Meta posts a double beat and collapses. Tesla posts a double miss and rallies. A prime example of how fundamentals can lead you astray. Meta is weighing in on the QQQ and broad market. This seloff does not instill confidence in the tech based market. We were riding a 450 Put on Meta into earnings.
... for a 1.69 credit. Comments: High IVR/IV at 78.9/34.5. Adding a rung out in July to my SMH position, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semiconductor ETF. Generally, will look to take profit on the short put at 50% max.
... for a 2.01 credit. Comments: High IVR/IV at 75.1/35.1. Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semiconductor ETF. I may look to ladder out at intervals if premium remains decent.
... for a 192.24 debit. Comments: Opened this in late Friday's session as it floated to the top of my IV screener with IVR/IV at 106/39. Sold the -75 delta call against 100 delta of long stock, with a resulting cost basis of 192.24/share. This is to emulate a 25 delta short put and to take advantage of call side IV skew while having "built-in" position defense...
As shown in the chart. SOXL is still a higher low along on the trendline, seeking a bounce tomorrow. I would take loss if SOXL dropped below 38.95. Otherwise, it should be ABC wave up to 53.
SMCI saw a nasty down move today with the market. Semiconductors led the downside move today. It seems massive amount of capital rotated out of the market today. This low float volume stock can unwind in a sharp way if this support is breached. Remember dip buyers will likely start to accumulate as semis are coming from All time high bull market....
SMH has gone on a wonderful tear the last year and has recently showing signs that it is way overbought and due for a correction. From a 1W period we see that SMH has broken above year long upward trend. This is a first for SMH to do over the last year The ETF has gone through some notable contractions like from Aug - Oct of 2023. This occured without...
Great profits taken on a few trades today. Bitcoin & crypto under pressure. Semiconductors weak today. TC members received 7 new trade alerts today. 1 Bonus stock pick at the end of the video.
The semiconductor index has been one of the best performing areas of the market over the last few quaters, and has continued to be strong since the late October bottom. The index is coming into overhead fibonacci resistance, and with weakening momentum starting to show up, similar to July last year, a pullback here looks likely. It seems hard to imagine with...
$nvda is a buy between 125/155 stock should go higher once consolidation is done
There is only so much advertisement a company can acquire before the law of diminishing returns kicks in. GOOG appears to have reached that point based on this chart. This is not good news for the overall market. Caution is in order. Especially to the Perma Bulls!
... for a 2.07 credit. Comments: 30-day IV at 27.8%. (Higher would be better, but you can't have everything). Collecting 1/3rd of the width of the wings in credit. 2.07 credit on BPE of 3.93; 52.7% ROC at max; 26.3% at 50% max. As usual, will generally look to take profit at 50% max; adjust sides on side test. This is probably my last trade in the March...
... for a 172.42 debit. Comments: While I'm waiting for a July contract to open up in broad market instruments (IWM, QQQ, SPY), shopping around the ETF space for premium. Relative to broad market, SMH IV isn't horrible (the 30-day is currently at 29.3%). Selling the -75 delta call against long stock, to emulate a 25 delta short put and to take advantage of...
What do you think?!? Looks easy to see IMO. Daily top on the SMH. Bad things coming for semis?
Tesla has had a beautiful bounce off support. This bounce comes on the back of a strong market, charging higher. If Tesla can hold above $195 it may move for the gap fill. Caution to the wind with Tesla as it has triggered a very bearish breakdown. SMCI is one of the best performing Semis. Its gone completely parabolic on its earnings. after gapping up 30%...
Watching the Yield Curve inversion closely...10's - 2's is narrowing. Weekly Reversal in the Semiconductors. Oil massive breakout! Dollar next? Tesla losing Mag 7 status...its now only 10th largest company.
Tesla Pummeled down 12% & Losing Mag 7 status. INTC poor earning reaction, weighing on Semiconductors Oil absolute definitive breakout. Dollar looks ready to pop. Vix creeping up.
The S&P500 broke out this week to new all time highs. Finally playing catchup the nasdaq indices. Semi-conductors continue to be the bright spot in the market. 10 year yield confims breakout. many S&P sectors closed negative on the week despite the marekt making ATH's