TBT is an inverse 20 year Treasury Bill ETF. At present, the Iran Israeli conflict threatens a
regional conflict to include the Red Sea and the Easter Mediterranean where oil tankers must
navigate to move oil from producer to consumer. Oil price escalation could go hand and hand
with geopolitical escalations. Oil and its derivatives are a primary driver of...
On this daily chart of the ratio of TBT ( Treasury Bills Bearish ) to TLT ( the inverse Bullish)
over time. This serves to accentuate shifts in prices from factors affecting them both but
with opposite effects. Federal actions or even reports of economic data are some
of those factors.
This chart shows that about November 1st, TBT ad topped out and fell....
TBT is shown here on a weekly chart. It transitioned froma downtrend into the present trend
up two years ago with the initiation of the rate hikes to cut down inflation by hitting its knees.
Inflation was the direct result of the money printing and stimulus as part of the federal
response to the complications of covid and lockdowns. Price is now ascending in a...
TLT on a 120 minute chart has continued its trend down since early December after a suddent
uptrend in November lasting for a two month until the end of 2023.
Inflation data is kicking the rate cut down the road of time.
Price has now fallen under the VWAP and all of the EMA lines including the EMA20.
Relative strength trending correlates with price . I...
TLT has been in a broadening wedge and formed a falling wedge within the larger pattern.
Price bounced off the lower supoort trendline in the mid-morning of trading then rising
to break out of the falling wedge. I see this as an opportunity to take a long trade in TLT
and close out a TBT position at the same time. This reversal may be due to the value...
TMF on the 4H chart is set up at the bottom descending support trendline of a symmetrical
triangle in the approach to the apex. Price appears ready to reach for the upper descending
resistance trend line and the Echo Indicator ( Lux Algo ) makes that forecast. Current
ambiguities in a rate cut soon upcoming will make values of Treasuries a complicated...
The collapse in Treasury bonds in 2021-2023 now ranked among the worst market crashes in history.
Since March 2020 to 2023 fall, Treasury long term bonds with maturities of 10 years or more have plummeted over 40% while the 30-year bond had plunged over 50%.
That's just under losses seen in the stock market when the dot-com bubble burst.
The bond rout was worse...
Here on a daily chart the ratio of the Bearish Leveraged Financial ETF to its Bullish counterpart
is showing to be in a descending parallel channel. The chart is marked with comments about
trading considerations of these ratios at a given time. At present, the FAZ is undervalued
and should be bought. On the other hand, Bullish FAS, should be either sold if...
TBT on the one hour chart demonstrates a clear round bottom reversal in late June
with a good trend up this past week. Price rose above the POC line of the volume profile
on July 3th showing bullish momentum dominating. Price has continued to ascend above
the Chris Moody sling shot indicator affirming that momentum. Given the current fed posture
hawkish for...
TLT on the 15 minute chart in the past two trading sessions consolidated and then fell into
a pullback to the support of the anchored mean VWAP. Relative volatility spiked and has
now contracted. I see this as a good entry to add to my TLT position having sold a good portion
of it three trading days ago when price showed topping wicks outside the fibonacci...
TMV on the 4H chart appears to be reversing a trend down since 12/28. YTD it is rising.
The reasonable target is the Fib 0.5 retracement at $40 while support for a stop loss
just below the POC line of the volume profile is $29.25. As such this is a 35% upside.
The RSI indicator shows the fast RSI rising and crossing over the slower RSI while the
relative...
Bank of America says the recession and credit crunch could lead to large corporate defaults.
Credit strategists at Bank of America note that the fallout from the recession and credit crunch could see $1 trillion in corporate debt eventually become insolvent.
This is largely due to the fact that banks have already begun to refuse lending conditions after the...
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### Market Analysis: TVC:US10Y Nears Crucial Pivot Point
#### Critical Juncture for the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield
The U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield ( TVC:US10Y ) is currently at a pivotal position that could significantly influence market sentiment. This important pivot point is marked by a specific blue line on the chart, serving as a key indicator for...
"The TVC:US10Y Negative Divergence Played Out as we observed a scenario where the momentum indicator, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), had been showing bearish divergence with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield. This indicated a potential weakening of the yield's upward momentum, despite higher prices initially. Subsequently, the divergence 'played out'...
TVC:US10Y Negative Divergence RSI The TVC:US10Y showcases a negative divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This indicates that while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield might be increasing, the momentum behind this rise is weakening. Historically, such divergences in the RSI can signal potential trend reversals or price corrections in the near future....
TBT is a UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF.
This Fund seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the Daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index.
1. Always look first. Never rush into a trade or investment blindly.
2. Wait, and wait again, for the pattern to develop.
3. Be patient...
AMEX:TBT Double Top, A "double top" is a popular term used in technical analysis to describe a chart pattern that suggests a potential bearish reversal of an uptrend. Here's a breakdown of the double top pattern:
1. **Formation**: The double top pattern forms after a strong upward move or trend. It consists of two consecutive peaks that are roughly equal, with a...
TBT on the 30 minute time frame shows a trend up in an ascending parallel
channel now at the bottom of the channel where it could go up or breakdown
and go under the channel. The ZL MACD suggests some bullish divergence while
the dual TF RS indicator and the ADX oscillator are non-commital.
The immediate recent short term volume profile with a POC line above...
