EURUSD 19 AUGUST 2020 RSI to ID accumulation in uptrend.RSI has recently become part of my style. I spent over a year learning how to identify the actions of smart money using volume. Understanding where something is and why its doing what its doing does not require RSI or any other indicator other than volume. I highly recommend that if this is a profession you truly want to pursue, you must spend some time understand volume. Volume is what moves price. With volume, you can very precisely see wether or not buying or selling is active or not. This is arguably the most important thing to understand in the markets and about 99% of people don't, including "experts"... and its actually not that hard.
Imagine volume as energy.
Energy can be stored (accumulated) and/or released (distributed).
If you haven't familiarised yourself with Richard Wyckoff's accumulation and distribution schematics please DDgo them (or google). If you follow me and look and my analysis (thank you very much by the way!) you are probably already familiar with the way I explain things and how I swear by VSA/Wyckoff.
RSI settings are slightly adjusted to increase sensitivity. I find these setting very reliable for signalling particularly on the 15 minute and in Forex (still working out some settings with digital).
I highlighted the areas of accumulation/re-accumulation. What is critical to understand is that we are only using the 1 hour to judge the condition of the trend (bearish or bullish) and not for entry. The 5 and 15 are used for entry because the smaller time frames convey greater detail. Within those two times frames you can begin more of a range analysis versus a trend analysis (will build on that concept in another chart).
Once RSI is below the median line (50 level or a MA) in a positively identified up trend, you can start looking for phase "A" ( selling climax, preliminary support, automatic rally and secondary test). once these are identified the trading range has been established and you can begin looking for phases "C" and "D" for a possible no supply entry after a spring ( or on the spring if you are really good with your risk management).
Again, use RSI for your trend analysis to identify these critical pullback areas and never chase.
Moving Averages
Bricks with Wicks! - How to spot a possible fakeout...DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
How to anticipate where the range may form!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Looking for Hull 10/McGinley 10 Crossovers!DISCLAIMER: Trading Forex involves risk and you may lose more money than you started with! These posts are not to be taken as trade recommendations or financial advice and I offer NO guarantee that any of these ideas will result in profit. Also, trade ideas may change, depending on ever-changing market conditions. You are trading at your own risk and past performance is NOT indicative of future results. Please, know how much you are willing to risk on EVERY trade that you take and be SMART!
Simplify your trading. Always measure your risk and be okay with being wrong ; ) Wait patiently and get the price that you want. Use the market. Don't let the market use you.
Tracking MOC vs SPY (also potential Long Signal)First off, MOC and MOC Imbalances are two things I am still in the process of learning and understanding better, so I am not claiming to be an expert on the topic. Please chime in if I have wrote anything incorrect or if you have something valuable to contribute!
A Market-On-Close (or "MOC") order is an order sent to trigger near the market close. We see this pretty routinely trigger 10 minutes before the closing bell, and it often produces some fireworks with sudden, spiky moves in one direction or the other. There is often an imbalance in one direction-- Buy, or Sell-- which can sometimes seem random, but when smoothed can help show flows into the market or out.
I took a little bit of time to just color the periods on SPY in the last year or so for the 4 scenarios of the 20 day moving average of MOC imbalance. They are as follows-
DARK RED MOC is Below 0 and Increasing in that direction --> Sell Imbalance
LIGHT RED MOC is Below 0 and Decreasing/Reversing
LIGHT GREEN MOC is Above 0 and Increasing in that direction --> Buy Imbalance
DARK GREEN MOC is Above 0 and Decreasing/Reversing
I think you could generally say these phases of the MOC Imbalance correlate with SPY. The two phases of Light Red and Light Green (moving from a Sell Imbalance to Buy Imbalance) have generally shown to be good old fashioned bull fun. Dark green often is a profit taking phase. Dark red is usually when its too late or just the start of the descent.
Here are crude measurements of the light red and light green phases, their gains and length of time-
+4.39% in 44 days
+7.27% in 50 days
+4.22% in 30 days
+4.50% in 24 days
+4.55% in 45 days
+25.00% in 31 days
+15% in 24 days
Presently, so far: +4.15% in 15 days
The times I did not include, which are obviously the recent outlier, is from February to early March. If you had a good chart of the 20sma MOC in front of you like I do, you could see there were a couple times when it looked like the MOC had reached its bottom and was going to start reversing and heading towards a Buy Imbalance, only to get rejected and keep selling. The actual confirmed bottom never happened until March 20th, so you could say that was the true start of this light red colored area, but I felt it was relevant to still color those as if it was a real-time scenario. It also helps show how that crash really manifested itself, with a lot of traders/investors thinking the end of February is just a dip or buying opportunity, to manifest into a rug pull.
Myself and others have been thinking this week and last that a melt-up is on its way, and the MOC turning above 0 today to a Buying Imbalance could be a great bit of data to possibly confirm this.
Where do you find MOC Reports? I only started looking at them recently from Market Chameleon so unfortunately I do not have any great resources to point people towards other than Market Chameleon. I hear that its publicly disseminated information, though.
Here's their -free- daily report- marketchameleon.com
They also have a more aggregated report, which is what I used, but that is behind a pay wall.
Moving Averages - Effective Settings for Day TradersHello Traders,
In today's lecture I'm explaining how to use Moving Averages effectively on smaller (1hour) time-frames. Moving Averages can be applied to all assets including Forex, Stocks, Crytpos, etc..
Please note that Moving Averages are a lagging indicator which means they print on screen after price action has moved. They by no means are a leading indicator. Your most leading indicator will either be price-action itself or correlating assets.
If anyone has any questions about Moving Averages, feel free to leave your comments in the comment section below.
Trade Safe - Trade Well
~Michael Harding
📢 Moving Average (MA)Hello, dear Friends!🧡🧡 Today we are talking about Moving Average (MA) !!!
Link on a good view👇🏻
📢 The moving average is one of the oldest and most common technical analysis tools.
The moving average - that's average price for a given period.
💡 The period for calculating the moving average is selected at the discretion of the analyst (for example, it can be 25 days).
On my chart you can see 25-day moving average of Bitcoin price. 🧐
☝🏻 Being the average price over the past 25 days, the moving average on th chart reflects the coincidence of investors' expectations over the past 25 days. If the price is above the moving average, then the current expectations of investors (i.e. the current price) are above the average of their expectations over the past 25 days and bullish sentiment is growing among investors. And vice versa: if the price is below the moving average, then current expectations are below their average level over the past 25 days.
🎯 Traditionally, a moving average is used to monitor price changes. Typically, investors buy when the price rises above the moving average, and sell when it falls below it.
👍🏻 The advantage of such a trading system using the moving average is, that it allows you to play in the direction of the current trend: after all, any more or less significant change in price is necessarily preceded by a corresponding breakthrough of the moving average curve.
👎🏻 Its disadvantage lies in a certain delay of signals. If the tendency of the trend is insignificant (usually it should be twice as long as the period of calculation of the moving average), then you will incur losses!
That's because of this disadvantage I don't use this indicator.🤷🏻♀️
But many successful traders include it in their trading system.
The choice is yours! 💪🏻🧡
Thank you for staying with me!💋
Sincerely your Rocket Bomb🚀💣
RSI and breakoutsIve noticed that when :
1The RSI hits below 30 on the 30min sometimes 1hr time frame
2Then goes up to just before 70 ...say 67 on the RSI
3Then drops again to 25-29
THAT'S A BUY
I think that would indicate a breakout to the upside.
The RSI will go up and down in wave patterns. This doesn't mean the price will follow. BE CAREFUL. So, if it has to hit 70 on the RSI but doesn't. Then drops ,all those people who FOMOed in are FOMOing out at a lower price bringing it up but with more volume.
THIS IS JUST ME TALKING AND NOT ADVICE.






















