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17 years breakout done in JAYASWAL NECOThe Smart Way Research Desk Company Report: Jayaswal Neco Industries Ltd Date: 06 September 2025 About the Company Jayaswal Neco Industries Ltd is an integrated steel and castings manufacturer with operations spanning pig iron, billets, rolled products, alloy steel, and ductile iron pipes. Headquartered in Nagpur, the company owns captive iron ore mines and operates blast furnaces, sinter plants, and steel melting shops. It serves automotive, infrastructure, and engineering sectors, and is undergoing a strategic transformation with digital upgrades, debt restructuring, and brownfield capacity expansion. 1. Core Financials Snapshot (FY23–FY25) Revenue: ₹59,346 Cr (FY23) → ₹60,009 Cr (FY24) → ₹62,115 Cr (FY25) — CAGR ~2.3%; stable topline Net Profit: ₹2,100 Cr (FY23) → ₹1,127 Cr (FY24) → ₹2,374 Cr (FY25) — FY25 up 110%; margin recovery EBITDA: ₹10,264 Cr (FY23) → ₹9,403 Cr (FY24) → ₹10,875 Cr (FY25) — Margin ~17.5%; resilient EPS: ₹2.16 (FY23) → ₹1.16 (FY24) → ₹2.44 (FY25) — Up 110%; post-restructuring rebound ROE: ~3.5% (FY25) vs ~1.8% (FY24) — Improving; still below sector leaders Debt/Equity: ~2.3x (FY25) — Elevated; NCD servicing pressure persists Dividend: Nil — Reinvestment priority Total Assets: ₹11,051 Cr (FY25) — Asset base expanding Promoter Holding: ~74.99% (FY25) — Stable FII Holding: ~4.2% (FY25) — Modest foreign interest DII Holding: ~12.6% (FY25) — Domestic support rising Verdict: Bad Despite profit rebound, high leverage, weak ROE, and lack of dividend limit financial attractiveness. 2. Strategic Drivers & Business Expansion Captive Mining: Metabodeli and Chhotedongar mines operational — Raw material security Brownfield Pellet Plant: Under construction — Efficiency boost Blast Furnace Overhaul: 84-day shutdown completed — Long-term productivity gain Product Diversification: Billets, rolled products, alloy steel, DI pipes — Multi-sector presence Digital Transformation: ERP, automation, and analytics upgrades — Operational visibility Debt Refinancing: ₹3,200 Cr NCD issued — Liquidity relief, but high coupon cost Verdict: Good Strong vertical integration, operational upgrades, and raw material control support long-term competitiveness. 3. FY26 Forecast (Estimated) Revenue: ₹65,000 – ₹66,500 Cr Net Profit: ₹2,600 – ₹2,800 Cr EPS: ₹2.65 – ₹2.85 ROE: ~4.2% EBITDA Margin: ~18.0% Capex: ₹1,200 – ₹1,400 Cr Free Cash Flow: Negative due to NCD servicing and capex Verdict: Bad Projected growth is offset by high debt servicing and negative free cash flow, posing liquidity risks. 4. Business Growth Verdict Revenue CAGR ~2.3%; Profit CAGR ~6.3% (FY23–25) Debt profile elevated; ROE below industry Steel + Castings + Mining = integrated engine Valuation (P/E ~25x FY25) stretched for current return profile Verdict: Bad Growth potential exists, but financial structure and return metrics remain weak. 5. Final Investment Verdict: WAIT Jayaswal Neco Industries is a strategically integrated steel player with captive mining and diversified product lines. However, elevated debt, modest ROE, and liquidity pressure from NCD obligations make it a high-risk investment. Entry should be considered only after Q2 FY26 debt servicing and margin trends stabilize.
NSE:JAYNECOINDLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
Snapchat: A Value Play with Growth Upside About to SNAP?I like beaten-down stocks. They often trade at a discount when compared to their intrinsic value. Of course, this needs to be backed by prospects of growth and a path to profitability. I think $NYSE: SNAP gives us this. The stock is donw 88% since its all-time high in 2021. At the same time, the number of users (DAU) is growing, and margins are improving and the business metrics are telling me that this stock has a good risk/reward profile. Currently, SNAP reminds of NASDAQ:META in 2021/22 when the stock price dropped over 70%, to later recover by 600%. The forward PE is at 10, and the PS ratio is at 2.1, which, when compared to competitors like META, represents a good discount. Here's my fundamental analysis. 🥂 THE GOOD: The number of users (DAU and MAU) continues to grow. Q2 2025 saw MAUs hit 932 million (up 7% YoY) and DAUs 469 million, with time spent up 23%. Ads remain ~87% of revenue ($5.36 billion full-year 2024, up 16% YoY—the fastest since 2021), but AI tools like 7/0 Optimization (performance-based bidding) and Sponsored Snaps (20-30% higher conversions) doubled active advertisers in 2024. In addition, user subscriptions are also growing fast. AR lenses (8 billion daily uses, up 20% YoY) boost e-commerce conversions 30%, positioning Snap for the $100 billion+ AR market by 2030. Adjusted EBITDA flipped positive at $41 million, with free cash flow at $24 million quarterly ($392 million TTM). Cash hoard: $2.89 billion, providing 2+ years' runway without dilution. Trading at 2.11x TTM sales (vs. S&P 500's 3.1x and peers like Pinterest at 5x), SNAP embeds deep pessimism. Analysts' median price target is at $9, providing some safety margin. THE BAD Despite user growth, monetization lags: Global ARPU stagnated at $2.87 in Q2 2025 (vs. Meta's $11.89). Snap's growth slowed to 9% in Q2 (the slowest in a year), with Q3 guidance at 10-12% ($1.475-1.505 billion). Debt-to-equity at 202.57% (2.03x) raises leverage risks. Instagram/TikTok copy features (e.g., Stories, Reels), eroding Snapchat uniqueness. MOVING FORWARD Snapchat continues to make strong investments in R&D and its AI capabilities. User premium subscriptions are growing very significantly, and they might cross $1 billion 2026 in recurring revenue. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS There's a strong resistance at the $7 level. This level has been acting as a resistance since 2022. WHAT I'M DOING I'm allocating around 0.5% of my portfolio to SNAP. Going to move with caution, considering this stock is quite volatile and there are still many uncertainties. I might DCA in case the price drops while the fundamentals are good. Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
NYSE:SNAPLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
Cyclical & Repetitive Price Action BehaviorI had an excellent conversation with a seasoned day trader who has over 30 years of experience. Something he said really changed my perspective. He mentioned that the Price Action Algorithm is very repetitive and predictable—up to a point—if you know what the typical signs are. Key concepts include Swing High and Swing Low, Break of Structure (BoS), Change of Character (ChoCH), and Internal Liquidity (such as Fair Value Gaps and High/Low Sweeps). If you pay attention to the higher time frames, everything becomes much clearer. Just remember: it's all repetitive and cyclical. This mindset will always help keep things simple. Happy trading, my friends!
by jamellramsay
Bitcoin Analysis: Bitcoin Will Continue to RallyBitcoin began rebounding after confirming support near 107,200 on August 29th and 30th. After several days of volatile gains, it has now stabilized above 110,000. Resistance at 113,500, the highest point on August 28th, saw further declines yesterday. Short-term double top pressure exists, but as long as it stabilizes at 110,000, bullish momentum persists. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the current upward trend remains intact. In terms of short-term trends, I personally believe Bitcoin will continue to rebound, at least breaking through 113,500. Of course, this level is unlikely due to the relatively quiet weekend trading. A breakout is possible next week. Let's wait and see. Bitcoin Strategy For Bitcoin: Previously, below 110,000, there were consistent signals for opening long positions to ambush bullish sentiment. Any price below this level presents a good opportunity to open long positions. The market has rebounded to the resistance level, but I think it will continue to rebound after a slight correction. If the price pulls back to 110500, 110000, or 109500, you can consider opening a long position. The target is 112700.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Violet_Trading_Strategy
1
SYNX - Daily - Hidden AccumulationDespite its current low market capitalization of just $11 million, this company appears to be significantly undervalued due to strong and consistent demand for its technology from major military forces, including those in Israel, South America, the Asian-Pacific, and the United States. While UBS is the only major institutional investor, the company's potential for growth would skyrocket if other blue-chip firms were to buy in, serving as a powerful catalyst for a price increase. From a technical perspective, the stock is showing promising signs, trading in a single Fibonacci layer that signals it may have found a bottom. Furthermore, recent accumulation spikes in late June and July suggest that a significant news event or a short squeeze could be on the horizon, with the large price gap between $2.40 and $3.55 making anything possible in this discovery zone. Not financial advice, always do your due diligence Leave a like👍 and/or comment💬. We appreciate and value everyone's feedback! - RoninAITrader
AMEX:SYNXLong
by RoninAITrader
GBPUSD LONG TERM PERSPECTIVEfundamentally and technically I see price climbing higher gravitating to old highs. The sentiment indicates less than 40% of the retail traders are bullish therefore I expecting more and more of them to add more orders on the GBPUSD shorts. Seasonally Cable is quite very weak as I would expect it to easily drop but with tariffs that we have been facing since Mr Trump took over the presidency of USA. Let us see what the market is gonna present to us in the near future.
Long
by Tefo_Sekabate
EUR/USD - Next Week Direction?CMCMARKETS:EURUSD - The Euro has outperformed recently, consolidating above 1.1650 amid a persistent USD correction and mounting expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut as early as September. - Markets have been quick to price in policy changes after a pronounced dovish turn at Jackson Hole, where the Fed Chair stressed labor risks and cast doubt on further tightening. - This policy divergence theme—Fed turning more accommodative versus an ECB hesitant to ease and committed to maintaining price stability, remains a principal narrative fueling the EUR/USD uptrend. While Eurozone activity data remains tepid (Q2 GDP just +0.1% QoQ, PMIs in contraction), core inflation is sticky at 2% and wage growth has moderated the dovish case for now. - Meanwhile, political headlines from the US inject a layer of uncertainty, with board reshuffles at the Fed and growing speculation over potential leadership changes. Tariff threats and global trade frictions have put a cap on USD bounces, as investors realize the risks to both US corporate margins and broader risk sentiment. Technically, EUR/USD continues to respect its bullish channel since March, with price action now pausing near the upper band as oscillators signal overextension. - From a position point of view, the pair remains above its 4-hour EMA, a classic reference in institutional trading. Most retracements toward 1.1650–1.1620 have been absorbed by buyers; this area coincides with both prior supply-turned-demand and a behavioral anchor observed via option gamma hedging over the last week. Institutional demand for the euro is further evidenced by a decline in US Treasury yields, 0.5% week-on-week, while speculative short positioning in USD has quietly reached a three-month high (source: CFTC). These underlying forces lend fundamental support to the idea of “buying the dip” rather than chasing strength. What I’m watching: - The interplay between labor data and CPI figures will be decisive for forward Fed guidance. Surprise downside in CPI or upside in Eurozone PMIs could trigger a sharp repricing. - Geopolitical and tariff developments remain headline drivers, impacting both intraday volatility and macro risk appetite. - Typical summer liquidity patterns can exaggerate moves—a ‘flush’ into support could offer optimal trade location for bulls. Overall thesis : As long as policy divergence remains in focus with the US expected to cut before the ECB, and barring sharp deterioration in Eurozone growth, EUR/USD presents asymmetric reward versus risk favoring continuation higher. Any measured pullback to the 1.1650–1.1620 zone is an attractive area for medium-term accumulation targeting the prior swing high and potentially new year-to-date highs.
Long
by XianW
Bitcoin Drops 3%—Here’s Why It’s Happening!Bitcoin jumped past $113k right after the NFP report, then retraced 2% . Why the sudden swing? Weak jobs data, recession fears, and market sentiment all played a role. In this video, I break down: The NFP impact on BTC September’s historical weakness Correlation with the S&P 500 Potential buying opportunities if the Fed cuts rates I analyze Bitcoin daily to make sure we don’t miss any triggers. Join the community , drop your thoughts in the comments, and share with friends if this helped!
by SkepticLab
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Trade Breakdown – English 1. Institutional Trap The market first swept liquidity below, trapping impatient buyers and creating fear. Classic institutional move before the real direction. 2. ChoCh and BOS A Change of Character (ChoCh) appeared, signaling buyers taking control. Then a Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed bullish momentum. 3. Rejection and Fake Out A small fake out tricked sellers at resistance, followed by multiple rejections at the support zone → showing strong buyer pressure. 4. Demand Zone Price respected the Demand Zone, where institutions accumulated long positions and defended that area. 5. Patience and Discipline This was not an instant trade. It took time to develop, but patience paid off. Those who held their position saw price skyrocket straight to the new 3600 target (historic HH). 📌 Lesson for beginners: Trading is not luck — it’s all about discipline, patience, and waiting for confirmations. The market always leaves “clues” → if you follow them calmly, results come. ———————————————-GOOD JOB TRADERS ;)————————————————-
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Fonseca87
HYPE | Looking for All-Time HighsHYPE | Looking for All-Time Highs 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is set for a 0.25% rate cut, with the possibility of a 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy is being adjusted not only in response to inflation but also weak labor market data. Recent August and September job numbers came in soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This shift is fueling expectations for one of the strongest bullish runs in the coming weeks. 📈 Technical Analysis HYPE continues to show a strong HTF bullish trend — one of the most bullish structures currently in crypto. Price retraced into the 0.75 HTF discounted range and reacted strongly from there. This level also aligned with the HTF bullish trendline, creating a clean confluence. Following the bounce, price established a fresh 4H demand zone, adding further validation to the bullish outlook. 📌 Game Plan I will be watching for price to revisit the 4H demand zone, which also overlaps with the HTF bullish trendline. This zone aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci equilibrium level, making it a key area of interest for continuation to the upside. 🎯 Setup Trigger I will look for a confirmed 1H break of structure before entering long. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: Below the 1H swing low responsible for the BOS Targets: • TP1: $47.78 • TP2: $51.20 (ATH) 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
BNB Targeting All-Time Highs BNB Targeting All-Time Highs 📊 Market Sentiment Sentiment remains constructive, supported by the prospect of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. With the USD losing strength and global risk appetite improving, conditions continue to favor upside momentum in crypto markets. 📈 Technical Analysis BNB shows strong bullish momentum, so I’m only focused on long setups. Price swept 4H swing liquidity and closed strongly above, signaling a deviation of the liquidity pool and intent to push higher. A 4H demand zone was created after the liquidity raid, and price has already retested it while aligning with the 0.75 max discount zone both giving a strong bounce. Currently, price is moving towards the LTF bearish trendline. 📌 Game Plan I want to see a clean breakout above the bearish trendline. At least two consecutive 4H candle closes above the trendline will confirm the breakout for me. 🎯 Setup Trigger I will enter after a confirmed retest of the broken trendline. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: Two consecutive 4H closes below the broken trendline Targets: • TP1: $880 • TP2: $901 (All-Time Highs) 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
GOLD is now targeting 4000$(WAR NEWS COOKING)My target soon will hit which was 3650$ and i think soon we can expect 4000$ as well too because war news somehow are cooking and i am not seeing any fundamentals getting weaker and making it dump also USD is losing power and one of the major reason for that is China Russia and other countries gathering together to cut the Dollar off their markets in next years. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMBTtrader
SOUN US ( SoundHound AI) LongLong Exit from triangle upward Retest of the level SoundHound AI Reports Record Q2 2025 Revenue of $42.7M, Up 217% YoY The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $160M-$178M (midpoint of $169M), above analysts’ previous expectations of $159.6M Management expects to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA by the end of 2025 SoundHound is aggressively expanding its voice AI solutions into new industries, including automotive, quick-service restaurants (QSR), healthcare, IoT, and financial services The company has added computer vision capabilities to its voice platform The company has a unique technology called Houndify that allows brands to build their own voice assistants with customization, analytics, and real-world data integration SoundHound had $230M in cash reserves and no debt at the end of Q2 2025
NASDAQ:SOUNLong
by A3MInvestments
1
Humana | HUM | Long at $220.00Humana NYSE:HUM took a nosedive to "crash" levels (based on my selected simple moving averages (SMA)) this morning after a lower-performance rating for a widely used Medicare insurance plan is expected to hurt enrollments for 2025 (and will potentially hit the health insurer's revenue and bonus payments in 2026). However, I view this massive drop as an opportunity for an initial long entry for a great value stock. The company is strong, highly rated among patients, and solid fundamentals despite the anticipated earnings drop. From a technical analysis perspective, it touched my "crash" SMA, but may dip further after a dead cat bounce to the $190s in the coming days or weeks. But, predicting true bottom is a fool's game, so at $220.00, NYSE:HUM is in a personal buy zone for an initial long entry. Target #1 = $250.00 Target #2 = $275.00 Target #3 = $314.00 Target #4 = $340.00
NYSE:HUMLong
by WorthlessViews
Gold. Expect entry into the fifth waveThe current decline looks like the 4th wave Before it, 3 in 3 is visible There is an alternative probability of the marking, that the marking will lengthen and we will get a stronger upward impulse. But in both scenarios there is another increase in quotes with a target of 3600-3650 In general, the growth of gold is due to a reduction in central bank investments from American treasuries. Just today we described how investments of India and other non-Western countries in American debt are decreasing. All this spurred the growth of gold quotes
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by A3MInvestments
1
Oracle Is Up 80% Since April. What Does Its Chart Tell Us?Oracle NYSE:ORCL will release fiscal Q1 results next week at a time when the tech giant's stock has risen more than 80% from its April lows, but also given back some 15% since hitting a 52-week high in late July. Let's see what the stock's technical and fundamental analysis can tell us. Oracle's Fundamental Analysis ORCL, which will report results after the bell on Tuesday, rose nearly 120% over the less than three months between its $118.86 April 7 intraday low and its $260.87 intraday July 31 high. That included a 22% gain over two sessions that followed its fiscal Q4 2025 results' release on June 11. Those earnings beat the Street's estimates for both revenues at adjusted earnings, with year-over-year sales growth accelerating to 11.3% from 6% in the prior quarter. In fact, the results marked the first time Oracle saw double-digit percentages for sales growth since 2023. Beyond the headline results, ORCL's remaining performance obligation rose 41%, while cloud revenues (IaaS and SaaS) grew 27%. Company founder and Chairman Larry Ellison said at the time that multi-cloud database revenue from Amazon, Google and Azure alone grew 115% between the company's fiscal Q3 and Q4. He added: "We expect triple-digit multi-cloud revenue growth to continue in FY26." For fiscal Q1, analysts expect Oracle to post $1.48 in adjusted earnings per share on roughly $15.1 billion of revenue. That would represent 6.5% growth from the $1.39 in adjusted EPS that ORCL reported in the same period last year, as well as about a 13.5% y/y gain from last year's $13.3 billion in revenues. The Street also projects 16% sales growth for Oracle's fiscal year as a whole, along with 19% revenue expansion in fiscal 2027. This supports just what Ellison said. However, not everyone is sold on that. Of the 33 sell-side analysts that I can find that cover ORCL, 12 have revised their earnings estimates higher since the quarter began, while 10 have revised their projections lower. (Eleven made no changes.) Oracle's Technical Analysis Now let's take a look at Oracle's year-to-date chart as of Wednesday: How interesting is this? ORCL started the year with what's called an "inverse head-and-shoulders" pattern of bullish reversal with a $163 pivot, as denoted by the purple jagged line and purple field at the chart's left. The stock then rallied from there, but developed a head-and-shoulders pattern of bearish reversal from late June unto the president day. This pattern has a $229 downside pivot that appears to have just recently been triggered. (ORCL closed at $223 Thursday.) Making matters even trickier for the bulls, Oracle has just suffered what's called "baby death cross" or "swing trader's death cross," marked with a red box at the chart's right. That's when a stock's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by a green line) crosses below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line). That's usually considered a short- to medium-term bearish technical signal. The other indicators in the chart above are likewise sending less-than-joyous signals ahead of Oracle's earnings. For example, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is weak, although not technically oversold. Similarly, Oracle's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is getting gnarly. The histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is in negative territory and has been since mid-July. Meanwhile, the stock's 12-day EMA (the black line) crossed below the 26-day EMA (the gold line) in early July and has never recovered. In fact, the gap between the two lines has only increased while both headed lower and now stand in negative territory. That can typically be a bearish signal. Investors should also be cognizant that Oracle's chart has an unfilled gap from early July that would need a tick as low as $176.38 to completely fill in. That would require about a 20% drop from Thursday's close. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in ORCL at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NYSE:ORCL
by moomoo
6
NZDUSD Pauses as Traders Await Key U.S. DataThe NZDUSD pair has entered a consolidation phase after rebounding from the lower low area of the descending channel (image 1). The Kiwi Dollar gained some strength earlier this week as the U.S. Dollar softened, but momentum has since stalled as traders wait for U.S. GDP and the PCE Price Index. Why the Kiwi Stalled Fed Signals: Comments from New York Fed President John Williams suggested potential rate cuts ahead, pushing USD lower and lifting NZD temporarily. Wait-and-See Mode: With GDP and inflation reports looming, traders are reluctant to take aggressive positions. What to Watch This Week U.S. GDP: Stronger growth = USD strength; weaker growth = Kiwi relief rally. PCE Price Index: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Stubborn inflation could delay rate cuts, while softer data would likely weaken USD. Risk Sentiment: NZD remains a “risk-sensitive” currency, so global equities and commodity flows will also play a role. Short-Term Trading Setup ⚡ Bias: Rebound from lower channel, cautious upside. Entry Zone: 0.5850 – 0.5875. Target: 0.5960 (mid-channel resistance). Stop Loss: Below 0.5800. RR: ~1:3. If U.S. data surprises stronger, watch for a retest of 0.5800 as key support. Final Summary NZDUSD is caught between a soft USD outlook from potential Fed easing and cautious sentiment ahead of U.S. data. Traders should watch GDP and PCE closely — they’re likely to set the next big move. For now, the Kiwi holds near the channel’s lower boundary, offering tactical rebound setups, but the bigger picture still points to a downtrend unless a breakout confirms. 👉 Follow me for more 1:5 RR trade ideas and real-time FX setups.
by Mr1-5
Meme Frenzy Meets Smart Money Exit — A Warning for Retail in OPD📖 Crown Point Research — Opendoor (OPEN) Scroll 1. Date & Time Date: 06 September 2025 Time: 09.52 PM 2. Fundamental News No fresh earnings or macro drivers. Rally purely sentiment-driven with meme-stock enthusiasm and selective institutional backing. 3. Public Sentiment & Human Behaviour Retail: Chasing highs with heavy FOMO, convinced momentum will never end. Institutions: Quiet distribution into this strength, booking profits while retail piles in. Social Signal: Headlines cheer “Opendoor hits 3-year high”, but under the surface, smart money exits quietly. 4. Current Structure Macro : Resistance: 7.2 – 7.5 zone. Support: 6.0 – 6.2 zone. Stage: Fragile maturity, vulnerable to profit-taking. Micro : Resistance: 6.9 – 7.1 short-term barrier. Support: 6.6 – 6.7 shallow reversion zone. Behaviour: Controlled pullbacks, not true rescues. 5. Projection Primary Path (65%): Continuation attempt into 7.2 – 7.5 with retail still chasing. Alternate Path (25%): Failure near 7.0 → pullback to 6.2 zone. Low Path (10%): Sharp reversal to 5.8 only if liquidity dries suddenly. 6. Pullback Levels Shallow: 6.6 – 6.7 Medium: 6.2 Deep: 5.8 (low probability, only under institutional shock). 7. Final View Bias: Fragile Continuation. Retail is fueling momentum, but institutions are distributing. Watch support at 6.6–6.7; failure here exposes the trap. 🚨 Retail FOMO vs Institutional Exit — The Hidden Trap in Opendoor (OPEN) 📌 Opendoor has exploded to a 3-year high, fueled by retail enthusiasm and cult-stock momentum. 📌 What most traders don’t see → institutions quietly distributing into this rally. 🔹 Short-term bias = fragile continuation as retail keeps chasing. 🔹 But if momentum cracks, expect a sharp pullback toward support zones. ⚠️ Lesson: When retail buys late, smart money sells early. 💡 Crown Point Research warns: Don’t confuse excitement with strength — learn to see the trap before it closes. 8. Essence “Retail is chasing dreams, institutions are booking reality. Every rally hides a trap if you don’t know who’s exiting.” 9. Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, trading advice, or investment recommendation. Market decisions are entirely your own responsibility. #crown_point_research #trading_agi #trading #stock_market #usstock_market
NASDAQ:OPEN
by Sturdy_Intraday_Trading