USDJPY: 1 . Been watching $yen closely as my top 2 trades this week (along with GU). As expected/ foretasted 107 was the next key risk sentiment resistance level after 104 and after buying the 104 breakout i have confidence/ advise buying the 107 breakout - we have now crossed the 3m moving average at 106 which provides support/ confirms bullish move. 2 Risk...
THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS Volume Put / Open Interest Put / Level 0 / 2 / 0.59000 0 / 20 / 0.61000 0 / 2 / ...
THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS Volume Call / Open interest Call / Level 0 / 2 / 1.10470 0 / 11 / 1.10610 0 / 123 / ...
THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS Volume Call / Open interest Call / Level 12 / 630 / 1.32000 79 / 1200 / 1.32170 0 / 449 / ...
THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS Volume Put / Open Interest Put / Level 0 / 8 / 1.44928 0 / 20 / 1.43885 0 / 4500 / ...
THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS Volume Put / Open Interest Put / Level 0 / 1891 / 120.481 2 / 114 / 119.047 10 / 351 / ...
THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS Volume Put / Open Interest Put / Level 0 / 10 / 20.00000 0 / 27 / 19.04762 1 / 81 / ...
THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS Volume Put / Open Interest Put / Level 0 / 1527 / 949.90 0 / 980 / 969.90 0 / 1332 / ...
End of Week Summary: 1. On the week we saw risk outperform safe havens for the first time since the brexit vote and the SPX and DJ30 set new all time highs by 2% and 1.2% respectively - somewhat encouraging given this was the longest period post-crisis that equity indexes have had since new highs, with a total time of apprx 1 year. 2. Given the articles...
As expected BOE stood pat on their rate decision reiterating much of which was said last week by Gov M. Carney, the need for more analysis to be done is/ was key - " "Detailed Analysis" of All Policy Options Required" and "Extent Of Additional Stimulus Will Depend on August Forecasts". IMO the notes were very bearish and almost but 100% chance of some sort of...
The Federal Reserve's regulatory point man said work to address the lessons of the 2008 financial crisis won't be complete without better regulation of short-term funding both inside and outside the banking system. St Louis Fed President Jim Bullard may be the Fed's new super dove, but he's no pessimist, he says. Bullard is the lone Fed official forecasting just...
IMO FOMC George was largely bullish/ Hawkish $ on the margin; surprisingly coming out and stating for one of the first times that "Fed rates are too low" and "Not Raising Rates in June Was Due to Timing Issues" - these two statements imo hint that a hike coUuld be on the cards earlier than perhaps was expected (Dec), in-light of his opinion of them being too low...
Post Brexit SPX vs USDJPY 1. One had expected risk to sell off post brexit as global uncertainty increases, given the amount of volatility in the FX markets in the lead up, this was the rational expectation (whilst VIX traded subdued). However, instead, SPX recovered 6% whilst Yen also rallied 7% higher in the days following the vote. 2. This risk-on risk-off...
IMO the ECB minutes were the most dovish/ clearly directed statements out of the ECB for several months. Before this, and in the past several speakers comments, sentiment has been towards the hawkish/ stale side, citing "ECB has done enough" as the main rhetoric. The June Minutes however show a renewed positioning of the ECB, where they clearly imply they are...
Also as additional technicals to support the short NZD$ view: 1. On the daily, weekly and H1 NU currently Trades (and at 0.73) close/ at to its +2 standard deviation lines, these are highly resistive. - Assuming NU trades mean reverting +2SD means there is a 95% chance of a price reversal/ 95% of all prices should be below the +2SD channel lines (e.g. NU...
Short NZDUSD is in my top 2 FX Trades for several reasons: 1. NZD is considered the riskiest G10 currency cross, so NZD trades weaker in risk-off markets, or when equities/ SPX trade lower (you can see the high correlation with SPX at the bottom of the graph). - With Brexit occurring last week, global risk has increased, this is especially the case for NZD due...
Short AUDUSD is in my top 3 FX Trades for several reasons: 1. AUD is considered a riskier G10 currency cross, so AUD trades weaker in risk-off markets, or when equities/ SPX trade lower (you can see the high correlation with SPX at the bottom of the graph). - With Brexit concurring last week, global risk has increased, this is especially the case for AUD due to...