Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAU/USD 07 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 January 2026.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mentioned price will continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Price has printed new highs followed by a bearish CHoCH and is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,550.150
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market.
Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings.
Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 January 2026.
Since my last analysis, price has printed several bullish iBOS' and bullish BOS which was in accordance to my analysis.
Price has since printed a bearish iBOS, which was to be expected due to all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Price is currently trading within and internal low and swing high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either M15 or H4 supply zone, or premium of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,274.025.
Note:
Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions.
With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common.
Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold.
M15 Chart:
EURUSD: Institutional Narrative & London Open FrameworkMacro Orderflow remains Bearish, but internal liquidity suggests a complex delivery today. Here is the framework:
1️⃣ The Liquidity Draw: Buyside Liquidity (BSL) sits at 1.1758 - 1.1760 (3-day high + Hourly Bearish OB). While this is the logical draw, current bearish flow makes a clean sweep questionable.
2️⃣ The Premium Pivot: Watching 1.1729. This aligns with the Premium level of the PD range and an Hourly Bearish OB. Expect a stall or rejection here if reached.
3️⃣ London Open Scenarios:
Bullish Drive: If London opens/holds near 1.1680, I anticipate a move toward the 1.1729 objective.
The Deviation: A print significantly below 1.1680 invalidates this intraday context.
The Sweep: A sweep of the 1.1759/70 highs could paradoxically fuel the move back toward 1.1729.
Market Note: We are in a week of non-correlated price delivery. Patience > Position.
30% Silver correction to support - January 2026The Silver bugs are chattering more than usual. For months they say nothing, until that one moment they like grasshoppers on a summer's evening, all sing with cheer as if looking for a new mate.
Exactly, and somewhat ironically, they refuse to take profits as price action reaches new all time highs. The allure of that oncoming headlight, the shine is too pretty... until their little brain meets the windshield. Giving up not enough grey matter to cover a small water biscuit.
On the above daily chart price action prints bearish divergence following the RSI support breakdown.
The first support area is the breakout from the previous resistance shown in the idea below, around the late 40's to 50 mark.
Expect a circa 30% after this impressive short squeeze.
Ww
SOWG: Basement prices, sky high 3000% targets - January 2026Ticker : SOWG (Sow Good Inc)
Timeframe : 9 day
** A "Don't be greedy, just be early" high risk tiny micro cap speculative play. **
Are you not entertained?
Core thesis
Sow Good has been living inside a big, ugly descending channel for years. The sort of trend that doesn't correct, it punishes. It recently tried a heroic breakout run into the big weekly resistance supply zone (the blue box) and got instantly slapped back down like it owed the market money.
Now price is back near the lower end of the long-term downtrend channel, where prior drops have historically at least paused to breathe. That's the bullish angle: Downtrend + return to the channel floor + price compression, the combination can create a high torque mean reversion bounce of buyers defend and we start printing higher lows.
This is not a "healthy uptrend continuation", this is a maybe the selling finally gets tired trade. High risk, high reward, and only valid if the base holds.
Key levels
Support (Base / “Stop Digging” Zone)
$0.45 – $0.60: Current weekly floor area (and near the channel’s lower boundary).
Bulls want to see weekly closes holding here and a higher low form.
Invalidation
Meaningful weekly close below ~$0.40 (or a clean breakdown to fresh lows).
If price loses this area, the “support” was just a speed bump on the way to misery.
Resistance targets
Treat these as reaction zones as places to take some off, not places to start writing speeches about “conviction.”
T1: ~$1.00
First psychological + structure checkpoint. If it can’t even tag $1, it’s not a reversal, it’s just noise.
T2: ~$2.50 – $3.00
Prior congestion / pivot zone. Expect chop and profit-taking here.
T3: ~$6.00 – $7.50
Mid-range mean reversion inside the broader downtrend ecosystem. This is where rallies often start wheezing.
T4: ~$14.00 – $16.00 (Major Weekly Supply Zone)
The big one, the highlighted resistance area and the “3000% above” headline target from current levels. If price gets here, it’s not the time to get romantic. It’s the time to get paid.
Conclusion
SOWG is back at the lower boundary of its multi-year down channel, setting up a potential risk-defined bounce if $0.45–$0.60 holds and structure improves (higher lows). Upside targets stair-step from $1, to $3, to $6–$7, with the “proper” stretch move aiming back into $14–$16 weekly supply.
But remember: this is a chart that’s spent years disappointing people with enthusiasm. If support breaks, you don’t argue with it, you leave. Pride doesn’t pay.
Ww
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Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. It’s a chart idea, it's me pointing at candles like they’re evidence in a court case. Nothing here is guaranteed, nothing here is a “signal,” and if you YOLO because a rectangle looked convincing, that’s between you and your bank.
Small caps can gap, spike, rug, dilute, and generally behave like they’ve had six espressos and no supervision. Manage risk, size appropriately, use stops that respect volatility, and assume you’re wrong by default because the market doesn’t care about your feelings or your rent.
I may hold a position at any time, and this idea can be invalidated without warning. If you lose money, don’t message me like I stole it. You clicked the buttons.
Open Campus (EDU) The bounce nobody expects… Until it’s up 200%
Timeframe : Weekly
EDU has been doing what most crypto tokens do when they’re not pumping, bleeding out slowly, then pretending it meant to. The weekly chart is showing early signs of seller fatigue and a bit of structural improvement, we’ve got a higher low (HL) and a higher high (HH) forming around a clearly defined base. The question now is simple: can this pullback hold and print another HL, or is this just the market taking a breather before continuing its favourite hobby: burning peoples cash.
This is a high-risk, speculative attempt to catch a potential trend shift early.
Key Levels
Support (Higher-Low Zone): ~$0.15 – $0.17. This is the “if buyers are real, they show up here” area.
Invalidation : A sustained break (meaningful weekly close) below the support zone. If it loses that, the “reversal” narrative gets thrown in the bin.
Resistance areas:
T1: ~$0.44 (first major reaction level / gateway into the supply zone).
T2: ~$0.60 (mid-zone resistance where price may stall and people will start tweeting again).
T3 (Stretch): ~$1.05 (top of the prior supply zone, the “bagholder reunion tour” level).
Conclusion
EDU is attempting to base after a nasty decline, with early HL/HH structure and an RSI breakout suggesting momentum may be trying to turn. If the support zone holds and another HL forms, there’s a reasonable case for a relief rally toward T1, and possibly deeper into the overhead supply zone at T2/T3. But don’t romanticise it, the area above is packed with supply and impatient sellers, and failure is still very much on the table. Trade is invalidated if the new support structure breaks.
Ww
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Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. It’s a technical-analysis idea, not a guarantee, not a signal service, and definitely not a substitute for your own research. Crypto is volatile, thin liquidity happens, and price can invalidate your “perfect setup” just to be spiteful. Manage position size, use stops appropriate to volatility, and assume you can be wrong, because you can. I may hold a position at any time, and this idea may be invalidated without notice.
ICP Holds Key Weekly Demand Recovery Scenario in FocusICPUSDT is trading at a long-term accumulation zone after an extended corrective cycle within a descending channel. Price is currently reacting from the lower boundary of this structure, an area that has historically acted as strong demand.
As long as price holds above this accumulation region, a recovery move toward the main supply zone around the mid-range becomes increasingly likely. A successful breakout and acceptance above that level would open the path for a broader upside expansion toward the external supply zone highlighted on the chart.
Failure to defend the accumulation zone, however, would invalidate the recovery thesis and expose ICP to further downside continuation.
BTC Breakout in Play Retest Zone Will Define ContinuationAs highlighted in our previous BTC update, price was approaching a structural decision point and the breakout has now been confirmed.
BTCUSDT has now broken above the upper trendline of the bearish structure , signaling a short-term shift in market behavior after prolonged downside pressure.
A sustained break and acceptance above the immediate resistance will confirm bullish stability, with a natural retest expected toward the breakout zone and the immediate support zone.
If this retest is successful and price holds above reclaimed structure, upside continuation remains favored toward the projected targets marked on the chart. Failure to maintain acceptance above this zone would invalidate the breakout scenario and shift focus back toward lower support.
US500 ATH?Not forgetting that it is an asset that constantly renews historical highs, through pullbacks in the daily average before these events, the asset began this pullback in the last week of the year.
After retesting the daily ema, at a price level coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci (discount zone), there was a clear bullishreaction, aligning the 4H timeframe fractal and placing the price above the respective 4H ema.
This movement also aligned the 1H timeframe in fractal terms.
Entry:
The entry came after the 4H ema retest, coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci level of 1H, with the trigger coming when the price broke above the 1H ema.
Long trade
5min TF
BNBUSDT.P — Sentiment Analysis (5-Minute | Institutional / VWAP–Liquidity Read)
Overall Sentiment:🟢 Short-Term Bullish Continuation | Intraday Buy-Side Control
Market State
BNB is trading in an intraday continuation phase following a successful reclaim of value. The prior consolidation resolved higher with acceptance above key intraday references, shifting the auction from balance into directional expansion.
Liquidity & Auction Narrative
Sell-side liquidity below the recent consolidation was engineered and absorbed.
The subsequent move higher shows clean follow-through, not a stop-run fade.
Upside liquidity above prior session highs remains active and targeted.
Value, VWAP & Fair Price
Price has accepted above VWAP and upper deviation bands, signalling premium acceptance.
The prior value area has flipped to support, reducing the probability of a deep pullback.
As long as VWAP holds, the bullish auction remains intact.
Volume & Momentum
Expansion legs show participation without climax.
No bearish momentum divergence at highs; momentum remains trend-aligned.
Consolidations appear flag-like, favouring continuation.
Summary
BNBUSDT has resolved higher from value with sustained acceptance above VWAP, indicating intraday buy-side control and favouring continuation while reclaimed support holds.
15min TF
New York Trap Alignment
30-Minute Timeframe Summary
On the 30-minute timeframe, a price trap zone has been defined by marking both bullish and bearish break of structure levels. Price is currently pushing higher and attempting to close above the 30-minute swing high trap zone as New York session momentum builds.
30-Minute Chart Highlights
• Bullish and bearish break of structure levels identified
• Defined 30-minute price trap zone
• Active bullish pressure attempting upside acceptance
30-Minute Trade Logic
• A confirmed close above the bullish break of structure supports a long entry, while a confirmed close below the bearish break of structure supports a short entry.
One-Hour Timeframe Summary
On the one-hour timeframe, both swing high and swing low expansion levels have been identified and marked as bullish and bearish break of structure levels. The market is showing strong bullish momentum going into the New York session, framing directional bias around these higher-timeframe levels.
One-Hour Chart Highlights
• One-hour bullish break of structure level identified
• One-hour bearish break of structure level identified
• Strong bullish momentum entering New York session
One-Hour Trade Logic
• A close above the one-hour bullish break of structure confirms long continuation, while a close below the one-hour bearish break of structure confirms a short bias, with each timeframe providing its own valid trade trigger.
BONK - and profit is on the way!Weekly view
We can see that BONK actually entered the support all time for a nice push to higher prices but not before clearing all the buyers existing in the market.
We can see that price gives a fractal confirmation on weekly view that bulls came to this market.
Last pushing was for about 3 weeks from July and right now the bears put pressure with a squizing model.
Daily view
We can see on daily how bulls came inside the PA with a good push to upside, breaking the structure on both swing and fractal structure. An instant buy right now or a limit buy from lower prices could easyly give us a really nice entry for what a "crypto pump" is more likelly to happen.
Therefore i will be buying and trailing my stop on it from now and willing to see ATH in the near future.
Higher-Low Attempt vs Weekly/Monthly H&S Supply TrapContext: BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P — Fractal Read: 3M vs 1W vs 1M
We’re at a classic HTF inflection where a potential 3M higher-low is trying to build, while the weekly/monthly tape still carries “distribution-risk” characteristics (H&S framework + reclaim requirements). Timeframes are fractal — one triggers the next.
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3M: Higher-low attempt is live, but needs confirmation
The 3-month structure is attempting to stabilize after the impulsive sell leg. A higher-low is not “declared” by a bounce — it’s confirmed by:
1) Holding the base (no acceptance back below the pivot zone)
2) Reclaiming overhead supply shelves with follow-through
3) Showing improving participation (volume) on impulse legs
I’m treating this as a developing base, not a certainty. My edge is scenario planning, not bottom calling.
---
1W: EMA posture + fib shelves + H&S risk management
(EMAs: 12 blue / 26 orange / 50 white / 200 red)
On the weekly, the market is still trading below key EMA “control lines” (notably the faster/mid EMAs), which makes the current bounce a *retest environment* until proven otherwise.
Fibonacci (swing high → swing low) provides the reaction shelves that matter for a right-shoulder build or a proper reclaim:
• 0.236 ~ 91.36k (first reclaim shelf)
• 0.382 ~ 98.02k (first serious acceptance test)
• 0.50 ~ 103.40k (midpoint / decision shelf)
• 0.618 ~ 108.79k (often the “make-or-break” supply zone)
• 0.705 ~ 112.75k
• 0.786 ~ 116.45k
• 0.886 ~ 121.01k
H&S framework:
- The structure suggests a potential weekly head-and-shoulders with an ascending neckline.
- For confirmation, I watch the tape: rallies into the right-shoulder area often show weaker participation (volume not confirming), and breakdown attempts typically require expansion in sell-side participation.
- If price rises while buy volume trends lower, that’s a warning for “bounce = distribution” and increases the probability this is a right-shoulder auction rather than a trend resumption.
Invalidation logic:
- The H&S threat diminishes materially only after sustained acceptance above the heavier supply shelves (not just a wick into them).
---
1M: Zoomed-out H&S = bear-trap potential during the bounce
On the monthly, the pattern is cleaner: the current rebound can absolutely function as a “bear-trap / relief rally” while the right shoulder develops.
That’s why I treat upside as a sequence of auctions:
- Acceptance above each fib shelf = constructive
- Fast rejection / failure to hold reclaimed levels = supply is still in control
If the rebound fails to convert those shelves into support, the market can rotate back toward the base and re-open the larger corrective fractal.
---
Long/Short Accounts %: liquidity context (and cross-exchange check)
I use Long/Short Accounts % as a positioning/behavioral overlay, not as a standalone signal.
As price tags each fib shelf and the H&S structure “matures,” I’m watching:
- Long skew rising into resistance shelves = potential liquidity for sell-side (crowd leaning the wrong way)
- Short skew rising into support = squeeze risk (fuel for continuation moves)
I also compare the read across venues (e.g., Binance vs Bybit). If both venues show the same crowding at the same shelf, the “liquidity magnet” effect tends to be cleaner.
---
Summary: what matters next
- Base must hold to keep the 3M higher-low thesis alive.
- Weekly/monthly must reclaim and ACCEPT above the fib/EMA shelves to reduce H&S distribution risk.
- Volume + acceptance (HTF closes) decide whether this is genuine bid strength or a right-shoulder trap.
---
Educational commentary only — not financial advice.
EURCHF📊 EURCHF — Bearish Structure Shift & Supply Interaction
(Educational Market Commentary | Intraday / HTF Context)
This analysis is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It reflects personal chart observations based on price action, market structure, and liquidity behavior. Nothing presented constitutes financial advice, trade recommendations, or execution guidance.
🔍 Market Structure Context
EURCHF has recently delivered a bearish break of structure (BOS), signaling a shift in short-term directional bias. The breakdown was impulsive, suggesting active sell-side participation rather than a corrective pullback.
Following the BOS, price displaced efficiently to the downside before beginning a corrective rotation, indicating rebalancing rather than immediate trend reversal.
🧠 Supply Zone Logic
The highlighted supply zone marks the origin of the bearish displacement that caused the structural break. From an institutional perspective, this zone represents an area of interest, not a signal.
If price retraces into this zone, the reaction will be key:
•Strong rejection may confirm remaining sell-side order flow
•Acceptance above the zone would suggest weakening supply and possible structural repair
•Until interaction occurs, the zone remains a reference within a bearish framework.
⚖️ Probabilistic Price Scenarios
From a probability-based standpoint:
•Bearish continuation remains valid while supply holds
•Deeper pullbacks may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation below supply is also a •healthy outcome
No outcome is assumed without confirmation from price behavior.
📌 Channel Philosophy
This journal focuses on:
•Structure over indicators
•Liquidity over emotion
•Process over prediction
•Discipline over hype
There are no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims — only structured analysis and transparent market logic.
If you value institutional structure, liquidity-based reasoning, and rule-driven charting, feel free to follow and engage.
Let price confirm the narrative.
EURUSD - Where is the real liquidity?Daily view
IF we take a closer look at daily chart for EURUSD, we can see that price remains bullish on the swing structure and the fractal structure just turned yesterday bearish. After turning bearish, we leave a huge wick as a reaction from the daily bullish FVG and near the 0.5% retracement on the swing structure. This fractal change could be just a trap and seen only as a liquidity grab before going more to upside because we have enourmous amount of liquidity resting in a form of trendline liquidity. I will be not surprised if EURUSD will continue to upside to get all that liquidity before anything else.
The problem with this view is that, the connection with the daily demand missed by 1 pip. So it has a chance that this daily shift in fractal structure to bearish to actually hold , make a fake move to upside and continue down in the way of the fractal structure just to collect even more liquidity for the upside move and connect with the demand.
4h view
On the 4h chart, we can see how price entered the FVG and missed by so little the connection with the demand before changing the 4h fractal structure to bullish.
In a form or other, price is able to make this connection or not. We can easelly see that price going up without the connection with that demand, leaving for later this move.
As 4h chart, we have the demand of the 4h and the 4h bullish FVG from where i will be interested to see how we will be reacting.
I will not enter the market blindelly, will look for 1h oportunities in order to long this.
1h view
1h view is clearlly bearish right now, reacting from a supply zone. It will be interesting to see 1h continuing it's bearish momentum in London session today and a shift in fractal structure somewhere in NY session.
After seeing that the connection with the demand on 1h / 4h and a nice shift for 1h at least (if not also on 4h) i am able to say, yes, price wants upside more than downside.
If the price is not giving this confirmation on 1h chart. Than i am not willing to risk on either longs/shorts for this market.
XAU/USD 06 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mentioned price will continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Price has printed new highs followed by a bearish CHoCH and is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,550.150
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market.
Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings.
Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Since my last analysis, price has printed several bullish iBOS' and bullish BOS which was in accordance to my analysis.
Price has since printed a bearish iBOS, which was to be expected due to all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Price is currently trading within and internal low and swing high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either M15 or H4 supply zone, or premium of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,274.025.
Note:
Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions.
With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common.
Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold.
M15 Chart:
GBPUSD -Breaking old highsThis is why is important to zoom out your charts. GBPUSD is currently breaking old highs from the 3RD Quarter from 2025 from June-September. Even though your analysis can be accurate on the small-time frames this is the reasons why you still lose a trade because you simply didn't zoom out the timeframe and pay attention on what's going on in the big picture. New highs are being created in current price while taking out old highs from 3-6months ago. Yes, it can reverse but this is how u prevent yourself to get stopped out. Once you know what's going on, on the big timeframes then you can lower your timeframe for and entry and accuracy.






















