In the past 2 years, 5 EV companies have lost 800 billion dollars of their market cap! Today, the aggregate market cap of the top 60 companies is $2.229 T. Long-term investors in TSLA, NIO, RIVN, LCID, and XPEV have lost money equal to Toyota, Porsche, BYD, Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Volkswagen, Ford, and Ferrari combined! The market always punishes people for...
Welcome to the intriguing world of Forex, where currencies act at their own rhythm, sometimes defying expectations and confounding even the most experienced traders. In this article, we are going to unravel the “mysteries” surrounding the reactions of USDCHF and EURGBP to recent interest rate hikes. We will dive into the realms of market anticipation, monetary...
In our previous paper , we outlined how investors can use CME's Micro S&P 500 Futures to hedge beta exposure and extract pure alpha. The paper referenced that the Super Sevens stocks (Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla) will continue to outperform the broader S&P 500 index. Not only do these stocks benefit from passive investing and ESG...
Palladium, which hit an all-time high of $3433 in March 2022, has since experienced a major downturn, plunging below the $3000 support level and losing 34% of its peak value by the end of that month. The downward trend persisted throughout 2022, breaching the critical $2000 level in October. A significant bearish move in February 2023 further pushed the price...
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Investing in the stock market has the potential to generate substantial wealth over the long term, although it comes with inherent risks. One notable obstacle that investors frequently encounter involves safeguarding their capital during periods of declining stock prices. When the market undergoes a downturn, the inclination to panic and sell off investments to...
Is TakeTwo Interactive Software Fairly Valued? We use what is known as a 2 stage model, which simply means we have two different periods of growth rates for the company's cash flows. Generally the first stage is higher growth, and the second stage is a lower growth phase. To begin with, we have to get estimates of the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible...
In the past two months, there were several exciting trading opportunities in the oil market amid speculation about the United States seeking to refill its Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) and OPEC taunting more production cuts to propel the oil price higher. However, despite much of the talk among U.S. officials, the SPR continued to be drawn, with the crude oil...
Before anyone reads this idea, I'd recommend reading my previous two ideas about Coinbase and Grayscale. Definitely worth the read to get a better grasp of the current situation. The main ideas I will analyze are that the SEC suing Coinbase and Binance are the final things that had to happen before a Bitcoin ETF would be approved and that the SEC could lose some...
Learning how to identify accumulation and distribution in an asset is an important skill to have for any trader. Luckily, there’s a handy tool we can use: the aptly-named Accumulation/Distribution indicator. In this article, we’ll show you how this accumulation/distribution indicator works, where it’s best applied, and how you can combine it with other tools to...
Sometimes the market can really wear us down mentally and emotionally. Imagine this scenario: you enter a trade feeling confident, having carefully considered and calculated everything. You're in a fantastic mood, already envisioning the profits. And then, unexpectedly, everything goes wrong. In moments like these, even if you have a solid system and strategy in...
Here we're dealing with fib levels derived from macro low & high price levels, specifically covering historic ATH levels. Log scale on because we put emphasis on chart-based A/D in percentages. Identifying critical points of fractal starting from times of eye-catching volatility and perceptible cycles. We start with fib coverage of ATHs chronologically: 1st pair...
Companies age, just as individuals do, and they don’t often do so gracefully, again like individuals. In this presentation, the speaker plans to start with a description of what he sees as the corporate life cycle.
On big questions like this, almost nothing stays constant. When we consider a new technology: We cannot assume that rates of adoption or usage will remain constant—they may drop, they may even grow. We cannot assume that the technology supplying our energy needs will remain constant—there could be breakthroughs in efficiency or changes in the overall energy...
Definition; "A rude and unscrupulous person". Many-o-moons ago I used to believe trading was a team sport (I know, how naive of me) but that's because I joined some supply and demand community where we all traded the same strategy. These days I'm more of a Snollygoster. I can't help it. When I see other traders, I see them as competition - even those I...
Hello dear @TradingView community! Today let’s focus on what is Dollar Cost Averaging ? Determining the optimal moment to buy cryptocurrency is often a challenging task due to the high volatility of crypto assets. Prices can fluctuate unpredictably at any given time, leading traders to experience the fear of missing out (FOMO). This fear is commonly felt...
I still believe a correction is coming and I believe tech will outperform to the downside once again. In the video I look at various megacap stocks and show how many of them are at important resistance levels. Could we sell off and go higher anyway? Yes. Could we ignore all of these indicators and levels and just blow up through them? Yes, possible but not likely....
“One final investment area that I’ll mention, that’s core to setting Amazon up to invent in every area of our business for many decades to come, and where we’re investing heavily, is Large Language Models (“LLMs”) and Generative AI. Machine learning has been a technology with high promise for several decades, but it’s only been the last five to ten years that it’s...