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We reached the much anticipated .786 fibonacci retracementlevel @ ~$296 today. I know general consensus says that we should at least see the round number of $300 and possibly an overshoot to~$311. Although it is definitely possible, I do not see any significant opportunity outside of short positioning. Whether it keeps rolling or not,I continue to build a Put...
Some rookie traders frequently trade without a stop loss because they think they can avoid being stopped out by market swings or rollover. However, if the market moves against them, this technique could result in severe losses. In this article, we'll cover why trading without a stop loss is a bad idea and how stop losses can be used efficiently or, as an...
Intro: In the dynamic world of financial markets, trading strategies have evolved significantly over the years. With advancements in technology and the rise of artificial intelligence (AI), algorithmic trading, also known as algo trading, has gained immense popularity. Algo trading utilizes complex algorithms and automated systems to execute trades swiftly and...
I've made this serious mistake when I started out trading. I skipped from strategy to strategy, methodology to methodology. I've tried almost everything. Signals, account management, mentorships, PAMM, expert advisors, bots and paid indicators. Everything seems to be profitable, until I put my hands onto it. Many times, I found some profitability. After...
Hey everyone 👋 Guess what? This post was created by two TradingView users! @SquishTrade and I collaborated on this post. We wanted to share our thoughts about the MOVE/VIX ratio, which has been exploding recently, and which may be presenting a warning about the future movement of the S&P 500 ( SPX ). Before we begin, here's a bit more about the MOVE index:...
Primary Chart: IWM / Russell 2000 Weekly Timeframe The Russell 2000 (IWM) is often a leading indicator in US markets. It led to the downside in early November 2021 after a false breakout out of its 2021 topping-pattern's resistance around $234. SPX topped nearly two months later on January 4, 2022. While small-caps are not necessarily always the first to make a...
On March 28, merely three days ago, I highlighted the inverted head and shoulders pattern observed in AAPL's stock price. In this particular case, the pattern indicated a bullish continuation. I discussed the support and resistance flip that transpired at the $156 mark. At that time, AAPL was trading just below $156.50, and I projected a bounce to $166, provided...
Here's an overlay of $MCD in yellow from 1980 to 2005 lined up to the 75% drop in $MCD on the "Dollar Menu" price wars, store closings and YOY% sales decline for $MCD back in 2002. It was a disaster. Well, $TSLA has the same 75% drop to the current low. Maybe they mimic, maybe they don't. Just interesting! Here's the $MCD chart and the part that I copied and...
Introduction The dynamic landscape of cryptocurrency trading is filled with a multitude of variables that traders need to comprehend to navigate the financial waters successfully. One such vital aspect of understanding is the relationship between Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) and Other Cryptocurrencies Dominance (OTHERS.D). This article aims to provide an in-depth...
In my previous post , I told you about the general approach behind the creation of the Fundamental Strength Indicator and what it looks like. In this guide, we will consider the methodology for its calculation and several examples of fundamental analysis of companies, performed using the indicator. But I would like to start with a story. One day, when I had...
The SPX consolidation around the orange downtrend line is confusing every chartist out there for good reason. Why-because it is giving off conflicting signals and history really isn't much of a guide. Typically when you draw a monthly downtrend line using 3-6 months of a trend line and then you have an monthly open or close ABOVE the downtrend line (orange line...
Admittedly, this is a clickbait title ... However, let me explain ... In previous cycles between halvings, the duration between the cycle high and cycle low was 13 months as you can see on the chart, with a price drop of >80% in that period. November '22 marks the 13th month since this cycle's ATH, so if history is respected, chances are that this month will...
EUR/GBP has just suffered its worst month in ten, thanks to renewed bets of a more-hawkish BOE and soft inflation reports across Europe. Volumes increased during the recent leg lower to show fresh bearish bets being placed and the OBV (on balance volume) has also confirmed the move lower on prices. Prices are consolidating near the cycle lows on the 1-hour chart...
The Wyckoff Method is a trading strategy developed by Richard D. Wyckoff. It is based on the principles of supply and demand and is used to analyze price movements in financial markets. The Wyckoff method involves identifying support and resistance levels, analyzing volume and volatility, and studying the relative strength of different markets and uses these...
Apple earnings are on 5/4/23 at 4:30pm. Apple (AAPL) Q2 March 2023 consensus earnings estimate is 1.44 per share on revenue of 92.94 billion. The same quarter a year ago AAPL made 1.54 per share on revenue of 97.28 billion. Q2 March 2023 Consensus: PE = 28.8 EPS = 1.44 Revenue = 92.94 B Apple (AAPL) reported Q1 December 2022 earnings of 1.88 per share on revenue...
$GBP - What shall we do now? GBP - Since we hit below 1.14 - 1.10 it's really been a one way for this pair and it could continue...However, we have options! 1 Emergency rate hike 2 Intervention 3 IMF 4 Fiscal spending 5 Swap Lines Now these are the options technically speaking we filled gap around 1.09 this morning, I expected 1.06 on table during open...
While Congress still needs to pass the debt limit agreement, the debate in the market has shifted to the need for the US Treasury Department (UST) to rapidly rebuild its depleted cash levels. We have no understanding of the timetable, but already the debate is whether the significant level of Treasury bill issuance will result in a major headwind for global...
EURJPY - 24h expiry We are trading at oversold extremes. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. The trend of higher lows is located at 146.13. We prefer to consider the medium term trend and expect buying interest to support as prices move lower. Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the...