Gold & Silver Build Momentum Into A New Rally PhaseAre you following my videos/research? If not, pay attention.
Gold and Silver will start to build momentum over the next few weeks - eventually moving 5 to 12% higher before mid-September.
This is a huge move for metals and will prompt Gold to attempt a rally toward $2750 while Silver attempts to rally above $32 - possibly targeting $34.
The dynamics of the global markets and the pending US POTUS elections will continue to drive global traders harder into precious metals as a hedge.
Nothing has changed.
The only thing that is new and taking place right now is the pause in metals is nearing an end point - which means we shift into bullish trending again.
Get ready - here we go (BULLISH)
SLV
Junior Miners will take some time off soon I see a repeat of March 2020 happening but with birdflu (check out my silver miners AMEX:SILJ thread where the fractal looks better).
Within 5 months, miners had a 42% gain, but within that time period there were 2 huge drops and 3 huge gains:
1. $46-$20 (56% loss) in 2 weeks (June-July)
2. $20-$40 (100% gain) in 4 weeks (July-August)
3. $40-$50 (25% gain) in 4 weeks (August-September)
4. $50-$42 (15% loss) in 4 weeks (September-October)
5. $42-$65 (55% gain) in 6 weeks (October-Mid November)
We'll want to target events 1, 2 and 5. OTM puts and calls on AMEX:NUGT , AMEX:JNUG and AMEX:AGQ will be the way to go on this assuming some exogenous event doesn't take down our markets (hack, EMP etc.), and IV is affordable. 1 will be moderately expensive because of hitting the top (unless it grinds slowly sideways dragging IV down with it). 2 could be pretty expensive. 5 should be highly affordable after a slow walk up and down for 2 months.
I will also be keeping a close eye on several junior miners like NYSE:EXK and one pharmaceutical company NASDAQ:GILD (check those threads also)
Opening (IRA): SLV July 26th 25 Monied Covered Call... for a 24.26 debit.
Comments: High IV here at 36.4%. Using the July 26th weekly here for the setup, since this is one of those options highly liquid underlyings with both liquid monthlies and weeklies, and I like to attempt to keep things in that 45 DTE wheelhouse if I can.
Because of the size of this underlying, I'm looking to ladder out if we get continued weakness, but am fine with taking my Happy Meal profits and move on if that happens.
Here, I like the metrics of the monied covered call relative to a similarly delta'd short put, so sold a -75 delta call against a one lot to emulate a 25 delta short put's metrics, but have the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 24.26
Max Profit: .74 ($74)
ROC at Max: 3.05%
50% Max: .37 ($37)
ROC at 50% Max: 1.53%
2XBEAR JUNIOR MINERS LOOKING GOOD FROM HERE!It's time for precious metals to take a cooler.
I noticed AMEX:JDST 's options for $5 is off the chart compared to other months. I bought calls for .20 for $5 strike price in September. I anticipating these going to 2.00 by then which is 1000% return.
I also think AMEX:DUST is worthy of buying at these levels too - except they don't have miners, but I see a 500% return for this stock by the fall.
I will also link to some supportive ideas following this post.
2XBEAR MINERS LOOKING GOOD FROM HERE!It's time for precious metals to take a cooler.
I noticed JDST's options for $5 is off the chart compared to other months. I bought calls for .20 for $5 strike price in September. I anticipating these going to 2.00 by then which is 1000% return.
I also think DUST is worthy of buying at these levels too - except they don't have miners, but I see a 500% return for this stock by the fall.
I will also link to some supportive ideas following this post.
Silver is in short term consolidation before breaking $30It doesn't matter what short term paper contracts do, or taking profits - the East is importing gold and silver at a beguiling rate that won't allow for much shenanigans for the metals market. I was however surprised to see the price bounce exactly off the top of the box.
I see silver going down to $24 area, shake out some hands, and rocket up past $30 after options expiration date. I see a smaller consolidation week in May before going even higher.
I HIGHLY recommend Silver Miners right now. They saw some life this week and last - and since they usually lag, I can see them being down for the next two weeks before going up themselves. I like AMEX:SIL , AMEX:SILJ , and NUGT for indices, and NYSE:NEM for the best miner in the world for one simple reason - AMERICA will be the LAST country to nationalize their natural resources in a communistic reaction to the skyrocketing dollar. I expect that to happen starting next year.
Double Top in Gold That Strangely is Correlated with NividiaDid you know gold and Nividia have an 81% correlation? That's strange. (chart in comments)
I see a double top in gold.
TTM Squeeze firing on weekly, daily, 4 hourly and it's a continuation of a squeeze on the hourly. TTM Squeeze's usually bounce off the opposite side when it breaks/fakes out. Outside an exogenous event I see pm's taking the summer off and reawakening in the fall when the dollar tops out after the BOJ sells US treasuries after China devalues their currency after the dollar spikes when Europe cuts rates soon. It's going to be an epic chain reaction.
The FED will cut rates heading into the election and if Trump wins he'll ride the last meme wave until it crashes and reinstitute a gold standard, or if Biden wins we get CBDC's.
I'll be looking for low IV OTM calls in the fall after the FED cuts rates...
Gold & Silver have done very well#GOLD & #SILVER have been on tear for some time.
Both showed bullish patterns & we took advantage of that.
GOLD
We've been long term holders of the shiny metal but we did take a chunk of the "paper gold" profits (stocks, contracts)
Want to step back in but RSI and $ flow have lost some steam, waiting.
Silver
Still looks pretty good.
Volume is still heavy for both = demand.
AMEX:GLD AMEX:SLV $PSLC AMEX:CEF
This little guy is about to rocket 700% minimumThis is a great leveraged silver miner play. I can see this easily doing more than 700% when silver breaks its ATH, which this miner wasn't even around for, so I can say that it can do 1400%. Obviously do your own research, this is NOT financial advice. I also own this miner myself so I put my money where my mouth is...
Silver will fall 10% - AGQ will fall 20% for retracementA 70% chance that silver provides a retracement next week, as the attacks on Israel by Iran are not coming out - and the West is getting desperate (I smell a false flag if Iran doesn't bite).
Asia (ChIndia - China & India) are hodling silver and gold and will provide the impetus for the forward price of precious metals.
TTM squeezes normally see price bounce off the opposite end as a fakeout before its continuation. I see that on multiple smaller TF's and a retracement to the middle BB on higher TF's.
I see a huge boost of silver miners coming up shortly, but for now I see a consolidation happening. Options for AMEX:AGQ was .05 for $36 June, so I see this going up to $1 or 20x if all goes as planned.
Then time to reload for metals blasting off!
Silver looks like it could take another 10% haircut before 🚀"That's a HUUUUGE wick" - Deuce Bigalow
Not uncommon for PA to come back down to touch the 20ema - which intersects a big trendline AND illustrates a backtest to the broken downward trendline. I anticipate this move happening fast, and could be combined with a minor market drop overall.
Exo-political situation that's escalating is the USDJPY - and the BOJ is taking it's good ole time with correcting its currency. When they dump treasuries I anticipate a vertical trajectory of precious metals AND miners. When that happens (not IF) that will over-ride any PA - so it might be wise to start building longer positions i.e. OTM call options slated for July expiration ( AMEX:AGQ ).
Since all Central Banks are reactionary in nature, the FED will wait till something breaks in the bond/treasury market but that can't happen until the BOJ dumps treasuries. And that can't happen until the dollar's ascent forces them to do this. So I see a higher dollar still, which will reflect the blunting of precious metals.
Are Gold & Silver done?Don't think #GOLD is done by any means.
HOWEVER.......
Sold some positions around the date of bearish engulfing. As of today the precious metal is still @ that price level. We missed a lil more upside but it wasn't much oi the whole scheme of things.
#SILVER shows same exact signs except the Bearish Engulfing.
AMEX:GLD AMEX:SLV
Junior Miners will fall 10-20% before catapulting in Mid MayMiners didn't accelerate to the upside like metals because they do better in lower interest rate environments, whereas metals do better for volatility events. You could buy ITM puts here on JNUG, NUGT, GDX or GDXJ and see a good return, or just wait for this to bottom in a couple of weeks and ride the lightning. THIS opportunity is one of the 2 that I see this year where you can buy OTM calls and this will be like Gamestop imo.
THIS ISN'T FINANCIAL ADVICE!
Endeavor Silver is about to blast off!This has broken out of two downward trends and Powell is about to be dovish with the dollar and let inflation rip again for Biden to get reelected.
I see a VERY ATTRACTIVE options play right now - Endeavor's May Call contract at $2.50 is .20 right now and the O/I is off the charts. $5 is .05 or $5 a call. If silver blasts off like I think then these guys could rocket past that was they hit $12 in 2011. August is the next options expiration month, and has some high volume, but not as high as May.
I think buying calls here would be a good choice. If you're concerned then brake up your months from May and August. I expect miners and metals to get pummeled this summer when BOJ announces rate CUTS when they implode. I'd diversify into the dollar or USDJPY or USDCNY at that point cause China will devalue their currency after the BOJ cuts rates to negative (to stay competitive).
THIS ISN'T FINANCIAL ADVICE!! I am making a purchase into these securities as well, so I'm putting my money where my mouth is.
Silver Squeeze Meme AGAIN? Do not get tricked!AMEX:SLV It's that time again! #silversqueeze is trending on social media. This meme resurfaces every 2-3 years CONSISTENTLY when whomever thinks the time is right to take retail traders' money. With Gold AMEX:GLD making new highs they are trying it once again.
Watch my video from 2021 and do the research on Google News yourself! Wait for the price action confirmation that I talk about in this video! Do not get tricked!
COMEX:SI1! COMEX:GC1!
Gold forms Bearish Engulfing, Silver at resistance🚨 🚨 🚨
#Gold is forming a Bearish Engulfing on the daily charts.
Volume is almost there for a confirmation of the pattern.
Money Flow is low.
Overbought.
Weekly we see Gold forming a doji = battle bulls & bears.
#Silver is at a major resistance.
This should be an interesting week...
AMEX:GLD AMEX:GDX AMEX:GDXJ AMEX:SLV
Inflation, and the coming SILVER PRICE EXPLOSION! As central banks around the world are losing their grip on baskets full of fiat currencies, real, tangible commodities like Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium are going to make an incredible run. There are three metals related to monetary systems throughout history: gold, silver and copper. So far we've seen gold pull ahead in the running, but soon silver will running it down with veracity!
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
$SLV Silver Inverse Head & Shoulders Weekly ChartAMEX:SLV Silver Inverse Head & Shoulders Weekly Chart, The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal pattern commonly observed in technical analysis. It typically consists of three troughs, with the middle trough (the head) being lower than the two surrounding troughs (the shoulders). This pattern suggests a reversal of a downward trend, with the price likely to move higher after the formation is complete. Traders often look for a breakout above the neckline, which serves as confirmation of the pattern and a potential entry point for long positions. The pattern is considered invalidated if the price breaks below the lowest point of the pattern.