DigiByte (DGB)On the above 5-day chart price action has corrected 95% since a sell signal in April 2021. A number of reasons now exist to be long..
1) You know why.
2) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
3) Strong positive divergence between the oscillators and price action. This divergence is measured over 100 days.
4) Price action finds support on the golden ratio following the breakout.
Is it possible for price action to fall further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Trade
Risk: <= 6%
Timeframe to open: Now - don’t hang around.
Return: no idea
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAUUSD - Gold has reached its ceiling?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. A reduction in the upward momentum and a correction towards the demand range will provide us with a better risk-reward buying position.
On December 10, the Federal Reserve surprised financial markets when it announced that **just two days after halting its balance sheet runoff**, it would resume **expanding its balance sheet starting December 12**. At first glance, this swift reversal appeared to signal a return to accommodative monetary policies, but a closer examination reveals that **its nature and scale differ meaningfully from past experiences**.
Although the move came earlier and with greater force than markets had anticipated, it should not be interpreted as the **start of a new round of quantitative easing (QE)**. During the 2008 global financial crisis and again amid the COVID-19 shock in March 2020, the Federal Reserve injected massive liquidity into the financial system through **large-scale purchases of long-term government bonds**. Those programs were designed to **push down bond yields, ease financial stress, and directly support economic activity**.
What is unfolding today is fundamentally different. This time, **liquidity injections are primarily being conducted via short-term securities**, and, crucially, there is no expectation that **the size of the Fed’s balance sheet will increase relative to GDP**—a key distinction from traditional QE episodes.
In reality, recent decisions more closely resemble the events that followed the **repo market turmoil of September 2019**. At that time, the Federal Reserve misjudged the impact of new liquidity regulations on banks’ demand for central bank reserves and allowed **balance sheet reduction (QT)** to continue for too long. As a result, **excess reserves fell to levels insufficient to meet liquidity needs during critical moments**, triggering a sharp spike in short-term interest rates and ultimately forcing an **emergency intervention by the central bank**.
While markets typically enter a quieter phase ahead of year-end holidays, certain **geopolitical risks** have the potential to disrupt this seasonal calm. One of the most prominent risks is the **escalation of tensions between the United States and Venezuela**. In recent days, Donald Trump has repeatedly warned about **expanding military actions against drug trafficking networks**, even floating the possibility of shifting operations from maritime routes onto Venezuelan territory—a scenario that could rapidly intensify tensions.
Along these lines, the United States has effectively imposed a **de facto blockade on sanctioned oil tankers** over the past week, restricting their movement to and from Venezuela. Should Trump decide to further escalate pressure on the government of **Nicolás Maduro**, the likelihood of a meaningful market reaction would rise considerably. Such a scenario could initially **support oil prices** and, to a lesser extent, **drive safe-haven flows toward gold**.
BTC NEXT CYCLEFor BTC/USD, I have two plans for preparing for the next cycle. If the price is able to break through the FAIR VALUE GAP WEEKLY and turn it into an INVERSE FAIR VALUE GAP first, then it is highly likely that BTC/USD will enter a SUPER CYCLE. However, if the price breaks through the WEEKLY ORDER BLOCK first, BTC/USD will return to the 4-YEAR CYCLE. In this cycle, I will buy BTC/USD at the WEEKLY ORDER BLOCK or MONTHLY BALANCE PRICE RANGE. My TP target for both cycles is USD 229,780.00. However, I will partially take profit at 200,000.00 USD. I obtained this target from STANDARD DEVIATION - 4, which is the result of marking FIBBONACCI RETRACEMENT on the ATH cycle 2021 to SWING LOW cycle 2025. Why did I use this? because in the previous cycle, after BTC/USD touched around the STANDARD DEVIATION - 2 area, the price immediately dropped below and ended the cycle, so I use this as my reference for TP in this cycle. (DISCLAIMER ON)
NZDUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Potential Head And Shoulder forming on the Daily
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.58000
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Potential Head And Shoulder forming on the H4
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
MRNA Trend Reversal From The Time @ Mode PerspectiveWhat a history NASDAQ:MRNA has had... does the story have new life? The recent price action would suggest that new momentum could be coming for Moderna.
I have added notes to my Moderna chart today to visualize how the Moderna story has played out. Let's take a look. As an aside, this will be a two part series with the next idea looking at the shorter term chart.
On the longer term chart, there is a 30-Month consolidation period from February 2022 all the way until July 2024. After this consolidation, the story took a nose dive with Moderna declining massively and thus kicking off a major down trend that had the strength of a 30-Month consolidation period behind it. Taking the entire range of this past consolidation, a trader gets a target of around $33. Moderna zoomed right to the target 5 months after the "kick off" period of the August 2024 downward range expansion.
After reaching the downtrend target, there was some additional selling that occurred. However, it is clear that the massive move to the downside was now stalling out. In my experience, this stalling of the trend is normal after having moved so significantly over a long time horizon. Can happen on a shorter time frame as well, but the long time frame makes this anomaly easier to observe as the occurrence happens over an easy to observe period (months and weeks).
So, this leads us to the current, smaller timeframe, uptrend. In my experience, when price hits a time @ mode target (and/or moves slightly beyond the target), it will offer trend reversal opportunities. How quickly the reversal of the trend will occur and how long it may last are, in general, unknown factors. It typically will take some small time frame analysis to make some determinations on that front.
An additional note to all this: the 30-Month consolidation range has the potential to lead to 30-Months of general downtrend pressure. It may be helpful to view any shorter term trend reversals in the lens of this 30-Month downtrend pressure. But that does not necessarily limit how far a trend reversal in price can move. Again, this is where analysis on the shorter time frame comes in.
This is what we will discuss in the next idea.
NZDUSD — Correction Invalidated, Execution From the A–B BreakerPrice is trading inside a higher-timeframe BC , where the first failure already occurred.
The base breaker formed when continuation buyers expected the uptrend to resume, but MSS invalidated that assumption , trapping early continuation attempts.
At that stage, there was no sequence yet — only uncertainty.
Only after that failure did a valid ABC structure develop.
Wave A proposed direction
Wave B formed as a correction, where buyers entered expecting B to hold
Wave C began at the end of B and structurally invalidated B , proving the correction was finished
The continuation breaker is defined as the entire zone between the end of A and the end of B , where correction buyers built exposure.
For execution, I drop to lower timeframes and isolate the last breaker inside the A–B zone before Wave C flipped the scenario .
That breaker represents the final correction belief — and therefore the highest-probability entry location .
Price is expected to return to this area to:
remove correction buyers
sweep inducement
rebalance risk
That liquidity is the fuel for Wave C continuation toward its target .
If price does not return to the A–B zone, there is no trade .
If correction is not structurally invalidated, there is no participation .
I don’t trade direction —
I trade when correction proves it’s finished .
“ I participate only after correction fails — not before, not without proof. ”
Not financial advice.
NIFTY Moved EXACTLY As Analyzed | Live Entries, SL & Target Hit
Today’s video has been recorded live during market hours —> no hindsight, no edited stories.
I tracked the price action candle-by-candle, explained the structure as it was forming, and shared the exact trades I took.
You will see:
• My stop-loss getting hit (full transparency)
• My targets getting hit
• Why the analysis played out perfectly
• How to adjust your plan when the market shifts
• How I manage trades in real time
This is pure live price action + real psychology.
If you follow the whole breakdown, you’ll understand exactly why the market moved the way it did and how I planned the next setups.
Let me know if you want more live breakdowns like this.
NIFTY Quick View – Dec 23, 2025NIFTY Quick View – Dec 23, 2025
(Chart: )
Spot:
26177
Supports
30min: 26,000
|| 1D: 25,700
View
Supports dominate – no visible resistance.
Higher likelihood of testing support than reaching new all-time highs.
Trade Approach
Enter long calls on rejection at put strikes (support holds).
• Enter long puts on rejection at call strikes (upside fails).
Dynamic flip: Shift to inverse strikes when the initial direction weakens.
Clear levels only – no SL or targets provided.
You define your own setup.
DYOR – Options trading carries high risk! 📈
More details on my view
www.tradingview.com
www.tradingview.com
My Trading approach
www.tradingview.com
Long trade Buyside trade 3
Mon 22nd Dec 25
LND Session AM
10.55 am
Entry 1.4662
Profit level 1.4970 (2.10%)
Stop level 1.4609 (0.36%)
RR 5.81
SUIUSDT.P — Sentiment Analysis Summary- Buyside trade
5min TF entry
Sell-side liquidity has been exhausted below the NY session low, with price now accepting above prior value and targeting buy-side liquidity resting in premium inefficiencies — short-term bullish bias remains intact while HTF structure remains rotational
🧭 Structural Context
Price has successfully defended the prior NY Session Low (19th Dec) and the 5-min demand zone, confirming sell-side exhaustion. Subsequent price action shows higher lows and impulsive displacement, indicating bullish intent rather than corrective relief. The most recent London-to-early NY price action indicates acceptance above the prior value, not rejection.
PD Arrays & Imbalances
Multiple 5-min FVGs below the price have been mitigated, reducing downside draw.
The current structure is trading inside bullish inefficiency, supporting continuation.
💧 Liquidity & Order-Flow Narrative
Sell-side liquidity, which has been below recent lows, has been fully consumed.
No sustained acceptance below that zone → assume bearish continuation invalidated.
Price is now gravitating toward buy-side liquidity resting above:
Prior London & Tokyo session highs
NY Session High (19th Dec) ~1.4970
Untapped premium FVGs
🧠 Smart Money Read:
Downside liquidity was engineered to reload long inventory, followed by controlled upside expansion.
EURGBP: Bullish Move From Trend Line 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP will likely rise after a test of a major rising trend line on a daily.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame
provides a strong confirmation.
I expect a pullback at least to 0.8749
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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