Current monetary policy has brought us this far, and until something changes, it looks like no matter how you look at it, 0% or negative rates are coming. The next 0-15 years should be very 'interest-ing.' If another crisis hits, and the Fed has to lower interest rates drastically, the support of this channel that has held for around 35 years, shows that it is...
Of course it looks very similar to TLT invert. But all daily, weekly and monthly seem to suggest a good chance of a rising rates. Somewhat concern for gold if negative correlation hold.
Preferred short term bet. More likely hike and fade.
I know its the end of the world - again.
The Corona virus is creating havoc and interest rates could soon be at zero.
Please see what happened the last time there was a crash in interest rates.
After the crash a big move up. Then it took years before the crash low was broken.
I've been looking around for various data tools to indicate recessions catalysts and their relationships to financial indicators over the past few months. From those efforts, I've honed in on a particularly interesting ratio that seems to indicate financial shocks that spark recessions (indicated with green shading). It looks like when you take the Fed's Interest...