Let me start off by saying I don't think a crash (-10%+) will occur before election day. Still as experienced in previous election cycles, usually two to one week before election day markets tend to sell-off as there is high uncertainty associated with presidential elections. I am basing this possible short play totally on technical and news factors; namely...
I am watching, as many are, the current US indexes and their recent all-time highs. We've hd record day independently but Friday they all hit new highs. People I know are shorting SP500, buying gold like crazy, etc. but though this is an epic day, it might not be done climbing yet. Now, I agree that things will reverse. But it's a matter of when that will secure a...
Correct me if I'm wrong but I see:
a - bottom support
b - top support
c - megaphone pattern
d - cycles (blue lines)
So I see such scenarios:
D - PRINT PRINT PRINT by FED friends and rise right to the moon ;)
C - small correction and then moon
A & B - Big drop as shown, with crash perspective
SL 2248 or none
RR ratio: 3.13
Please let me know what...
The S&P 500 composite index reached 2129.79 today, just a point away from its all time high at 2130.82.
This should provide a good place to short the S&P, because:
Fundamentally: the outlook for the US economy is strong, with good job growth - however, the Federal Reserve should now look to increase interest rates slowly, which should gradually weigh...
at these stage spx is on a no go zone , on up side price action is sitting on big resistance around 2095 and a fib level a couple point above that and below it face as support and it quit a BIG one that have been defended for quit some time now but it will be very interesseting to see wich side it's going to actually go , on either side they are big target long...
It seems we're at the inflection point once again. Maybe a day or two out from SMAs and MACDs turning positive for UVXY, and these big spikes in block trades are usually a precursor it seems to market sell offs - big players taking profits likely.
I have multiple other charts that support this view with OnbalanceVol/Accum/distribution; potential slide in oil,...
This is a longer term idea based off charting done from 2008 until now, and where we expect to go from here.
For this interested, earlier today I did a shorter term outlook using daily candles, for those interested the link is: , or you can find it in my profile. Feedback and...
We can enter a sell trade for the S&P 500 index if it breaks the highlighted triangle pattern and settle below it.
Target 1: 1910
Target 2: 1860
Stop Loss: If it turns out to be a false break and the index closes back above 2040.
Monitor cluster and put stop on breakeven.
look at our setup:
I do appreciate all views be it a like or comment, and if you subscribe to this analysis, you will receive all of our real-time update! Thanks!