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Gold – Potential 2025 Annual High Zone (Ongoing Price Discovery)Gold – Potential 2025 Annual High Zone Date: December 26, 2025 Current Spot Price: 4489 Context: Gold remains in an active price discovery phase, and the 2025 annual high has not yet been fully established. Recent upside expansion confirms that the market is still searching for its final year-end equilibrium, rather than completing a confirmed distribution top. Key Observation: Based on updated macro structure, higher time-frame price behavior, and year-end liquidity dynamics, the potential annual high for Gold in 2025 is expected to form within the 4562 – 4566 zone. This zone represents a probable exhaustion and evaluation area, not a confirmed top. Important Note: The annual high is still in development. As long as price continues to accept above prior resistance levels, further upside exploration remains possible before a final yearly high is confirmed. Analytical Framework: • Higher time-frame context (macro & yearly structure) • Ongoing price discovery, not completion • Zone-based analysis, not point prediction Invalidation / Reassessment: If price fails to show rejection or structural hesitation within the 4562 – 4566 zone, a further reassessment of the annual high scenario will be required. Notes: This analysis is scenario-based and intended for long-term market documentation. It does not represent a trading signal or financial advice. Prepared by: ShailoGold – Gold Market Analyst #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #MacroAnalysis #YearlyHigh #ShailoGold
OANDA:XAUUSD
by shailogold
13
SPY – Dec 26 Trading Outlook | Trend Support vs Gamma Ceilingit’s now pressing into a zone where trend structure and GEX start to conflict. Tomorrow is about whether this pullback is a pause for continuation or the start of a deeper mean reversion. Price action / structure (15m)
SPY remains in an intraday uptrend, respecting the rising trendline from the recent lows. However, the most recent push into the highs produced a clear CHoCH at the top, followed by rejection and consolidation just below resistance. Price is currently compressing between the rising trendline and overhead supply. Momentum has slowed, and candles are getting smaller — typical behavior ahead of either a continuation breakout or a trendline failure. Importantly, this is not aggressive selling. It’s controlled digestion. Key levels to watch
Major resistance / supply: 690.8–691.0
This zone rejected price cleanly and aligns with the highest positive NETGEX / call resistance. Acceptance above this level is required for trend continuation. Range pivot: 689.5–689.0
This is the balance point. As long as SPY holds above this zone, bulls still have control. Trend support / line in the sand: 688.2–687.8
Loss of this area breaks the rising trend structure and likely shifts the day into a corrective move. Downside magnet: 686.0–685.0
If trend support fails, this zone becomes the next high-probability draw, aligning with prior demand and lower GEX support. GEX / options context
GEX is very clear here. 690 is the dominant gamma wall and highest positive NETGEX level. This explains why price stalled immediately after tagging it. Dealers are incentivized to keep SPY below this level into short-dated expiration. Below price, gamma support is lighter until the mid-680s. That means if the trendline breaks, downside movement can accelerate faster than recent buyers expect. IV remains compressed, and options positioning favors pinning rather than expansion unless price breaks cleanly above 691. Scenarios for tomorrow Bullish continuation scenario
SPY holds above 689 and breaks through 691 with acceptance and volume. If that happens, continuation toward 693–695 becomes viable, supported by trend strength and forced dealer hedging. Bearish / corrective scenario
Failure to hold 688 followed by acceptance below the trendline opens the door to 686 first, potentially 685. This would be a controlled pullback, not a crash. Chop scenario
If SPY stays between 689–691, expect frustrating chop and premium decay. This is the most likely outcome if volume remains muted. Options thoughts
Avoid chasing premium inside the range. More favorable setups:
Calls only on acceptance above 691
Puts only after confirmed loss of 688 and failed retest Scalpers should focus on reactions at trendline and gamma levels rather than predicting direction. Overall bias
Cautiously bullish while above trend support, but upside is capped until 691 breaks cleanly. SPY is strong, but it’s pressing directly into a gamma ceiling. Hold the trend → continuation possible.
Lose the trend → clean pullback setup. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and trade your own plan.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
7
Silver - This metal is blowing up now!💣Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ) is rallying even higher: 🔎Analysis summary: Just a couple of months ago, we witnessed another bullish break and retest on Silver. It was quite obvious that Silver will rally accordingly and just recently, we experienced another +150% rally. However, looking at the higher timeframe, Silver is still not done. 📝Levels to watch: $100 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by SwingTraderPhil
10
$NVO Quality GIGA-LONNNNNNNGGGGG!!!This is a weekly of NVO, a global leader in pharmaceuticals addressing issues like obesity, diabetes, among other things. Ever hear of Ozempic? This company makes it. They also have other products in their pipeline which intend to capitalize on these growing epidemics, such as the recently approve ORAL version of Wegovy, a successful GLP-1 agonist. Anyway, back to the chart...You see a head and shoulders reversal at the top (red arcs); price then started forming a bear channel and remained in one for over a year; bear channels are bull flags, so the odds are that we get a bullish continuation once price breaks out to the upside; you see capitulation volume on the large bear weekly candle from July 28 of this year; then notice the retest of that level, forming a double-bottom (green arcs) on the weekly candle of Nov 24; the retest was on much lower volume, indicating supply has dried up, and price is ready for a move higher; Also, note the bullish MACD divergence on the lower pane (green upsloping line) as yet another CONFLUENCE (I hate that word); The Volume by Price indicator (horizontal lines to the left) shows a lot os support at the current levels as indicated by the proportion of green (buying) to grey (selling); I believe price will rotate higher and ultimately test the top of the head and shoulders from whence it came, implying a nearly 3X in price... This is one I would buy in a long-term account and let it marinate. An interesting combination value play AND growth play. Stop loss would be placed below the 2nd double-bottom at about $42...Take profit is $141. DO NOT TAKE THIS TRADE!!! DO NOT FOLLOW MY ADVICE!!! (DISCALIMER)....Merry Christmas from MrJosephTrades. Happy New Year as well...
NYSE:NVOLong
by MrJosephTrades
4
NVIDIA – When the Same Setup Appears Twice!NVDA - CURRENT PRICE : 188.61 NVDA – Technical BUY Call 📈 Price previously rallied steadily after breaking a minor downtrend line (refer orange circle). Similar technical setup is forming again, suggesting a potential repeat of the prior upswing. In both occurrences, price stayed above EMA50 , confirming the broader bullish trend remains intact. RSI remains in bullish territory (>50) and is not overbought, indicating healthy momentum with further upside potential. No major distribution signal observed, pullback appears corrective rather than trend-reversing. Notes : According to Moomoo, broker house targets range from USD 200 (lowest) to USD 352 (highest), with an average target of USD 260. ENTRY PRICE : 186.00 - 188.61 FIRST TARGET : 206.00 SECOND TARGET : 224.00 SUPPORT : 170.00
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by IMRAN_96
4
S&P 500 Index Approaches the 7,000-Point LevelOver the past five trading sessions, the U.S. equity index S&P 500 (SPX) has maintained a consistent bullish bias, posting gains of more than 2% in the short term and moving closer to the psychological 7,000-point level. For now, the index has managed to sustain firm buying pressure, supported by optimism around potential interest rate cuts in 2026 by the Federal Reserve. This scenario could foster a lower cost of borrowing, helping market liquidity remain stable while supporting investment and consumption—key pillars for equity market confidence. If this perception holds, it could continue to act as a positive catalyst allowing the SPX to maintain sustained buying pressure toward the close of 2025. As long as confidence remains in place, buying pressure may continue to shape short-term price action. The Bullish Trend Holds For several months now, the SPX has sustained a consistent bullish trend across its average price movements, keeping the index very close to the 7,000-point area. At this stage, no meaningful bearish corrections have emerged that would threaten the bullish technical structure, which remains the dominant formation to monitor. However, it is important to note that as prices have reached new highs in recent sessions, a sense of neutrality has begun to appear in price action. If this indecision persists, it could open the door to short-term bearish corrections. RSI At present, the RSI remains above the neutral 50 level, suggesting that average momentum over the past 14 sessions continues to favor buyers. However, a notable technical development has emerged: while the SPX price posts higher highs, the RSI shows lower highs, forming a bearish divergence. This pattern may signal a recent excess in buying pressure, increasing the likelihood of selling corrections in the coming trading sessions. MACD The MACD continues to display a histogram oscillating very close to the neutral zero line, reflecting persistent neutrality in short-term moving average momentum. If this behavior continues, it may point to an ongoing indecision phase in SPX price action, potentially allowing for a period of consolidation and the emergence of short-term pullbacks. Key Levels to Watch 7,000 points – Key resistance: A major psychological level that stands out as the most relevant resistance given the lack of prior price references. Sustained moves above this area could trigger a more aggressive bullish bias and extend the current uptrend. 6,900 points – Nearby support: A level associated with the neutrality observed around recent all-time highs. Price action holding near this zone could reinforce a more stable consolidation phase and favor the formation of a short-term sideways range. 6,800 points – Major support: An area where the bullish trendline aligns with the 50-period simple moving average. Bearish moves below this level could put the broader bullish structure at risk and open the door to a more dominant selling bias in the sessions ahead. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREX.com
2
Gold smashes record highs: $4,500 next if prior record holds?Gold has exploded to new all-time highs this morning, breaking above the October peak of $4,380. But this isn't just a random holiday spike. It's the result of a specific macro mix hitting a thin, pre-Christmas market. Here we analyse why a dovish Fed, persistent central bank buying, and geopolitical risks are fuelling this rally. We then map out the two-sided technical picture: the bullish case for a run to $4,460–$4,500 based on an ascending triangle breakout the bearish risk of a pullback toward $4,320 signalled by a 4-hour RSI divergence Key drivers Macro tailwinds: The market is pricing in a full Fed easing cycle for 2026 after three rate cuts this year, pushing down real yields and weakening the US dollar. This, combined with persistent central bank buying and geopolitical hedging, creates a strong fundamental bid for gold. ​ Low-liquidity breakout : Today's sharp move was amplified by lighter-than-average holiday trading volume. Once buy-stops above the previous high of $4,380 were triggered, there weren't enough sellers to absorb demand. ​ Technical structure : Gold has broken out of what appears to be an ascending triangle. The key support is now the prior high around $4,380. As long as this level holds, the bullish structure remains intact. Upside targets : The measured move from the ascending triangle pattern projects a target near $4,460. A similar fractal pattern analysis also points toward $4,440. The next major psychological and Fibonacci level sits around $4,500. Bearish divergence : A clear bearish divergence on the 4-hour RSI suggests that upside momentum is fading, which could trigger a corrective pullback. If the $4,380 support fails, a mean-reversion move toward the high-activity zone around $4,320 becomes possible. Are you buying the dip toward $4,380 or looking to short the divergence? Share your gold trade plan in the comments and follow for more technical and macro analysis. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSD
by ThinkMarkets
4
NASDAQ100 vs BitcoinCryptocurrencies are still struggling to find strong bullish momentum, despite the rebound in stocks over the last few days after the US unemployment rate jumped and US CPI softened, as reported last week. These are ideal conditions for the Fed to consider more rate cuts in 2026, which explains why the dollar has been moving lower and stocks look more attractive. Bitcoin, however, is not showing a clear bullish structure yet. If the NASDAQ 100 consolidates a bit longer through the Christmas and New Year holidays, it’s very possible that Bitcoin could retest the recent lows. As usual, we can expect correlations to normalize again later on, possibly in January, when the NASDAQ 100 could finally break higher into wave five. In the meantime, Bitcoin may still be trying to complete five waves down, with the black wave five potentially still unfolding. Grega
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by ew-forecast
2
US 100 Index – Can the Year End Rally Continue?News released yesterday that Alphabet were going to buy data center partner Intersect in a deal worth around $5 billion to give it more power generation, alongside the on-going battle between Netflix and Paramount for Warner Bros has thrown the spotlight back on US stock indices, especially now that Larry Ellison, Chairman of Oracle and the world’s 5th richest man is now heavily involved in the deal. Turning focus to the US 100 index, traders may now be wondering if it can turn its current 3 day winning streak into a longer string of daily gains, even pushing itself back up to challenge its record high set on October 30th at 26277, or whether the rally could run out of steam around current levels (25445, 0630 GMT). With the Christmas Day holiday less than 48 hours away, today’s volatility driver could be the release of two pieces of US economic data. First up at 1330 GMT is the latest Q3 GDP growth update. Although it’s a second estimate, this could provide further insight into the current health of the US economy and shed some light on whether the market’s expectation of 2 further 25bps interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2026 is spot on, overblown or understated. Then, next up is the US consumer confidence reading at 1500 GMT. This number has been under pressure in recent months with households worried about their financial situation and job security. Traders may be looking to see if the number has rebounded at all, which if it has, could be good news for spending and corporate profits over the important festive period. Technical Update: Santa Rally Only Extends Sideways Range If the latest 3.7% rally in the US 100 index from its December 17th low at 24644 can even be described as a “Santa rally,” it hasn’t so far at least brought too much in the way of Christmas cheer. As the chart below shows, price action is still trapped between the October 30th high at 26277 and the November 21st low at 23834, suggesting the index remains caught within a broad more balanced range at best. As we move into the Christmas–New Year trading period, traders may be looking to identify key support and resistance levels to monitor in case a confirmed breakout triggers a more sustained move in the direction of the price break. Potential Resistance Levels: Following the latest price strength, the December 10th high at 25844 could now mark the first resistance level. While not a guarantee of further gains, closing breaks above 25844 may now be needed to open the way for additional price strength. As the chart above shows, if the 25844 resistance were to give way on a closing basis the focus could then shift to the high from October 30th which stands at 26277. A break above that level could then open the way for scope for further upside. Potential Support Levels: Of course, the resistance levels highlighted above currently remain intact, and while they do price weakness can still emerge. If that happens, traders could be monitoring how the 25094 level is defended on a closing basis. This level represents half of the latest rally and could be the first support focus. Closing breaks below 25094 could signal further price weakness, possibly leading to a test of 24644, which is the December 17th low. Closes below 24,644 could then warn of a deeper decline toward 23834. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
2
S&P500 breakout retest ?US equities remain in a constructive near-term setup. The S&P 500 rose another 0.64% yesterday, extending its winning streak to three sessions and leaving the index less than 0.5% below its record high. December has now turned positive again, keeping the S&P on track for an eighth consecutive monthly gain — a rare run last seen in 2018. Breadth was strong, with more than 75% of stocks advancing, and the Magnificent 7 also continued to recover, sitting just over 1% below their own highs. That said, the key cross-asset headwind remains the relentless global bond sell-off. Yields pushed to fresh cycle highs globally, with Japan’s 10-year yield surging above 2% for the first time since 1999 and German Bund yields breaking above their March peak. While equities have so far shrugged this off, sustained upward pressure on yields remains a risk to valuation-sensitive sectors. For today, attention turns to the final batch of US data before Christmas. The delayed Q3 GDP print is largely backward-looking, but December Conference Board consumer confidence will be more market-relevant after November fell to its weakest level since April’s turmoil. A stabilisation could help equities grind closer to record highs, while another downside surprise may test the market’s resilience given stretched positioning and elevated yields. Overall, momentum remains positive, but rates and sentiment data are the key swing factors for today’s S&P 500 trade. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by Trade Nation
2
Types of Volume Profiles- When to Use EachVolume Profile isn’t just one indicator, it’s a family of tools- each designed to answer a slightly different question about where trading activity is taking place and why price behaves the way it does around certain levels. If you treat all volume profiles the same, you are leaving a lot of edge on the table. Let’s break down the main types available on TradingView and also discuss what each one of them is best at. 1. Session Volume Profile This volume profile is best for Intraday context or very short-term balance. Session Volume Profile plots volume distribution for a single trading session, typically one day. Think of it as a daily auction map that resets every session. Its real value comes from showing you where the market found fair value during the day (that is the Point of Control or POC), and where acceptance or rejection happened near the edges (that is the Value Area High or VAH and Value Area Low or VAL). For intraday traders, this profile is gold. It helps you frame the day by answering some questions like: Is price rotating around value? Is it accepting above yesterday’s VAH or below yesterday's VAL? Is today shaping up as a trend day or a range day? Compared to other profiles, Session VP is tactical. It’s about today, not the bigger story. 2. Periodic Volume Profile This volume profile helps in comparing volume structure across identical time periods Periodic Volume Profile plots a separate volume profile for every fixed period or session. Instead of a continuous distribution, you get a series of mini profiles laid side by side. In simple terms, it lets you compare how volume behaved period by period rather than across a long range. This becomes powerful when you want to see how the auction structure is evolving. You can quickly spot which periods were balanced, which ones were directional, and where participation expanded or dried up. For example, two candles might look similar in price, but their volume profiles may tell completely different stories- one showing clean acceptance, the other showing rejection or poor participation. A big advantage of this type is that- It makes period-to-period comparison easy It's Excellent for spotting shifts in participation It helps to identify which candles mattered and which do not. One disadvantage could be that it can clutter the chart quickly. Compared to other volume profiles, Periodic VP is more analytical than contextual. 3. Fixed Range Volume Profile These profiles are best for studying specific moves or events. Fixed Range Volume Profile is arguably the most flexible and analytical of the lot. You manually choose the range- earnings move, breakdown, rally leg or consolidation- and study volume distribution inside that box. It helps to answer very specific questions: At what levels did institutions actually build positions? Was this move driven by real participation or on thin volume? Because you control the range, this profile adapts to your analysis, not the other way around. These Profiles are: Extremely customizable Perfect for post-move analysis On the other hand, these profiles are easy to be misused if not applied correctly. Since they are not automatic and need trader's discretion, they require experience and knowledge to select correct ranges for analysis. 4. Auto Anchored Volume Profile AAVP are good for letting the market chose the anchor. Auto Anchored Volume Profile takes human bias out of anchoring. TradingView automatically anchors the profile from significant events like highs, lows, or trend shifts. This is especially useful when you want objectivity. Instead of guessing where a move started, you let the algorithm do the heavy lifting. It shines in trending markets where manually anchoring profiles can get messy. But while using this type you should remember that anchors may not always align with your thesis and they might not be ideal for a detailed micro-structure workout. 5. Visible Range Volume Profile VRVP provides a quick context of the market with respect to volume. It does exactly what it says- plots volume for whatever is currently visible on your screen. This makes it incredibly useful for quick reads. Zoom out for higher-timeframe structure, zoom in for detail. No manual adjustments needed. It’s less about precision and more about awareness- knowing where the market has done the most business in the area you are analyzing. Keep in mind that the VRVP are dynamic and they change with zoom level. Also, they are not considered consistent for backtesting. Putting It All Together No single volume profile is “the best.” Each serves a different role in understanding market auctions. Volume Profile isn’t about predicting price. It’s about understanding where the market agreed, where it didn’t, and how price behaves when it revisits those zones. That’s where the real edge lives. For more on Volume Profile basics, see previous educational Related Publications. I personally like to use Fixed Range Volume Profiles for analysis. What is your favorite? Do mention in the comment section.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Bravetotrade
10
The Christmas Silver Finally Breaks FreeFor decades, Silver has celebrated the holidays the same way 🎄 Strong rallies. Rising excitement. And a familiar ceiling. 🎄 Christmas 1980 Silver climbed like a Christmas tree, fast, vertical, and emotional. The star was reached at the $50 level. And just like that, the lights went out ✨ The market peaked and collapsed back into its long-term range. 🎄 Christmas 2010 Different era. Same story. Once again, Silver rallied into Christmas, lit up the chart, and tested the same $50 level. The tree was tall. The star was bright. But price could not hold above it. ⭐️Why the Star at $50 Always Mattered That star was not decorative . It was structural . The $50 level represented: • decades of trapped supply • historical excess from prior cycles • a psychological round number the market respected Every Christmas rally stopped at the same place. Until this one❗️ 💫Christmas 2025: The Star Breaks Free This time, Silver did not just touch the star. It broke above it and held. The Christmas tree is no longer capped. The star has turned into a shooting star ☄️ That is what price discovery looks like. When a market escapes a level it failed to conquer for decades, it stops trading inside a box and starts trading into open space. 🌌Discovery Mode: The Sky Is the Limit With the ceiling gone, Silver enters a new phase. The blue zone ahead is not a prediction . It is a projection . A natural expansion toward the next psychological magnet near 100. Not because history says so. But because history no longer applies the same way once a multi-decade barrier breaks. Above the star, there is only sky. 💡The Takeaway Silver spent decades decorating the same tree. This Christmas, it finally stepped outside the room 🎄➡️🌌 And once a market reaches open skies, it does not ask for permission. It explores . 🧐So here’s the real question: Where do you see Silver next Christmas?🎄 And where do you think it will be ten Christmases from now? ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~ Richard Nasr
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
52
EURUSD Long: Trend Line Support Keeps Buyers, Move to 1.8200Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD is trading in a well-defined bullish trend, supported by a rising trend line that has guided price action from the recent pivot low. After an initial consolidation phase, price broke out of multiple range structures, confirming increasing buyer strength and a shift in market control to the upside. Each breakout was followed by shallow pullbacks, showing strong demand absorption. Currently, EURUSD pushed into the supply zone around 1.1800, where selling pressure emerged. The current rejection from this area appears corrective, not impulsive, suggesting profit-taking rather than a trend reversal. Price remains above the key demand zone near 1.1750, which aligns with previous breakout levels and the ascending trend line, reinforcing its importance as structural support. My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1750 demand zone, the bullish structure remains valid. A strong reaction from demand could lead to another test of the 1.1800 supply, and a clean breakout with acceptance above this level may open the path toward 1.1820 and higher. A decisive breakdown below demand would weaken the bullish setup and signal a deeper correction. For now, the bias remains bullish while price respects the ascending structure. Manage your risk!
Long
by heniitrading
34
US30 H1 | Bullish ContinuationMomentum: Bullish Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud. Buy entry: 48,426.11 - Overlap support - 38.2% Fib retracement Stop Loss: 48,229.27 - Overlap support Take Profit: 48,687.99 - Swing high resistance - 100% Fib projection High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:US30Long
by Tradu
4
Rare Double Head & Shoulders After an Uptrend Market Context After a sustained uptrend, price started to lose momentum and formed a classic Head & Shoulders pattern. What makes this structure interesting is that the market did not reverse impulsively — instead, it developed a second Head & Shoulders formation shortly after the first one. Why this is interesting Seeing two consecutive Head & Shoulders patterns after an uptrend is relatively rare. This often reflects a gradual distribution phase, where buyers slowly lose control and sellers gain confidence step by step. Key Observation Both structures respected their respective necklines , highlighting how the market transitions from strength to weakness through structure rather than randomness. ETHICAL & EDUCATIONAL NOTICE This content is presented solely for educational and analytical purposes , based on historical price data. It does not promote or encourage any specific trading method, financial instrument, gambling, leverage, margin usage, short selling, or interest-based activity . Readers are encouraged to align any financial activity with their own ethical, legal, and religious principles . ⚠️ DISCLAIMER This material is strictly educational and informational . It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading instructions. The author does not provide personalized guidance. Any decisions made based on this content are the sole responsibility of the individual.
by ARMA_Market_Analysis
28
Mastering MACDTurning a Popular Indicator Into a Structured Decision Tool Many traders use MACD as a simple signal generator. They see a crossover, enter a trade, and later realise the result does not match the expectation. MACD becomes useful only when it is applied inside a clear framework built on trend, momentum, and timing. Its real value lies in reading shifts in participation rather than delivering standalone entry signals. Understanding what the indicator represents is the first step. MACD measures the relationship between two moving averages and reveals how fast price is accelerating or slowing down. The histogram shows the rate of change. When used with intent, MACD helps you read the strength behind a move instead of trying to predict direction. Momentum confirms structure and brings clarity to the decision process. Define the market environment before looking at MACD. Trending markets and ranging markets produce different behaviours. In a trend, a rising histogram often supports continuation and helps you judge whether a pullback is healthy or the start of a deeper rotation. In a range, the histogram moves around the zero line and highlights areas where momentum is fading. Without this context, MACD signals tend to mislead more than they help. The next step is aligning MACD with the locations your system already relies on. Use it as part of the confluence, not as a trigger. When price reaches a higher-timeframe level, a liquidity area, or a clear structural pivot, the histogram can show whether momentum is shifting in your favour. You are not asking MACD to discover the trade. You are using it to confirm the logic you have prepared. With structure and location in place, create specific decision rules for MACD behaviour. Examples include shrinking momentum when price approaches a level, expansion that supports a breakout, crossovers that match the higher-timeframe direction, or divergences that signal exhaustion at important zones. Every rule needs to serve a practical purpose. Reacting to every crossover removes discipline and weakens the system. Well-defined conditions make MACD a reliable filter. Risk management remains outside the indicator. MACD does not define stops, invalidation, or how much to risk. Those rules come from structure. Stops should respect swing highs or lows, well-defined invalidation areas, or volatility-based distances. Combining this approach with MACD’s momentum read protects you from chasing trades that lack strength and reduces over-engagement during slow conditions. Validation closes the loop. Backtest the exact behaviours you rely on, not the indicator as a whole. Study how histogram shifts behave at your chosen levels. Compare momentum against structure. Track how timing improves when MACD is used to refine execution instead of generate entries. When the data confirms the rules across different market conditions, the system gains stability. MACD becomes a valuable asset when integrated into a disciplined process. On its own, it produces too much noise. Inside a structured system, it sharpens momentum reading, filters out weak trades, and builds cleaner execution. Traders who use MACD to support their framework instead of driving it achieve far greater consistency over time.
Education
by tomas_jntx
17
Silver Price Hits a Record High Near $72Silver Price Hits a Record High Near $72 On 12 December, we noted that silver had climbed above $60. It took the market less than two weeks to advance further and clear the next psychological milestone at $70. Today, XAG/USD reached $72, extending the sharp rally that began in the autumn. Gold prices have also been showing strong momentum. The surge in precious metals has been driven by: → robust ETF buying from retail investors; → rising geopolitical tensions (media reports suggest the US has deployed additional military forces close to Venezuela); → reduced liquidity during the holiday period. Thin trading conditions often leave markets exposed to abrupt price swings. Technical Analysis of XAG/USD When reviewing the XAG/USD chart two weeks ago, we: → identified an ascending channel (marked in blue); → outlined the possibility of a pullback from the channel’s upper boundary. Since then (as indicated by the arrows): → the price retreated twice from the upper boundary on 12 and 16 December; → on 17 December it broke above the channel; → on 19 December the former resistance acted as support, allowing buyers to consolidate above the blue ascending channel. The current move is characterised by a steep upward trajectory (shown in orange), with the breakout above the $70 psychological level appearing decisive. With silver trading this morning close to the upper edge of the orange channel and the RSI in overbought territory, the market looks vulnerable to a corrective pullback. Indeed, long holders may be tempted to lock in profits after a gain of nearly 30% since the start of the month. That said, the unique dynamics of holiday trading could still fuel an attempt to push towards the $80 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAGUSD
by FXOpen
4
TRU Retesting Broken Falling Wedge SupportTRU previously formed a falling wedge during a prolonged bearish phase. That structure has now resolved to the downside, with price breaking below the wedge support and accepting lower levels. After the breakdown, price is currently retesting the former wedge support, which has now flipped into resistance. This retest is a critical decision zone, as failed reclaim attempts often confirm bearish continuation. If TrueFi fails to reclaim and hold above the broken wedge trendline, downside continuation remains the dominant scenario. In that case, price may rotate lower toward the next demand zone below current levels. For any bullish recovery, price must reclaim the broken wedge support and show acceptance above it. Without that reclaim, the broader structure remains bearish and any bounce should be treated as corrective. This setup is driven by falling wedge breakdown dynamics, resistance flip behavior, and post-structure retest mechanics. Confirmation at this level will define the next directional move.
by CryptoCoinsCoach
5
Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Rise On Potential Chip Shipments to ChinaNvidia (NVDA) Shares Rise On Potential Chip Shipments to China According to Reuters sources, Nvidia has informed Chinese clients of plans to begin shipments of its H200 chips by mid-February 2026. This has been made possible by a recent change in US export policy, which allows the sale of advanced technologies provided a special 25% duty is paid. NVDA shares reacted positively to the news, as the ability to legally sell high-performance chips — which are roughly six times more powerful than the previously approved, cut-down H20 versions — to major players such as Alibaba and ByteDance could significantly boost Nvidia’s revenues. Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) In November, we identified an ascending price channel, which remains intact. Today, the NVDA chart shows clear signs of demand dominance: → the price reversed higher (as indicated by the arrow) before reaching the lower boundary of the channel, with the $170 level acting as support; → bullish gaps were formed at the open of the last two sessions. Particular attention should be paid to the candle of 19 December: → trading volumes were exceptionally high; → the candle body was wide, with the session opening at the low and closing at the high. If the decline from the all-time high is viewed as a corrective “bull flag” pattern (marked in red), it is notable that the price is now testing the upper boundary of that flag. In this context, it is reasonable to assume that if buying pressure remains strong, the price could break out of the correction and move towards the median of the long-term uptrend that has been in place throughout 2025. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FXOpen
9
These Two Patterns Move Markets — Flag & Wedge Explained🎯Professional Guide to Flag and Wedge Patterns 1️⃣ Flag Pattern Definition The Flag pattern is a high-probability continuation pattern that forms after a strong impulsive move. It represents a short-term consolidation phase before the market resumes the primary trend. Standard Flag Structure Flagpole: A sharp, high-momentum price move with increasing volume Flag: A brief consolidation in the form of a parallel channel Breakout: Price continuation in the direction of the prior trend 📌 The correction typically retraces 23%–50% Fibonacci of the impulse move. Bull Flag Dominant trend: Uptrend Consolidation: Shallow downward channel Valid breakout: Candle close above channel resistance + volume expansion 🎯 Target: Length of the flagpole projected from the breakout 🛑 Stop Loss: Below the lower boundary of the flag Bear Flag Dominant trend: Downtrend Consolidation: Weak upward channel Valid breakdown: Candle close below channel support 🎯 Target and stop logic are the inverse of a Bull Flag 2️⃣ Wedge Pattern Definition A Wedge pattern is a price compression structure accompanied by decreasing momentum. It often precedes a strong expansion move and can act as either a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on context. Key Characteristics Converging trendlines Gradually declining volume Minimum of five valid touches across both trendlines Rising Wedge Higher highs and higher lows Support line rising faster than resistance Bullish momentum weakening 📉 Primary signal: Breakdown below support → bearish continuation or reversal 🎯 Target: Maximum width of the wedge projected from the breakout 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the last swing high inside the structure Falling Wedge Lower highs and lower lows Resistance line descending faster than support Selling pressure gradually weakening 📈 Primary signal: Breakout above resistance → bullish move 🎯 Target = wedge width 🛑 Stop Loss = below the last swing low 3️⃣ Key Differences: Flag vs Wedge Feature Flag Wedge Pattern Type Continuation Often Reversal Structure Parallel channel Converging lines Formation Time Short-term Medium-term Volume Behavior Drops during pullback Gradually decreases Fake Breakout Risk Lower Higher 4️⃣ Advanced Trading Tips ✔️ Flags perform best in strong trending markets ✔️ Wedges gain reliability near major support or resistance zones ✔️ Combining wedges with RSI divergence improves accuracy ✔️ Enter trades only after a confirmed candle close (not wicks) Final Summary Flag = Pause → Continuation Wedge = Compression → Expansion Volume confirmation defines breakout quality
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by forexcitypro_leemeenal
4
NZDUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off PullbackMomentum: Bullish Price has bounced off the buy entry, which is acting as a pullback support. This level aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, adding significant confluence and strength to the zone. Buy Entry: 0.5743 Overlap support Slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Stop Loss: 0.5710 Pullback support invalidation Near the 50% Fibonacci retracement Take Profit: 0.5822 Swing high resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Long
by Tradu
8
XAUUSD (H1) – Trading by LiquidityXAUUSD (H1) – Trading by Liquidity Price breaks the channel but buying power is weakening, wait for a pullback to the trendline to enter a trade Summary of today's strategy Gold has broken the price channel, but the key point is that buying power is weakening after the breakout. As the market is about to enter the holiday season – with thin liquidity, I prioritize trading in the "right zone" (liquidity), not FOMO. Plan: watch for a Buy when the price pulls back to the trendline/old channel, and Sell reactively at the Fibonacci liquidity zone 4474–4478. 1) Key Levels today (according to the chart) ✅ BUY Zone (liquidity pullback) Buy Zone 1: 4379 – 4382 SL: 4373 Buy Zone 2: 4361 – 4358 SL: 4353 These are the "beautiful" price zones to wait for a pullback – true to the spirit of trading by liquidity: wait for the price to return to the reactive zone, do not chase buying at the top. ✅ SELL Zone (Fibonacci liquidity) Sell zone: 4474 – 4478 SL: 4482 This zone is "premium + liquidity" so if the price touches it and cannot hold, the likelihood of a profit-taking/reversal is very high. 2) Main Scenario: Wait for a pullback to the channel/trendline to Buy After a breakout, the market often tends to retest the old trendline/channel to check real buying power. Since buying power is weakening, the likelihood of fluctuations to sweep liquidity is high → must be patient to wait for the zone 4379–4382 or deeper 4361–4358. Expected target (scalp/short swing): capture a pullback of 8–15 points depending on volatility, take partial profits when the price bounces according to the plan. 3) Secondary Scenario: Sell reactively at the zone 4474–4478 If the price continues to pull up to the fib zone, I prioritize reactive Sell instead of chasing buy. Only sell when there are signs of "weakness" (long wick/shadow, not closing strongly above the zone). 4) News Context: Weak liquidity → easy "sweep" The market is approaching the holiday season, liquidity is weakening, making it easy for spikes/stop-hunts to occur. Political-economic stories related to policy/tax refunds are causing businesses to prepare strategies, but during this period, prices often react strongly to short-term cash flows rather than sustainable trends. Conclusion: Today prioritize "right zone – right discipline", limit entering trades mid-way. 5) Risk Management Maximum risk per trade 1–2%. Do not enter trades when spreads widen/unusual candle spikes. Which scenario are you leaning towards today: pullback to 4379/4361 to Buy, or pull up to 4474–4478 to Sell reactively?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
37
Price Is Rising Fast, but the Key Move Lies in the Pullback to 4Hello, I'm Domic. Looking closely at the H4 chart, gold is currently in a very strong acceleration phase. A steep sequence of bullish candles has pushed price into the 4.48xx area, while both trendlines on the chart are clearly sloping upward. This confirms that the uptrend remains dominant, but it also shows that price is running ahead of its underlying support — and that is usually when the market needs a pullback to reassess buying strength. From a fundamental perspective, this rally is not happening in a vacuum. Geopolitical and energy risks are resurfacing as a key backdrop: the US tightening restrictions on Venezuelan oil and renewed tensions between Russia and Ukraine are classic drivers of safe-haven demand, pulling capital back into gold. On the other hand, more cautious signals from some Fed officials regarding the pace of rate cuts could keep the USD and bond yields firm, making it difficult for gold to rise in a straight line without intermittent corrections. In addition, a dense calendar of upcoming US economic data suggests intraday volatility may remain elevated but uneven. The zone I am watching most closely is around 4,360–4,330. In fast “momentum-driven” uptrends like this, the market often repeats a familiar pattern: a sharp push higher that creates a breakout narrative, followed by a pullback to test the base and trend support, and only then does the market decide whether it has enough strength to continue higher. If gold can hold the 4,360–4,330 area and show a clear buying reaction, the bullish structure will remain clean and intact. Wishing you successful trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DomicChaina
58