GameStop and Fibonacci: It's About TimeThis is my first attempt at publishing a video on TradingView, so hopefully it works.
I wanted to put together something educational about fib channels and why I like to use them. They're not a silver bullet, but they do tell you a lot about where to expect support and resistance because the chart has a very good memory, and you can see this play out on pretty much any instrument, including cryptocurrencies.
I follow NYSE:GME closer than any other ticker, so this video is about my philosophy on the fib channels that I have been using on the GME chart and talking about on the Echo Chamber Podcast. Hopefully this adds a little more context to that discussion, how the flat price levels are not always the only thing that matters, but taking time-based trends into account can make a big difference in your analysis and understanding of price movement.
Happy to hear people's thoughts on my crayons 🖍️ which color should I eat next?
Since this is a bit of a longer video, here's an AI summary of the content with timestamps:
Introduction 00:00-01:05
I introduce the topic of explaining my TradingView chart, which has many colorful lines. I clarify that I didn't manually draw all the lines, but used Fibonacci channels that only require selecting 3 points.
Explaining Current Chart 01:05-04:33
I show my current GameStop chart, explaining various trend lines and Fibonacci channels. I demonstrate how to adjust the Fibonacci channel points to analyze different price movements.
Fresh Chart Walkthrough 04:33-11:57
Moving to a clean chart, I explain global chart items, including trend lines from major tops and bottoms. I discuss dividend-adjusted vs non-adjusted charts and explain the "Gandalf line" of support.
Fibonacci Channels Explanation 11:57-24:54
I provide a detailed explanation of how Fibonacci channels work, demonstrating how to draw them and interpret the resulting lines. I show how these channels can describe price action across long time periods.
Additional Examples 24:54-33:44
I show more examples of Fibonacci channels applied to GameStop's entire price history. I discuss how these channels can provide insight into potential future price movements and support/resistance levels.
Conclusion 33:44-34:40
I summarize my thoughts on GameStop's current price action in relation to the Fibonacci channels and support levels identified.
Some Quotes
"I find them mathematically interesting." 11:54 - Referring to trend-based Fibonacci tools.
"Math is your friend here. But you don't have to do the math, you just can use tools that will help you." 17:19
"Price is fractal in nature in that patterns are repeating and Fibonacci is everywhere." 17:19
"Things like history repeats itself. It's just a question of when, not if." 24:30
"The point I want to drive home here is that when we start to get a little bit more granular here, and this is why I have lots of crayons on my chart." 28:34
Key Tips/Concepts
Fibonacci channels can be powerful tools for technical analysis, providing insight into potential support and resistance levels.
These channels can sometimes describe price action across very long time periods, even when drawn based on recent price movements with thoughtfully selected endpoints.
The importance of considering price, time, and volume in technical analysis, as demonstrated by the "Gandalf line".
The value of using multiple timeframes and chart types (dividend-adjusted vs non-adjusted, trading hours only vs extended hours included) to gain a more complete picture of a stock's price history. (Editorial note: something I didn't cover in the video, but the difference between log scale and linear scale sometimes will make for an interesting story on trendlines and fib channels too. I prefer to keep my chart in log scale, but will toggle between log and linear occasionally to see if there's something interesting there in the lines already drawn.)
The concept of fractal nature in price movements and how patterns tend to repeat over time.
Parallel Channel
How To Adjust To 100 Day Moving AverageIn this video i show
you how to adjust your moving average.
Am a little exhausted
from taking a walk yesterday which i needed
to decompress from stress of
starting an online business
but despite that i thought i share
this idea with you.
Yes your moving average can be static
even though if that's the case.
Then you are trading trends.
We dive into :
OANDA:EURAUD
KUCOIN:BTCUSDT
NYSE:IBM
NASDAQ:AAPL
OANDA:EURGBP
Am going to show you how similar
the price patterns are.
Also we dive into how
the ADX shows you if its a middle market
or uptrend
market..
Watch this video to learn more.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky.Please use a
simulation trading account
before you trade with real money.
Also learn risk management and
profit taking strategies.
Stacking logarithmic (log) channels - Secret tool in crypto Ep 3Stacking Logarithmic Channels - Bitcoin's Hidden Fractal Structure | Signal & Structure Episode 3
In this third episode of Signal and Structure, we explore a powerful but little-known technique: stacking logarithmic channels to identify critical support and resistance levels in exponentially growing assets like Bitcoin.
Core Technique Revealed:
The Logarithmic Channel Stacking Method
Start with a base channel on log scale (demonstrated from November 2011)
Copy and stack identical channels above/below the original
The midline of one channel becomes the boundary of adjacent channels
Creates a fractal structure that respects Bitcoin's exponential growth pattern
Key Principles:
Always use logarithmic scale for crypto channels
Midlines are as important as channel boundaries
Multiple touches validate channel placement
Channels maintain proportional relationships when stacked
Practical Demonstrations:
Historical Validation Points
November 2013: Top of first channel ($1,200)
December 2017: Top of second stacked channel ($19,000)
November 2021: Bottom of third stacked channel ($69,000)
March 2023: Bottom of fourth stacked channel ($15,500)
Current Market Analysis:
Bitcoin dancing around the midline of the current channel
Lower boundary support around $90-92K (aligning with CME gap)
Technical ceiling projections discussed with appropriate caveats
Channel Construction Details:
Monthly channels: Black, thickness 4, 30% opacity
Weekly channels: Maroon/brown, thickness 3
Always include midlines for additional confluence
Adjust opacity to prevent chart clutter
Advanced Insights:
Why log scale channels reveal patterns invisible on linear scale
How to validate channels using midline touches
The relationship between channel midlines and new channel boundaries
Dealing with ambiguous channel placement (multiple valid options)
Time-Saving Tips:
Use TradingView's copy/paste to maintain exact channel angles
Set consistent color coding for different timeframes
Keep channels semi-transparent for better visibility
This technique works because logarithmic scale represents percentage moves consistently - a 100% move always appears the same height regardless of price level. This creates natural harmonic levels that price tends to respect over long timeframes.
While specific price projections should be taken as possibilities rather than certainties, the method itself provides a robust framework for understanding Bitcoin's price structure across its entire history. The convergence of these channel levels with other technical factors (like CME gaps) adds additional weight to these zones.
Remember: Channels are guides, not guarantees. Use them for context and confluence, not as standalone trading signals.
GBPUSD: Cable slides under 1.35 handle after triple blow!Cable faces a crucial test at 1.3500 following yesterday's triple blow from disappointing UK PMI data, hawkish comments from Powell, and concerning UK public sector borrowing figures ahead of November's Budget.
In this ThinkMarkets analysis, we break down the key technical levels as GBPUSD loses the round 1.3500 support but remains within its upward channel.
Key focus areas :
Immediate Risk : Break below channel support targeting 1.3372 double bottom
Critical Level : 1.3335 - invalidation of inverse head & shoulders pattern
Fibonacci Support : 61.8% retracement cluster around 1.3340
Trading Strategies : Three approaches for the potential breakdown
Key Levels to Watch :
Support : 1.3500 (breaking), 1.3450, 1.3372, 1.3340
Resistance : 1.3550 bounce target
Bias : Cautiously bearish while below channel support
The pound continues to face domestic headwinds with stalling economic data and fiscal concerns, making any recovery challenging despite potential Fed dovishness.
Cable traders, watch this critical technical juncture closely.
Trade responsibly with ThinkMarkets - your trusted forex partner.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Loss of Momentum Pattern Into StructureSimilar to the OANDA:GBPJPY that I shared, the OANDA:EURAUD has put in a pretty aggressive and direct move into a previous level of structure. However, what makes this opportunity different than "the beast" is that as price approach our level of resistance we started to put in a rising channel which is a loss of momentum pattern along with other clues such as divergence on the RSI.
If you have any questions, comments or want to share your views, please do so below. Also be sure to hit that like button & give me a follow, that way you don't miss my future trading ideas.
Akil
Oil surges on Russia sanction threats but long-term risks remainOil prices have climbed around 6% this week, driven by two key developments: a trade deal between the EU and the US, and Donald Trump’s warning that the US may impose sanctions on Russian oil buyers within 10 days unless progress is made toward ending the Russia-Ukraine war.
Russia accounts for about 10.5% of global oil production. Major buyers like China and India, which take 47% and 38% of Russia’s crude exports respectively, are still negotiating their trade deals with the US. That gives Washington leverage to pressure them into cutting back without fully banning imports, which would risk triggering a much sharper price surge.
If China, India, the EU, and Turkey shift away from Russian oil, demand would rise elsewhere, supporting prices. Still, while the short-term technical picture remains bullish above 67.28, prices face resistance between 75.43 and 77.80. This range marks the upper bound of a multi-year downward channel.
OPEC+ also meets this weekend. The group has been increasing production to align with Trump’s promise to lower oil prices, a move that weighs on the long-term outlook. Add to that the impact of new tariffs—15% on EU and Japan exports, 10% on UK goods, and likely more to come for China and India—and global GDP growth could slow, further capping oil’s upside.
Unless prices break convincingly above 77.80, the broader trend remains bearish.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Educational Video: Nifty Outlook-How Technical analysis is done.We have tried to draw a parallel channel on Nifty hourly chart. The chart indicates that we are just below the mid channel line. The mid channel line will act as a resistance if the price is below the same and will act as a support if the price is above it. Right now it is acting as a resistance. Top of the channel always acts as a resistance and bottom of the channel always acts as a support. Additionally there are historic resistances and supports which indicate the other levels which may act as support or resistance. There are also Mother and Father lines (50 and 200 EMA)(EMA = Exponential Moving Average).
To understand in detail how parallel channel works or how supports and resistance are derived or what is Mother, Father and Small Child theory. I would recommend you my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. By reading this book you can understand all these concepts with ease. You can additionally understand what is fundamental and technical analysis and how to do it. You will also get to understand the dos and the don'ts of investment in equity by reading various chapters on Behavioural Finance. Overall it is a value for money book available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is also available on Google play book and other E-book stores. You can also contact us for getting the copy of it. The Happy Candles way is one of the highest rated books in the category and you can go through the reviews of the book on Amazon before purchasing it.
Based on Parallel Channel, Supports and Resistances, Mother Father and Small child theory resistances and supports of Nifty remain at.
Nifty Resistances Remain at: 24815, 24909, 24977, 25045 and 25116. The channel top resistance for the current parallel channel is around 25372.
Nifty Supports Remain at: 24780 (Mother Line Support), 24679 and 24537. The Channel Bottom support is currently around 24396. 24247 is the most important Father line support.
Shadow of the candles currently is neutral. Indicating Nifty can still go in any direction. A pennant like structure (Triangle is also formed). This indicates that Breakout or Breakdown of this triangle or pennant can take Nifty a long way on either side. Nifty is currently squeezing in the pennant with limited space. Usually when the space is limited a Breakout can happen in either direction.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Lower Parallel Channel/Trendline tested again, 3rd time a charm?NOTE : I am not an expert trader by any means, I am open input and sharing my ideas. I am still learning this is my second time.
*************************************
DAILY
Price is consolidating or ranging
*************************************
4 HOUR
- Price seen between support and resistance
(DOWN/BEAR)
- Parrallel channel seen:
---- its height is around 5000 pips. a little more. (that i was able to measure)
---- with this being the 3rd test to its bottom line,, still hoovering in the lower channel, which could be bearish. however, it is looking like a rejection (as it is loosing momentum, and a doji is forming and likely to close as so.
---- yet, the channel is sell/short pattern. so next few candles may come with the moment and still turn, to go down
*************************************
In contrast (UP/ BULLS)
- Ukraine is about to begin to use btc as its national assest and an answer for that is pending soon. ( price will go up b/c this is good for this pair)
- two fake-outs seen at support
- the channel could continue sideways and actually go up
- or the channel will soon be invalidated, moving up, breaking thru top channel line.
*************************************
Right now, most technical indications are neutral, a this time for this pair. So lets wait and see.
*************************************
Happy trading.
Open to comments and advice.
*************************************
Gold - They All Call Me Crazy!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is just starting the next rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, Gold perfectly broke out of the long term rising channel formation. After we then witnessed the bullish break and retest confirmation, it was quite clear that Gold will head much higher. This just seems to be the beginning of the next crazy major bullrun.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nasdaq - The Most Decisive Point Ever!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) might break below all structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After breaking above the major channel resistance trendline just a couple of months ago, the Nasdaq is now being dominated by bears and starting to break everything back to the downside. So far we didn't see any confirmation but the next couple of days will decide just everything.
Levels to watch: $20.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Silver on the Brink: Will Buyers Step In?Silver is retracing alongside gold and other assets, but is this a buying opportunity? Key support levels to watch: $32.14, aligning with silver’s sensitivity to gold, and $31.50, the lower range of the current channel. Fundamentals remain strong, with trade wars and geopolitical tensions supporting long-term bullish momentum. Where do you see silver heading next? Share your thoughts below!
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Amd - Please Look At The Structure!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is about to retest massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For about 5 years Amd has been trading in a decent rising channel formation. That's exactly the reason for why we saw the harsh drop starting in the beginning of 2024. But as we are speaking, Amd is about to retest a massive confluence of support which could lead to a beautiful reversal.
Levels to watch: $100
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin - The Uptrend Remains 100% Valid!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) can create a textbook break and retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks we have only been seeing a consolidation on all cryptocurrencies, governed by the slow movement on Bitcoin. With today's drop Bitcoin is now approaching the previous all time highs, which are now acting as a major support, pushing price much higher.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Amazon - Catch The Parabolic Rally Now!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) will start the parabolic rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, we finally saw the expected all time high breakout on Amazon. Following the overall governing rising channel pattern, I simply do expect the acceleration of the current rally, the creation of a parabolic rally, but maybe we will see a bullish retest first.
Levels to watch: $180, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Google Update - Trade this range and new ATH Identified Update video on the google Long that has been planned since early FEB. The level has now been hit and we got a nice reaction off that level . In this video I look into where I think we go next and how price plays out .
In the video I use the following tools TR Pocket FIB , 0.618 FIB , Pivots , Parallel Channel and the Fixed range Vol Profile.
If we stay range bound inside the channel then we have the potential to see a new high on google at the top of the channel in confluence with 1-1 ext + tr pocket expansion .
Watch the video and mark the levels on your chart and ensure to set your alerts .
Dont forget to Boost the chart Please and i welcome any questions TY
$XRP Ripple Breakdown to $2.00 LikelyIn this video, I analyze CRYPTO:XRPUSD 's current price action and explain why I expect it to continue moving lower. After closely examining the chart, I now have greater confidence that CRYPTO:XRPUSD is headed toward at least $2.00, possibly lower.
The price is losing support within a key channel and appears to be failing a retest after a breakout without much momentum. There’s no significant support holding it up right now, meaning a further drop is the most likely scenario. Several technical factors—including trendlines, moving averages, and liquidity positioning—align with this expectation.
Key Market Observations & Trade Setup
🔹 Why a Drop is Likely
Price is breaking below key support, suggesting continuation downward.
No structural support underneath the current level, making a drop to at least $2.00 likely.
The broader market, including Bitcoin, is showing weakness, reinforcing this move.
🔹 Target Zones & Expected Movement
$2.00 is a key level, but price could go lower.
Trendlines and moving averages below indicate further downside potential.
No immediate signs of reversal—the market is likely to keep declining in the short term.
🔹 Trading Considerations & Risk Management
Holding here is risky—waiting for confirmation of a bounce is critical before considering entries.
There’s no real support keeping price afloat, so traders should plan accordingly.
This move aligns with previous technical expectations, confirming that further downside is not unexpected.
Final Thoughts
COINBASE:XRPUSD is falling as expected, and based on the chart, a move toward $2.00 or lower seems highly probable. There’s nothing holding price up right now, and broader market conditions support this outlook.
And apologies if I sound a little slow and for the little pauses, I'm still going on no sleep and the entire time I was speaking I was just trying to compartmentalize my frustration with the terrible lag which I'm experiencing trying to move the mouse around on the screen...
Broadcom - This Chart Is Just Splendid!Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) is starting the rejection:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past decade, Broadcom has been trading in an obvious rising channel formation, perfectly rejecting the upper resistance as well as the lower support trendline. With the recent weakness, Broadcom is now preparing for a clean rejection away from the major reversal area.
Levels to watch: $250, $150
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nasdaq - Starting The Final Parabolic Year!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is perfectly following the breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in 2020 we already witnessed the channel break and retest, which was followed by a parabolic rally of another +50%. And in mid 2024, the Nasdaq again broke the channel trendline towards the upside, preparing the repetition of the parabolic rally which we saw four years ago.
Levels to watch: $30.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
EurUsd - This Will Impact Your Trading In 2025!EurUsd ( OANDA:EURUSD ) is heading much lower:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For basically an entire year, EurUsd has been retesting a massive previous support which was then turned resistance. Over the past couple of months, we then saw a significant drop breaking all structure towards the downside and it is quite likely that this won't stop soon.
Levels to watch: $1.090, $0.970
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Micron Technology - The Textbook Chart!Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is retesting massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past seven year, Micron Technology has been respecting a pretty clear rising channel pattern. With the recent all time high breakout, it is very likely that this level is now holding as support and we will eventually see a rejection and new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $90, $180
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold - This Resistance Decides Everything!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is retesting massive resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
All bullruns will eventually end with a consolidation or a correction but on Gold it is clearly not certain whether this bullrun is actually over or not. We are seeing a lot of indecision price action lately but in order to turn bullish, Gold has to break this resistance.
Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
S&P500 - Preparing For The Final Bullrun!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is still heading higher:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Although the S&P500 has been creating new all time highs for the past couple of months, charts are clearly telling us that this bullrun is not over yet. We already saw two textbook cycles of +90% each and during 2025, we will see the completion of the third and final bullrun.
Levels to watch: $7.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)






















