US markets are open for limited hours today, and investors are focussed on the World Cup and Black Friday rather than the US dollar. EUR/USD is trading quietly at 1.0392, down 0.18%. German data has not been spectacular this week, but nonetheless is moving in the right direction, as the German economy is in decent shape. Germany's GDP for Q3 was revised upwards...
The British pound is sharply lower on Thursday as the US dollar has rebounded against the major currencies. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1787, down 1.07%. We continue to see sharp swings from the pound in November. Jeremy Hunt's Autumn Statement was much more in keeping with the difficult economic times than the ill-fated mini-budget...
The Japanese yen hit its highest level since August 29th, as the currency powers higher. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 139.17, down 0.53%. The US dollar can't find its footing, and even a soft GDP reading out of Japan hasn't put a dent in the current yen rally. The economy declined in the third quarter for the first time in a year. GDP fell...
The GDP number of 2.7% growth is being propped up by net exports, while consumption is at a cycle low. This is horrible for earnings expectations and risk assets. Net exports were at a low in prior quarters, making the economy look worse off than it was. Now the economy is actually worse off than it is and the metric is instead making it look better. This is why...
The EUR/USD pair fell Thursday following the European Central Bank interest rate decision, which was followed by cautious comments from President Christine Lagarde during the press conference. At the same time, the greenback is gaining ground thanks to solid GDP readings. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD is trading at the 1.0000 area, 0.70% below its opening...
Why is the S&P500 ready to go short again? This question can't be answer, I'm not a magician and no one will know what the market is going to do, but let's see what's giving me the hint of the short idea. Let's start from the Real GDP . We're going to consider the Real GDP which I'll be calling GDP during the post. After doing some research you can see how the...
GBP/USD is trading quietly for a second straight day. In the North European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1035, down 0.18%. The pound has not posted a winning day since October 12th and has lost 400 points during that time. GBP/USD dropped below the symbolic 1.10 line earlier today, and a break below 1.10 will likely increase talk of the pound following the...
NZD/USD started the day with gains but has reversed directions and is sharply lower in the North American session. The New Zealand dollar is trading at 0.5657, down 1.38%. As expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivered a 0.50% hike, bringing the benchmark to 3.50%, its highest level since 2015. The RBNZ has now hiked rates at eight consecutive meetings...
The New Zealand dollar continues to rally. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5746, up 0.43%. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand holds a meeting on Wednesday. The RBNZ has been aggressive with its rate tightening and is expected to raise rates by 0.50%, which would bring the cash rate to 3.50%, the highest since 2015. Governor Orr has hinted that the...
DAX in USD compared to World GDP is nearly at a long-term trend support. I expect both DAX indice and EURUSD to perform better from now on.
Formula: (Major Indices/USDxxx)/World GDP (Gross Domestic Product) Indices: USA, Germany, Japan, UK, China. (all converted to USD) After the 2008-2009 bottom, USA performed much better than other countries. So, what's next? We can expect other countries to perform better even a bit from now on. But that dosen't mean that the stock markets will rise. It's a bit...
What is a good PMI index? A PMI index over 50 represents growth or expansion within the manufacturing sector of the economy compared with the prior month. A reading under 50 represents contraction, and a reading at 50 indicates an equal balance between manufacturers reporting advances and declines in their business. PMI can anticipate GDP behavior ...
EUR/USD 🔼 GBP/USD 🔼 AUD/USD 🔽 USD/CAD 🔼 XAU ▶️ WTI 🔽 US GDP readings for the second quarter of 2022 were at -0.6%, aligning with market estimates. On the other hand, Initial Jobless Claims have decreased from 213,000 to 193,000, slightly more optimistic than the original projection of 215,000. A contracting economy has sent US stocks further down, all three...
Lets take a look at the historical charts to compare silver to other mountains of money to gauge value. Is silver cheap or is it expensive? how would we know. Lets investigate and form an opinion. SILVER SLV GOLD GLD CEF
With the 2022 year coming to a close, with the third quarter (Q3) coming to an end on (30September2022), our team has projected for a USOIL Level at a high of 121.57 and a low of 82.85 for the fourth quarter report (Q4).
The Japanese yen is down sharply for a second straight day. USD/JPY is trading at 144.87 in the North American session, up 1.45% on the day. Later today, Japan releases Final GDP, which is expected to come in at 0.7%, up from the initial GDP estimate of 0.5%. It's been a disastrous week so far for the yen, as USD/JPY has jumped 3.31% and is quickly closing in on...
Corporate Profits to Real GDP 🤯🐻↘️ .. Breakdown on the MACD showing strong indication for a big collapse on the 3 Monthly chart. Below the Monthly chart is showing serious negative divergence, which is bearish Conclusion: Market reset/collapse has started
The Australian dollar has started the week with slight losses. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6798, down 0.19%. The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Tuesday, with investors unclear as to the size of the next rate move. The markets have priced in a 50 basis point move at 68%, with a modest 25 bp increase at 32%. This means that the RBA...