The Hang Seng Index, with everything measured in Hong Kong Dollars rather than US Dollars, offers a distinct perspective within our analysis portfolio, focusing on the Hang Seng Index Futures contract. Starting with a weekly chart overview, we've identified that the initial cycle likely concluded in 2008, followed by a flat correction. Notably, the correction for...
Tell your hedge fund to buy Hang Seng Index and some Chinese stocks. Good returns will be coming in next years.
Hang Seng (HSI1!) is trading within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The dominant pattern is a Channel Down and as long as the 1D MA200 holds as a Resistance, we will continue selling every Lower High. The structure of the pattern is similar to the 2021/22 Channel Down. Once the 1D MA50 breaks again, we will have a confirmed sell...
This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators. * Trend is Based on TrapZone Color * Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves. * Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand >> USE PAGE DN to go...
Many Chinese stocks are quietly breaking out. News headlines from other aspects of investing and world politics are drowning out these bullish setups. Breakouts observed in some leading names.
This version of God View includes Fractal Analysis China QE = Roaring 20s or Black Swan Bust
Xiaomi stock has retreated somewhat in recent days. Nonetheless, we are sticking to our primary assumption that the price is likely to surpass the highs from November once again as part of the magenta wave (B) in order to form the high a good deal further north. Accordingly, we expect a return to this short-term bullish path in the near future. It is important to...
Hang Seng (HSI1!) has been trading within a Channel Down throughout the whole year. As the rice hit its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) on December 11 and the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, we expect the new Bullish Leg towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend trend-line) and the to (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down. The average rise within this pattern has...
Today, we would like to briefly discuss a few underlying trends in China's economy, touching on the subject of unemployment, demographics, and deflation. Youth unemployment While the unemployment situation has improved in 2023, youth unemployment (for those aged between 16 and 24) has been a longtime issue in China. Indeed, it has steadily risen since 2018...
The bears dominated Anta Sports' price action last week, causing further sell-offs. Given this development, we do not consider the magenta wave (x) to be over yet and give it some room to fall. However, the price should not fall too much further and especially not below the support level of HK$67.85. Above this level, the low should be reached and the bullish move...
The bulls were able to push the Hang Seng Index significantly higher on Friday, moving it further away from the yellow trading range between 17,424 and 15,571. However, we still expect the price to return to this area as part of the magenta wave (2) to make a lower low before the reversal occurs. That said, given the price action so far, we have to increase the...
The bears have now pushed Geely stock back below its March low. This confirms our primary scenario that the stock is in the final phase of the overarching gray wave II from the high of the magenta wave (B). This move should now be advanced to the green target zone between HK$7.80 and HK$4.12. With the low placed, the price should then move significantly higher.
The Hang Seng Index is currently in a strong rise. As the yellow trading range between 17 424 and 15 571 points has already been approached, it is quite possible that the low of the magenta wave alt.(2) has already been set. We give this scenario a 40% probability and it would become our primary scenario if the resistance at 18 898 points is broken. Until then,...
Hang Seng got rejected on the 1D MA50 two weeks ago and is headed again to the bottom of the Channel Down pattern. The 1D timeframe turned red again on its technical outlook (RSI = 41.280, MACD = -221.700, ADX = 20.498) and this is becoming a buy opportunity again. Every prior rise inside this Channel Down has been at least +10.90% so the one that started on the...
So NIO makes electric cars and is a company from Mainland China, which means that by default it's a Chinese Communist Party state-run enterprise because of the realities of Chinese law and living under the CCP's jurisdiction. Earnings are tomorrow morning and IV on options are juiced to 150% at the money expiring September 1 and 75% expiring January '24. It...
bearish start to the week, with hawkish central banks and growth fears continue weighing on investor sentiment ahead of a busy week. The theme remained the same, with investor jitters over the economic outlook weighing on investor sentiment. There were no economic indicators from the region to change the mood. Market Overview It was a bearish morning session for...
Exemplarily, Hang Seng has thumbed our target zone and turned upwards from there. Thus, we classify wave 2 in turquoise as complete. Now, wave 3 in turquoise should carry Hang Seng above the resistance at 21 056 points. The counter movement of wave 4 in turquoise should then push the index back toward this mark before the ascent can be resumed once again. However,...
1D - Retested the previous long-term downward trend line (red circle) and is rising again, and a falling wedge pattern is also underway. Currently, the downward trend line (blue circle) that began on Jan. 30, 2023 has broken through, with only 19725 support likely to rise to 21047-21752/22400-2260. 1W ---------------------------- I think...