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AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D,
KC2!: Need a frost to get this market moving
26 0 4
KC2!, D
Need a frost to get this market moving

.... doubt it will happen this year. last year we had three severe frost scare days/weekend. IMHO this market is where it is merely because of cautious buyers ahead of the season. I see rangebound through July and if no frost happens more downward potential. Technically speaking, the bull market appears to be over.

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz CT1!, D,
CT1!: CT overbought. Looking for sideways to take a breather
35 1 2
CT1!, D
CT overbought. Looking for sideways to take a breather

Technically overbought. New highs made with declining volume. Not an indicator for continued strength. Overall uptrend is intact, but we are near upper end of trend channel. On top of that market is overbought based on BB, RSI and Stochastik. Targets: 1. Middle bollinger Band 2.Upsloping red shorter term trendline 3. Longer term red trend line, and 100 day MA ...

xtrader1 xtrader1 QBCH2017, D, Long ,
QBCH2017: Forecast Corn Futures: Move up 385
43 0 4
QBCH2017, D Long
Forecast Corn Futures: Move up 385

This is an update on a earlier forecast on corn futures. The analysis remains the same: expect a move up to 385, then a retrace.

PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO ZC1!, W, Long ,
ZC1!: CORN | Weekly Chart
36 0 4
ZC1!, W Long
CORN | Weekly Chart

It's arguably a similar case to the former on wheat... Buying within the lowest decile in a decade, a very asymmetric return distribution, a potential break-out of the down trend.

PrometheusAM PrometheusAM PRO ZC1!, D, Long ,
ZC1!: CORN | Nudging above 200MA
21 0 2
ZC1!, D Long
CORN | Nudging above 200MA

A double bottom to launch from!?!

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Long ,
KC2!: Well, we are still in an uptrend, technically speaking
42 0 4
KC2!, D Long
Well, we are still in an uptrend, technically speaking

After the "healthy" correction, kc touched the 100 day MA around 153 as indicated previously as a potential target. Furthermore, we are hitting the lower end of the trend channel (blue). I am looking for some support coming in here. As vol softened during the sell off, threeways, selling put spread, buying call seem to be good long market, long vega strategies ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Short ,
KC2!: Things point to 140 for now (2nd month continuation)
33 2 1
KC2!, D Short
Things point to 140 for now (2nd month continuation)

Looks down to the 140 area for a test. However as long as the orange or blue trends hold, the upwards trend is still intact IMHO. short call spreads above 165 in Dec or January might be a good idea. I would buy any puts as downside seems limited for the moment and option volatility might decline during a sell off diminishing returns on long option strategies. ...

gorillacharts gorillacharts KC1!, D, Long ,
KC1!: Coffee Tactical Low in New Bull Cycle
47 0 2
KC1!, D Long
Coffee Tactical Low in New Bull Cycle

I am bullish Coffee since a series of bullish momentum divergences started to develop in February, March and April. As with other commodities, I am convinced that the early 2016 lows were important cyclical lows. I am therefore bullish Coffee long-term. The weakening US Dollar should further support the entire commodities complex. The latest correction brought ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC1!, D, Short ,
KC1!: 130 target area
26 0 3
KC1!, D Short
130 target area

Looking for 130 area as a target of the recent decline in coffee prices. Overall uptrend as indicated in upsloping orange trendline hasn't been broken yet Spreads are weak as well.

Unconventional.Intelligence Unconventional.Intelligence SWFT, D, Short ,
SWFT: Cashflow: 3.4% on $SWFT
7 0 0
SWFT, D Short
Cashflow: 3.4% on $SWFT

If ONLY you already have this stock in your portfolio, AUG16 19 call is only $.65 which is 3.4% (UR) and 4.1% (AR) which is good downside protection. Next ER is 90 from now. Plan B: Feb17 17.00 is only $3.20 and you can close it at $2 for more than 5% ROI. (if only you have this stock already in your portfolio.) Risk: Enter at your own Risk. Investment ...

xiiimik xiiimik W1!, W, Long ,
W1!: Wheat - the next big thing?
73 0 5
W1!, W Long
Wheat - the next big thing?

Wheat has excellent potential in coming weeks. Pay attention to COT report. Open the link and proceed to the weekly chart of wheat. Notice that hedgers are spiking. The entry signal would be the spike in COT reports.

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Short ,
KC2!: KC short
81 2 4
KC2!, D Short
KC short

Update on a upsloping trendline (blue) which acts as resistance On the 5 hour chart, we should have generated a sell signal. I still remain short via puyt spread 1x2s, as frost is no longer an issue. It appears the market is still digesting this from last week and should correct lower IMHO as physical supplies out of Brazil remain steady. Warehouse stocks in ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Short ,
KC2!: No frost in Brazil
48 5 4
KC2!, D Short
No frost in Brazil

Seems like no frost in Brazil. It was a busy weeks last week and throughout the weekend with fears a frost could hit coffee areas. None has been confirmed and worst fears did not play out. Once all of this is digested I expect some downside opportunities as the market goes back into trading technicals rather than emotions. Quite oversold and we saw sell ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC1!, D,
KC1!: Still waiting, beware bulls; risk reward not so great
44 0 4
KC1!, D
Still waiting, beware bulls; risk reward not so great

Pro Long (Chart): - RSI and Stochastik created buy signal - Orange support line Pro Long (Physical): - ICE warehouse stocks new lows - spreads tightening ever so slightly Contra (Chart): - still in middle to upper end of trend channel - room to go in terms of lower Bollinger band - long term trend still down - risk/reward for long position not there IMHO I ...

NL5N_ NL5N_ CCH2016, D,
CCH2016: Cocoa March - May 2016
42 0 1
CCH2016, D
Cocoa March - May 2016

Cocoa is moving, I'm anticipating a bull run soon.

Bullionite Bullionite PRO SBK2016, D, Short ,
SBK2016: Sugar not so sweet!
22 0 0
SBK2016, D Short
Sugar not so sweet!

A good strong break of a longer time frame trendline and the 200 day SMA also came in close to that break. A nice retracement back to a key level and then closed lower. I am short at this level. Looks like it's starting the next leg down. 12.50 area may offer some support but it looks great so far.

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Long ,
KC2!: Not bad risk/reward IMHO
80 0 4
KC2!, D Long
Not bad risk/reward IMHO

Pro bullish: - Slight bullish divergence on RSI and Stochastik - market running into support at lower end of trend channel - lower Bband at lows - Spreads steady Pro neutral: - nothing clear cut yet in terms of buy signal This is a good risk reward IMHO

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz SB1!, D,
SB1!: SB Sugar turning neutral in light of bearish engulfing
28 0 1
SB1!, D
SB Sugar turning neutral in light of bearish engulfing

Turning neutral and watching closely. I think good entry for e retracement IMHO - RSI & Stochastik with bearish indications and market is very overbought. - bearish engulfing and hanging man (confirmed with bearish engulfing) - spreads have been weak the last three days already indicating a trend change I am neutral with a bearish bias, but need more ...

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