The S&P500 / US500 is approaching the 1day MA200 (intact since March 24th) and its 1day RSI just become oversold for the first time since September 27th 2022 (exactly 1 year ago!).
That time was the begining of the Bear Cycle's bottom formation.
Additionally, we are at the bottom of the Channel Up pattern that started after the September 2022 bottom, so it is...
Last week, the FED meeting resulted in no rate hike. However, Jerome Powell reiterated the central bank’s commitment to fight inflation, with dot plots showing the possibility of one more rate hike this year and interest rates staying elevated for at least another two years. That is no surprise to us as we have been warning for months about interest rates going...
Hard to say what will happen next. We could see a false break out of the 430 level, or hit the 415 and then a violent rejection like it did before. But just by seeing the way it closed the past week, at least is going to try to break the 430 level, I expect more volatility that's why I protected my long positions selling covered calls. I'm not sure about a market...
S&P500 / US100 is having a strong correction these past two months (August-September).
However on the wider scales such as the 1week time frame this is only a minor technical correction.
It is near forming a 1week MA50-100 Bullish Cross. Last time it formed this pattern was in September 2016 and the index never broke under either MA level. It went on to peak...
Following a notable correction, the S&P index may find support at its current level, particularly if the lower boundary of the green box at 4,350 holds. In the event of a successful hold, we could potentially witness a rally towards the initial target of 4,410. Subsequently, after a consolidation phase, a further move towards a level around 4,440 could be in the...
S&P500 is trading on a descending channel, on a very bearish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.220, MACD = -31.420, ADX = 38.889). The 1D RSI is on the same level as the August 17th bottom of this Channel Down. This decline is approaching a Triple Support Band: the 1D MA200 and the 1W MA50 which are headed directly for the bottom of the Channel Up that started...
The S&P500 index crossed today under the MA100 (1d) for the first time since March 28th.
Since October 2022, the pattern is a Channel Up and the current decline since the July 27th top still has room to fall before it hits the pattern's bottom.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 4250 (bottom of the Channel Up and potential contact...
Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about the SPX and the daily timeframe perspectives. In recent times many indices within the market already showed up with precarious pullbacks in the structure that should not be underestimated so also the SPX. As when looking at my chart we can watch there how the Index is forming this major decisive head-shoulder-formation with...
S&P500 hit today the HL trendline from the August 18th Low, while approaching the bottom of the Channel Down pattern. Despite this short term weakness, the 1D timeframe remains on neutral technicals (RSI = 46.932, MACD = 8.582, ADX = 32.119). This indicates that it may be an opportunity for sideways trading until we see a clear long term trend.
Consequently, we...
Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about the SPX 500 index and the 2-hour timeframe perspective. In recent times the index moved into a crucial determination as it is already overbought on the higher timeframes I also detected this main formation here that is likely to indicate a decisive reversal in this whole structure. Therefore as when looking at my chart, we...
This week, we saw SPX move slightly lower. In addition to that, VIX gapped up on Tuesday and continued to move higher without filling the gap. Meanwhile, the relief fizzled out in China, leading to a rollover in the stock market indices like CSI 300 and Hang Seng. Considering American and Chinese markets are highly intertwined, we raise a word of caution over more...
S&P500 has turned neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 46.008, MACD = 1.700, ADX = 33.340) after today's 1D candle crossed under the 1D MA50. To make matters worse, the 1D MACD is reversing and if the price doesn't rise, it will form the first Bearish Cross on such low level since June 10th 2022.
On the brightside, the 0.382 Fibonacci level is still holding, and if...
Before the turnaround in SPX in July 2023, we pointed out to the roll over in the Chinese stock market and its implications for the U.S. market. Then more recently, we saw how these markets continue to be intertwined when Chinese regulator stepped in and calmed down the market, resulting in both American and Chinese stocks enjoying a relief (or perhaps even...
US Economic Indicators Reflect Growing Concerns Amidst Ongoing Challenges
As economic indicators unfold, the US economy grapples with a myriad of challenges, leaving forex traders and market participants in a state of heightened uncertainty. The week ahead presents a series of key data releases that shed light on the current economic landscape.
The latest...
Since our last update, the SPX has largely remained below the resistance near $4,527. Concurrently, the VIX has not shown a notable decrease, hinting at the possibility of more market panic and weakness in the SPX. That, combined with the fact that Chinese stocks continue to roll over, leaves us on high alert, and we are growing increasingly bearish in the short...
Today's focal point rests on the Federal Reserve's (FED) highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which is widely expected to increase interest rates by 25 basis points. This decision would mark the 11th rate hike since inflation started to go rampant in the United States as a result of unprecedented quantitative easing following the...
Yesterday, after the market close, International Business Machines, Netflix, and Tesla unveiled their earnings for the second quarter of 2023. Investors did not take this news positively, and shares of all three companies slumped in response. Today, in the pre-market, Netflix is down more than 8%, Tesla more than 4%, and IBM approximately 1%. More U.S....
Fundamental Analysis:
As we can see the Index has shown a very strong come back after the Covid-19 pandemic of March 2021 which caused the market to fall and create a panic to the world.
Since then there are lots of changes to the world and the way companies are operating, such as releasing of their premises and offices as they should have discharge lots of...
