a small trade on the market ZB is showing a really good buy signal - time frem This is an article, not financial advice, always do your own research. If you have any questions, you can write it in comments below, and I will answer them. And please don't forget to support this idea with your like and comment, thank you.
ZB T bond 30 falling down, you have to search only for sell signal,
I think we have a low risk bottom signal here, it fits with my view of rotation back into growth names since the value stocks rally we had since the #PFE vaccine announcement. Today's CPI data gave investors some peace of mind it seems. I'm long growth and a few select equity ideas already, but a bond futures or #TLT options position might be a good proposition as...
SNIPER STRATEGY This magical strategy works like a clock on almost any charts Although I have to say it can’t predict pullbacks, so I do not suggest this strategy for leverage trading. It will not give you the whole wave like any other strategy out there but it will give you huge part of the wave. The best timeframe for this strategy is Daily, Weekly and Monthly...
daily wick formed a bearish hammer IMO. Looks like yields want to retest the break out around .95. From there we watch, this means a pull back is likely coming to stocks at some point we r talking 16 basis points so could do some damage. But the DXY looks a bit mixed up and also looks like downside should continue. The 4 hour 10 yr chart looks strong so this...
Thank you for your shares and likes! Much appreciated! __________________________________________________________________ We have identified the channels which have helped to see trade other markets correlated to the ZB1! US 30 Years Future (Like GOLD for example). See how the market is bouncing around those lines. THE BLACK LINE We have identified probable...
The current trend of yield curve (10-02) looks very similar to past pre-recession eras. We heard many times that a negative yield curve means recession. But that's not the case : recessions occur with widening spreads after touching ZERO. In the past, it was a signal of systemic recession with high probability. I added a correlation indicator to SPX. We can...
Trade setup There are trapped traders on both sides of price above monthly highs & lows for TBonds ZB1! on 4H timeframe. When price comes back to either of these zones - these trapped traders will want to exit - giving us an exit! Risk management 1) Reduce 50% at 1R => Trade becomes risk free 2) Reduce further 25% at 2R AND move SL to break-even 3) Close...
Monthly chart since 2009 shows 30 year T bonds reaching the end of their elliott wave up trend.
The market goes back down but a major resistance could limit the fall. And don ‘t forget to take your profits…
Thank you for your likes and shares! Much appreciated! ___________________________________________________ This is not a Squeeze, it is a true market trend. Possibility of seeing the market ranging in the lower area of Andrew's Pitchfork zones which acts all as true resistances. Beware, possibility of pullback on the actual price. High possibility also of...
This will be interesting to keep an eye on over the coming years. If the ending triangle is a wave C diagonal, then it would signal the end of the down-trend in yields over the past 23+ years. Zero fundamental analysis was conducted, but it would seem there is upward pressure on yields at a time that 10 year T bonds is in a corrective phase - down 12+% from 2012...
T-Bond Futures Short ZB Short positions Prevailing in hedge funds 137,626 Short positions versus 13,554 long according to Cftc cot Report on 05/05/20 Likely trades 1 & 2 Trade 1 Win ratio 1,75 Trade 2 Win ratio 4,27
The weekly chart shows the recent surge is likely topping, and might start falling between now and the next 3 weeks probably. Fundamentals favor a decline as governments go into spending binges to counteract the virus induced crisis. @timwest pointed out this short idea recently, props to him for spotting it. I do like how wild the disconnect vs #Gold is now,...