Yet Another Bearish Structure. This is a simple setup. A fully formed valid bearish rising wedge that is about to crack. Gove the state of the market the crack could come fast and furious. As such I am posting it a bit early. However, wait for the CRACK!
NASDAQ:SMH If the ETF surpasses the bullish line situated approximately at $150.69: Bullish Target Price 1: It seems that $152.30 is the immediate resistance, given the previous price reactions around this level. Bullish Target Price 2: If it clears the aforementioned level, the next potential target could be $154.05. If the ETF drops below the bearish line at...
Outside week (once a 3 always a 3), follow through with a 2 up on the weekly. Pivot Machine Gun (PMG) potential up North. As long as it's green on the week, month and quarter Long it is. Beware: green, but still inside (1) on the month and quarter. Shooting for 120-130 area towards the end of the year, let's see how it plays out.
... for a 1.32 credit. Comments: Targeting the shortest duration <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semiconductor ETF. I have no current position on in SMH, so will look to add at intervals should IV remain decent (it's currently at 28.7%, but at the low end of its 52-week range).
... for a 1.26 credit. Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semiconductor exchange-traded fund. Here, I'm adding a rung at a better strike in the November monthly than what I currently have on.
SOXS the 3x Inverse ETF for Semiconductors, has broken out of a Bullish Head and Shoulders and now sits at the 89EMA. If things go as expected, SOXS should be clear to at least give us a 60-150% rally. At the same time, we also have a Bearish AB=CD on AVGO and what looks to simply be filling of a gap it made at $830 after breaking below its own slanted Bearish...
smells like a double top walks like a double top #SMDH Goblin town given time is the destination.
Last time we saw the bullish moving average cross of the 7MA & the 590 MA we saw a superb rally over 2.5months. This time we are seeing a bearish cross of the same 2 moving averages. Could this replicate the move to the downside? Don't say we didn't caution you!
The SMH is the semi conductor exchange traded fund (EFT). This chart is a perfect example of the place where traders can generally count on a bull bear battle. When price is falling, the human nature tendency is to think what's happening now will continue to happen in the near term. All charts act and react the same way. In fact, Mrs. Market is simply...
It's Fryyyydayyyy ... (which is when I tend to do all my "stuff"). Well, unless you've been hiding under a rock (no judgment here), you'll know that premium-selling in broad market isn't very good here, with IWM IVR/IV at 12.3/19.7%, QQQ at 9.1/20.1%, and SPY at 6.8/14.4%. That sub-25 IVR is telling you that broad market IV is in the bottom quarter of its...
... for a 1.34 credit. Comments: Adding a rung out in the November monthly so that my October rung doesn't look so lonely ... . It's actually because SMH 30-day IV is still fairly decent at 31.6%; the only options liquid ETF's with better IV are GDXJ (35.2%) and FXI (32.0%). Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to...
... for a 1.60 credit. Comments: Just adding a little sump thin' sump thin' in high IV exchange-traded fund land, selling premium that targets the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semicon sector. Here, 30-day IV is at 33.4% and at the top of my liquid exchange-traded fund board when...
The chart posted is the SMH we have a positive NON CONFIRMATION in the RSI I am 90 % net long using calls target 161.8/165.3
NASDAQ:SMH Recovered around 93% from the October 10th 2022 lows. Testing the upper range of the parallel channel and also a double top. A sell off around 11% would leave NASDAQ:SMH back down to its uptrend line.
NASDAQ:SMH Semiconductors on a weekly chart tested a Double Top. Now we have to watch if SMH will consolidate in a bullish way and the break out or does it sell off like it did in 2022.
Entry: when price clears 151.71 Volume: with daily volume greater than 13.30M Target: 167 area Stop: Depending on your risk tolerance; 146.62 gets you 3/1 Risk/Reward. This swing trade idea is not trade advice and is strictly based on my ideas and technical analysis. No due diligence or fundamental analysis was performed while evaluating this trade idea. Do not...
I don't have much to go on but that is fine. I just use the trend pivot line to put my back against (like a stop loss) So the margin of loss is minimal if the trade fails. I call this area the position of maximum opportunity.
SMH recently peaked at 151.71 on May 30, leaving behind two gaps for potential fill in an area of low volume (yellow volume profile highlight). I am expecting a selloff into the gap areas, which also are at key fib levels. 5/30: peak = 151.71 143.89 = 76% fib (Touched today, and 5.2% off peak) 139.05 = 61.8% fib ( 8.3% off peak) 135.14 = 50% fib (10.9% off...