Coffee reached our target at 120. However, there is still no signal the decline is done and we want to follow the trend. The support is broken and it makes me believe there is a big chance we can see a retest of important support/resistance near 104. So, if you still hold your shorts, consider adding trailing stops and let the good time roll.
The COT report is bearish, the seasonal tendency is to the downside. We have a divergence in the 4h chart. So, where do we sell? I think breaking below Thursday's low or formation of lower high would be good entries. 120 has been an important level for Coffee. It has to be tested again and it is our swing target.
US Coffee futures ( KC1!) has completed ABC zigzag up side where C wave was extended impulse.
It dropped in wave A in 15 min time frame, so get in to sell trade in B wave near 124.25, with stops above invalidation level above 127.50 for target of C wave down up to 116.50, which is the 4th wave zone of internal wave of C previous wave of Up cycle.
US Sugar futures ( SB1!) has completed ABC zigzag as the part of Y wave, as mentioned in previous updates. The total sequence is WXY as double zigzag, which is well known in Elliott wave theory and mostly seen in commodities and currencies.
In last updates, we already posted the bull set up for buy a C wave, Now its over.
stay short in B wave up at around...
COCOA is sideways for the last 10 years and seems like it will stay like that.
Today we will talk about Cocoa and its price action from Elliott Wave perspective.
Well, looking at the longer-term weekly chart, we can see Cocoa moving sideways for the last 10 years in the 3700 – 1700 range, ideally within a bigger bearish triangle pattern in wave...
Taking support at daily kijunsen which coincide with 50% retracement of current rally, you would never like to miss a buy. In a bull run RSI at 50 needs to give support and it almost kissed that level. Re buying here can provide quick profits towards 100 and recent high. Fundamentally, Brazilian Real rallied big after we spotted bottom against USD at 4.10 . Coffee...
Coffee is trading near multi year horizontal support of 95 cents. While excessive supply and falling Brazilian real crushed the prices, there is ray of hope ahead. With price almost reaching 95 level which seems safe accumulation level, there can be gains in coming months. Farmers in Brazil are reducing coffee cultivation area will lead reduction in inventories in...
Orange Juice price is a bit oversold and a bullish correction could come very soon. I built a bull spread OJF19-OJH19 and I wait for an entry about -1,50 with SL -2,50 ($150/contract) and PT 2,00 ($525/contract).
Lester Davids, our Trading Desk analyst, is bullish on sugar over the medium term, but in the short term there may have a potential short/sell.
Interesting that all the softs (except wheat) have all moved together. Possibly look to accumulate a basket of softs on a bit of a pull back.
25 Apr 2018 Cotton #2 Ice
Price fall of Apr24 points to immediate support at 81.10 then 80.70
This latter support is significant and failure here (Daily close below) will open next support at 79.70 (double bottom retest) and 77.70
If the double bottom retest gives way then price will probably move down to 74.40 (minimum) or more likely 73.90...