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HYG

HYG Calls SignalGot into HYG through flow bot in the trading group, looked at its chart and it has a lot of potential. I Called it out at 81.60 in the group chat, made 40% took profits and I am looking for another good entry, target will be 83.97, then 86, then, 86.66, then final is 88 The group chat is having a 20% sell for the 4th of july ( Use coupon code: "July4" ) and will go on until sunday the 5th. I would , love to see anyone who supports my posts join our group and make even more money with us as we grow richer and richer by the day: IF your interested join through DMing me. All you'll have to do is join the discord, then go to free chat room and type upgrade and set up your membership. And of course Direct message me with any questions you have!
AMEX:HYG
by GoEasyScoobs
HYG - High Yield US corporate bonds ETF s/r zonesHello traders, Description of the analysis: The ETF market for high-yielding corporate US bonds is currently in an important support area that was until recently a resistance. Resistance turned into support with a highly volatile upward movement supported by high volumes. This is a clear signal of a growing willingness to invest in riskier assets. This zone has a strong historical connection. If the market stays at or above this support, it means a positive outlook to allay market fears. The VIX index, as the main indicator of panic in the markets, is also slowly beginning to gradually return to its normal values. Market ties that were valid yesterday may not be valid tomorrow, so invest and trade wisely and carefully. About me: Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (4 000 000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades. Jacob
AMEX:HYGLong
by Jacob_Kovarik
2
No V Shape Recovery Coming - I'll Give it Til FridayI don't believe this is going to be a V shape recovery like we say in December of 2018. I will give it until the end of Friday. At most Monday before we break out of the rising wedge and sh*t hits the fan if not earlier. The 4hr is still on a very healthy uptrend, so this doesn't mean we can't go higher in the short term here. There is a lot of confluence in the 280 - 285 level, in addition to the weekly EMA resistance being right above us which leave me to believe we may be very near the top. Especially if the 4hr doesn't break up higher soon, that would be a big red flag. Furthermore, earnings are coming up and in all likelihood they are going to be ugly and will dominate the news cycle driving prices down.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Coindicator
S&P 500: The data suggests a contrarian bullish view Unfortunately, I think that the easy returns have already been made, hedging and asset allocation will be very important moving forward . 1. Initial claims are a risk, however, it's wise to take fiscal stimulus and the specific unemployment per industry into consideration. - Unemployment benefit increases by $600 per week on top of the $384 national average. This works out to $25/h based on a 40-hour workweek. For context, Washington State has the highest minimum wage at $13.50/h. Households earning less than $99k per year are also entitled to $1,200 one time payment and $500 per child. 2. The Employment change by Industry implies that the unemployment numbers are heavily concentrated among "Leisure & Hospitality", and "Education & Healthcare". Given the details of the stimulus package, the incentivized caused bias for many of these workers is forced layoff because it is a quasi pay rise. This is dollars entering the system!!! Stimulus in 2009 - 2011 was concentrated in MBS and T-Bills meaning $$$ never left the financial markets. 3. Feds response was expected given the BoP issues that arise when asset prices fall. The pain threshold today versus 2008/09 is far lower. 4. Intervention by the Fed in high yield credit specifically alleviated default risk from levered corporations. 5. Since, high yield credit has returned 22.5% since March 23rd, outperforming a number of liquid equities. 6. Growth of M2 is EXPLODING, the YoY rate of change is likely to top out closer to 20% to 25%. This has outpaced the GFC, DotCom & crises from the early 80s. The expectation would be to see VoM2 start to rally OR a blow out of Gold to the upside. In 1933 FDR confiscated Gold in tandem with fiscal stimulus so that $$ were spend which would push growth and inflation higher. If VoM2 doesn't pick up, I would expect a special tax and/or a restriction on domestic Gold consumption. Russia have recently taken this step. 7. Fear, as measured by VIX, equalled the lows of GFC. 8. A move above a1.4 ratio on the 5-day moving average of PCC has coincided with a major low, indicating that fear has likely led to overshooting on the downside. So far this has worked for a 3rd time in a row. Suggesting that mid-March was a significant low. 9. Fear & Greed hit an all tie low of 1. 10. The manufacturing recession in 2019 is an important cornerstone to understand why we are in a very transitory deflation before much higher inflation in 2021. More likely stagflation. 11. Customer inventories have been wiped out, we are currently at similar lows to the DotCom bubble burst low in 2003 and not too far away from the GFC low in 2009. We now have lots of liquidity (M2 growth), but not enough supplies. This issue compounds as lockdowns continue. 12. New Orders for manufacturing ticked higher earlier in the year suggesting that manufacturing was ready to rebuild inventories until lockdown caused a transitory drop. Similar to hospitality jobs returning after lockdown, I would expect new orders pick up thus adding manufacturing job growth into 2021. 13. Production followed new orders higher with a big spike, again, adding to the idea that inventories will be rebuilt once lockdown ends. 14. Manufacturing labor markets have been shedding throughout 201 due to slow order growth, expect this to ramp up in time as social norms are back. 15. 65% of crude demand is gasoline, as the price collapses this acts as a quasi pay rise for consumers in the form of lower oil prices. With lockdown currently reducing demand by 18 million barrels per day, prices have collapsed more than 50% in a short period of time. Taking into consideration IEA purchases and OPEX+ agreement we are likely to see a cut of between 19 to 20 million barres. It's important to recognize that markets are future discounting mechanisms, what's in the price is a demand shock. The duration of oil cuts will matter, but it puts a floor under the price in the near term. A move from $20 to $30 over the next 12 months will add inflation to markets, given the volatility that's not out of the realms of possibility. 16. Tech developments that led to Shale oil ramp up disrupted the market. This recent crash has scaled back CAPEX dramatically, this capital is not likely to come back online until prices trade closer to breakeven at $49. 17. The rate of change in rig counts in the Permian Basin is collapsing. This is supply that will remain offline until prices trade back towards $49. Conclusion, inflation follows and I dont think many are prepared.
FX:SPX500
by UnknownUnicorn266486
1
THE WEEK AHEAD (IRA): HYG LADDERED SHORT PUTSWith my low-yielding TLT position reaching all-time highs (and its yield reaching lows), looking to get out of my TLT stock at some point in the next few months and get into higher yielding junk, preferably at a discount over where it's currently trading. Pictured here is an acquisitional strategy where you look to sell equally delta'd strikes laddered out in time. If price doesn't reach the strikes, you keep the premium (currently a total of 3.80 at the mid price); you otherwise take assignment and proceed to cover to reduce cost basis ... .
AMEX:HYGLong
by NaughtyPines
A look at corporate debtThis chart illustrates the increasing importance of cheap money, which is being driven by buybacks. Once interest rates get to a certain point (via Eurodollar futures ) the S&P 500 falls apart. The point at which it falls apart seems to be dependent on a certain downward-sloping level. Historically, interest rates prairie dog above the meme line for a bit but once they go back into their hidey holes the top of the S&P is close. With my luck the Brent Johnson's dollar milkshake theory will probably be right and the complete opposite will happen. Okay that's great. At least we know yields will eventually make their way down to 0% so... all in bonds then, right? Not exactly. Take a closer look at the available bond funds, specifically the allocation to corporate credit and the ratings of that corporate credit. There is a solid chance that you will see a lot of BBB. BBB is the last level of "investment grade" debt before it becomes "junk". Once it gets downgraded to junk the pension funds and insurance companies that own most of it are required to liquidate it. The BBB bucket alone accounts for roughly 54% ($3T) of all corporate debt and dwarfs the size of the junk bond market and if the downgrades start happening the junk spreads will get blown out. My prediction: the floodgates will open when a seemingly healthy company defaults due to drop in revenue (and subsequently free cash flow due to being overleveraged) and the ratings agencies are forced to start downgrading companies that should have been downgraded a long time ago. Fear of being downgraded will finally sink in and companies will be forced to look at their margins and free up cash. The first order of business is reduce largest portion of SG&A: payroll. A gigantic portion of the population is nearing retirement and they will be the first to be shown the door It sucks but that's just how it works. On top of that, all of these people that just got retired are trying to hit some magic number and are either 100% S&P or 100% "X Retirement 2025" fund, which consists of a lot of equities and a ton of BBB garbage that doesn't know its garbage. So no income, no available jobs, halved 401k. Fantastic. Time to downsize but unfortunately there is nothing to downsize to because everyone else is doing the same thing. Only option is to build, rent, move in with children, or buy a double wide. So I like small houses and ELS , which is a trailer park REIT. Bullish: High-quality bonds: TLT , BND REITs: ELS Bearish: Trash bonds: JNK , HYG Insurance companies: the infamous AIG , AFL
G
by fsuaouo
A Major change in the HYG INDEX IS HERE IT IS UP !! For the last 18 months the HYG index corp debt market has been in a sideways pattern to which I wrote in great detail the over head fib relationship to which stopped the market in its tracks . But EVERY TIME IT MADE A LOW INTO THE 200 DAY AVG IT TURNED UP AS WELL AS ALL STOCK INDEX . THE CHART IS MY VIEW OF THE LABEL BASED ON MY FIB CYCLES AND MY WAVE STRUCTURE .I WILL STATE MY VIEW IS THAT THE HYG IS ON THE VERGE OF A BREAKOUT TO TARGET 90.4 TO 91.6 OVER THE NEXT 30 TD
AMEX:HYGLong
by wavetimer
OPENING ("THE KID"): HYG DEC 20TH 87 SHORT PUT... for a .95 ($95) credit. Notes: She's gone quite aggressive here, selling the first out-of-the-money strike with a break even at 86.05. She'll look to roll for duration on extrinsic approaching zero to the first out-of-the-money short put for a credit or, at the very least, toward current price for a credit, looking to emulate HYG's annualized dividend (currently 4.56) without actually being in the stock. She said she's fine with taking assignment at 86.05, but would prefer reducing cost basis "as much as possible" before taking on shares. She liked my "not a penny more" idea (See Post Below), called it "nice" but "not aggressive enough." Kids nowadays ... . We'll see how her "aggressive" goes.
AMEX:HYGLong
by NaughtyPines
4
THE DAM IS STARTING TO CRACK The HYG has been one key reason the markets are where they are based on the buyback with cheap to free money. the news of the PUBLIC BEING ABLE TO NOW TRADE FOR FREE COMMISSION IS A SIGN THE STRONG HANDS ARE DUMPING STOCKS HELD FOR THE LAST YEAR AND MAYBE GOING BACK TO 2009 FROM STRONG HANDS TO WEAK HANDS AND TO BUY UP ON THE CHEAP IS A SAYING I LEARNED IN 1982 FROM ONE OF THE RICHEST MAN I know the same thing happened in spring 1929 from April to Sept SEE ALL ARTICLES AS TO MARGIN 1929 CHANGES
AMEX:HYGShort
by wavetimer
S&P Next Week Expected Move ($33.0) & Gravity PointsMy 2nd Long Term Target was hit and surpassed. Sentiment is complacent. Complacency is different from Greed. Still bearish, but more sneaky. I'm a strong believer in sentiment and I believe we're going to need to work off this extreme reading one way or the other. Historically, we move sideways to lower after reaching such optimistic levels. It's not sustainable. We're talking 90-95th percentile levels, which is the only time it's worth mentioning. I don't anticipate a crash or anything, but do think expectations over the next 1-3 weeks should be tempered. Last Week: **Unemployment: High Yield: (Non-confirmation) Stock Pick: (Deep Value) Homebuilders: (Interest Rates) Real Estate: (Interest Rates) G7 Friend: (International) Regional Banks: (Retest?) Dollar: (Strength via lack of bearishness?) Growth vs. Value Ratio: (Reversal?) Healthcare vs. SPY Ratio: (Breakout?) Consumer Discretionary vs. Consumer Staples Ratio: (Failure?) Emerging Markets vs. SPY Ratio: (Failure?) Low Volatility vs. High Beta: (Risk on)
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by RHTrading