S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable weakness by completing the Inner Index Dip at 5733, in conjunction with the Mean Support level of 5798, while leaving the gap by not reaching the secondary Mean Support level of 5700. This development of fulfilling the gap will likely stimulate a significant rebound toward the Mean Resistance level of 5775, with the possibility of further extension. The 5700 support level is critical for facilitating a primary recovery and advancing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that achieving and penetrating the 5700 level could instigate a downward spiral in price action to Mean Sup 5620.
Inflationhedge
End of Year Palladium Bull Run \o/From the current notation, I see this leveraged ETF on Palladium rising approximately 45% until the end of the year. The reasons are as follows:
Fundamental Factors : With increasing sanctions on Russia, one of the main exporters of palladium, global supply may become constrained. Furthermore, inflationary pressures might drive commodity prices higher. Technical Indicators : The Palladium chart has recently formed a higher high, and a higher low appears to be developing. The price has crossed above the 200-day SMA, and now the 30-, 50-, and 200-day SMAs are bullishly aligned. Seasonality: The seasonal strength in OANDA:XPDUSD is expected to begin the week after next.
So, we could get ready for rising prices in Palladium!
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited notable weakness by falling below the Mean Support level of 5818 and subsequently establishing a new Mean Support at 5798. This development will likely prompt a decline toward the Inner Index Dip at 5733, with a potential extension to Mean Support at 5700. This support level is critical for enabling a primary recovery and advancing into the next phase of the bullish trend. Furthermore, it is essential to recognize that achieving levels of 5833 and 5700 may result in a rapid upward price reaction.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
As stated in the Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis For the Week of Oct 18, the Bitcoin ''Interim Rebound'' completed our Inner Coin Rally of 69300 and retreated to the Mean Support level of 66800 and interim squeeze extension of the Mean Support of 65300 in this week's trading session. Currently, we anticipate the onset of a primary rebound, which is expected to facilitate recovery and further advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend.
Silver long term view Silver is yet to confirm it's breakout from the 6 year bullish wedge accumulation after breaking out in 2020.
Since then we've seen consolidation in the range between 20 - 30.
Short term target of 36 after confirmation using the fib extension, but this, as we all know has the potential to go miles above that.
A classic double bottom to wrap it all up I'm sure would take place as shown on the chart.
All the best.
Cheers,
Sky
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 18, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week’s trading session, the index demonstrated substantial strength by exceeding the Outer Index Rally level of 5840 and achieving the subsequent milestone at 5861. This accomplishment will likely precipitate a squeeze toward the Mean Support level 5818. This support is crucial for facilitating the primary recovery and advancing into the next phase of the bullish trend.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 18, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar experienced sustained bearish sentiment again during this week's trading session, with the prevailing selling pressure completing our Inner Currency Dip of 1.083. A transient rebound is in progress to the Mean Res 1.090. However, considering the current bearish price action, the probability of further declines to the support level of 1.079 and the next Inner Currency Dip of 1.075 remains substantial.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 18, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Bitcoin ''Interim Rebound'' rammed through our Mean Res 66300 and Inner Coin Rally 67000 and rested at our Mean Res 68500 in this week's trading session, and it is currently poised to hit Inner Coin Rally 69300. A breach of this critical price level will catalyze a movement towards the all-time prices marked as Key Res 73200 and the completed Main Inner Coin Rally 73300. However, on the downside, the interim bearish sentiment may lead to a decline in the coin's price value to the Mean Support level of 66800 and possibly the Mean Support of 65300. Only then will the primary recovery and advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement be realized.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the previous week's Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of October 4, it was observed that the index maintained considerable strength at the Mean Sup 5700 on Monday. The remaining days of the weekly trading sessions have demonstrated substantial and vigorous progress, surpassing the previously completed Inner Index Rally at 5763 and its progress towards the Outer Index Rally at 5840. The upcoming trading session will demonstrate further sentiment regarding the bullish sentiment to hit the 5840 target. However, recognizing that achieving the 5840 mark will incite a volatile downward price action is crucial.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Bitcoin "Interim Squeeze" channel underwent retesting during this week's trading session. It exhibited upward movement to Mean Res 64000 and subsequent downward movement to Mean Sup 60200, and it is currently poised to return to Mean Res 64000. A breach of this critical resistance level will catalyze a movement towards the Inner Coin Rally 67000 target, accompanied by further upward momentum, with the primary objective being the subsequent Inner Coin Rally identified at 69300. However, failure to achieve this rally will result in a downside interim bearish sentiment, leading to a decline in the coin's price to the Mean Support level of 58000 and possibly an Inner Coin Dip of 55500. Only then will the primary recovery and advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement be realized.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the preceding week's Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of Sep 27, the index adhered to the anticipated behavior by attaining the robust support level at Mean Sup 5700. This notable resurgence in the primary trend will likely prompt a robust bull movement toward the completed Inner Index Rally at 5763, with a high probability of surpassing it and progressing towards the awaited Outer Index Rally at 5840 within the upcoming trading session. It is imperative to acknowledge that reaching these objectives will trigger a volatile downward sentiment price action.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar exhibited significant bearish sentiment during this week's trading session, and uncertainty prevailed regarding the currency trajectory amid Dead-Cat rebound activity. Three critical support levels were breached: Mean Support at 1.111, 1.108, and 1.101, ultimately stabilizing at the pivotal Mean Support of 1.097. The prevailing short-term buying pressure propels the currency towards a potential upward movement to the Mean Resistance level of 1.103. Nevertheless, the likelihood of further declines to the supplementary Inner Currency Dip at 1.090 remains strong, given the current interim price action.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index has recently exhibited a classic gap-fill pattern, reaching 5739 with an adjusted Index Rally to 5763 during the current week's trading sessions. However, there is a strong likelihood of a retracement to the newly established Mean Support at 5700 in the upcoming week. This potential retracement could lead to a further descent to the subsequent Mean Support level at 5620, potentially disrupting the current trajectory. Conversely, a substantial rebound to the Outer Index Rally at 5840 may intercept an anticipated downward trend, nullifying the projected decline.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the recent weekly market activity, Bitcoin surpassed the completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900 but encountered resistance before reaching the subsequent significant target, which was noted at 67000. However, the prevailing market sentiment suggests a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 64400, with the possibility of an extension before commencing the primary recovery and advancing into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the current week's trading sessions, the S&P 500 Index has demonstrated significant fluctuations, breaching the Mean Resistance level of 5648 and attaining the Inner Index Rally level of 5666 and the Key Resistance level of 5667. The index is on the verge of achieving the targeted Inner Index Rally at 5739. Yet, a potential retraction to 5620 in the upcoming week's session, with the prospect of further descent to the subsequent Mean Support indicated at 5552, could disrupt this progression. Conversely, an expected downward trend may be intercepted by the realization of a robust rebound to the Inner Index Rally at 5739, negating the anticipated decline.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar has displayed significant volatility within the defined range of Mean Support at 1.101 and Key Resistance at 1.119. This behavior reflects uncertainty regarding the currency's trajectory amidst the ongoing Dead-Cat rebound activity. The prevailing transient buying pressure is steering the currency towards a downward retreat to the support level of 1.111, with potential further retreats to supplementary support levels at 1.108 and 1.101 in light of the ongoing interim price movement.
Cup and Handle Setup in SilverSilver has just formed a Cup and Handle pattern, suggesting it may begin trending significantly higher soon.
This pattern is very similar to what we saw with Gold at the end of last year, where we also discussed the Cup and Handle set-up. At that time, my projection for Gold was that it would start trending much higher soon. From USD 2,000, it has now reached around USD 2,600, with more potential upside to come.
Micro Silver Futures
Ticker: SILZ4
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00
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S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout the trading sessions of the current week, the S&P 500 Index has exhibited notable resilience, demonstrating a movement toward the Mean Resistance level of 5648 and the Key Resistance, and completed the Inner Index Rally level of 5666. A resilient rebound to this level in the upcoming week’s session is highly likely, with the possibility of further movement to the subsequent Inner Index Rally at 5739. Conversely, an anticipated downward movement toward the targeted Mean Support level of 5557 is expected upon achieving a resilient rebound.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout the trading sessions of the current week, the S&P 500 Index has demonstrated significant downward movement, completing an Inner Index Dip at 5408 and establishing a new Mean Resistance level at 5530. There is a strong likelihood of a rebound to this level. Further, emphasis is placed on achieving the extended downward move to the target marked at Mean Support 5344, where a resilient rebound is anticipated.
Gold predicting that Big falling rates cycle has almost overThere are several factors that can drive gold prices up in long term. Some of the key factors include:
1. Global Economic Uncertainty: Gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty or market volatility. Investors tend to flock to gold as a store of value when traditional investments like stocks and bonds are perceived as risky.
2. Inflation: Gold is often used as a hedge against inflation. When inflation is high and inflation expectations are going even higher, the purchasing power of fiat currencies decreases, leading investors to turn to gold as a way to preserve their wealth.
3. Geopolitical Tensions: Political instability, conflicts, and geopolitical tensions can also drive up gold prices. In times of uncertainty or conflict, investors may seek the safety of gold as a reliable asset.
4. Central Bank Policies: The monetary policies of central banks, such as interest rate decisions and quantitative easing measures, can impact gold prices. While investors thoughts that lower interest rates and expansionary monetary policies tend to be supportive of higher gold prices are widespread, in reality - higher due to inflationary concerns interest rates are more supportive for gold prices.
5. Demand and Supply: Like any commodity, gold prices are influenced by supply and demand dynamics. Factors such as jewelry demand, industrial demand, and gold production levels can all impact the price of gold.
These are just a few of the factors that can drive gold prices up. It's important to note that gold prices can be influenced by a wide range of economic, geopolitical, and market factors.
The main Graph is an Annual chart for ratio between Gold prices in US Dollars (XAUUSD) and US Inflation (USCPI).
In technical terms this graph indicates that 40-years deflationary plateau, and monetary cycle of falling USD rates has almost over, while due to mentioned above reasons, Gold can start its ride to outperform inflation within many upcoming years.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 30, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout the current week's trading sessions, the S&P 500 Index has exhibited notable fluctuations, initially reaching the Mean Support level of 5570 and subsequently demonstrating resilience by rebounding toward the specified targets outlined in the preceding weekly analysis, encompassing the completed Inner Index Rally at 5666 and Key Resistance level at 5667. Beyond those targets, the focus is on attaining the extended rebound targets, specifically the next Inner Index Rally at 5745 and the long-awaited Outer Index Rally at 5840. It is essential to recognize that achieving these targets will likely prompt a selling price action.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 30, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar has demonstrated significant downward momentum after retesting the pivotal completed Inner Currency Rally at 1.120. The resultant downward trend has effectively suppressed our Mean Support at 1.111 and currently encounters selling pressure at the present level, potentially driving the price down to our designated support levels of 1.102 and 1.097. Nevertheless, the possibility exists of transient buying pressure, which will cause a push in price to Mean Resistance at 1.109 in the interim price action.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index demonstrated significant resiliency during this week's trading session, surpassing the Inner Interim Index Rally 5443 target. Following a springy rebound, the current market price action is positioned below the newly established significant Mean Res 5564. Anticipated interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 5445 is probable before the index resumes its upward trajectory. The prevailing price action indicates a sustained uptrend towards the Inner Interim Index Rally at 5666, with the achieved targets expected to exert considerable downward pressure.