Bakkt Holdings, Inc. 400% move? - January 2026
Timeframe : Weekly
Core Thesis BKKT has been in a punishing downtrend since October. However, the weekly chart now shows the first tentative signs of seller exhaustion and structural improvement, forming a sequence of higher lows (HL) and a higher highs (HH). We are monitoring the current pullback to see if it can establish another HL, forming a potential reversal foundation. This is a high-risk, speculative play on a possible trend change in its earliest stage.
Key Levels
Support (Higher-Low Zone): $11.00 - $12.00. This is the critical area for buyers to defend to maintain the improving structure.
Invalidation: A sustained break (meaningful weekly close) below the support zone. This would indicate the nascent bullish structure has failed.
Resistance Targets (Scale-Out Levels):
T1: ~$17.50 (Previous swing high & initial reaction zone).
T2: ~$28.00 (Next significant weekly supply area from Q4 2025).
T3 (Stretch): ~$48.33 (The September 2025 breakdown level – a full trend reversal target).
Conclusion
BKKT is showing the first signs of potential trend exhaustion and base formation. The trade setup is a pure play on whether the new pattern of higher lows can sustain. A hold at current levels could spark a stronger relief rally toward T1/T2. However, given the stock's history, failure remains a significant probability. Trade is invalidated if the new support structure breaks.
Ww
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Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. It’s a technical-analysis idea, not a guarantee, not a signal service, and definitely not a substitute for your own research. Markets are risky; small caps can be especially chaotic. Manage position size, use stops appropriate to volatility, and assume you can be wrong, because you can. I may hold a position at any time, and this idea may be invalidated without notice.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAU/USD 05 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mentioned price will continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Price has printed new highs followed by a bearish CHoCH and is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,550.150
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market.
Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings.
Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Since my last analysis, price has printed several bullish iBOS' and bullish BOS which was in accordance to my analysis.
Price has since printed a bearish iBOS, which was to be expected due to all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Price is currently trading within and internal low and swing high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either M15 or H4 supply zone, or premium of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,274.025.
Note:
Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions.
With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common.
Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold.
M15 Chart:
Long trade
BTCUSDC.P — Sentiment Analysis (1H | Institutional / Liquidity Lens)
Overall Sentiment: 🟡 Neutral → Constructively Bullish
(Range Re-accumulation with Upside Bias)
Market State
BTC is currently operating in a range-reaccumulating environment following a prior bearish impulse. Price has transitioned from aggressive downside expansion into balanced auction behaviour, with repeated acceptance around a well-defined value area.
Liquidity & Auction Narrative
Sell-side liquidity below prior lows has been partially consumed, with no sustained follow-through. Repeated downside probes have resulted in quick reclaims back into value, indicating sell-side inefficiency. Upside liquidity above recent range highs remains intact and magnetised.
📦 Fixed Range Profile & Fair Value
The Fixed Range Volume Profile highlights a clear Point of Control / True Fair Value within the range: Price is oscillating around value rather than trending away from it. Acceptance above the value area high has improved relative to prior attempts This behaviour suggests inventory rebalancing and re-accumulation.
📉 Volume & Bubble Behaviour
Larger volume bubbles appear during liquidity sweeps and reclaims, not during continuation.
This suggests forced participation (stops, liquidations) rather than trend-following volume.
Subsequent compression reflects absorption by stronger hands.
Session Behaviour
Asia continues to form range boundaries
London and NY repeatedly probe range extremes
Recent NY behaviour shows improved acceptance above mid-range
Session sequencing supports a gradual bullish skew, not immediate breakout.
📘 Summary
BTCUSDC is consolidating around fair value following sell-side absorption, signalling re-accumulation rather than continuation. Acceptance above value keeps sentiment constructively bullish, with range highs acting as the next liquidity draw.
Is 0.92 The Bottom ??0.92 looks like a very strong support level there where multiple attempts to break lower last each attempt quickly failed with the Monthly candles closing back above 0.925.
The setup is very straight forward I will wait for another drop down towards 0.92 then use the daily TF to time my entry on a MACD crossover looking to target the Monthly trendline @ 0.94 which also lines up with a nice resistance.
For further strength above this we want to see a break and close of the trendline resistance and then a quick retest and use the lower TF daily chart to get back in for a move up towards the 0.98 resistance and further towards the key 1 level.
There is a good positive swap on this pair and its common to see CHF cross pairs to strengthen at the beginning of the year if you look at some of my previous ideas on CHF pairs.
Let me know your thoughts wishing you a healthy and prosperous 2026 :)
Gold should be going up to hard test the new supply range aboveGoing into the new year strong with Gold as expected. Coming into the new year we are going heavy into the teaching of explanation of markups and expectations. These videos will be a bit longer. The OGs will find much of it repetitive but there are many new faces coming to the new year so we must explain what we are seeing in greater clarity.
It looks like we can begin to look for swing lows to form to go long at present. We will continue to track the progress as the week builds. We will track the lower time frame progressions in the VIP chats 💎
Don't forget to add your thoughts or point out anything I may have overlooked 🙏🏾
AUDCAD - HTF Bullish | Engineered Pullback | Speculation PhaseBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Manipulation → Correction → Delivery
State: Speculation / Tracking
Execution: Conditional
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
AUDCAD remains bullish on the higher timeframe, keeping the expectation for continuation valid.
⸻
Mid-Term Structure & Liquidity
Price first swept mid-term inducement, then mitigated into a mid-term order block, ultimately rotating into the orange HTF order block located on the left side of the chart.
From that zone:
• Accumulation began to form
• Buyers stepped in
• Price delivered a clean expansion
⸻
Market Cycle Behavior
Following expansion, price transitioned into a distribution phase, accompanied by manipulative behavior.
At this stage, I’m waiting for price to:
• Exhaust the manipulation
• Sweep internal liquidity
• Potentially clear external liquidity
• Rotate back into the accumulation area
This aligns with how the market often engineers continuation within a bullish structure.
⸻
Forward Expectation
If price returns into accumulation and holds:
• I’ll be looking for a corrective phase
• Followed by delivery in line with the HTF bullish bias
Execution will depend on confirmation, not assumption.
⸻
Mindset
This remains speculation mode.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure engineers the move.
Until price confirms, we stay patient and let the market do the work.
Let’s go. 📈🔥
USDCAD - HTF Bullish | Liquidity Sweeps Complete | Tracking Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Correction → Delivery
State: Tracking / Speculation
Execution: Conditional
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
USDCAD remains bullish on the higher timeframe.
Although price has traded into the mid-term range, this is acceptable within a bullish framework — this is why we track, not rush.
⸻
Liquidity & Market Work
Price has already:
• Swept internal dealing range (IDM) liquidity
• Cleared external range liquidity
• Taken HTF minor liquidity
This is advanced market work, and it’s exactly why patience and tracking are the edge — the market is doing the heavy lifting.
⸻
Price Behavior & Cycle Read
From a higher-timeframe perspective, price delivered a wick tap, signaling reaction at a key level.
From there, we observed:
• Accumulation
• Followed by expansion
• Transition into distribution
Price is now correcting, positioning itself for the next delivery phase.
⸻
Forward Outlook
At this stage, I’m not forcing a bias on execution.
I’ll continue to track how price unfolds over the coming sessions, allowing structure and liquidity to confirm the next move.
⸻
Mindset
This is speculation territory.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Let the market do the work.
We’ll see how it develops this week.
Let’s go. 📈🔥
USDCHF - HTF Bullish | Range Behavior | Conditional ContinuationBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Correction → Delivery
State: Speculation / Tracking
Execution: Conditional
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
USDCHF remains bullish from previous weeks, with the higher timeframe structure holding firm.
Price continues to trade within a defined range, respecting the broader bullish framework.
⸻
Mid-Term Structure & Reaction
Price previously accumulated and mitigated into a mid-term order block (orange zone, left of chart), where buyers showed up with a clean bullish reaction.
From that zone:
• Accumulation formed
• A strong bullish push followed
• Leading into a clear expansion phase
⸻
Distribution & Current Behavior
Following expansion, price transitioned into a distribution phase.
Selling pressure pushed price lower, but it quickly bounced back into the accumulation area, forming what now appears to be a correction zone, not a reversal.
This behavior suggests rebalancing, not structural failure.
⸻
Execution Scenarios
From here, I’m watching two potential paths:
Scenario 1 — Deeper Correction
• Price sweeps sell-side liquidity on lower timeframes
• Trades into the green accumulation / pivot order block
• Buyers step in, leaving clear bullish footprints
• Buy opportunities considered from that zone
Scenario 2 — Strength Continuation
• Price shows strong momentum
• Fully breaks the mid-term lower high
• Confirms bullish realignment without deeper discount
In both cases, liquidity must be taken before execution is considered.
⸻
Mindset
This is still speculation territory.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure leads execution.
Until confirmation prints, we wait.
Let smart money show the hand. Let’s go. 📈🔥
EURUSD - HTF Bullish|Patience Over Prediction|Tracking The CycleBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery
State: Tracking / Speculation
Execution: Conditional
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
EURUSD remains bullish on the higher timeframe, and this has not changed.
This is why I consistently stress one thing across every post:
Tracking is the edge. Patience is the key.
A lot of traders got burned here — not because structure failed, but because they rushed the phase.
⸻
Market Cycle Read
Price has clearly fallen out of the distribution phase, something that was visible early for those tracking structure instead of chasing moves.
We saw:
• A clean expansion out of the accumulation area
• Confirmation that buyers were still active
• Proof that the higher-timeframe bullish narrative remained intact
Fast hands paid the price. Patient hands followed the footprints.
⸻
Mid-Term Structure Alignment
Mid-term structure rotated exactly where it was meant to:
• Into the HTF internal framework structure order block
• A lower high was broken, confirming bullish realignment
• A new high was printed, followed by a minor reaction
This reaction is information, not weakness.
⸻
Current Focus
From the recent accumulation → expansion → distribution, price is now disputing away, suggesting the market is preparing for its next corrective phase.
What I want to see next:
• Full mitigation back into the accumulation zone
• Additional timeframe confirmation
• Alignment before targeting higher highs
No chasing. No guessing.
⸻
Mindset
Beginners react late.
Professionals follow clues and footprints.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure never lies.
Until price gives confirmation, we wait.
Let smart money lead. Let’s go. 📈🔥
EURGBP - HTF Bullish Structure | Mitigation into Accumulation |EURGBP — HTF Bullish Structure | Mitigation into Accumulation | Speculation Phase
Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery
State: Speculation / Tracking
Execution: Conditional
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
EURGBP remains bullish on the higher timeframe, with overall mappings unchanged from previous weeks.
Structure continues to hold bullish, keeping the directional bias intact.
⸻
Mid-Term Behavior
On the mid-term, price has shown distribution behavior, clearly marked in red, which has disrespected the prior internal cycle and cleared the path for rebalancing.
This move is viewed as a corrective phase, not a reversal.
⸻
Market Theory & Point of Interest
From a bullish auction theory perspective, price is rotating back into a higher-timeframe internal framework structure order block — the same accumulation area that previously fueled expansion.
This zone remains the key point of interest.
⸻
Execution Plan
Once price achieves full mitigation into this test area, I’ll be looking for:
• Stabilization within the POI
• A corrective reaction to the upside
• Conditions aligning for continuation delivery higher, in line with the HTF bullish bias
Lower timeframes must show bullish realignment before execution.
⸻
Mindset
For now, this remains speculation only.
Patience is needed.
Tracking is the edge.
Let structure lead.
Until then, we wait for confirmation — not prediction.
Let’s go. 📈🔥
MSFT: Risk of a buyer trap near the upper boundary of the rangeThe beginning of a new year is a good time to look at the annual and monthly timeframes.
Hello traders and investors!
Annual chart
On the annual timeframe, the buyer initiative remains intact. The range of the annual initiative is as follows:
lower boundary — 213.43,
upper boundary — 555.45,
50% of the initiative — 384.44.
A key level to highlight is 349.67 — the upper boundary of the previous buyer initiative on the annual chart. This level has already been retested, and the current active level is 344.79. This area represents an important structural support zone in the event of a deeper correction.
It is also important to note that, on last year’s candle, the minimum price range where at least 50% of the volume was traded is located in the upper part of the candle. In fact, this entire area is above the previous annual high, which indicates sustained buyer interest at higher prices.
Monthly chart
On the monthly timeframe, the market remains in a sideways range that was formed back in 2024. In March–April 2025, there was a manipulation of the lower boundary of this range — a false breakout on increased volume followed by a return of price back into the range.
As a result, a buyer zone was formed with an upper boundary at 402.15. The manipulated level 385.58 also stands out, as it nearly совпides with 50% of the annual trading range (384.44). This confluence strengthens the importance of the area and makes it attractive for searching for long-term buying opportunities.
The buyer managed to push the price above the upper boundary of the range (468.35), but failed to develop the initiative further. The structure formed above this level (468.35) strongly resembles a manipulation (false breakout). Despite the previously noted sustained buyer interest at higher prices, in the current context this move may turn into a trap for late buyers.
Above the upper boundary of the range, all candles with increased volume are seller candles, indicating seller pressure and a lack of further result from the buyer side.
If the price returns back into the range, the first resistance will be 450.12 (50% of the range). If this level fails to hold the price, the probability increases for gap closures below, with a move into the 402.15–385.58 area, where it makes sense to closely monitor patterns for long-term buying, provided there is confirmation from volume and initiative structure.
On the daily timeframe , the market is in a sideways range.
The price has broken out of this range to the downside, and if the seller now initiates a trend by forming another initiative, this could indicate a decline in price toward 450 and then further down to 402.
Profitable trades!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
ARBUSDT at Structural Support Wedge Based Reversal ScenarioARBUSDT is currently trading within a well-defined descending wedge structure, with price reacting precisely from the lower boundary of the pattern. This reaction suggests the formation of a potential local bottom, supported by visible rejection and stabilization along the wedge support.
From a technical perspective, this zone presents a favorable accumulation region, as long as price continues to respect the descending trendline. Risk management remains clearly defined, with invalidation placed just below the wedge support to account for any structural breakdown.
A successful continuation from this level increases the probability of an upside expansion toward the projected targets already outlined on the chart, aligning with the broader wedge breakout thesis.
HTF Bullish | AMD in Play | Speculation PhaseBias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery
State: Speculation / Tracking
Execution: Conditional
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
As price is visualized on the higher timeframes, the market remains in a bullish phase, with structure continuously breaking to the upside.
Price has expanded aggressively and is currently holding near the highs, reinforcing bullish control.
⸻
Market Cycle Read
Although price appears to be in a distribution zone following expansion, the structure aligns cleanly with an AMD model:
• Accumulation formed at the base
• Manipulation cleared liquidity
• Distribution delivering price lower
This suggests the current pause is part of a healthy cycle, not exhaustion.
⸻
Framework & Point of Interest
If price distributes back into the internal framework structure / order block area, that zone becomes the focus.
From there, I’ll be watching for:
• Stabilization and mitigation
• A corrective phase
• Conditions aligning for continuation of delivery within the broader bullish cycle
⸻
Execution Conditions (LTF)
Lower timeframes must show bullish realignment before participation:
• Bullish reaction from the POI
• Bearish structure invalidation (lower high break)
• Pullback forming a new accumulation buy zone
⸻
Mindset
For now, this is speculation only.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Let smart money lead.
Until then, we wait for confirmation — not prediction.
Let’s go. 📈🔥
GBPJPY - HTF Bullish | High-Range Consolidation | Distribution Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Consolidation → Distribution → Mitigation → Realignment → Delivery
State: Speculation / Tracking
Execution: Conditional
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
GBPJPY remains bullish on the higher timeframe, showing strong continuation characteristics.
Structurally, this setup closely mirrors AUDJPY, with price currently holding near the highs.
⸻
Current Phase
Price is consolidating at premium levels, which increases the probability of a distribution phase.
From here, I’m anticipating a potential move lower to fill inefficiencies resting beneath price.
This would be a healthy corrective move, not a bearish shift.
⸻
HTF / Mid-Term Point of Interest
Below current price:
• Liquidity rests above and around key levels
• Order blocks sit underneath that liquidity
• Clear inducement present
If price drops into this zone and mitigates cleanly, that area becomes the focus for continuation.
⸻
Lower Timeframe Plan (Realignment)
Within the accumulation area, I’ll be watching lower timeframes for bullish realignment:
Required confirmations:
• A bullish reaction from the POI
• A lower high being broken (bearish structure invalidation)
• A pullback on the bullish leg, forming a new accumulation buy zone
➡️ This would open the door for the next delivery leg higher.
⸻
Invalidation
If price:
• Fails to show bullish reaction
• Continues to respect bearish structure
• Does not break the lower high
➡️ No longs taken. Price likely seeks deeper discount.
⸻
Mindset
Currently in speculation mode.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure leads execution.
Until then — we wait and let price confirm. Let’s go. 📈🔥
AUDJPY - HTF Bullish | Distribution * Mitigation Watch Bias: Bullish (Higher Timeframe)
Model: Expansion → Distribution → Mitigation → Delivery
Execution: Conditional
State: Patience / Tracking
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
AUDJPY remains bullish on the higher timeframe, with structure consistently printing higher highs.
Directional bias remains intact — no HTF structural damage at this stage.
⸻
Current Phase
After expanding into the highs, price has entered a distribution zone, showing signs of manipulative behavior.
This suggests price may dispute lower to rebalance inefficiencies before the next move.
⸻
Mid-Term Point of Interest
I’m watching for a potential move into a mid-term order block / point of interest.
From this zone, I want to see:
• Stabilization and holding behavior
• A clean correction phase
• Conditions forming for the next delivery leg higher
⸻
Lower Timeframe Conditions
If on the lower timeframes:
• Structure fails to hold
• A lower high is broken
• Bullish confluences do not print
➡️ Then this becomes a no-trade environment.
In that case, price is likely seeking deeper liquidity and more discounted territory before continuation.
⸻
Mindset
Currently in speculation mode.
Patience is the key.
Tracking is the edge.
Structure leads.
That’s the money lead.
Until then — we let price show its hand. 📈🔥
USDJPY - Bullish Continuation | HTF Control | Patience PhaseBias: Bullish
Structure: Higher Timeframe Continuation
Timeframes: HTF / Mid-Term / LTF
⸻
Higher Timeframe Context
USDJPY remains bullish, with higher-timeframe mappings unchanged from previous weeks.
Price continues to respect and trade within HTF structure, confirming directional control remains intact.
⸻
Mid-Term Perspective
On the mid-term, price completed a clean mitigation, which has been held since last week, followed by continued expansion.
This reinforces that buyers remain in control and that the broader bullish narrative is still valid.
⸻
Current State
Price continues to press toward highs, maintaining bullish momentum.
No structural damage has occurred — this is continuation, not reversal.
⸻
Lower Timeframe Plan
At the moment, I am waiting for a second-entry opportunity.
Execution plan:
• Allow price to distribute
• Look for a return into a prior accumulation area
• Once mitigation is complete, buy points will be considered
This will be the operating mood for the upcoming week.
⸻
Mindset
Currently in speculation mode.
No chasing. No forcing.
Patience is the key. Tracking is the edge.
Let price come to us. 📈🔥
GBPUSD - Bullish Structure | HTF POI Alignment | Patience PhaseBias: Bullish
Model: Accumulation → Delivery → Mitigation → Expansion
Timeframes: Daily / 4H / 30M / 5M
⸻
HTF Context (Daily)
GBPUSD remains in bullish market structure, with a major Daily high broken, confirming higher-timeframe continuation.
The red order flow provides directional confluence, and price has already shown a clean bullish reaction from this HTF point of interest.
Following that reaction, we observed accumulation forming, which successfully delivered price higher — validating bullish intent.
⸻
Mid-Term Structure (4H / 30M)
From an internal perspective (blue micro structure), price respected internal structure, accumulated, and then broke out, confirming participation from buyers.
Buyers accumulated from a key pivot, delivered expansion, and distributed, before price mitigated back into the origin of orders — a classic revisit of a higher-timeframe POI.
Zooming out to the mid-term perspective, a lower high was taken, followed by a manipulative push, leading to redistribution into the orange POI.
This orange zone aligns with:
• Daily HTF POI
• Mid-term reaction zone
• Internal accumulation (blue)
➡️ Triple confluence zone = stronger probability accumulation area.
⸻
Current State (Execution Phase)
From this aligned accumulation zone, price has already shown a strong expansion, confirming buyers are active.
At the moment:
• Price is in a pause / corrective phase
• I am waiting for minor sell-side liquidity to be taken
• Looking for full mitigation into a minor accumulation area
This is not entry time yet — this is tracking time.
⸻
LTF Plan (5M Execution)
Once price completes mitigation:
• I’ll look for 5M structure confirmation
• Entry will be based on accumulation → expansion logic
• Targeting continuation toward higher highs
Until then:
Patience is the edge. Tracking is the work.
⸻
Final Notes
I’m currently in speculation mode, allowing price to show its hand before committing.
No rushing. No forcing. Letting structure do the talking.
4H → 30M → 5M execution model in play.
Let it come to us. 💪📈
GBPJPYWelcome to my TradingView journal.
All content shared here is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes only. The purpose of this analysis is to document market structure, liquidity behavior, and price delivery through an institutional lens. Nothing presented constitutes financial advice, trade signals, or investment recommendations.
🔍 Market Structure Context
GBPJPY has recently delivered a clear bullish break of structure (BOS), confirming a shift in short-term directional intent. The impulsive expansion suggests strong participation rather than corrective price movement, indicating that prior sell-side liquidity has been absorbed.
Following the expansion, price has begun to stabilize above the broken structure, reflecting acceptance at higher levels rather than immediate rejection.
🧠 Demand Zone Perspective
The highlighted demand zone marks the origin of the bullish displacement. From an institutional perspective, this zone is treated as a contextual reference, not a signal. Such areas often represent locations where imbalance entered the market with conviction.
If price revisits this zone, the nature of the reaction will provide insight into whether bullish order-flow remains present or whether deeper rebalancing is required.
⚖️ Probabilistic Framework
Markets operate on probabilities, not certainty.
From current conditions:
•Continuation remains valid while demand holds
•Corrective pullbacks may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation is possible as liquidity redistributes
All scenarios remain valid until price confirms or invalidates them.
📌 Channel Philosophy
This channel is built around:
•Structure over indicators
•Liquidity logic over emotion
•Process over prediction
•Education over hype
There will be no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims — only clean charts, disciplined reasoning, and transparent analysis.
If you value institutional logic, objective market commentary, and a rule-based analytical approach, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price tell the story.
GBPJPYWelcome to my TradingView journal.
All content shared here is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes only. The purpose of this analysis is to document market structure, liquidity behavior, and price delivery through an institutional lens. Nothing presented constitutes financial advice, trade signals, or investment recommendations.
🔍 Market Structure Context
GBPJPY has recently delivered a clear bullish break of structure (BOS), confirming a shift in short-term directional intent. The impulsive expansion suggests strong participation rather than corrective price movement, indicating that prior sell-side liquidity has been absorbed.
Following the expansion, price has begun to stabilize above the broken structure, reflecting acceptance at higher levels rather than immediate rejection.
🧠 Demand Zone Perspective
The highlighted demand zone marks the origin of the bullish displacement. From an institutional perspective, this zone is treated as a contextual reference, not a signal. Such areas often represent locations where imbalance entered the market with conviction.
If price revisits this zone, the nature of the reaction will provide insight into whether bullish order-flow remains present or whether deeper rebalancing is required.
⚖️ Probabilistic Framework
Markets operate on probabilities, not certainty.
From current conditions:
•Continuation remains valid while demand holds
•Corrective pullbacks may occur to rebalance inefficiencies
•Consolidation is possible as liquidity redistributes
All scenarios remain valid until price confirms or invalidates them.
📌 Channel Philosophy
This channel is built around:
•Structure over indicators
•Liquidity logic over emotion
•Process over prediction
•Education over hype
There will be no signals, no guarantees, and no performance claims — only clean charts, disciplined reasoning, and transparent analysis.
If you value institutional logic, objective market commentary, and a rule-based analytical approach, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price tell the story.
Alcoa (Strong Trend Upwards)
Alcoa (AA) is Strong.
Using the daily chart you will notice RSI is 77.2. When you switch to the 4h and Hourly using this indicator you will see these are in very strong uptrends as well. However, they are too strong.
When I see the 3 highest timeframes all in oversold status (70+ on RSI). I trim and scout to enter lower. I will switch to the 5 minute chart and re-purchase when RSI goes between 30-40.






















