Rationale to be bearish USD : 1. Tax Reform uncertainty 2. 10Yr Yield still weighed down Rationale to be bullish YEN : 1. Least greedy market today , safe haven flow 2. Oil been down, market offload risky assets
After being stopped out on my first entry on EURCHF I will sell again at 1.16351 I am expecting a big move to the downside, with COT Divergence peeking up to 13.51 for the pair and a possible move to risk off on CHF I am very confident that this pair will give me some good profit. This is a high probability trade with a Risk Reward ratio of 1:4. Please comment...
Look, its hard to recommend shorting something which you are long-term bullish. But given the current geopolitical situation happening around (I'm talking about the ousting of royals in Saudi Arabia over the weekend) and Kuroda's affirmation that there will not be any stimulus coming, we can expect the pair to move down lower. Do also note that the pair is also a...
Tomorrow is North Korea national day and whether or not they will launch another missile is unknown (and if they do Trump will do something just about as stupid). I'm betting there will be some retreat to Risk off asset such as the JPY. The tricky thing is which pair to pick. I've already had exposure to NZD short and CAD long. My rationale is if there is...
There is not much news coming out of JPY so I kind of ignore the currency coming into the week. However early Monday, with the Korea missile launch I knew JPY should be bought but did not take much action. In this case, the best risk-off play is to pair JPY with a risk currency that is expected to be weak (in this case USD as AUD, CAD, EUR is expected to have...
Currently short USDJPY as the risk off scenario looks to continue with geo-political tensions growing between the US and North Korea we are seeing safe haven currencies and commodities appreciating. Watching the 1HR charts we can see that price has respected the dynamic resistance of the 20EMA and created a C2 close off a 61.8 Fibonacci retracement.
NZD was one of the best looser in August and the market pressure in short direction still very high. CHF benefit from RISKOFF moment NZDCHF will fall soon
EURGBP Daily – Is Parity Inevitable? Earlier today the Euro broke the psychological $1.200 handle for the first time in 2 years whilst and it is now heading towards an all time high against the British Pound. At the start of the year, analysts had predicted further weakening for the Euro. We are now at the end of August and those predictions could not have been...
I am reading a book on Elliot Wave and am trying my hand at it. So we have the formation of a wave 1 that I drew a Fibonacci retracement on. The wave 1 has ended and appears to be in a triangle corrective formation that is reaching a point. By my analysis the wave should then break down into a 3 wave that is of more or less the same length as wave 1. The red line...
My position was triggered during the night and I'm looking to add more into my positions at the .73 Psychological Resistance Level and I moved my stop loss to break even. keeping the same risk as but looking to add more profits if the retracement plays out properly.
Im choosing this pair to go long as we see risk off today in markets, stop is tight.
Prepare for a LARGE weekly and monthly move down on FX_IDC:NZDUSD (or any risk pair) as we've now corrected larger double top down thru Monthly 100EMA and then re-tested as resistance. Ichimoku Cloud on monthly also says lower by end of June and July. SL 0.7450 TP1 0,5760 TP2 0.4910 Please come find me if you need extra service. I aim to please!
Mentioned in the previous post, there was an inherent weakness in the dollar-yen due to its price action around 113.22. While the pair rallied up to 113.35 prior to Asia opening, a huge wave of sell orders sent the pair tumbling. While we saw a potential short opportunity last evening (Singapore Time) on technical basis, the confirmation of North Korea's ICBM by...
OANDA:USDJPY has consolidated for a few days already and failed to retake the 112 level. With a series of lower highs, the supply resistance level is slowly going down to meet with the Weekly 200MA support. Its possible it might find support at the Daily 200MA level as it was able bounce off it from the previous downleg. In my opinion it might still test the...
OANDA:USDJPY just had a breakdown not only breaking the weekly 200MA but also the lower support channel but nothing goes in one direction in the markets so I expect a pullback before another move downwards. The price is currently between the daily and weekly 200MA so I expect sideways action with a slight bullish bias in the short term. It will be Daily...
3/22 Update: Failed breakout higher led to a reversal as risk-off took control of the markets yesterday. Continuation is very likely in equities today as well as a stronger yen (risk aversion). Entries between 138.60 and 139.00. The trend has been broken so this should lead to some strong selling pressure.
After this bearish impulse, it is likely that if the entry level is taken out we may see further downside. The EW count suggests the same. Also, with the inauguration occurring today, there is a possibility for a "risk off" economic environment to take the reigns which would mean a drop in riskier currencies like the kiwi and a rise in the safer yen. Cheers
I think we'll see some kind of retracement in the massive trends we had in place accross the board. Overall, I'm looking to buy weakness in the dollar in the long term, and looking for good value stocks, shorting overvalued stocks if needed, but rarely, and navigating the main trends in commodities. Metals look poised to rally with bonds here, at least in the...