Multiple Time Frame Analysis
ES 2026 Outlook using DG
- Where is price?
Price is in exhaust area (above Area6), above the upcoming 2026 ETOP. Direction is up, slope is up, price is in a c-wave up, strong up flow as the candle range is bigger than the previous one (2024) and the close is not far from the high. Price is in a powerful trend up since 2010 where that year was a congestion entrance candle.
- What is it doing?
This year’s candle found support arround the yearly static PLdot and pushed price higher ( Textbook trend continuation; PLdot acts as a springboard ). This is a classical PLdot refresh at the PLdot area and the energy there pushed price higher.
- What is next?
Price will open in Area5 of 2026, and after a strong push up, normally a refresh around the static yearly ETOP is probable which act as a support. Price is a bit extended and Area6 of 2027 should probably hold. Another possibility is the fact that the PLdot slope (blue line) has moved to the left (up) which could indicate an exhaust (dot has opened up), when the slope is compared with the slope of the previous years PLdots. In this case Area 6 should be strong resistance, Area5 should hold and price should go back in the envelope. Always remember to pay atention to the timeframe - this candle takes 12 months to form, so this is long term view
how to trade asian session break outin this video, I break down a breakout trade using the Asian session high and low, with the objective of targeting liquidity during the London / New York session.
I walk through how price behaves around the Asian range, why liquidity sits above and below it, and how to time entries after a breakout rather than chasing price. This strategy focuses on patience, confirmation, and risk management instead of guessing direction.
This setup is commonly used in intraday trading and works best when combined with session timing and market structure.
Things to Look For
Clear Asian session range
Mark the Asian high and Asian low
Avoid messy or extremely wide ranges
Session timing
Best during London open or New York open
Look for increased volatility after Asia
Liquidity areas
Equal highs / equal lows
Previous day high or low near the Asian range
Obvious stop zones above or below the range
Breakout confirmation
Strong candle close outside the Asian high or low
Expansion in momentum (not a slow drift)
Market structure
Break and close in the direction of the breakout
Optional pullback or retest before entry
What to Do (Execution Plan)
Mark the Asian high and low
Wait for price to break and close outside the range
Confirm direction with structure or momentum
Enter on continuation or a clean retest
Target liquidity
Stops above highs or below lows
Previous session highs/lows
Set risk properly
Stop loss inside the range or below/above structure
Risk only what fits your plan
Avoid overtrading
One clean setup is enough
Common Mistakes to Avoid
Entering before the breakout
Trading during low-volume Asia
Ignoring news
Chasing large candles
Forcing trades when there’s no clear range
FRIDAY JAN 2ND 26 - TRADING IDEAIMO, Friday trading session will start with a drop going into the ~6778-6820 range then we might see a good rebound, might be a red to green as the market will be touching the bottom of the upward channel on the DAILY chart and usually many buyers will step in at the bottom of the channel + ~6780 is a strong support.
Trading idea: within the first 30 mins see how the market moves then buy puts and flip when we reach the bottom, this also is subject to normal market conditions (i.e. this is assuming NO sudden catalysts)
Disclaimer: THIS IS NOT AN ADVICE
GOOD LUCK TRADING
EURUSD - Patience Before LongsDaily Chart
The daily chart currently shows bullish swing structure and bullish fractal structure. We saw a solid retracement within the fractal leg, tapping the daily bullish FVG and reacting from the last supply zone of the structure.
From here, we need to see whether LTF price action confirms bullish intent, offering a valid long setup.
However, depending on how price develops, the entry may form inside the premium zone of the current fractal structure — and in that case, I would personally skip the long, even if valid, as I don't want to buy within premium.
We still have attractive long zones below the fractal structure, but those require a deeper retracement and fresh daily confirmation before considering them.
In short, more development is needed to justify a clean long in alignment with the daily view.
4H Chart
The 4H chart gives more clarity.
We currently have:
bullish swing structure
bearish fractal structure, due to the ongoing retracement
The last low aligns with resting EQL, positioned right before a supply zone (OB).
If price sweeps those EQL and gives an immediate bullish reaction, shifting the 4H fractal structure back to bullish, then a valid long opportunity may form, aligning with both structure and liquidity criteria.
USDJPY - Bulls Getting Baited?Daily Chart
The daily chart shows bullish swing structure and bullish fractal structure. Currently, price is stalling between a bullish FVG and bearish FVG, creating a small consolidation. Neither buyers nor sellers have shown strong directional intent — LTF confirmation is required for any long setup.
Price has already reached the discounted zone of the fractal leg, but taking longs now would place entries above the 0.50 retracement, which is not ideal for me.
If price breaks the bullish fractal structure, there is significant liquidity below — including lows, OBs, and multiple FVGs, which could be targeted next.
The daily OB and BB have already been tested multiple times, making them less reliable as long setups at this stage.
Additionally, we have two sets of EQH, which may attract price to sweep liquidity before a move lower.
4H Chart
The 4H chart gives more clarity. Price continues to respect both daily FVGs, and the latest bullish reaction came from a 4H OB.
Below that OB we still have:
a small daily FVG (less relevant due to size)
a 4H bullish FVG, which could act as support if revisited
Based on current structure, I would only consider countertrend longs if the EQH are swept first — giving liquidity and momentum to the upside.
At the moment:
Longs are questionable due to heavy liquidity resting below
Shorts are questionable due to the strong bullish swing structure
The only long scenario I would consider is liquidate the 4H fractal break → immediate reaction from the 4H bullish FVG → target the EQH
If this does not occur, I will remain patient on the daily chart and wait for more development.
Nifty Playbook W1 Day 4 (Jan 1, 2026) – Quick Market UpdateNifty Playbook W1 Day 4 (Jan 1, 2026) – Quick Market Update
Spot Nifty itself shows no major resistance in the immediate higher timeframe — open path toward ATH if momentum sustains.
Technicals
Spot Resistance: Minimal overhead; clear runway above 26,300–26,500.
Key Level: PR1XINV rejecting repeatedly at 202+ zone — classic inverse signal suggesting underlying Nifty strength (failed breakdowns = bullish continuation).
Bias: Bullish continuation likely if spot holds above 26,000. Rejection of call-side HTF resistance could fuel put sharp upside.
Options Flow
One failed breakout or call rejection → potential for rapid put IV explosion and accelerated selling.
Flip mechanism: Puts relatively quiet; any call rejection could see put premiums shoot quickly!
So Stay nimble.
USDJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry At Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 156.000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure Point on the Weekly
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 1.37500
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
EURUSD LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry on both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection on AOi
Previous Structure point on Weekly
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 1.17500
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
ZN 2026 Yearly outlook
- Where is price?
Price is in area 3, below the static yearly PLdot but above the live yearly PLdot (next year). Direction is down, slope is down but decreasing. Yearly down c-wave aborted, down flow is stopped. Next candle will open above the next years static PLdot.
- What is it doing?
As next year will open above the PLdot, this will make in the beginning of the year, this 2026 candle a congestion entrance candle. These candles tend to provide a target which is usually 2-3 PLdots back which would make for a yearly congestion entrance target of 128’16. The congestion entrance will then also define a dotted line which is the lowest low of the previous down trend which is 105’10. Direction is slowly turning up, slopes are getting horizontal (PLdot). Long term down trend is pausing, 2025 candle shows rejection of lows.
- What is next?
Down trend pausing and switching to congestion action trading with a potential retest of lows
GBPJPY📊 GBPJPY — Institutional Structure & Liquidity Commentary
(Educational Analysis | Intraday Framework)
Welcome to my TradingView journal.
All content shared here is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes only. The purpose of this analysis is to document market structure, liquidity behavior, and price delivery through an institutional lens. Nothing presented constitutes financial advice, trade signals, or investment recommendations.
🔍 Market Structure Context
GBPJPY has recently delivered a clear bullish break of structure (BOS), confirming a shift in short-term directional intent. The impulsive expansion suggests strong participation rather than corrective price movement, indicating that prior sell-side liquidity has been absorbed.
Following the expansion, price has begun to stabilize above the broken structure, reflecting acceptance at higher levels rather than immediate rejection.
🧠 Demand Zone Perspective
The highlighted demand zone marks the origin of the bullish displacement. From an institutional perspective, this zone is treated as a contextual reference, not a signal. Such areas often represent locations where imbalance entered the market with conviction.
If price revisits this zone, the nature of the reaction will provide insight into whether bullish order-flow remains present or whether deeper rebalancing is required.
⚖️ Probabilistic Framework
Markets operate on probabilities, not certainty.
From current conditions:
•Continuation remains valid while demand holds
•Corrective pullbacks may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation is possible as liquidity redistributes
•All scenarios remain valid until price confirms or invalidates them.
📌 Channel Philosophy
This channel is built around:
•Structure over indicators
•Liquidity logic over emotion
•Process over prediction
•Education over hype
There will be no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims — only clean charts, disciplined reasoning, and transparent analysis.
If you value institutional logic, objective market commentary, and a rule-based analytical approach, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price tell the story.
EURUSDAll analysis shared here is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. The objective is to document price behavior, market structure, and liquidity interaction from a professional, institutional perspective. Nothing presented should be interpreted as financial advice, trade signals, or investment recommendations.
🔍 Structural Context
EURUSD previously displayed a clear rejection from a defined supply zone, followed by decisive downside expansion. This response suggests that sell-side liquidity was actively defended, resulting in a structured bearish delivery rather than random volatility.
The subsequent move lower reflects efficient price action, with momentum maintaining directional intent as price transitioned away from premium levels.
🧠 Supply Zone Perspective
The highlighted supply zone marks an area where prior distribution occurred and imbalance entered the market. This zone is not used as a signal, but as a contextual reference for understanding where institutional activity previously showed strength.
Price reaction around such areas provides insight into continuation versus mitigation, helping frame expectations without prediction.
⚖️ Probabilistic Framework
Markets do not offer certainty — only probabilities.
From here:
•Continuation lower remains valid while •premium levels hold
•Corrective retracements may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation may develop as liquidity redistributes
•All scenarios remain possible until price confirms or invalidates them.
📌 Channel Philosophy
This channel is dedicated to:
Market structure over indicators
•Liquidity logic over emotion
•Process over outcome
•Education over hype
There will be no signals, no promises, and no performance claims — only transparent analysis and disciplined reasoning.
If you value clean charts, institutional logic, and a rule-based approach to understanding markets, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price speak.
DXY Yearly Analysis
- Where is price?
Price is in Area2, below the static yearly EBOT and above the yearly live EBOT. Direction is down, slope is down. Price is in a c-wave down, congestion target has been acheived. Flow (bearish) is strong, as the candle is long and the close is relatively close to the low of the candle.
- What is it doing?
2022 candle broke the congestion confines of the 2021 candle (high of this candle is higher than the latest trend high), closing above the PLdot and extending the upward move and 2023 and 2024 candles were trend up candles as they closed on the same side of the PLdot. 2022 after exhausting, demonstrated that the Area5 is strong resistance and 2025 candle clearly demonstrated the force of this resistance. 2025 candle now is a congestion entrance candle, posing the boundaries for the following candles and implying that we shall have most probably congestion action trading in the consecutive yearly DXY candles.
- What is next?
The 2025 congestion entrance implies that the DXY is likely entering a phase of Congestion Action on the yearly chart.
1. Congestion Confines :
- Resistance (Dotted Line) : 2022 High (approx. 114.78 ).
- Support (Block Level) : 2025 Low ( 96.218 ).
2. Primary Scenario (Congestion Action) :
- The market is expected to oscillate between these two levels (114.78 and 96.218) over the coming years, with yearly closes alternating above and below the live yearly PLdot (currently at 103.34).
- The main objective of a Congestion Action Trade is to move from the bottom of the envelope to the top and vice versa, utilizing the support/resistance levels created by the envelope (EBOT, PLdot, ETOP) and the block/dotted line levels.
3. Alternative Scenario (Congestion Exit) :
- Congestion Action ends when one of the confines is broken, leading to a Congestion Exit , which is the prelude to a new trend.
- Bullish Exit : A yearly close above the Dotted Line (114.78) would signal a resumption of the uptrend.
- Bearish Exit : A yearly close below the Block Level (96.218) would signal the start of a new downtrend.
4. Importance of the Block Level :
- The Block Level at 96.218 is the initial support for this congestion. The Block Level is potentially the most difficult trade and its strength depends on the Higher Time Period (HTP) (5 year TF - unfortunately TradingView does not go yet above 12M intervals).
- As long as this level holds, Congestion Action remains the most probable scenario.
Happy New Year to the global trading community! 🎉📈
May your risk be measured , your conviction be tested (but not punished) , and your wins be larger than your losses .
May you respect your stops, trust your process, and remember that the market doesn’t owe us anything .
And here’s the catch:
May you be just as proud of the trades you didn’t take as the ones you did.
Here’s to a year of discipline over ego, patience over prediction, and survival first — profits second.
Cheers to the next session and happy 2026. 🥂📊
USDCHF - Buy the Retrace?Daily Chart
The daily structure on USDCHF remains bearish, both in the swing view and the fractal view. Price is currently testing a daily FVG, but this zone feels weak considering there is another daily bullish FVG below, aligned with an untested daily BB. That deeper zone is where I would ideally like to see price react to the downside from in the future.
For now, price just swept the equal lows resting beneath and immediately reacted to the upside — a potential sign of short-term relief before any continuation lower.
4H Chart
On the 4H chart, we don’t get many standout signals — however, we can clearly see a shift in fractal structure. Notably, the previous bearish fractal break appears to have been a liquidity play, as the very next candle shifted the structure back to bullish.
From my perspective, this opens the door for a countertrend long, with my entry positioned around the 0.50 retracement of the current bullish 4H fractal structure.
My SL is placed below the protected low that already swept liquidity, and my TP sits at 2R, aligned with the 4H BB.
Risk: 0.5%, since:
it’s a countertrend setup,
DXY is choppy and not strongly bullish,
and we still have a daily bearish FVG overhead.
GOOGL – Trendline Break, Pullback & Key Levels to WatchGOOGL maintains a bullish structure on the Daily timeframe — however, lower-timeframe price action has shifted into a more sensitive zone.
On the 4H chart, the ascending trendline has now broken, and price is actively pulling back to retest that structure.
The current area to observe is the $317 – $327 supply zone, where sell orders were previously triggered.
What stands out during this pullback is the decline in trading volume, suggesting buyers are losing momentum while price retraces.
As long as this zone is not engulfed (ENG), the expectation remains toward a corrective push — first into the $300 pocket.
If momentum accelerates during the correction, price may extend toward the second green zone marked on the chart, where a fresh decision awaits.
GOOGL is now positioned in a phase where patience and timing can make a meaningful difference.
For traders who follow structure and order-flow, the coming moves could define the next opportunity window.
📌 Regular updates will follow as the chart develops — staying connected ensures you won’t miss the next key shift.
`P NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:GOOGL ouryaabdi
NZDUSD - Bulls Said ‘BRB’, I WaitDaily Chart
The daily structure remains bullish, and price has just taken liquidity at an important level before tapping into an unmitigated daily BB, where we’re now seeing a solid reaction.
Price has already reached the 0.50 retracement of the current daily fractal leg, filled a nearby daily FVG, and is now resting below another daily FVG — a zone where long setups could develop if price retraces deeper.
4H Chart
Since the daily trend is bullish, the overall directional bias remains upward. However, the 4H fractal structure is currently bearish, meaning the ongoing move is likely a retracement within the higher-timeframe trend.
The key now is to see how deep this retracement goes before the market resumes higher.
The current 4H bearish fractal has left behind another 4H bearish FVG, from which additional short-term selling pressure may appear. The risk here is that if the current fractal low breaks, the fractal structure will flip, making the 4H FVG less relevant as bulls could simply override it.
The ideal scenario for longs would be to see continued bearish momentum during the Asia session, allowing price to tag the major 4H POIs (FVG + OB), while also tapping into the daily bullish FVG.
From that confluence, I’ll monitor fractal structure shifts to time potential long entries back in line with the bullish daily trend.
Gold has given a new high but has dropped back into supportNot an easy situation here on gold but the zones are pretty well defined. We are looking to see how gold treats the bearish supply recently created above the range, as well as monitor how the lows are being treated coming into the new year.
We are expecting much bullish discovery on the horizon as there is no real indication it will slow its growth curve as of yet.
Be sure to subscribe for more clear breakdowns
XAUUSDWelcome to my TradingView profile.
All content shared here is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. This analysis documents market behavior through the lens of price structure, liquidity delivery, and institutional order-flow concepts. Nothing presented should be interpreted as financial advice or a trade recommendation.
🔍 Market Structure Observation
Gold has recently delivered a strong impulsive expansion, indicating decisive participation and aggressive repricing. Such moves are rarely random; they often occur after liquidity has been efficiently engineered and absorbed at lower levels.
Following the expansion, price transitioned into a controlled pullback, suggesting a pause in momentum rather than immediate structural failure.
🧠 Demand Zone Context
The highlighted demand zone represents the origin of the impulsive leg — an area where imbalance previously entered the market with conviction. From an institutional perspective, this zone acts as a reference point, not a signal.
If price revisits this area, the quality of the reaction (acceptance, rejection, or absorption) will provide valuable insight into whether buy-side strength remains present or whether distribution is underway.
⚖️ Probabilistic Framework
Markets operate on probabilities, not predictions.
At current levels:
Continuation remains possible if demand is respected
Deeper retracement remains valid if imbalance seeks fuller mitigation
Consolidation may occur as liquidity redistributes
All scenarios remain open until price confirms or invalidates them.
📌 Purpose of This Channel
This channel is built around:
•Structure over indicators
•Liquidity over emotion
•Process over outcome
•Education over hype
There will be no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims.
Only clean charts, disciplined reasoning, and transparent execution logic.
If you appreciate objective analysis, institutional market logic, and a rule-based approach, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price tell the story.
Bitcoin enters 2-day Gaussian channel, 3 months of sideways?Bitcoin has officially entered the 2-day Gaussian Channel, a technical event that has historically coincided with prolonged sideways price action. Looking left, past instances suggest this phase can last several months, often frustrating both bulls and bears before a clear trend emerges.
Key Observations
Price is currently trading inside the 2D Gaussian channel. Historically, this has led to ranging/sideways price behaviour rather than immediate trend continuation.
The sideways trading range can take up to 90 (red circles), meaning the end of November before a meaningful direction change in price action.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case – Price action has not yet confirmed the sideways trading period. A 2 day candle must close on or above $114k by August 31st.
Bearish Case – failure to close above $114k by August 31st would confirm the sideways trading period. Furthermore it would confirm the end of the Bitcoin bull market, the technical cycle ends now in 30 days.
The end of the bull market?!
Unless you think this time is different, every cycle prior has ended in 526 days or less post halving, leaving the market with 30 days until the technical top. That's why whales have been gladly using retail exit liquidity those past few weeks. They have a plan, retail has influencers.
Conclusion
The entry into the 2-day Gaussian channel signals a likely multi month sideways market for Bitcoin. Patience will be key, traders should prepare for a rangebound environment while positioning for the eventual breakout.
Ww
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Do your own research and manage risk appropriately.






















