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LTCUSD 30% | 3 BITFINEX:BTCUSD 20% | 2 BTCCNY 20% | 2 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 10% | 1
Path Path PRO BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin Halving Pump
2418 0 15
BTCUSD, D Long
Bitcoin Halving Pump

As you probably know, Bitcoin's rate of inflation (block reward) halves in early July to 12.5btc. This will halve the revenue of miners. As miners are in control of the network and presumably a decent chunk of the liquidity, the idea would be to manipulate prices upwards (x2) to keep revenue intact. Bitcoin has recently shed a lot of big holders because of the ...

Path Path PRO BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: BTC Block Halving Bubble
2992 3 13
BTCUSD, D Long
BTC Block Halving Bubble

Classic Bitcoin volatility has returned after breaking the $315 capped range we've been stuck in for what feels like an eternity. Recent price action has attracted media attention as well as several old players who were waiting for a range break to re-enter the market. I could list a few dozen fundamental reasons for the price increase but chances are you already ...

Path Path PRO LTCUSD, 240, Long ,
LTCUSD: LTCUSD Elliott cycle complete - beginning distribution
563 0 7
LTCUSD, 240 Long
LTCUSD Elliott cycle complete - beginning distribution

Litecoin has completed its Impulsive and corrective market cycles and should now begin the distribution phase of the pump and dump. Marked on the chart with a vertical line is a rough date for the block reward halving. The bar pattern shown is one of early 2014's distribution phase, with the spike in the middle around halving being the Huobi add pump; sentiment ...

Path Path PRO BTCCNY, 240, Long ,
BTCCNY: BTCCNY bull market forming
404 2 5
BTCCNY, 240 Long
BTCCNY bull market forming

The dormant BTC has awakened after the Greek news (regardless of whether or not it actually had any causation), beginning a push upwards. So far we've had two upward waves which appear to fit the typical 12345-ABC Elliott wave pattern. I'm targeting 1800 Yuan as this was support formed in the push to $300 in March and is also roughly the 1.618 extension of the ...

Path Path PRO LTCUSD, 240,
LTCUSD: LTCUSD Elliot/Fractal
272 0 3
LTCUSD, 240
LTCUSD Elliot/Fractal

Same as last LTC chart (first in related ideas) but with corrected Elliott waves. Also simplified it to what I see is the most likely route, with fibonacci ratio fractals (measured from bottom of retrace to top (OKC top on second move up)) shown by the orange arrows and bar pattern. In the time it took me to correct this chart, the initial predicted downwards ...

Path Path PRO LTCUSD, 240,
LTCUSD: LTCUSD possibilities
223 2 2
LTCUSD, 240
LTCUSD possibilities

Mapping out my ideas for the rest of this LTC movement. Previous chart in related ideas. LTCUSD slightly missed the neckline target but LTCCNY did so I am considering the first wave up completed. Horizontal support and resistances are marked as dotted lines, and fib retracements are present to show correlations to these areas in order to judge which ones may be ...

Path Path PRO BTCCNY, D, Short ,
BTCCNY: There is nothing new under the sun - short bubble fractal
533 5 9
BTCCNY, D Short
There is nothing new under the sun - short bubble fractal

In this chart I've taken two previous bubbles (2012 mini bubble and early 2013's) and compared them to the inverse of the price since December (the right most object). I've labelled fourteen movements in each of the scenarios that I feel are very similar and appear to be repeating (fractals). This 'shorting bubble' has become possible because the demand for ...

Path Path PRO BTCCNY, 240, Short ,
BTCCNY: BTC Bear scenario
97 0 0
BTCCNY, 240 Short
BTC Bear scenario

So far the $235 short entry in my last post has been successful and we have broken away from the pivot to the downside. Considering the immense BBand compression on several time frames, volatility should be picking up soon. Initially there should be a small retracement as an attempt to shake late shorters such as more novice ones that use diagonal lines as ...

Path Path PRO LTCCNY, D, Long ,
LTCCNY: LTCCNY Halving reversal
1363 0 14
LTCCNY, D Long
LTCCNY Halving reversal

After 18 months of downtrend, LTC seems to have found a potential adam and eve bottom, after a sharp vertical move upwards. This may have been caused partially by bitfinex withdrawals being down for bitcoin when their hotwallet was hacked last week, but after consolidating near the highs, this leg is teasing that it can go much further. The idea of this trade is ...

Path Path PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: BTCUSD decision time soon - ideas for future trends
228 4 2
BTCUSD, D
BTCUSD decision time soon - ideas for future trends

Ideas for each path and trade is explained in each note. Chart focuses mainly on major support/resistance zones and logarithmic trends, but also incorporates some experimental concepts. In the medium term, a drop below 210 will mean I enter a short, and a movement above 250 will mean I enter a long.

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