PHILIP MORRIS detailing complex Correction with ''WXY''. Regards, Team Traders "PowerfulTraders" flat
Big ISM decline with SPX divergence is signaling more SPX downside is likely in coming months
This week begins to give a first idea of the economic consequences of the epidemic (so far in the context of China). We are talking about the manufacturing PMI index for China, which fell to 35.7 in February (compared to 50 in January). The non-manufacturing index came out even worse, showing a value of 29.6 (the lowest in history). Recall that any value below...
The YANG China Bear fund should gain this week after an extremely bad print on China's manufacturing PMI, which came in 22% worse than expected over the weekend. China has been claiming economic recovery-- they say 90% of their state-run firms are back in business-- but the numbers belie those claims. Also go check out a BBC article titled "Coronavirus: Nasa...
Yesterday was notable for the fact that for the first time in an epidemic, the number of new cases in China was lower than in the rest of the world. On the one hand, this indicates a reduction in the epidemic in China, and on the other, the continuation of the deterioration of the situation in the world. Since the situation with the epidemic in China is improving...
No, not really. Only 3 of 7 divergences signaled recessions in the last 50 years. Besides, some recessions did not have any divergence. So data doesn't support the recession is coming thesis. Red flag -> Divergence with recession following Green flag -> Divergence w/o recession ? -> No divergence signal before recession (This post is in response to some...
SPX yoy performance vs PMI Manufacturing index Tried to replicate TeddyVallee's chart w/o z-scores he published on Twitter Big divergences I could find are marked with flags. I may be missing a few so make your own decisions Looks like when PMI and SPX diverged, most of the time SPX was correct! Could it be that stocks are the first to feel the liquidity...
Pmi remains in contraction , the chart highlights simply , the discord between a leading economic indicator and Indices Price.
Monday turned out to be a relatively calm day for the foreign exchange market. The euro and the pound could not reach Friday's peaks, due to the weak macroeconomic statistics. For example, in Germany, the PMI in the manufacturing sector fell to its lowest level in the last couple of months and amounted to 43.4. This confirms that the largest eurozone economy is...
After Brexit vote and a spike in EUR, we retraced the move the next day. Now seems like a H&S is forming with divergence. Proper support in terms of the trend line 200SMA and 1.11 area. Elliott waves suggest the final leg of retracement in wave (c). PMI data coming in this morning from Europe this morning. Negative numbers would give more probability to this...
From technical perspective, the pair is stuck in the 1.1100 - 1.1050 range. And we'll need to see a sharp breakouth in any direction to give us more clarity in the medium-term. For now, while the Dollar index is bullish in the medium-term, we can expect the euro to fall below 1.1050. Additionally, ECB President Lagarde will make her first major speech later...
Looking at the EURUSD daily chart, it clearly shows that it has come to a very important support level. That is a great reason for its purchasing. The stops are relatively small - about 30-40 points, and the profits, in this case, are about 100 points (the nearest strong resistance is located in the region of 1.1160). That is, purely technically, taking into...
S&P500 reaches a new ATH. However ISM/PMI Data out of the US speak a different language. After we have already witnessed a global slowing and contracting of the economy with many countries having PMIs under the 50 level for quite some time now, the US has now followed this trend that has been going on for over a year. PMIs again came in lower today and under the...
I expect a drawdown of Twitter in general with a drawdown of the market after the release of bad PMI in the USA, and the purchase of twitter with the investment horizon on the report, all details are reflected in the graph, please zoom in to see the text on the graph
If you have watched my analysis before I still expect the US Market to correct to the downside min. a 50% retracement from the last significant low. Fundamental Data is worsen as we stay in the contracting area under 50 and get a new lower reading with 47.8.
Some cases are still unresolved also news that the Chinese delegation has cancelled a planned visit to American farms only exacerbates. So yesterday's gold growth was more than logical against the backdrop of fears of the failure of negotiations on trade wars. Our position on gold is unchanged - we continue to look for points for asset purchases. This is...
In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD #Euro down on: - Disappointing German Manufacturing PMI (actual 41.4 vs expected 44.1 vs previous 43.5) - ECB could have made a mistake talking somewhat 'neutral' - Draghi's speech hinted to high uncertainty, decision-making harder and harder #Yen down on: - Disappointing Japanese...