassault Systèmes expects revenue between €1.7 and €1.82 billion and a diluted EPS of €0.41 to €0.45, supported by a solid cash position of €3.91 billion. Technical Analysis – Dassault Systèmes (TICKER AT: DSY) On the daily chart, the stock has moved since March from its highs at €40.85 to its September lows near €26.25. Following this decline — returning to May 2020 price levels — the stock has since rebounded to close yesterday at €30.12. This level represents a potential boundary of the long-term downward channel, where prices could move toward the Point of Control (POC) around €32.00. Currently, the 50-day moving average has crossed above the 100-day, suggesting that the recovery trend is approaching the 200-day moving average, a potential signal of a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. The RSI stands in overbought territory at 66.26%, and the MACD remains clearly positive — both indicators pointing to upward momentum. According to the ActivTrades Europe Market Pulse indicator, the market environment is currently risk neutral, suggesting that this move reflects the company’s internal strength rather than broader market cycles. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
EURONEXT:DSYLong
by ActivTrades
HYPE. sale.The guys from the arbitrum, having decided to earn some extra money. They wrote an exchange called "hyperliquid" on their knee. That is, they literally tell everyone, "We will hyper-liquidate your orders." With technologies that have already been tested on other decentralized exchanges that were once promoted and sunk into oblivion. They also came up with a kind of "whale". Which go either into a long or short position for some astronomical amounts with the entire deposit. Naturally, this is promoted on all public pages on social networks. This is done in order to attract the public and earn extra money on commissions and liquidations. It is clear that in fact there are no "whales" there. That these are fake accounts embedded by developers in the program itself to attract attention. Well, enterprising guys are selling HYPE tokens to everyone.
Short
by mikhail1919
XAGUSD – Silver Analysis | Technical & Fundamental Outlook by RaXAGUSD – Silver Analysis | Technical & Fundamental Outlook by Rami Hajj Bakour – Emara Capital Group 🔹 Technical Analysis: Silver completed a clear five-wave impulsive structure, followed by a corrective phase labeled as (A)(B)(C). Currently, prices are expected to make a short-term corrective rise toward the 51.68 – 52.00 zone — aligning with the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement — before resuming the downward wave (C) targeting 46.50 – 45.00 levels. Resistance zones: 49.05 51.68 Support zones: 46.50 45.76 45.02 📉 The bearish scenario remains valid as long as the price stays below 52.78. 🔸 Fundamental Analysis: Silver prices are stabilizing after recent declines, supported by a weaker US dollar and softer bond yields. However, tightening monetary policy expectations continue to limit gains. Bullish factors: Market expectations for rate cuts in H1 2026. Strong industrial demand, especially from solar energy and electronics sectors. Potential further weakness in the US dollar. Bearish risks: Hawkish comments from Fed officials. Rising long-term yields. Weak Chinese manufacturing demand. 📊 In summary: The short-term bias remains corrective, with potential bullish momentum building near 45–46 USD if reversal signals appear. The 51.7–52 zone remains the key resistance area to watch. 📍Author: Rami Hajj Bakour Financial Consultant | Emara Capital Group #XAGUSD #Silver #TechnicalAnalysis #ElliottWave #TradingView #EmaraCapital #RamiBakour #Commodities #MarketOutlook #Forex
FPMARKETS:XAGUSDLong
by ramibakour8
Analysis Techniques – Arabica Coffee Futures (Dec 2025)Analysis Techniques – Arabica Coffee Futures (Dec 2025) Date: October 23, 2025 | Timeframe: D1 | Contract Code: ICEUS KCZ25 1. Trend Overview and Price Structure December 2025 Arabica coffee futures continued to rally strongly, up +2.18% to 423.95 cents/lb, marking the sixth consecutive session of gains and returning to the highest level since early May 2025. The current technical setup shows clear bullish momentum following a two-week consolidation between 380–400 cents. If momentum persists, prices could advance toward the strategic resistance zone at 450 cents/lb, corresponding to the March 2025 swing high. Short-term trend: Strongly bullish – continuing wave (3) within a broader recovery cycle. 2. Key Technical Price Levels Resistance: 424 – 450 – 480 Support: 388 – 351 – 316 3. Detailed Technical Analysis (1) Short-Term Trend: Price has broken above the 400–410 resistance zone and is now aiming for the 450 target area. A clear horizontal accumulation breakout pattern has formed, signaling that buyers are fully in control of the market. (2) Trading Volume: Volume has expanded alongside rising prices over the past week, confirming renewed speculative and commercial participation. Managed money funds are likely rebuilding net-long positions after September’s liquidation phase. (3) Wave Structure: According to Elliott Wave Theory, Arabica is in wave (3) of a bullish sequence that began from the 316.50 low in July 2025. Wave (1): 316 → 388 Wave (2): correction to 351 Wave (3): currently targeting 450–455, the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. (4) Confirmation Signals: Price broke above the accumulation range with long-bodied bullish candles, showing no signs of distribution. Short-term EMAs (12–36) are expanding upward, confirming strong momentum. Breakout volume exceeded the 20-session average, validating the move. 4. Strategic View – VNC According to Bloomberg Intelligence, Arabica’s sharp rally through October has been driven by three fundamental catalysts: 1. Short-Term Supply Tightness in Brazil: September exports fell nearly 11% year-on-year, as dry weather slowed harvest progress. ICE-certified stocks dropped sharply, reaching the lowest level in 18 months. 2. Renewed Speculative Flows: Commodity funds have rotated back into soft commodities (coffee, cocoa, sugar) as the energy complex corrected. The Arabica-to-Robusta net-long ratio has risen to 1.4x, its highest since April. 3. Stable Consumption Demand: Roasters in Europe and the U.S. have increased stockpiling ahead of the winter season. The slightly weaker Brazilian real (5.52 BRL/USD) has discouraged farmer selling, tightening near-term supply. VNC expects bullish momentum to persist in the short term, with 450 cents/lb as a medium-term target. However, profit-taking or a rebound in the real could trigger corrective pullbacks near 460–470 cents/lb. 5. Suggested Technical Strategies Primary Long Scenario (Trend-Following): Entry: 415 – 420 TP1: 450 TP2: 465 SL: 404 Probability: 75% Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.8 Alternative Short Scenario (Rejection at 450 Resistance): Entry: 448 – 452 TP: 388 SL: 460 Probability: 25% Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3 6. Corporate Hedging Strategies For Arabica Exporters (Brazil, Colombia): Increase forward price fixation around 440–450 cents/lb, as prices approach strong resistance. Utilize options collars to protect profit margins in case of a near-term correction. For Importers and Roasters (EU, U.S., Vietnam): Consider early hedging in the 400–420 zone to lock in costs before a potential breakout above 450. If prices reach 450–460, consider unwinding older hedges to maintain a neutral exposure. For Commercial Traders: Maintain medium-term long positions, targeting 450–455 for partial profit-taking. A confirmed breakout above this zone could open the path toward 480–500 cents/lb.
ICEUS:KCZ2025Long
by Hung-JK
My Trading Setup for Gold Today #xauusd A good trader doesn't chase the market. They identify a specific price area (a "zone") where their strategy signals a high-probability entry. This is based on technical levels like support, Fibonacci retracements, or order blocks. · Check Sentiment: Before entering, you must understand the broader market mood. Is the overall trend still bullish? What is the higher time frame (like 1H or 4H) doing? This ensures your 15-minute trade aligns with the larger market flow. · Tick your checklist: Every trading strategy should have a concrete checklist (e.g., RSI above 50, price above a key moving average, a specific candlestick pattern). This removes guesswork and ensures you only take trades that meet all your criteria. 3. The Risk Management: "SL+4057| Logical SL" · This is arguably the most important part. "SL" stands for Stop Loss. · "SL+4057": The exact price level where the trade will be closed for a loss if the market moves against them. This defines the risk upfront. · "Logical SL": The stop loss isn't arbitrary. A "logical" SL is placed just beyond a technical level that, if broken, would invalidate the entire reason for entering the trade. For example, below a recent swing low or a key support zone. This is professional risk management. #TradingEducation #RiskManagement #ForexTrader #DayTrading #XAUUSD #TradingPlan #AlgorithmicTrading #Investing #FinancialMarkets
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Myshare_finance1
Analysis Techniques – Robusta Coffee Futures (Nov 2025)Analysis Techniques – Robusta Coffee Futures (Nov 2025) Date: October 23, 2025 | Timeframe: D1 | Contract Code: ICEEU XRX25 1. Trend Overview and Price Structure November 2025 Robusta coffee futures surged +2.70% to USD 4,750/ton, marking a clear breakout from a descending triangle accumulation pattern that had persisted since September. This session confirms a technical breakout, lifting prices above the key 4,700 resistance zone and opening the path toward a medium-term upside target of 5,300–5,560 USD/ton. The short-term trend has shifted decisively from consolidation to bullish continuation, supported by a stable higher-lows structure established since August 2025. 2. Key Technical Price Levels Resistance: 4,986 – 5,300 – 5,561 Support: 4,303 – 4,050 – 3,696 3. Detailed Technical Analysis (1) Short-Term Trend: After consolidating between 4,300–4,500, Robusta broke above its descending trendline, confirming a bullish reversal. The measured move projection, based on the triangle’s height (~USD 930), suggests a potential advance toward 5,550 USD/ton, equivalent to a 20% price increase. (2) Trading Volume: Volume expanded sharply during the breakout sessions, signaling renewed participation from both speculative and commercial traders after a prolonged Q3 correction. (3) Wave Structure: According to Elliott Wave Theory, prices are progressing within wave (3) of a bullish cycle, targeting 5,300–5,560 USD, where a confluence exists between the April swing high and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension zone. A breakout above 5,560 would confirm further upside potential toward 5,800–6,000 USD in Q4 2025. (4) Confirmation Signals: Breakout above the descending trendline from June. Strong bullish candles closing above the entire short-term resistance range. Momentum and volume confirm active buying pressure (bullish momentum). 4. Strategic View – Bloomberg Intelligence According to VNC, Robusta’s sharp recovery in the second half of October is driven by a combination of three key factors: 1. Tight Supply from Vietnam and Indonesia: ICE Europe reported Robusta inventories falling to their lowest level since 2016. Vietnam’s September exports dropped over 20% year-on-year, as farmers delayed sales in anticipation of higher prices. 2. Steady Demand from Europe and the U.S.: European roasters have increased stockpiling ahead of the year-end consumption season. The strengthening euro against the dollar has improved purchasing power for European buyers. 3. Spillover from the Arabica Market: Arabica prices have rallied above 410 cents/lb, creating a positive contagion effect across the broader coffee complex. The Arabica/Robusta price ratio (A/R spread) has normalized around 1.35x, allowing further upside in Robusta without triggering substitution pressures. VNC notes that the 4,300–4,500 zone now serves as a solid price base, with 5,300–5,560 as an achievable target for November—provided the Brazilian real remains stable and speculative inflows continue. 5. Suggested Technical Strategies Primary Long Scenario (Trend-Following): Entry: 4,650 – 4,720 TP1: 5,300 TP2: 5,560 SL: 4,460 Probability: 75% Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3 Alternative Short Scenario (Rejection at High Resistance): Entry: 5,550 – 5,600 TP: 4,950 SL: 5,720 Probability: 25% Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2 6. Corporate Hedging Strategies For Coffee Exporters: Increase forward sales coverage in the 4,750–5,000 zone as global prices have strongly recovered and the domestic basis has narrowed. Consider partial hedging for December–January delivery contracts to protect profit margins. For Importers (Roasters & FMCG Companies): Consider partial hedging on dips near 4,400–4,500, focusing on Q1 2026 deliveries, to secure supply amid continued market volatility. For Commercial Investors: Maintain medium-term long positions targeting 5,300–5,560. A confirmed break above 5,560 could justify expanding long exposure toward 5,800–6,000 USD.
ICEEUR:RC1!Long
by Hung-JK
The Gold's Market just Crashed????- Gold generated unimaginable returns of more than 68% since January 2025. - On Oct 20 (Monday this week), the precious metal made its ATH of 4381.5. - In the past 2 days, especially on Tuesday, the gold made substantial corrections of more than 8.55%. - It recovered around 2.5% and currently down around 5.60% from its record highs. But, we cannot ignore the facts also.......... - Spot gold prices slumped as much as 6.6%, the biggest decline in more than a dozen years, - While spot silver dropped as much as 8.7%. - But, Even after today’s strong corrections, prices remains above 4,100 - These are still levels most mining companies could only have dreamed of not long ago. - For investors, the message is simple — its time to buckle up, and maintain patience parallelly, while not losing the conviction In my view, we’re still in the early stages of a powerful bull market.
FX:XAUUSD
by Nadia_farhat
GOLD cooling down, correction or signal of new cycle?Summary “After three consecutive sessions of declines, gold is experiencing a short-term correction after a rally that has lasted more than two months. Despite falling nearly 6% from its recent peak, the medium-term uptrend remains solid as prices remain above the psychological level of $4,000 per ounce. This move reflects a technical cooling of an overbought market, rather than a fundamental reversal. With the Fed expected to cut interest rates before the end of the year, geopolitical tensions lingering and the trend of “de-dollarization” spreading, gold continues to play a central role in the global safe-haven portfolio. Investors are now closely watching the price reaction around the $4,000 region, the balance point between short-term profit-taking pressure and medium-term accumulation momentum, while the technical outlook still favors a recovery trend if this support level holds.” OANDA:XAUUSD corrects after 3-day decline, medium-term uptrend remains strong Gold has fallen for three consecutive days, marking a technical correction after a long rally. Spot gold was hovering around $4,080/ounce on Tuesday morning, nearly 6% below its recent peak, reflecting a necessary pullback in an overbought market. The decline comes amid global markets being cautious about the latest developments in US-China trade talks and unclear signals on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path. Despite short-term pressure, gold remains a central part of the safe-haven portfolio, especially as geopolitical risks increase and major currencies face “soft devaluation” pressure. Comment: “After a period of excessive growth, gold is correcting like an overstretched spring. The fact that the price is still holding above the $4,000 mark shows that this is a technical cooling process, not a fundamental reversal. The need for safe haven and defensive trades in the Dollar still exists.” Gold has risen more than 55% year-to-date since mid-August, boosted by expectations of at least a 25 basis point cut by the Fed before the end of the year, along with a trend to hedge against inflation and widening budget deficits. The stability of the US dollar and ETF inflows supported gold prices, while silver and platinum recorded consecutive losses due to profit-taking pressure. Traders are also focusing on new political-trade signals. US President Trump expressed optimism about a “good deal” at the upcoming meeting with Asian leaders, but admitted that a delay scenario is still possible. This situation has made the market sentiment “cautious but realistically optimistic,”. The current decline reflects a technical correction, not a trend reversal. With the Fed likely to cut interest rates, persistent geopolitical tensions and the “de-dollarization” trend of some economies, gold remains a pillar in the global safe-haven structure. Investors should monitor the price reaction around the $4,000 mark, the balance point between short-term profit-taking and medium-term accumulation. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD Gold Technical Outlook: Bulls Keep the Initiated Around $4,000 Gold prices are experiencing a short-term but strong correction, after a long rally since mid-August. On the daily chart, the decline has brought the price to test the important support cluster around $4,000–$4,050/oz, corresponding to the Fibonacci 0.618 zone and the MA50 average, which acts as a key “psychological milestone” for the bulls. The RSI has retreated to near the neutral level of 50, reflecting a temporary cooling rather than a trend reversal. The major trend structure remains clearly bullish, as evidenced by the intact upward price channel. If the $4,000 zone is maintained, gold is likely to enter an accumulation-recovery phase, with the nearest resistance zones at $4,160–$4,180 (Fibo 0.5) and $4,210–$4,275 (Fibo 0.382–0.236). Conversely, a loss of the $4,000 mark would trigger deeper profit-taking towards the extended support zone of $3,950. The current correction suggests the market is consolidating its medium-term uptrend, with no signs of breaking the trend. Once sentiment stabilizes around the $4,000 threshold, new buying pressure is likely to return, especially if there are supportive signals from US economic data or expectations of a Fed rate cut. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4231 - 4229⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4235 →Take Profit 1 4223 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4217 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4001 - 4003⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3997 →Take Profit 1 4009 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4015
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
The Ultimate GOLD || Intraday Trading Plan (10/23/2025)Welcome to Trade with Decrypters! DETAILED AND COMPLETE ANALYSIS ( 5 TRADE SETUPS ) Central Bank Buying Central banks added net 19t in August led by Kazakhstan (14t), Bulgaria and El Salvador, Q3 on pace for 1,000t+ annually up 41% from historical norms. BRICS drivers like China (300t+ YTD) and India's $100B reserves fuel de-dollarization and inflation hedges; Poland reaffirms targets amid risks. Silver links to EV/solar boom (+70% China demand). Outlook: Unfazed 1,000t buys lift prices into 2026. ETF Inflows & Sentiment Gold ETFs hit $472B AUM in Q3 (+23% q/q) with $64B YTD inflows, September $17B record led by North America/Europe; Asia minor outflows. Safe-haven rush amid trade wars, minor profit-taking post $4k peak. RSI 75 overbought, $3,900 support holds. Silver +$2B YTD on industry bets. Forecast: Gold $4,200 test, silver $50+. Macro & Geopolitical Events Fed Oct cut vs. 2.9% inflation/shutdown-delayed jobs—labor firmer but risks grow. Trump's China tariffs fuel wars; BRICS stalls de-dollarization but boosts gold; Ukraine/Mideast hikes energy/inflation. Drives 50%+ YTD metals gains; tariffs add 1–2% CPI. Silver Deficit Fifth straight deficit at 118M oz in 2025 (down 21% YoY), demand stable 1.20B oz vs supply +3% to 1.05B oz, industrial record 680M+ oz from solar/EVs. Renewables offset jewelry drops Futures & Options Flow CME gold OI ~528k contracts, steady amid volumes; CVOL moderate, call/put skew bullish for rate-cut squeezes Fundamentals & Forecast Gold +51% to $4,062, silver +43% to $48—via 1,000t+ CB buys, inflation, cuts, 7% GDP deficits. De-dollarization/geo-risks dominate. Projection: Gold $4,400 Q4, silver $57 mid-2026
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DECRYPTERS
Gold's Historic Crash! MSS $4195: Waiting for SELL at $4185📰 CONTEXT (FUNDAMENTAL) Gold suffered its sharpest drop since 2013 after hitting a record $4,398. The decline was mainly due to technical profit-taking, not major macroeconomic events. Long-term fundamental factors (inflation, uncertainty) still support Gold, but a short-term correction is necessary. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (1H Chart) MSS Confirmed: Price made a strong break (Breakout) of the crucial support at $4,195 - $4,200. This zone has now flipped to become New Resistance (The ideal SELL zone). The market is currently in a Technical Pullback phase. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN The preference is to SELL at the Resistance re-test zone, aligned with the new market structure. 1. SELL Strategy (Pro-structure Trade) SELL ZONE: $4183 - 4185 SL (Stop Loss): $4193 TP (Take Profit): $4175 - 4165 - 4155 - 4145 2. BUY Strategy (Counter-trend Scalp) BUY ZONE: $4060 - 4055 SL (Stop Loss): $4030 TP (Take Profit): $4091 - 4114 - 4185 🔥 Expert Action: Wait for the price to pull back to the $4183 - 4185 zone to look for a SELL (Short) setup with a favorable R:R ratio. Always remember to manage risk (SL 1-2% of capital). Are you going to BUY or SELL? Leave your thoughts and Follow for the latest updates! #XAUUSD #GOLD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XMR you ready? 8 year ascending triangle resolvingAre you ready? As one of the oldest and boldest in this whole altcoin trading game, I've spent a lotta time glazing the charts. In our young, 15 year old (wet with a bag of quarters) market, we've never seen a chart like XMR 2025. Why? 7.86 years of accumulation since the all time high in Dec 2017. That's right, and an ascending triangle resolving - you guessed it - now... Or at least it sure looks like it'll confirm the close above $496 and go straight to $835. That's a lot of cushion for the pushin as I write this at $316 Oct 2023. This chart has seen it all and is a kettle cooker waiting to explode (or whatever KC's do). We've never seen a chart like this with actual strength AND the narrative of privacy is strong. Sectoral headwinds with zec recent 685% move beget more conviction. After all, sectoral narratives trade hotter than a kettle cooker in crypto. And truly private money has a monetary premium. institutions can buy into truly private money in the age of bitcoin adoption. Privacy in scarce digital money systems with anonymous rails for transactions have tradeoffs, but the people with the most money ultimately want true anonymity. And what's the valuation? $5B market cap? $10B? What's that an NBA team these days? On the back of political headwinds and common sense regulatory recapture, betting on truly anonymous money is a no brainer. You're welcome. Good luck. Don't fight the tape.
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by Paradigm9
6
$HOOD: The market is pricing yesterday’s app, not tomorrows.Robinhood has bounced around this year, and the easy take is that the move is already done. That view is dated. The market keeps valuing HOOD like a single-product US brokerage. The 2025 version looks more like a lightweight bank plus payments and credit plus global crypto rail plus options powerhouse. That bundle throws off more and more durable cash than the meme app label implies. What changed under the hood It is solidly profitable. Robinhood moved from proving it can make money to showing it can stack it, with meaningful operating leverage as assets and engagement scale. Idle cash is a quiet engine. When customers park cash, the company earns a spread. Sweep balances have grown fast, creating a recurring, rate-sensitive annuity that does not depend on frenetic trading. Optionality everywhere: card, retirement, crypto, events. The Gold Card turns high-intent traders into daily spenders, boosting interchange and nudging more users into the paid Gold tier. The IRA with match deepens wallet share and keeps assets stickier. Crypto expansion plus acquired licenses open doors outside the US and widen the product set. Event and prediction markets increase session frequency, which is the lifeblood of any consumer finance platform. That is not a conventional brokerage. That is a financial OS for the under-40 cohort. Valuation check On surface multiples, HOOD screens expensive versus legacy brokers. That is the easy bear case. The better question is whether the market is over-charging for cyclical growth or under-charging for structural growth. The mix is tilting structural: net interest from sweeps, card interchange, retirement assets, securities lending, and crypto spreads reduce dependence on bursts of volatility. Even in sleepy markets, those lines hum. The underrated thesis in three bullets Bundling creates pricing power. Free trades were the entry. The margin lives in the bundle. Gold subs plus card plus retirement make each feature amplify the others and raise switching costs. That looks more like software ARPU expansion than traditional brokerage take rate. International is barely in the story. US comps miss what a licensed, mobile-first, crypto-capable onramp can do in Europe and the UK where fees remain fatter and habits are shifting. Licenses plus local rails equal real optionality. Engagement glue matters. Events and prediction markets are not about revenue today. They keep attention during dull markets so the platform is top of mind when volatility returns. What could break it Regulation is the evergreen risk, especially around crypto, and lower rates would compress net interest margins. Those risks are known and already haircut into sentiment. Execution against licensing, card adoption, and retirement asset growth is the counterweight. Bottom line If you price HOOD like a US discount broker, it looks rich. If you price it like a high-margin, software-style financial platform with a growing annuity base, expanding rails outside the US, and a daily card and retirement relationship, today’s multiple looks far more reasonable. The market keeps arguing about 2021. Robinhood is building a 2027 balance sheet. Not investment advice. Manage risk, size positions, and beware of letting a cashback card talk you into extra snacks.
NASDAQ:HOODLong
by GlowAlgo
Gold (XAU/USD) – Technical Outlook for TodayGold continues its short-term recovery after last week’s sharp selloff from the 4,400 zone. On the 1H timeframe, price has shown early signs of stabilization above the 4,070–4,080 support area, where strong buy-side reaction appeared. The market is now attempting a corrective move toward the 4,150–4,160 resistance zone, a key structure level that previously acted as support before the breakdown. A successful retest of this area could determine the next directional bias: Bullish scenario: If buyers can reclaim and hold above 4,160, we may see further upside extension toward 4,300–4,350, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous down-leg. Bearish scenario: Failure to break 4,160 may attract renewed selling pressure, possibly leading to another retest of 4,050 or even 4,000. Technical confluence: EMA20 turning upward, signaling short-term momentum recovery. RSI recovering from oversold territory, supporting a potential retracement. Key resistance zone: 4,150–4,160 Key support zone: 4,070–4,000 In summary, gold is currently in a pullback phase within a broader correction. Traders may look for short-term buy opportunities toward resistance but should watch price behavior closely around 4,160 before deciding the next move. Follow for more high-probability setups and daily strategy updates.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 23, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is declining against the US dollar amid persistent demand for safe-haven assets and expectations for US inflation data. Investors note that delays in the release of official US macroeconomic data caused by the government shutdown do not resolve the question of the price trajectory: the market is still repricing the timing and scale of monetary easing in the US, which supports the USD. Taken together, this keeps the pair around 1.16000 and caps attempts to rise. Additional pressure on the euro comes from uneven signals from the euro area’s real sector and the regulator’s cautious tone on growth prospects, while US Treasury yields remain relatively high. In the short term, the risk balance for EURUSD is tilted toward further declines, especially in the absence of positive surprises in US price dynamics and signs of acceleration in the eurozone economy. In October the euro’s vulnerability to deteriorating global risk sentiment and US news flow was also evident. As of today this remains relevant: the dollar retains an advantage thanks to expectations around Federal Reserve rates and its role as a funding currency, while the euro is exposed to the region’s political-economic risks. Given these inputs, a strategy of selling from round levels looks justified. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.16050, SL 1.16250, TP 1.15450
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
1