GBPUSD - Bulls Ready to Strike?Daily Chart
On the daily chart, both the swing structure and fractal structure remain bullish, with a significant amount of liquidity resting above the current high.
We also saw a clean reaction from the daily bullish FVG, which aligned perfectly with a daily demand (OB) — giving us a solid technical foundation for a potential bullish continuation in the upcoming days.
In other words, the daily structure suggests momentum could build to clear the liquidity above.
4H Chart
The 4H chart makes the price action even clearer.
Following the news-driven move yesterday, price invalidated a false bullish fractal break, then immediately swept the 4H fractal low, and finally broke fractal structure to the upside again.
In my view, this sequence shows buyers flushing out remaining sellers before attempting continuation higher — a typical liquidity play before momentum kicks in.
I consider a long setup, but only if price retraces into discounted levels of the current 4H fractal structure.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
USDCHF - Bears Taking Control?Daily Chart
On the daily chart, price has finally reached the 0.50 retracement of both the initial fractal leg and the bearish swing structure.
Most importantly, we saw a reaction from the last bearish daily FVG, which is aligned with an unmitigated daily BB.
From this point forward, LTF price action is key to validate short entries. If sellers confirm intent on lower timeframes, short opportunities become valid.
4H Chart
On the 4H chart, after tapping the daily POIs, we observed a shift in fractal structure to bearish, reinforcing the idea of immediate reaction and potential continuation to the downside.
My plan is to place a sell limit at the premium area of the newly formed bearish 4H fractal structure and manage the trade from there.
GBPJPYWelcome to my TradingView journal.
All content shared here is provided
strictly for educational and informational purposes only. The purpose of this analysis is to document market structure, liquidity behavior, and price delivery through an institutional lens. Nothing presented constitutes financial advice, trade signals, or investment recommendations.
🔍 Market Structure Context
GBPJPY has recently delivered a clear bullish break of structure (BOS), confirming a shift in short-term directional intent. The impulsive expansion suggests strong participation rather than corrective price movement, indicating that prior sell-side liquidity has been absorbed.
Following the expansion, price has begun to stabilize above the broken structure, reflecting acceptance at higher levels rather than immediate rejection.
🧠 Demand Zone Perspective
The highlighted demand zone marks the origin of the bullish displacement. From an institutional perspective, this zone is treated as a contextual reference, not a signal. Such areas often represent locations where imbalance entered the market with conviction.
If price revisits this zone, the nature of the reaction will provide insight into whether bullish order-flow remains present or whether deeper rebalancing is required.
⚖️ Probabilistic Framework
Markets operate on probabilities, not certainty.
From current conditions:
•Continuation remains valid while demand holds
•Corrective pullbacks may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation is possible as liquidity redistributes
All scenarios remain valid until price confirms or invalidates them.
📌 Channel Philosophy
This channel is built around:
•Structure over indicators
•Liquidity logic over emotion
•Process over prediction
•Education over hype
There will be no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims — only clean charts, disciplined reasoning, and transparent analysis.
If you value institutional logic, objective market commentary, and a rule-based analytical approach, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price tell the story.
ETH M30 HTF FVG Tap and Mean Reversion Pullback Setup📝 Description
ETH on M30 just delivered a strong impulse into HTF premium, tapping the H1/30M FVG and stalling. The move looks exhaustive, with price now trading at a reaction zone where a mean-reversion pullback is favored before any continuation attempt.
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📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Short-term pullback while below 3,030–3,040
Short Setup (Reactive):
• Entry (Sell): 3,022
• Stop Loss: Above 3,040
• TP1: 3,008.80
• TP2: 2,994.88
• TP3: 2,979.74
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🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Price tapped HTF FVG (H1/30M)
• Trading deep in premium
• Downside H1 FVG acting as draw
• Momentum cooling after impulse
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🧩 Summary
This is a classic impulse to premium reaction and pullback setup. As long as ETH remains capped below the FVG, odds favor a rotation toward 3,009 to 2,980. Acceptance above premium invalidates the short.
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🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
With markets still liquidity-driven and no fresh risk-on catalyst, short-term reactions at HTF imbalances tend to resolve with mean reversion. Trade levels, manage risk, and scale out at targets.
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⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
GBPAUD was bearishIt was bearish all day in New years day, i see that is loosing momentum to the downside in the 4 Hour and possibly reversing soon. I wait on my MacD signal and correlated with candlestick pattern for the entry on a potntial reversal and take out liquidity areas. The 4H, 1H, and 15M timeframes is key right now and once they all correlate together we will look for the bullish move.
Silver Quick ShortEven though silver is bullish, I see we can get a short position, a nice pullback to sweep liquidity and then continue to the bullish side. I'm waiting for my macd to give conformation to sell, but also the candle patterns is key to my entry. I target 3:1 ratio, but once I enter; if momentum is lost, I would take a 2:1 any day!
ES 2026 Outlook using DG
- Where is price?
Price is in exhaust area (above Area6), above the upcoming 2026 ETOP. Direction is up, slope is up, price is in a c-wave up, strong up flow as the candle range is bigger than the previous one (2024) and the close is not far from the high. Price is in a powerful trend up since 2010 where that year was a congestion entrance candle.
- What is it doing?
This year’s candle found support arround the yearly static PLdot and pushed price higher ( Textbook trend continuation; PLdot acts as a springboard ). This is a classical PLdot refresh at the PLdot area and the energy there pushed price higher.
- What is next?
Price will open in Area5 of 2026, and after a strong push up, normally a refresh around the static yearly ETOP is probable which act as a support. Price is a bit extended and Area6 of 2027 should probably hold. Another possibility is the fact that the PLdot slope (blue line) has moved to the left (up) which could indicate an exhaust (dot has opened up), when the slope is compared with the slope of the previous years PLdots. In this case Area 6 should be strong resistance, Area5 should hold and price should go back in the envelope. Always remember to pay atention to the timeframe - this candle takes 12 months to form, so this is long term view
how to trade asian session break outin this video, I break down a breakout trade using the Asian session high and low, with the objective of targeting liquidity during the London / New York session.
I walk through how price behaves around the Asian range, why liquidity sits above and below it, and how to time entries after a breakout rather than chasing price. This strategy focuses on patience, confirmation, and risk management instead of guessing direction.
This setup is commonly used in intraday trading and works best when combined with session timing and market structure.
Things to Look For
Clear Asian session range
Mark the Asian high and Asian low
Avoid messy or extremely wide ranges
Session timing
Best during London open or New York open
Look for increased volatility after Asia
Liquidity areas
Equal highs / equal lows
Previous day high or low near the Asian range
Obvious stop zones above or below the range
Breakout confirmation
Strong candle close outside the Asian high or low
Expansion in momentum (not a slow drift)
Market structure
Break and close in the direction of the breakout
Optional pullback or retest before entry
What to Do (Execution Plan)
Mark the Asian high and low
Wait for price to break and close outside the range
Confirm direction with structure or momentum
Enter on continuation or a clean retest
Target liquidity
Stops above highs or below lows
Previous session highs/lows
Set risk properly
Stop loss inside the range or below/above structure
Risk only what fits your plan
Avoid overtrading
One clean setup is enough
Common Mistakes to Avoid
Entering before the breakout
Trading during low-volume Asia
Ignoring news
Chasing large candles
Forcing trades when there’s no clear range
FRIDAY JAN 2ND 26 - TRADING IDEAIMO, Friday trading session will start with a drop going into the ~6778-6820 range then we might see a good rebound, might be a red to green as the market will be touching the bottom of the upward channel on the DAILY chart and usually many buyers will step in at the bottom of the channel + ~6780 is a strong support.
Trading idea: within the first 30 mins see how the market moves then buy puts and flip when we reach the bottom, this also is subject to normal market conditions (i.e. this is assuming NO sudden catalysts)
Disclaimer: THIS IS NOT AN ADVICE
GOOD LUCK TRADING
EURUSD - Patience Before LongsDaily Chart
The daily chart currently shows bullish swing structure and bullish fractal structure. We saw a solid retracement within the fractal leg, tapping the daily bullish FVG and reacting from the last supply zone of the structure.
From here, we need to see whether LTF price action confirms bullish intent, offering a valid long setup.
However, depending on how price develops, the entry may form inside the premium zone of the current fractal structure — and in that case, I would personally skip the long, even if valid, as I don't want to buy within premium.
We still have attractive long zones below the fractal structure, but those require a deeper retracement and fresh daily confirmation before considering them.
In short, more development is needed to justify a clean long in alignment with the daily view.
4H Chart
The 4H chart gives more clarity.
We currently have:
bullish swing structure
bearish fractal structure, due to the ongoing retracement
The last low aligns with resting EQL, positioned right before a supply zone (OB).
If price sweeps those EQL and gives an immediate bullish reaction, shifting the 4H fractal structure back to bullish, then a valid long opportunity may form, aligning with both structure and liquidity criteria.
USDJPY - Bulls Getting Baited?Daily Chart
The daily chart shows bullish swing structure and bullish fractal structure. Currently, price is stalling between a bullish FVG and bearish FVG, creating a small consolidation. Neither buyers nor sellers have shown strong directional intent — LTF confirmation is required for any long setup.
Price has already reached the discounted zone of the fractal leg, but taking longs now would place entries above the 0.50 retracement, which is not ideal for me.
If price breaks the bullish fractal structure, there is significant liquidity below — including lows, OBs, and multiple FVGs, which could be targeted next.
The daily OB and BB have already been tested multiple times, making them less reliable as long setups at this stage.
Additionally, we have two sets of EQH, which may attract price to sweep liquidity before a move lower.
4H Chart
The 4H chart gives more clarity. Price continues to respect both daily FVGs, and the latest bullish reaction came from a 4H OB.
Below that OB we still have:
a small daily FVG (less relevant due to size)
a 4H bullish FVG, which could act as support if revisited
Based on current structure, I would only consider countertrend longs if the EQH are swept first — giving liquidity and momentum to the upside.
At the moment:
Longs are questionable due to heavy liquidity resting below
Shorts are questionable due to the strong bullish swing structure
The only long scenario I would consider is liquidate the 4H fractal break → immediate reaction from the 4H bullish FVG → target the EQH
If this does not occur, I will remain patient on the daily chart and wait for more development.
Nifty Playbook W1 Day 4 (Jan 1, 2026) – Quick Market UpdateNifty Playbook W1 Day 4 (Jan 1, 2026) – Quick Market Update
Spot Nifty itself shows no major resistance in the immediate higher timeframe — open path toward ATH if momentum sustains.
Technicals
Spot Resistance: Minimal overhead; clear runway above 26,300–26,500.
Key Level: PR1XINV rejecting repeatedly at 202+ zone — classic inverse signal suggesting underlying Nifty strength (failed breakdowns = bullish continuation).
Bias: Bullish continuation likely if spot holds above 26,000. Rejection of call-side HTF resistance could fuel put sharp upside.
Options Flow
One failed breakout or call rejection → potential for rapid put IV explosion and accelerated selling.
Flip mechanism: Puts relatively quiet; any call rejection could see put premiums shoot quickly!
So Stay nimble.
USDJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry At Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 156.000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure Point on the Weekly
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 1.37500
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
EURUSD LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry on both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection on AOi
Previous Structure point on Weekly
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 1.17500
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
ZN 2026 Yearly outlook
- Where is price?
Price is in area 3, below the static yearly PLdot but above the live yearly PLdot (next year). Direction is down, slope is down but decreasing. Yearly down c-wave aborted, down flow is stopped. Next candle will open above the next years static PLdot.
- What is it doing?
As next year will open above the PLdot, this will make in the beginning of the year, this 2026 candle a congestion entrance candle. These candles tend to provide a target which is usually 2-3 PLdots back which would make for a yearly congestion entrance target of 128’16. The congestion entrance will then also define a dotted line which is the lowest low of the previous down trend which is 105’10. Direction is slowly turning up, slopes are getting horizontal (PLdot). Long term down trend is pausing, 2025 candle shows rejection of lows.
- What is next?
Down trend pausing and switching to congestion action trading with a potential retest of lows
GBPJPY📊 GBPJPY — Institutional Structure & Liquidity Commentary
(Educational Analysis | Intraday Framework)
Welcome to my TradingView journal.
All content shared here is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes only. The purpose of this analysis is to document market structure, liquidity behavior, and price delivery through an institutional lens. Nothing presented constitutes financial advice, trade signals, or investment recommendations.
🔍 Market Structure Context
GBPJPY has recently delivered a clear bullish break of structure (BOS), confirming a shift in short-term directional intent. The impulsive expansion suggests strong participation rather than corrective price movement, indicating that prior sell-side liquidity has been absorbed.
Following the expansion, price has begun to stabilize above the broken structure, reflecting acceptance at higher levels rather than immediate rejection.
🧠 Demand Zone Perspective
The highlighted demand zone marks the origin of the bullish displacement. From an institutional perspective, this zone is treated as a contextual reference, not a signal. Such areas often represent locations where imbalance entered the market with conviction.
If price revisits this zone, the nature of the reaction will provide insight into whether bullish order-flow remains present or whether deeper rebalancing is required.
⚖️ Probabilistic Framework
Markets operate on probabilities, not certainty.
From current conditions:
•Continuation remains valid while demand holds
•Corrective pullbacks may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation is possible as liquidity redistributes
•All scenarios remain valid until price confirms or invalidates them.
📌 Channel Philosophy
This channel is built around:
•Structure over indicators
•Liquidity logic over emotion
•Process over prediction
•Education over hype
There will be no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims — only clean charts, disciplined reasoning, and transparent analysis.
If you value institutional logic, objective market commentary, and a rule-based analytical approach, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price tell the story.
EURUSDAll analysis shared here is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. The objective is to document price behavior, market structure, and liquidity interaction from a professional, institutional perspective. Nothing presented should be interpreted as financial advice, trade signals, or investment recommendations.
🔍 Structural Context
EURUSD previously displayed a clear rejection from a defined supply zone, followed by decisive downside expansion. This response suggests that sell-side liquidity was actively defended, resulting in a structured bearish delivery rather than random volatility.
The subsequent move lower reflects efficient price action, with momentum maintaining directional intent as price transitioned away from premium levels.
🧠 Supply Zone Perspective
The highlighted supply zone marks an area where prior distribution occurred and imbalance entered the market. This zone is not used as a signal, but as a contextual reference for understanding where institutional activity previously showed strength.
Price reaction around such areas provides insight into continuation versus mitigation, helping frame expectations without prediction.
⚖️ Probabilistic Framework
Markets do not offer certainty — only probabilities.
From here:
•Continuation lower remains valid while •premium levels hold
•Corrective retracements may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation may develop as liquidity redistributes
•All scenarios remain possible until price confirms or invalidates them.
📌 Channel Philosophy
This channel is dedicated to:
Market structure over indicators
•Liquidity logic over emotion
•Process over outcome
•Education over hype
There will be no signals, no promises, and no performance claims — only transparent analysis and disciplined reasoning.
If you value clean charts, institutional logic, and a rule-based approach to understanding markets, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price speak.






















