Nasdaq 100 Holds Above 30,000 – Can Bulls Extend the Recovery?Market Structure
The 4-hour structure has shifted back to bullish. Price continues to establish higher lows while testing recent highs, indicating that buyers are gradually regaining control.
Key Resistance
First Resistance: 30,100–30,250
This is the immediate resistance area where the latest rally is facing selling pressure.
Second Resistance: 30,500–30,700
A confirmed breakout above the first resistance could open the door for another leg higher toward this zone.
Key Support
First Support: 29,800–29,900
The recent breakout area now acts as the first line of support. Holding above this level would keep the current recovery intact.
Second Support: 29,300–29,500
A deeper pullback into this demand zone could attract fresh buyers while preserving the medium-term bullish outlook.
Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains cautiously bullish.
The recent recovery from late-July lows has improved overall momentum, while higher lows continue to support the bullish outlook. However, price is approaching resistance, so a period of consolidation would be healthy before another breakout attempt.
Please share your view below:
Will the Nasdaq 100 break above 30,250 and continue the rally? Or will sellers force another pullback before the next move higher?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly.
Techstocks
BROADCOM is used to -30% corrections and one is underway.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been trading within a very consistent 17-year Channel Up pattern (since August 2009) where it makes standard -30% declines when it hits a High.
Having made that Higher High in June, we expect the stock to complete at least another -30.50% decline (shortest one within the pattern made in late 2011) and hit $345.00, which would be a 0.382 Channel Fibonacci level test as well as potentially the first 1W MA100 (green trend-line) test since April 2025.
So far the market has found Support on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is where the previous -31.00% correction bottomed in March 2026.
As you can see, the stock turns into a long-term buy historically only after its hits its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) or its 1M RSI hits its Buy Zone. Notice also that its 1M RSI has been posting Lower Highs since September 2014, which is a huge Bearish Divergence.
The recent December - March correction didn't achieve either (1W MA100 or 1M RSI Buy Zone test). So our $345.00 Target stands, unless AVGO's 1M RSI hits 51.50 first, in which case it would be an automatic long-term buy opportunity regardless of the price.
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Is Lenovo the Next Big AI Hardware Winner?Lenovo Group delivered its strongest quarter in company history, with fiscal Q1 FY2027 revenue rising 43% year over year to US$26.94 billion. Adjusted net income surged 176% to US$1.08 billion, exceeding the US$1 billion quarterly milestone for the first time. The results significantly surpassed market expectations and highlight how rapidly Lenovo is benefiting from the global AI infrastructure cycle
🤖 AI Is Becoming Lenovo’s Biggest Growth Engine
AI-related revenue increased 60% year over year to US$9.3 billion, representing roughly 35% of total group revenue. Lenovo is benefiting from multiple AI trends rather than relying on a single product, including AI PCs, AI servers, smartphones and AI enabled services. This diversification could give the company a stronger position as enterprise AI adoption expands over the coming years
🖥️ Infrastructure Business Shows Exceptional Momentum
The Infrastructure Solutions Group was the biggest standout, with revenue almost doubling to US$8.5 billion and operating profit reaching a record US$777 million. Even more importantly, Lenovo’s AI server pipeline jumped 157% quarter over quarter to US$54 billion. If a meaningful portion of this pipeline converts into shipments, the infrastructure division could remain one of Lenovo’s strongest earnings drivers
💻 PC Leadership Adds Stability
Lenovo’s traditional PC business also remains a major strength. The company increased global PC market share to 24.2%, extending its lead over the second-largest manufacturer to more than five percentage points. AI PCs are becoming increasingly important, with Lenovo holding a 25.1% share of the AI PC market
This gives Lenovo exposure to the AI upgrade cycle while maintaining its established position in the broader PC market
⚠️ Valuation and Accounting Risks Need Attention
Despite the excellent operating performance, investors should not ignore Lenovo’s reported net loss of US$609 million. A major factor was a US$1.7 billion non cash fair value loss related to warrants issued in 2025.. The adjusted figures provide a clearer picture of underlying operations, but the difference between adjusted profit and reported earnings shows that Lenovo still carries financial and accounting risks that investors need to monitor
📈 Bullish Outlook, But Expectations Are Now Much Higher
Lenovo’s latest results strengthen the bullish long term case for the stock. Record revenue, accelerating AI infrastructure demand, rising AI related sales and strong PC market share suggest the company is successfully transforming from a traditional PC manufacturer into a broader AI hardware and services player
However, the stock has already reacted strongly to the earnings report, meaning expectations are significantly higher. Going forward, continued AI server growth, margin expansion and conversion of the US$54 billion pipeline will be critical for Lenovo to justify further upside.
Did you know that Lenovo is the largest laptop manufacturer for the Pentagon?
TESLA New Bullish Leg to $385 started.Last time we looked at Tesla (TSLA) was 1.5 month ago (July 02, see chart below) where we gave the most efficient Sell Signal at the top of its 11-month Channel Down:
Our $310.00 Target got hit and the price has since been rising for the past 2 weeks as that was a technical Lower Low, which typically initiates a new Bullish Leg.
This Bullish Leg should rise all the way to its 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level but with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) directly above acting as a Resistance, we will be targeting a potential contact at $385. Notice also the completion of a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, a buy confirmation signal formed at the start of both previous Bullish Legs.
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AMAZON rejected on its 2-year Channel Up Top. $227 next?Amazon Inc. (AMZN) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and just last week, it hit its Top (Higher Highs trend-line). Last time that happened (May 04), a short-term pull-back took place that hit the market's 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The market's shortest pull-back within this pattern has been -24.82% and all Bearish Legs pulled back to their 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels at a minimum. As a result, as long as the pattern stays intact, expect at least a correction to $227 (Fib 0.618), which may even reach $213 (Fib 0.786) if the fundamentals help. As long as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) holds as a Support (intact since October 30 2023), the long-term bullish trend continues.
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US100 1H Analysis: Range-Bound After Upside MoveFollowing a clear move to the upside earlier, the price is trapped between the 29.950 and 29.150 price range on the 1h chart. The upper boundary near 29,953 has repeatedly capped advances, while the lower support around 29,120 has absorbed selling pressure, creating a defined consolidation zone visible across recent sessions.
Within this range the index has shown choppy two-way trade, with failed breakout attempts both higher and lower. Bulls have defended the lower end on multiple tests, yet sustained follow-through above the mid-to-upper part of the band has been lacking. Until a decisive close outside either the 29.950 resistance or the 29.150 support materializes, the 1-hour structure remains range-bound and traders are likely to continue favoring mean-reversion approaches inside the established levels.
APPLE 6-year Channel Up could correct to $265 at least.Apple Inc. (AAPL) hit two weeks ago the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of its 6-year Channel Up. The 0.236 - 0 Fib Zone in particular, has delivered a number of strong corrections towards the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) within this timeframe.
This time however, given that the 1W RSI is printing the same Lower Highs pattern that formed a market Top on three previous sequences (early 2025, December 2023 and August 2022), a correction towards the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) at least, could be more probable. That was seen following the February 24 2025, December 11 2023 and August 15 2022 peaks. Those have been Highs following rallies coming off other market Highs.
The current Higher High seems to be no different structurally, coming off a main January - March (2026) 1W MA50 pull-back, similar to both August 05 2024 and October 23 2023 Lows. As mentioned, the key characteristic here is that all the corrections that followed those three peaks, touched at least the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), with the previous one (April 07 2025) even hitting the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
As a result, there is a high technical probability to see Apple correcting back to its 1W MA100 and touch $265 at least by the end of the year, before it becomes a medium-term buy again. If a stronger correction like 2022 and 2025 takes place (i.e. the 0.618 Channel Fib breaks), it could even test the 1W MA200 around $245. The 1W MACD Bearish Cross that just got formed this week, further strengthens the Sell Signal.
Note also that a 1W MA200 $245 contact would almost be a -32.22% decline from the July All Time High (ATH) exactly like the January 03 2023 bottom (notice that the April 07 2025 bottom was a similar -34.93% correction). At the same time, this wouldn't just test the 0.786 Channel Fib but also the 0.5 horizontal Fibonacci retracement level, which got hit both on the 2025 and 2022 pull-backs.
But no matter the price, if the 1W MACD makes a Bullish Cross below 0.0 or the 1W RSI hits its 4-year Buy Zone at any given moment, Apple will be a confirmed medium-term buy opportunity again regardless of the price at the time.
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SquareEnix Just Turned Its IP Into Gold | Earnings Boss DefeatedSquare Enix’s first quarter came in much stronger than last year, with net sales rising 32.3% YoY to ¥78.4 billion, while operating income jumped 88.6% to ¥17.0 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the parent climbed an impressive 175.5% to ¥13.2 billion. The numbers show a much healthier earnings mix, with Digital Entertainment once again doing the heavy lifting. For a company that has spent the last few years dealing with development costs, uneven releases and restructuring, this quarter feels like a pretty serious stat upgrade
🔥 HD Games Got a Massive Critical Hit
The real MVP was Square Enix’s HD Games business.. Net sales nearly doubled to ¥17.7 billion, while operating income exploded 510% to ¥6.1 billion. The biggest catalyst was Final Fantasy VII Rebirth expanding beyond PlayStation through releases on Nintendo Switch 2, Xbox Series X|S and the Microsoft Store. But this wasn't a one game carry. The Adventures of Elliot: The Millennium Tales, catalog sales and additional releases including Octopath Traveler, Octopath Traveler II, Star Ocean: The Second Story R and Final Fantasy X/X2 HD Remaster also contributed
Square Enix basically discovered that its old save files still have plenty of loot
🕹️ Multiplatform Is Becoming the Meta
The FFVII Rebirth performance also highlights why Square Enix's multiplatform strategy could become one of its biggest long term catalysts. Instead of limiting major releases to a single ecosystem, the company is increasingly putting its games in front of PlayStation, Xbox, Nintendo and PC players. That gives its biggest IP a much larger addressable audience and creates additional revenue opportunities years after the original launch.
For investors, this is important because Square Enix doesn't necessarily need a brand new blockbuster every quarter. Ports, remasters and catalog titles can keep farming revenue between the major releases
⚔️ FFXIV Keeps the MMO Engine Running
The MMO segment also delivered a solid performance, with net sales increasing 32.2% to ¥12.7 billion, while operating income remained strong at ¥3.6 billion. Square Enix attributed the improvement to stronger user activity following the announcement of the next Final Fantasy XIV expansion. The company also noted that some expenses were recognized ahead of the planned early 2027 release, which makes the result even more interesting. FFXIV continues to function as Square Enix's reliable endgame content, providing recurring revenue and engagement instead of depending entirely on individual game launches
📱 Mobile and Browser Are Also Pulling Their Weight
The Smart Devices/PC Browser business was another underrated winner. Net sales increased 35.6%, while operating income jumped 72.7%. This matters because Square Enix's earnings don't have to live or die by Final Fantasy anymore..
Mobile, browser titles, MMOs and catalog games create multiple revenue streams that can help smooth out the notoriously volatile AAA gaming cycle. One blockbuster can carry the raid, but having several smaller DPS players consistently dealing damage makes the overall party much harder to wipe
🚀 The Next Boss Is Guidance
Despite the monster Q1, Square Enix kept its full year forecast unchanged, so management isn't going full "WE ARE SO BACK" just yet. That caution is probably the biggest thing investors need to watch. Q1 operating income of ¥17.0 billion represents a substantial chunk of the company's roughly ¥49 billion full year operating income forecast, but the gaming business can be extremely back-loaded depending on the release schedule. The bigger question now is whether Square Enix can turn this quarter's momentum into a sustained trend through multiplatform releases, catalog monetization, FFXIV engagement and its upcoming pipeline
For now, the earnings report is a clear W. revenue is accelerating, margins are improving and the company's legendary IP is finally being monetized across more platforms. The stock still has bosses left to fight, but Square Enix definitely isn't playing this quarter on hard mode anymore.
I recently read Cliff Bleszinski’s book Control Freak, and it’s a great behind the scenes look at the gaming industry, creativity, and building games..If you’re into gaming or game development, I definitely recommend giving it a read
MICROSOFT hit a 5-month Resistance. Will it get rejected?Microsoft (MSFT) is testing today the 5-month Higher Highs trend-line that started on the March 06 2026 High. This medium-term Resistance rejected the previous Bullish Leg off the long-term Support Zone on the June 01 High.
With the 1D RSI also just below its 82.00 long-term Resistance, there are high probabilities to see the current Bullish Leg rejected on the Higher Highs trend-line as well. If that happens, expect a short-term test of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) cluster near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at $435.00.
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Buying 41 DTEBuying the 85-strike calls (ask: 8.5) and some 95-strike calls (ask: 4.9). Both have 41 DTE.
ePlus does have some momentum, and I was looking at the top-performing sectors from last week, particularly tech, where the money was rotating into. PLUS is also undervalued relative to its sector peers. Given the current price level following earnings, I think this is a good time to buy.
HPE: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Signals $70Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) shares popped 6% ahead of Monday's opening bell after Morgan Stanley upgraded the storage and server maker's stock, pointing to the company's accelerating Juniper acquisition payoff, strong cash flow fundamentals, and an underappreciated valuation relative to its growth potential.
Taking a close look at HPE's chart, the price recently broke out from a symmetrical triangle, indicating a continuation of the stock's recent strong uptrend.
To project a potential bullish target, we can apply TradingView's bars pattern tool. When applying the analysis, we take the bars following an earlier breakout from a similar continuation pattern (marked in green) and overlay them from the current symmetrical triangle breakout. This forecasts a target of around $70, implying about 32% above Friday's closing price.
Nasdaq 100 – Can Bulls Push Toward New Highs?Market Structure
The 4-hour chart has shifted back to a bullish structure. The index has recovered from the recent correction and is now trading above previous support levels while building a series of higher lows.
Key Resistance
First Resistance: 29,750–29,850
This is the immediate resistance zone where recent buying momentum has started to slow.
Second Resistance: 30,000–30,200
A successful breakout above the current range could open the door for another leg higher toward this psychological resistance area.
Key Support
First Support: 29,400–29,500
This area represents the first support where buyers may attempt to defend the current uptrend.
Second Support: 29,000–29,150
A break below the first support could expose this demand zone, where stronger buying interest may emerge.
Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains cautiously bullish.
The sharp recovery suggests buyers have regained confidence after the previous correction. However, with the price approaching resistance, traders will likely look for confirmation before chasing higher levels. As long as higher lows remain intact, the overall bias continues to favor the upside.
Please share your view below:
Do you think the Nasdaq 100 has enough momentum to break above 30,000? Or will resistance trigger another short-term pullback before the next rally?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly.
NASDAQ: Major Broadening-Wedge-Breakout Incoming!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about the NASDAQ index on the weekly timeframe perspective. In my recent analysis about the S&P 500 index, I already mentioned that I am bullish for the stock market in 2026. While I considered the initial pullback and backup after this as unavoidable, this exact scenario now happened, and the main stock market recovered after this crucial pullback.
Looking at my chart, we can watch there that the index is building this crucial broadening wedge formation. Such a formation is offering a perfect bullish long entry scenario once it is fully completed. The price already moved forward with the completion of the wave count within the broadening wedge. Now the price already heavily penetrates the upper boundary with strong volatility.
Once the breakout above the upper boundary of the broadening wedge formation emerges, it will complete the whole scenario and definitely activate the target zones. The initial target zone is as marked in my chart within the 30000 level. Once this level has been reached, further assumptions about the momentum need to be made.
If the bullish momentum holds on, a continuation and pointing towards higher targets is also likely. Right now, the sentiment is also bullish as call options interest increased. Potential short squeezes above the upper boundary of the wedge could fuel additional bullishness. Further assumptions will be highly important once the scenarios unfold.
VP
GTLB: Whales Buying the AI Fear — Textbook Neckline Backtest🦊 💻🦊 💻 📈 🚀 📈 🚀
When the broader market panics over sweeping, generalised macro narratives, the smart money quietly separates the structural winners from the noise.Software names got absolutely hammered in June on widespread "AI disruption" fears.
Morgan Stanley recently characterised this environment as a "peak uncertainty" moment for the entire enterprise software landscape.
But while retail investors threw the baby out with the bathwater, the institutional tape tells a completely different story: 155 existing institutional positions were increased, and 55 brand-new whale positions were opened.
They didn't run away; they aggressively bought the fear.
The structural rotation out of pure speculative hardware and back into high-quality, cash-generating software platforms is officially underway—and GitLab (NASDAQ: GTLB) is sitting right at the front of the line.
📊 Part I: Fundamental Fuel & The $1B ARR MilestoneGitLab isn't an AI casualty; it is a primary AI beneficiary.
Its native DevSecOps platform is scaling rapidly as enterprise software groups scramble to deploy agentic coding workflows.
The numbers from the recent Q1 FY2027 print prove the business is firing on all cylinders:
The Billion-Dollar Threshold: GitLab officially crossed $1 billion in ARR while generating a robust $220 million in free cash flow for FY2026.
Corporate Confidence: Management didn't hesitate to authorise a massive $400 million share repurchase program.
This isn't a defensive posture—this is a structurally sound company aggressively buying its own dip because it knows the market is mis-pricing its equity.
Q1 FY2027 Earnings Blowout: Revenue hit $264.2 million (a stellar 23% YoY growth clip), easily beating consensus estimates.
Non-GAAP EPS landed at $0.23, serving up a clear 12.3% beat on the bottom line.
Guidance Lifted: Full-year revenue guidance was confidently lifted to a $1.12 billion baseline, completely contradicting the sector-wide slowdown narrative.
📐 Part II: Technical Architecture — High Volume Breakout, Low Volume Pullback
The chart setup captured in is absolutely textbook market structure.
We are witnessing a classic structural accumulation pattern that has just completed its introductory expansion phase.
➔ ➔ ➔
The Base & Neckline Break:
After grinding out a wide rounding accumulation floor from February through May, GTLB executed a massive, high-volume breakout candle in early June, violently slicing through structural resistance at $26.39.
The Controlled Cleanse: The subsequent decline wasn't a liquidation event—it was a highly controlled, incredibly low-volume pullback.
The Aggressive Neckline Backtest: As highlighted explicitly on the chart, price successfully completed an aggressive backtest of the neckline at the $26.39 level and immediately found strong institutional bids.
Volume is beginning to return right on cue, confirming that the weak hands have been thoroughly shaken out.
⚡ Part III: Execution Coordinates & Trade Parameters
The risk-to-reward ratio on this swing configuration is incredibly clean.
We wait for the confirmation trigger to unlock the sequence toward our primary targets.
🟢 Trigger Level> $29.5 above recent minor consolidation highs activates the trade.
🔴 Hard Stop< $29.00 A clean break back below the immediate pivot invalidates the localised bullish momentum.
🎯 Target 1 (Linear)$32.00 Initial liquidity pocket.
Take profit on the first 1/3 of the position to secure a risk-free trade.
🎯 Target 2 (Linear)$34.06 Major psychological resistance line mapped on. Trim harder here.
🚀 Target 3 (Log Tgt) $37.29. Exit the remaining core runner for a maximum risk-to-reward payday.
#GTLB #GitLab #DevSecOps #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SectorRotation #EarningsBeat #ChartPatterns #RoundingBottom #WhaleActivity #SoftwareRotation #TradingView #SwingTrade #BuyTheDip #MarketStructure
GOOGLE 12-year Channel Up says correction isn't over.Google (GOOG) has been trading within a 12-year Channel Up since its IPO and the recent April - May massive rally has made it hit the pattern's Top (Higher Highs trend-line) for the first time since November 2021.
That was the Top that kick-started the 2022 Bear Cycle, which declined by almost -45%, bottoming just below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The latter has historically been the market's long-term Support (hence optimal buy entry) as it contained both the 2025 Tariffs flash crash and the 2020 COVID flash crash.
Technically this Channel Up displays strong similarities among those fractals and the fact that May hit its top and got rejected into a new pull-back that touched the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), further supports this argument.
Those similarities are also reflected on their 1M RSI sequences that give a strong sense of cyclical behavior. What stands out on the 1M RSI is the 41.50 Support, which has delivered the market's two most optimal multi-year buy entries (June 2015 and December 2022). If such a test occurs, it goes without saying that it is an automatic long-term buy.
So with the recent Channel Up Top rejection, the probabilities for an extended technical Bearish Leg becomes stronger. Based on the price and RSI structure, the current fractal resembles ore the 2025 Tariffs crash, the 2020 COVID crash as well as the 2018 U.S. - China Trade War correction. As you can see, those crashes were preceded by smaller corrections (ellipse patterns). We already had that now during the recent February - March (U.S. - Iran war) pull-back.
As a result, we expect Alphabet Inc. to target at least $312.00 (representing a -23.04% decline from the Top, similar to August - December 2018 correction) and if the macro environment at the time favors more selling, then move to an additional test of the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) at $280.00 by the end of the year.
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ORACLE WEEKLY ANALYSIS# **ORCL (Oracle) | Weekly ConfluX Analysis (Updated)**
## **Executive Summary**
Oracle has completed an **External Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep (X-1)** into a major Weekly Order Block and is attempting to establish a higher-timeframe reversal from discount. The updated chart provides a clearer institutional roadmap with sequential liquidity objectives.
**Bias:** **Bullish** ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (**9.0/10**)
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## **Market Narrative**
* ✅ External SSL (X-1) successfully swept.
* ✅ Strong reaction from Weekly Bullish Order Block.
* ✅ Price remains inside the Higher-Timeframe Discount zone.
* ✅ Weekly IRL Buy-Side Liquidity has formed above current price.
* ⚠️ Multiple unmitigated Weekly IFVGs remain overhead and are expected to act as interim resistance before continuation.
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## **Institutional Confluences**
* ✔ External SSL Sweep
* ✔ Weekly Order Block Reaction
* ✔ Discount Repricing
* ✔ Institutional Buy-Side Liquidity Roadmap
* ✔ Three Weekly IFVG Magnets
* ✔ HTF Bullish Reversal Setup
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## **Trade Plan**
### **Entry**
* **$130–145**
* Best entries on bullish MSS/CISD confirmation.
### **Stop Loss**
* Weekly close below **$118**.
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## **Liquidity Roadmap**
| Target | Level | Objective |
| ------- | -------: | -------------------------------------------- |
| **TP1** | **$165** | Weekly IFVG / IRL BSL |
| **TP2** | **$205** | Weekly IFVG / Internal Buy-Side Liquidity |
| **TP3** | **$250** | Premium 6M High / Major IFVG |
| **TP4** | **$322** | Higher-Timeframe External Buy-Side Liquidity |
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## **Alternative Scenario**
A weekly close below **$118** would invalidate the current bullish accumulation thesis and suggest continuation toward deeper discount pricing.
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## **Risk Assessment**
* **Risk:** Medium
* **Reward:** Very High
* **Estimated R:R:** **~7.6:1**
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## **Trade Checklist**
* ✅ External SSL swept
* ✅ Weekly Order Block respected
* ✅ HTF Discount
* ✅ Institutional reversal structure
* ✅ Sequential liquidity targets identified
* ⏳ Await bullish confirmation on execution timeframe
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## **Conclusion**
Oracle continues to present a high-conviction institutional accumulation setup after sweeping external liquidity. Holding above **$118** keeps the bullish roadmap intact, targeting **$165**, **$205**, **$250**, and ultimately **$322** as liquidity is progressively reclaimed. Patience for lower-timeframe confirmation remains the preferred execution strategy.
Berkshire Hathaway Earnings | Buffett's Empire Still Prints Cash🛡️Insurance Engine Remains Berkshire’s Biggest Competitive Advantage
Berkshire Hathaway continues to demonstrate why its insurance empire is the foundation of the entire company. While underwriting results can fluctuate because of catastrophe losses and pricing cycles, the insurance business continues to generate enormous amounts of investable "float" that fuels Berkshire's investment strategy.. Investors should focus less on quarter to quarter GAAP earnings and more on operating earnings, which better reflect the strength of the underlying businesses
The insurance segment remains one of the strongest capital generators in corporate America and provides Berkshire with financial flexibility that few companies can match
💰The Massive Cash Pile Is Becoming an Earnings Machine
One of Berkshire's greatest strengths is its enormous cash position. With roughly $374 billion in cash and Treasury bills entering the second quarter, higher short term interest rates continue to generate billions of dollars in investment income with virtually no credit risk. Instead of being "idle cash," this liquidity has become a meaningful earnings contributor while also giving management unmatched flexibility to pursue acquisitions during periods of market stress. If interest rates remain elevated, Berkshire's investment income could stay stronger than many investors previously expected
🚂Diversified Operating Businesses Continue to Deliver Stable Profits
Beyond insurance, Berkshire owns dozens of high-quality operating businesses across railroads, energy, manufacturing, retail, and industrial operations. Businesses such as BNSF Railway and Berkshire Hathaway Energy continue producing dependable cash flows despite mixed economic conditions
The diversity of Berkshire's portfolio limits dependence on any single industry, allowing weakness in one segment to be offset by strength elsewhere. This balanced structure has consistently helped Berkshire outperform during periods of economic uncertainty.
📈Greg Abel's Leadership Is Becoming the New Investment Story
Following the leadership transition from Warren Buffett to Greg Abel, investors are closely watching capital allocation decisions rather than simply quarterly earnings. Early operating performance suggests that Berkshire's decentralized business model remains intact, while analysts expect disciplined share repurchases and acquisition opportunities to remain priorities. Rather than dramatically changing Buffett's philosophy, Abel appears focused on preserving Berkshire's long-term value creation strategy while improving operational execution across its subsidiaries.
⚖️Valuation Looks Reasonable Despite Trading Near Highs
Although Berkshire shares have performed well over recent years, valuation still appears reasonable relative to the company's balance sheet strength, recurring cash generation, and defensive characteristics.
Unlike many large cap companies, Berkshire carries minimal financial risk while owning businesses capable of producing resilient earnings through different economic environments. Investors are increasingly viewing Berkshire as both a quality compounder and a defensive holding rather than simply an insurance company.
🎯Built to Win Across Market Cycles
Berkshire Hathaway remains one of the highest-quality long-term investments in the market. The combination of world class insurance operations, massive liquidity, diversified operating businesses, disciplined capital allocation, and conservative financial management creates a unique investment profile that is difficult to replicate. While quarterly earnings may fluctuate because of investment gains and accounting adjustments, the underlying operating businesses remain healthy
For long term investors seeking stability, capital preservation, and steady compounding rather than rapid growth, Berkshire continues to represent one of the strongest blue chip holdings available.
August Key Events | Your August 2026 Trading Calendar Is HereAugust is packed with major earnings, crypto upgrades, macro events, and regulatory deadlines that could drive volatility across stocks and digital assets
Here's a quick calendar of the key events traders and investors should keep on their radar
August 1: FTMO_OANDA:GOOG - Plans to ban CRYPTOCAP:BTC mining in Chrome
August 1: $CRYPTOCAP:SWARMS- V14 ZENA update
August 1: Samsung Electro Mechanics - 30% MLCC price increase
August 3: HOOD - Ventures Fund II roadshow
August 3: Upbit - Delisting of CRYPTOCAP:AERGO ·$AQT
August 3: NYSE:VVV - DIEM supply target adjustment
August 4: NASDAQ:PLTR - Earnings release
August 4: NASDAQ:SKHY - ADR regulation easing
August 5: NASDAQ:AMD - Earnings release conference call
August 5: $NASDAQ:GLXY- Galaxy Digital earnings release
August 5: NYSE:ENS - Marketplace RFP submission deadline
August 5: NYSE:CRCL - Earnings release
August 6: NYSE:IONQ - Earnings release
August 6: $NAVER - Earnings release
August 6: NASDAQ:SPCX - Major investor unlock
August 7: 🇨🇳CN - 100 billion yuan scale 7year treasury bond auction
August 7: NASDAQ:SHAZ - Earnings release
August 7: $NASDAQ:MEDS- Meme coin distribution to shareholders
August 7: Grayscale - Quarterly staking rewards cash distribution
August 8: $QUICK- Dogechain operations shutdown
August 8: 🇺🇸US - US Congress recess and CLARITY Act processing deadline
August 10: Bithumb - $H incident victim compensation application
August 10: CXMT - MSCI China All Shares Index related schedule
August 10: Unitree - IPO subscription
August 10: SBET - Earnings release conference call
August 10: $HYPER - $HYPER staking termination
August 12: NYSE:AVNT - Avantis V2 launch
August 12: NASDAQ:CRWV - Earnings release
August 12: MSCI- Index inclusion announcement
August 12: $TSXV:MON- Phantom's TSXV:MON chain support termination
August 13: NASDAQ:CBRS - Earnings release
August 13: CRYPTOCAP:ETHFI - CRYPTOCAP:ETHFI analyst call
August 14: AMAT - Earnings release
August 14: Lawson - JPYC stablecoin test
August 14: 🇺🇸US - Institutional investor 13F report submission deadline
August 15: TradeXYZ - SKHY incident related compensation application
August 15: Upbit - CRYPTOCAP:SPURS delisting
August 15: NASDAQ:STRC - Start of bi-monthly regular payments
August 17: BASE - Coinbase US500 Index
August 17: 🇰🇷KR - Liberation Day
August 17: CRYPTOCAP:SOL - ANZA's Alpenglow Agave v4.2
August 18: CBRS - Cerebras Supernova event
August 18: NYSE:CRCL - Whether contract with Coinbase auto-renews
August 18: 🇺🇸US - Nuclear negotiation deadline
August 25: BNB - BSC hard fork
August 26: HYUNDAI - CEO Investor Day
August 26: NASDAQ:NVDA - NVIDIA earnings release
August 26: Bitmart - Service shutdown
August 26: Bitmex - New order suspension and service shutdown
August 27: Bithumb - Court ruling on CRYPTOCAP:BTC underpayment incident
August 27: 🇺🇸US- Jackson Hole meeting (August 27~29)
August 28: NASDAQ:MRVL - Earnings release
August 28: CSE:ZRO - Support termination for 8 chains
August 28: $JEWEL- DeFi Kingdoms DFK chain shutdown
August 30: NASDAQ:STRC - Payment date
August 31: Revolut - CRYPTOCAP:USDT delisting
August 31: NFTfi - NFTfi service shutdown
TBAs
AMD - GPU price 10% increase rumors
BTC - BIP 110 discussion
SAMSUNG - V10 NAND mass production
SBI Holdings - Bitbank acquisition·merger
OpenAi - New model rumors
Which event do you think will have the biggest impact on the markets this month?
Nasdaq 100 Tests Key Support–Is a Rebound Finally Taking Shape?Market Structure
The short-term market structure remains bearish, with price trading below previous swing highs and failing to establish a sustained reversal.
Key Resistance
First Resistance: 28,450–28,600
This is the nearest supply zone where recent selling pressure accelerated.
Second Resistance: 29,000–29,200
A break above this area would invalidate the current bearish sequence and improve the medium-term outlook.
Key Support
First Support: 27,450–27,600
The recent swing low remains the first major support for buyers.
Second Support: 27,000–27,200
If selling resumes, this area could become the next downside target.
Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains cautiously bearish.
Although buyers have stepped in after the recent selloff, the overall trend still favors sellers until higher highs begin to form. A confirmed recovery above resistance would improve confidence, while failure to sustain the rebound could trigger another wave of selling.
Please share your view below:
Will the Nasdaq 100 build a stronger recovery from its current support? Or will sellers regain control and extend the broader downtrend?
More market structure and key level updates will be shared regularly.
Apple's Record Quarter Isn't Enough to Calm Wall Street Apple delivered another strong quarter, but investors were focused on what comes next..
Revenue for Q3 rose 16% year over year to $109.4 billion, beating expectations by about $500 million. Earnings per share came in at $2.02, topping estimates by $0.13. While tariff refunds added $0.11 per share, Apple's core business still outperformed forecasts. Even so, the stock fell roughly 7% after the earnings report
The company set June quarter records across several key businesses. iPhone revenue climbed 22% to $54.3 billion, Mac sales surged 29% to $10.4 billion, and revenue from China rebounded 22% to $18.8 billion. Services continued to grow, though at a slower pace, rising 12% to $30.7 billion
🍎Tim Cooked?
This was Tim Cook's final earnings call before John Ternus takes over as CEO in September. Cook leaves with demand running higher than Apple can currently supply
He said stronger than expected sales of iPhones and Macs have stretched the company's ability to secure enough advanced chips. The shortage hit Macs this quarter and is expected to affect iPhones, Macs, and iPads in the September quarter.. Apple still expects revenue to grow between 9% and 11% next quarter, with iPhone sales increasing in the mid-teens, but that guidance fell short of Wall Street's expectations
Another challenge is rising memory costs. Cook described the current market as a "hundred year flood," pointing to sharp price increases that have already led Apple to raise prices on some Mac and iPad models. Without the benefit of tariff refunds, gross margins slipped from the previous quarter, and management expects another decline as lower cost inventory is used up
Apple is also spending aggressively on artificial intelligence. Research and development expenses increased 32% year over year to $11.7 billion, reflecting the company's push to strengthen its AI capabilities. Cook also hinted that advanced Siri features could eventually encourage more customers to upgrade to higher tier iCloud+ subscriptions, giving investors an early look at how Apple may generate revenue from its AI strategy
John Ternus steps into the role with one of Apple's strongest product lineups in years, but he also inherits a business facing tighter chip supplies and rising component costs. The next iPhone launch will be an important test of whether Apple can balance strong demand, protect its margins, and prove its AI strategy can compete with the rest of the industry.
Micron Technologies, Dump not over yet.I have done quite a bit of analysis on Micron and the broader US market and I believe that it will fall some more before it goes some more up.
This is just one of my charts of technical analysis, we got see a broadening wedge facing downwards. If it heads down and breaks below it can head to very low levels all the way down 650-700 again.
I haven't posted in a while, but I have not been idle. I have been trading quite a bit and now I have become a full time trader. I dedicate all my time on charts and actually have more time to post my analysis and hope to garner a loyal following that will always be excited and anticipating my next high quality technical analysis.
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US100 Price Outlook – Trade Setup🌐Macro Background
The Nasdaq 100 (US100) Index climbed more than 3% on Thursday, effectively snapping a six-day losing streak. Futures contracts for the tech-heavy gauge extended these gains, rising 1.1% in Asian trade.
This aggressive upward move followed a sharp rebound in global tech shares, primarily driven by mega-cap firms including Amazon and Microsoft. These companies unveiled aggressive spending plans alongside robust earnings, reinforcing market confidence in the ongoing AI trade.
📊Technical Structure
The US100 recently experienced a steep sell-off that briefly dragged the price below a critical multi-week ascending channel and printed a massive V-shaped recovery, aggressively surging back above the 28,087 level and re-entering the ascending channel. This strong rejection of lower prices indicates a significant shift in momentum back to the buyers.
🎯Trade Setup
With the price having successfully reclaimed the 27,825-28,087 Support Zone, the path of least resistance is currently to the upside.
Entry: look for long entries around current market prices (28,400) or upon any minor intraday pullback toward the upper boundary of the Support Zone (28,087).
Target: The primary bullish objective is the highlighted Resistance Zone between 28,864 and 29,194, which also coincides with the dashed midline of the ascending channel.
❌Invalidation
Suppose the price loses its current upward momentum and closes back below the lower boundary of the Support Zone at 27,825 on a 4-hour basis. Such a move would indicate that the recent breakout was a bull trap, opening the door for further downside.
📝Trade Summary
Enter long positions in the 28,087-28,400 range with upside targets at 28,864 and 29,194, invalidating the setup on a 4-hour close below 27,825.
⚠️Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
MSFT Weekly Outlook: Support Holds Ahead of EarningsMicrosoft has shown resilience on the weekly timeframe after retesting the $350 support zone a couple of weeks ago. That level held cleanly, confirming ongoing demand and preventing a deeper breakdown. Price has since stabilized and is currently trading near the $393–394 area heading into tonight’s earnings release.
With the report due after the close, volatility is expected. In our view, the higher-probability scenario remains a move higher to retest the intermediate resistance near $465. A constructive reaction to the numbers could open the path for that retest, while a disappointing print would keep the focus on the recently defended $350 zone as the key downside level.
Stay disciplined and manage risk accordingly.






















