BITCOIN Update: Stay Alert (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Read the analysis carefully
Given the loss of the trendline, Bitcoin stalling, and decreasing momentum, the previous Bitcoin analysis needed to be updated.
If Bitcoin fails to make a valid breakout above the yellow line at $116,520 and does not sustain above it, a bearish scenario will emerge, and the price will drop significantly
A bullish outlook toward the supply zone shown on the chart above is only valid if Bitcoin executes a confirmed breakout above $116,520.
So stay alert and follow the chart closely.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Pivot Points
GBPCHF - Weekly Outlook
Pair: GBPCHF
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Major LH has been broken, signaling clear buy intent. A deep pullback is currently in play, setting up potential continuation.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Price has mitigated the OB zone and pushed deeper into the secret anchor OB area. Structure shows high-probability continuation potential.
LTF (30M/5M):
Waiting for a CHoCH to form. Once the LH breaks, we’ll wait for the pullback to occur and attend the bullish leg.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
GBPCHF can run sharp — patience for the CHoCH and pullback ensures a clean entry aligned with HTF bullish intent.
EURNZD - Weekly OutlookPair: EURNZD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Strong momentum visible toward the upside, structure clearly bullish.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Anticipating continuation to the highs. Waiting for the courtyard liquidity to be taken and slashed before confirming the next leg.
LTF (30M/5M):
Once price mitigates the OB from the MTF, we wait for a full CHoCH. After that prints, we’ll look for a pullback on the bullish leg to catch the move.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
Let the CHoCH and mitigation complete — patience ensures the cleanest entry and avoids premature entries against structure.
BTCUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: BTCUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Bullish structure remains intact. Dropping to lower scales to anticipate continuation within the broader trend.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Structure is mapped and refined. A CHoCH has printed from a deep anchor zone. Now waiting for the sell-side liquidity (SSL) sweep 🧹 before dropping to lower confirmations.
LTF (30M/5M):
Once mitigation from the higher zone is complete, we’ll wait for a breach of the LH. Once applied, we’ll attend the bullish leg.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
Crypto loves liquidity sweeps — let BTC clear the SSL and confirm with structure before committing to the long side.
XAUUSD (Gold) - Weekly OutlookPair: XAUUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Structure is mapped and refined, with momentum clearly showing toward the upside.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Watching for sell-side liquidity (SSL) to be taken. Once slashed and the OB is fully mitigated, confirmations for continuation higher will be in play.
LTF (30M/5M):
Waiting for HTF sync and full mitigation. Once a CHoCH is confirmed with a LH break, we’ll attend to the bullish leg.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on delivery)
Mindset Note:
Gold moves aggressively — let the SSL clear and mitigation align before entering. The CHoCH keeps you disciplined inside the volatility.
EURCAD Breakout and Retest , All Eyes on SellingHello Traders
In This Chart EURCAD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURCAD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZDUSD - Weekly Outlook
Pair: NZDUSD
Bias: Bearish
HTF Overview (4H):
Structure is mapped and refined at the highest tier, showing bearish intent.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Anticipating continuation lower. Waiting for buy-side liquidity (BSL) to be taken. Once slashed and OB mitigated, price aligned with the bearish narrative.
LTF (30M/5M):
A CHoCH has already been confirmed with a break of the HL. Now waiting for a pullback into the bearish leg to attend further sells.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M lows
• TP2: 30M lows (depending on delivery)
Mindset Note:
NU often fakes bullish before continuing lower — let the pullback deliver before committing to the short side.
AUDUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: AUDUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Bullish structure is intact, with momentum visually clear and intent showing strong upside direction.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Price has been mapped and refined to precision. The OB zone has already been mitigated, so now we wait for confirmation of continuation.
LTF (30M/5M):
Looking for a CHoCH confirmation with a breach of the LH. Once that occurs, we’ll attend the bullish leg for long setups.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on delivery)
Mindset Note:
AU rewards patience — let the CHoCH print before entering. A confirmed breach of structure keeps you aligned with the higher-timeframe bullish momentum.
EURJPY - Weekly OutlookPair: EURJPY
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Bullish structure is mapped and refined, showing strong momentum toward the upside.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Refined structure suggests continuation in line with the dominant bullish trend. Waiting for courtyard liquidity (SSL) to be taken and slashed before further confirmation.
LTF (30M/5M):
Once price mitigates the refined zone, we’ll wait for a CHoCH to anticipate the buy leg. Until then, we remain patient.
Entry Zone:
Pending mitigation of refined OB and CHoCH confirmation.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
EURJPY can fake early — let the SSL get slashed before looking for your CHoCH confirmation. Patience secures the cleaner entry.
BTC.D (Dominance at Critical Fibonacci Confluence) 2025 Weekly
**Summary:**
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is testing a major Fibonacci confluence near the 66% level. This zone historically acts as a major pivot and may signal either a continued dominance rally or a potential reversal setting the stage for altseason. We use three layered Fibonacci retracements to outline dominant trend zones, key resistances, and projected targets.
**Chart Context:**
This chart uses **three distinct Fibonacci retracements** to map the historical and projected behavior of BTC dominance:
1. **Primary Fib** (100% to 0%): Captures the macro move from BTC.D \~100% down to its 0% level at \~0%, which aligns with the first altseason (2018–2019).
2. **Secondary Fib** (100% to 38.88%): Maps the first bearish wave to identify potential recovery levels. BTC.D retraced up to the 61.8% (\~73.68%) but failed to break further.
3. **Third or the Current Fib** (73.68% to 38.88%): Maps the latest bearish fall in BTC.D. As of now, BTC.D is hovering at the 78.6% retracement level of this move, indicating heavy resistance.
**Key Technical Observations:**
* **1st TP (Resistance):** 66% — Strong Fibonacci confluence zone:
* Fib2 48.6% ≈ Fib3 78.6%
* Major reversal zone historically
* **2nd TP (Support):** 52.25% — Multi-Fib confluence:
* Fib1 48.6%, Fib2 61.8%, Fib3 38.2%
* **3rd TP (Ultimate Support):** 38.88% — Historical BTC.D bottom, aligned with the first altseason.
* Intermediate Fibonacci confluences between 48%–60% serve as layered support during decline phases.
**Indicators:**
* No external indicators used; pure multi-frame Fibonacci confluence.
* Price action structure and historical patterns highlight potential market rotation zones.
**Fundamental Context:**
The current phase of the market reflects increasing speculative activity in altcoins while Bitcoin consolidates. Historically, high BTC.D correlates with Bitcoin-led rallies, while a sharp drop often triggers altseason.
* Growing inflows into ETH, SOL, and possible now XRP, and mid-cap alts suggest capital rotation.
* If BTC.D faces rejection from 66%, the market could enter a new altseason phase.
* Macro tailwinds (e.g., easing monetary policy, risk-on sentiment) support altcoin performance in the medium term.
**Philosophical or Narrative View:**
BTC.D acts as a barometer of market risk preference. As confidence expands beyond Bitcoin, money flows into altcoins—like tributaries branching off the main river. The rejection from major confluences signals this psychological shift, marking phases of creative decentralization.
**Related Reference Charts:**
* TOTAL3 Fibonacci Setup (Altcoin market excluding BTC & ETH):
* TOTAL2 Correction Probabilities:
**Bias & Strategy Implication:**
* **Primary Bias:** Bearish rejection from 66% followed by correction to 52% and potentially 38.88%.
* **Alternative Scenario:** Brief breach above 66% before reversal.
* Traders may consider rotating into altcoin exposure if BTC.D confirms reversal at the confluence zone.
**Time Horizon:**
* Mid to Long Term (1–6 months outlook)
* Weekly timeframe tracking
**Notes & Disclaimers:**
* This analysis is for educational purposes. Market conditions may evolve rapidly.
* Use proper risk management when acting on dominance signals.
GBPJPY - Weekly OutlookPair: GBPJPY
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Bullish structure is mapped and refined, showing strong upward momentum. Price is moving cleanly in line with the trend.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Structure is refined and awaiting a deeper courtyard slash. Looking for mitigation of the OB sitting below before continuation higher.
LTF (30M/5M):
Confirmation will come once the lower high (LH) is breached. Expecting a pullback setup from there, which we’ll attend to. Until then, patience is key.
Entry Zone:
Refined OB once mitigation aligns with LTF confirmations.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
GJ delivers volatility — let price pull back into your courtyard slash before committing. Structure will tell the story.
GBPUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: GBPUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Structure is refined and mapped, with mitigation of the OB zone below. Since then, price has respected bullish movement across lower scales. ⚖️
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Structure has been mapped and previous sell-side liquidity was taken. Following the OB mitigation, price continued bullish. Now watching to see if that mitigation level holds.
LTF (30M/5M):
Looking for a CHoCH confirmation inside refined zones. Once confirmed, we’ll aim toward the highs.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
Let the confirmation come to you — GU loves to sweep and shake weak hands before committing to trend continuation.
GBPCAD: Retracement + Key LevelsBias: Short
Type: Against the trend
Trend: Uptrend
Area of Value: 2 Resistance Hits + Quarter Open
Momentum: 1D MACD Histogram about to cross the Low Tide
Entry: 1.87057
Exit: Stop Loss @ 1.88637; Take Profit @ 1.82317
Analysis:
Fact 1: GBPCAD is in an uptrend as clearly seen it's Higher Lows and Higher Highs.
Fact 2: GBPCAD is an uptrend respecting the trend line since 2023 .
Fact 3: GBPCAD touches the key support level and the trend line simultaneously, before breaking into a new higher high.
Conclusion
Since GBPCAD is in an uptrend, and has not accomplished the facts of the past for reaching a new high which is to touch the key support level + touch the trend line. I believe that GBPCAD will retrace into the key support level @ 1.82300 and simultaneously bounce off the trendline before reaching a new higher high.
Risk to Reward: 3
DXY: Key Levels + Change of CharacterBias: Long
Type: Reversal Trade
Trend: Range
Area of Value : Key Levels from downtrend before change of character.
Momentum : 1D MACD Histogram about to cross the High Tide.
Entry: 97.691
Exit: Stop Loss @ 96.890; Take Profit @ 100.894.
Analysis
Fact 1: DXY since 2022 has stayed above the 100.890 support level trending as a range.
Fact 2: DXY has now crossed the key support level @ 100.890 which now acts as a resistance
Fact 3: DXY crossed the trend line signaling a change of character + DXY MACD Histogram is about to cross to High Tide also signaling a change of character.
Conclusion:
Since the key support level @ 100.890 has now been broken, and there is a change of character about to happen. I believe that DXY will at the very least reach the resistance level @ 100.890 before bouncing off to continue the down trend or break to re-enter the range.
Recommendation:
Long Entry on the Area of Value (97.691), for stop loss add 1D ATR for distance (96.890), for take profit let it be the key resistance level (100.894). R:R of 4
AUDNZD: Strong Resistance Level + MomentumBias: Short
Type: Reversal
Trend: Range
Area of Value: Min-Max Support and Resistance Level
Momentum: 1D MACD Histogram about to cross the Low Tide
Entry : 1.11190
Exit: Stop Loss @ 1.12150; Take Profit @ 1.09252 or @ 1.06390
Analysis:
Fact 1: AUDNZD has been in a range since 2014, with resistance level @ 1.12940.
Fact 2: AUDNZD in the recent price movements based on 1D has only been reaching the max resistance @ 1.11500 before moving back down to @ 1.06400 support level.
Fact 3: AUDNZD has reached the recent max resistance level @ 1.11500, paired with 1D MACD Histogram about to cross to the Low Tide.
Conclusion:
Since AUDNZD is in a Range, has reached its recent maximum resistance levels confluence by Yearly Highs, Yearly Opens, and Quarter Opens, with a momentum pairing from 1D MACD of crossing the Low Tide. I believe that AUDNZD will have a price reversal and move its price to any of the our two take profits.
XPDUSD: Strong Confluence + MomentumBias: Long
Trade Type: Reversal
Trend: Range
Area of Value: Yearly Open + Quarter Open + 6 Hit Support
Momentum: 1D MACD Histogram Crossing to High Tide.
Entry: 1,102.37
Exits: Stop Loss @ 1,063.95 ; Take Profit @ 1,217.82
Analysis
Fact 1: XPDUSD is in a Range between 908.50 and 1,245.35 since 2023.
Fact 2: XPDUSD movements between the ranges are relatively fast where a power move toward the resistance @ 1245.35 is also met with a power move reversal to the support @ 908.50
Fact 3: XPDUSD last move towards the resistance broke the resistance, and the reversal towards the support is a slow crawling move instead of a fast power move.
Fact 4: XPDUSD slowed down and seemed to bounce on the Area of Value that is full of confluence, paired with the timing of the momentum of MACD Histogram on 1D.
Conclusion:
XPDUSD broke its Resistance Level and instead of reversing down further to the support with a power move the bears seemed to have stopped at the Area of Value (1,102.37) confluenced by Yearly and Quarterly Opens + a strong 6 Hit support level, paired with a MACD Histogram crossing to High Tide. I believe that XPDUSD will bounce off the Area of Value and atleast reach 1,217.82 before resistance takes place.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3.00
EURUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: EURUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Price is maintaining clean bullish structure, breaking previous weekly highs. Watching closely to see if price holds this momentum.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Refined structure + liquidity buildup noted. Eyeing the sell-side liquidity (SSL) to be taken before confirming continuation.
LTF (30M/5M):
Will wait for confirmation once price trades into refined zones. Looking for inducement → mitigation → 5M structural confirmation.
Entry Zone:
Pending refinement once SSL is swept and HTF OB aligns with LTF confirmation.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
Patience is key — waiting for that SSL sweep keeps you out of fake momentum. Let structure guide the entry, not the impulse.
BITCOIN Update: Stay Alert (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Read the analysis carefully
Given the loss of the trendline, Bitcoin stalling, and decreasing momentum, the previous Bitcoin analysis needed to be updated.
If Bitcoin fails to make a valid breakout above the yellow line at $116,520 and does not sustain above it, a bearish scenario will emerge, and the price will drop significantly
A bullish outlook toward the supply zone shown on the chart above is only valid if Bitcoin executes a confirmed breakout above $116,520.
So stay alert and follow the chart closely.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDJPY - 21/9/2025USDJPY has been in a range for quite awhile but with the bearish push last week, and the bullish pull back, price has finally reached the 1hour supply zone that i marked up days ago.
I jumped into a trade on friday with a bearish bias.
+ve:
1. 1 hour supply zone reached
2. HTF shows signs of bearish price action to come.
-ve:
1. the market can surprise me this week with the Fed news coming out on Tuesday,
GRX Swing Setup Watch $0.595 and $0.875GRX is showing promising signs here, but as a small-cap stock, it demands disciplined risk management and a cautious approach. Price action is currently pulling back into a strong macro zone, aligning with the major 50% retracement level and previous structural highs—an area worth watching closely.
Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1 Optimal Entry:
Ideally, price pulls back to the demand structure around $0.595.
Look for a bullish candle confirmation at this level.
This setup offers the most favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Scenario 2 – Trend Continuation:
If price holds the swing low at $0.68 and breaks above the local swing high at $0.875, it confirms an uptrend.
Same TP targets apply.
Targets:
Initial target: ATH resistance near $1.305
Potential for further upside by trailing stop-loss along swing highs.
If price starts to break and close below $0.56 expect lower prices and the potential of this being a fakeout
Reminder: This is a speculative setup on a small-cap stock. Always size positions appropriately and manage risk with precision.
Please note, arrows are not based on time analysis just overall market structure.
XAUUSD - 21/9/2025Gold has been driven by fundamentals and not so much by technicals.
Last friday was the bullish push i was waiting for and i managed to capture 2 small trades with 2R wins each.
Going in to the new week, i would like to see a small pull back and further bullish push.
But there is a "near" equal low liquidity zone below that price may reach into- this scenario may show up on the monday/tuesday if anything- i will keep an eye on that.
There is big news coming out on Tuesday with the Fed speech and that may either drop gold to reach the zone below - or push it further bullish which is the scenario that i prefer with my bullish bias.
GBPUSD - 21/9/2025Weakness in the dollar DXY last week saw price action push up GBP.
Couple of things to notice.
- Price look out the equal high liquidity zone $$$
- Price action did not reach the 4hr zone and left some imbalance
- if the first 2 zones are taken, then i will wait for a confirmation entry at the extreme zone to show up on the 1hr or 4hr.
+ve:
1. price reached the first zone of interest and may sweep the second zone due to the imbalance between the zones
2. HTF structure is still bullish
-ve:
1. there is still imbalance above the extreme zone
2. the new week may change the direction and if the low of the extreme zone if taken then further bearish movement is due.






















