S&P500: Near the bottom. Recovery should start early October.

S&P500 is trading on a descending channel, on a very bearish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.220, MACD = -31.420, ADX = 38.889). The 1D RSI is on the same level as the August 17th bottom of this Channel Down. This decline is approaching a Triple Support Band: the 1D MA200 and the 1W MA50 which are headed directly for the bottom of the Channel Up that started exactly a year ago.

We expect the bottom to be formed inside these two weeks and early next month to see the first signs of recovery. A Cup recovery pattern has been the common mode of rise these past 12 months, so we set a R1 target (TP = 4,600) for mid to end of November.

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