Holding GER30 (DAX) Longs (No selling Longs yet) TP1: 10.000 / 10.100 (just below EMA200) TP2/TP3 to be revised after Brexit Referendum #Holding "Short Hedge from 9700" Personal opinion 1. Scenario UK Stays in EU (Long TP1 10.300, TP2 10.800) 2. Scenario UK Leaves EU (Short TP1 9400, TP2...
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SHARE PRICES, SINCE FRIDAY’S MARK, HAVE MOVED NOWHERE as our International Index has lost one single point as five of the ten markets in our Index have fallen and as five have risen. Given that our Index finished last year at 9,556 and given that it is 9,238, for the year-to-date stocks in global terms are down 3.3%, while stocks here in the US as represented by...
Gold has a historic relevance as being a price appreciator in times of volatility, geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty. Current day presents a plethora of risks both economic and political; from emerging market credit risk through to south china sea politics. Oil, like Gold has benefitted from a fall in the USD which has lead to some price recovery,...
If this is becoming 3 circle of (3) then the next few days should be some of the most volatile in years. Long to 44 but cut your losses if it falls to 19. So you are risking 3.71 loss for a gain of 22.
Price has rejected the weekly trend-line with a hammer candle indicating a sell opportunity. The Swiss has a safe haven status and as this week has a lot of event risk and non farms for the Dollar it is likely that investors will hedge the Swiss as a proxy for Gold against the upcoming risks associated to the Dollar.
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Short overcrowded trades basket as they unwind, hedge with long SPX position against any monetary shock from the central planners in their attempt to keep confidence
Using stop order and SL is according to ATR value.
Full Thoughts: wordpress.com When conviction is super high, trades get crowded and markets get one-sided. Um, remember the 5+ sigma move in EUR/USD post Draghi's disappointment, last week? One-sided markets offer great opportunities for asymmetrical risk. Yes, longs got burned a la Draghi, but the market still sees global monetary policy divergence as a stedfast...
Ladies and gentlemen, I recommend you the idea of the pair trade: 1. it is long position in the company OCIR (OCI Resources LP) and short position in the company RIO (Rio Tinto plc). 2. it is long position in the company OCIR (OCI Resources LP) and short position in the company ARLP (Alliance Resource Partners LP). Stocks of the company OCIR are stronger than...
Dynamic intra day hedging: Fundamentals and and a lack of interest in the euro has has it fall substantially, USDCAD is -95% corralated to the EURUSD and we have seen a strong canadian dollar over the past few d ays. effectively by creating two positions one short on the eurusd and one long in usd cad with the same lot sizes we can effectively minimize...
I have a number of NZD longs currently in play (vs CAD and GBP) and this trade is an offset to that somewhat heavy exposure. Opened a long position at trendline support and the .764 fibonacci level @ 1.5035. Daily wick is looking good (currently) at forming a very positive hammer candle. I'm hoping for a 2-3 week trade into trendline resistance and confluence...
- CCI is showing overbuy - Supply level is touched and price is already showing reaction - Please use stoploss or hedge at supply level - Target is at Demand level (almost 1400 pips)
So here we are, S&P 500 at 2,000, bears have good arguments and bulls have good arguments as well. As of right now, I have no idea where equities are going, I'll let the market tell me. But here is a quick trade idea I got today. By the way, please correct me if there is something wrong in my analysis as this is my first real market-neutral trade that does not...