lowstrife

MOD
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Last visit Joined 3 years ago United States
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Markets Allocation
79 % cryptocurrency 6 % indices 3 % commodities 12 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 40% | 14 LTCBTC 11% | 4 BITFINEX:BTCUSD 8% | 3 BTCCNY 5% | 2
lowstrife lowstrife MOD BTCUSD, W, 2 months ago
BTCUSD: $4000 or $400, the great decision is coming.
2537 21 41
BTCUSD, W
$4000 or $400, the great decision is coming.

It's unlikely Bitcoin will spend very long up here near the ATH 2.59% . The 235 day cycle is coming and is in range currently on the 16th, so if bitcoin will get a reversal it will be here. However, if we see extended consolidation up here in this range below but near the ATH 2.59% , it shows weakness in sellers. Similar to December 2012, September 2013 and ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD DASHBTC, 3D, Long , 2 months ago
DASHBTC: DASH still has promising outlook coming in 2017
1473 3 24
DASHBTC, 3D Long
DASH still has promising outlook coming in 2017

This is extremely promising market structure for DASH, very well defined highs that have been hit multiple times. I could see a serious run attempt at 0.1 in the coming months if it continues to provide. I'm a bit late on my timing, I would have liked to publish this chart around 0.0012, but as long as it continues to make higher lows on the high timeframes it ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD UWTI, D, Long , 8 months ago
UWTI: Oil Bounce incoming in the 1-2 months
339 0 6
UWTI, D Long
Oil Bounce incoming in the 1-2 months

Oil opening at support at the start of this week. Bounce will happen rejecting this support zone of $43 this week, or we will correct down to the mid 30's over the next few months and bounce then. Bottom is in IMO as per my last idea. This is just establishing support range as we find equilibrium over the next several years.

lowstrife lowstrife MOD BTCUSD, D, a year ago
BTCUSD: The new beginning of a Fractal?
2740 6 46
BTCUSD, D
The new beginning of a Fractal?

So now we come to a point in time with this consolidation at $400 for deciding the trend for the next several months. Quite an impressive triangle has formed and we're drawing it out right to the end - the break of this will dictate the trend for months (or maybe even years) to come. But I have discovered a small fractal within the overall beartrend since the ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD LTCBTC*BTCUSD, W, a year ago
LTCBTC*BTCUSD: Setup for LTCUSD Bollinger Band Supersqueeze in Full Effect
838 0 7
LTCBTC*BTCUSD, W
Setup for LTCUSD Bollinger Band Supersqueeze in Full Effect

This indicator measures bollingerband width to compare how tight the market has compressed at different times in history. These compression indicate massive accumulation of positions and once the market is decided they will trend for weeks or months. This price chart is the all-time LTCUSD price chart, before there was even a LTCUSD market (the LTCBTC pair goes ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD UKOIL, M, Long , a year ago
UKOIL: Monthly Oil Outlook with ICT Market Structure
1368 2 21
UKOIL, M Long
Monthly Oil Outlook with ICT Market Structure

Similar to my linked Silver market structure, Oil is looking similar as well. We hit 2008 lows, but if we were to bottom here in the long term it won't be without much messing around and quite the contention and battleground. If this support fails, I can see the ultimate low being as low as $24 before we move back into a markup period going into the 2020's. ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD BCHAIN/MKPRU, D, a year ago
BCHAIN/MKPRU: The 235 Day Cycle (somehow) is Still Not Dead
10110 17 97
BCHAIN/MKPRU, D
The 235 Day Cycle (somehow) is Still Not Dead

So I figured this one out a few weeks too late from our $500 top, but hilariously we are still on track for this - somehow. Curve-fitting to the max but it's interesting to see nevertheless. We also see peaks in the network transactions\day to this same timetable too. Network transactions double every period, and they peak within 48hr of price peaking. April $266 ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD XAGUSD, W, Long , a year ago
XAGUSD: Weekly Silver outlook with ICT market structure
652 2 7
XAGUSD, W Long
Weekly Silver outlook with ICT market structure

Just some basic support and ICT structure analysis. Major reversal\inflection zone at $10 which we could hit if the current triple bottom at $14 gives way which it could. Other option is rejection of current $14 low in a "spring" move which would lead to the last year's price action being an accumulation range and we would exit this trading range to the upside. ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD LTCBTC, 480, 2 years ago
LTCBTC: Into the (murky) Crystal Ball of Litecoin, With Targets
1281 2 15
LTCBTC, 480
Into the (murky) Crystal Ball of Litecoin, With Targets

Neutral case on this one; Not really sure where it will go. Targets are approaching OTE on the upside but honestly, after the pump and dump they rarely ever recover past even the 38.2%. I think that is less likely than a slow bleed down, even if BTC rallies. If a rally to 0.017 happens and holds the support trendline, a breakout has the potential to return to ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD BTCUSD, 720, Long , 2 years ago
BTCUSD: Trend-setting pennant; do we form a cup or not?
1413 2 14
BTCUSD, 720 Long
Trend-setting pennant; do we form a cup or not?

So... I'm leaning bullish but we are in a pretty tight range bound consolidation here. If support at the 200D EMA holds, then the additional support at the 262-268 range will fomo the ask side and push us up likely to OTE in the 295/300 range. 12H Willy is at stupid levels, which does not indicate a bottom because it can keep "trending" at the bottom if the ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD BTCUSD1W, D, Long , 2 years ago
BTCUSD1W: Stupid Willy and Consolidating Market
887 2 8
BTCUSD1W, D Long
Stupid Willy and Consolidating Market

No Historical Analysis, just a simple trade setup. A few reasons behind it: Macd is about to cross up Very simple but elegant RSI trendline can be broken if we close the daily in a favorable position Willy is stupid, which is a very difficult thing to do without a major market crash (see $275) Bollinger bands are tight on every timeframe under 12hr. Futures ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD BTCUSD, D, 2 years ago
BTCUSD: Historical Analysis: Anatomy of a bubble
2800 14 45
BTCUSD, D
Historical Analysis: Anatomy of a bubble

On the left is our $266 high in 2013, on the right is our current volatile drop to $166 flipped upside down. A month ago I made a thread about how I believed we were in the middle of a shorting\bearish bubble, posted here: http://www.reddit.com/r/BitcoinMarkets/comments/2sbb0q/welcome_to_a_shorting_bubble/ And today, with our 20\20 retrospect goggles on, we can ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD BTCUSD, 720, 2 years ago
BTCUSD: Split Decision from a painful consolidation range
1032 4 16
BTCUSD, 720
Split Decision from a painful consolidation range

This one is dicey. High timeframe Indicators and Oscillators are useless from the consolidation range until we start printing bigger candles in a few weeks so I am sticking to pure Fibonacci levels and horizontal support\resistance levels. Due to our buildup, expect a big move out of this one. 12hr\daily Bollinger Band supersqueezes are nothing to bat an eye at. ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD BTCUSD, 3D, 2 years ago
BTCUSD: Historical Analysis 2015: Part of a greater cycle
7895 13 88
BTCUSD, 3D
Historical Analysis 2015: Part of a greater cycle

Ignoring elliot wave counts indicators and simply going to comparing pictures and seeing if they match up, I've decided to create another chart showing the comparisons between the bubble blow-off periods we have been experiencing for the last 12 months to the one we experienced several years ago. At the end of the day we would, if we were to mirror this range, ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD BTCCNY, 60, 2 years ago
BTCCNY: The Tides are Turning.
355 0 8
BTCCNY, 60
The Tides are Turning.

Re-post with both charts this time. The comparison between the ill-fated Paypal pump that became completely unsubstantiated and our Microsoft announcement. The latter was slightly smaller (9% gain vs 13%), but so far it has been showing a far higher resilience. Will be interesting to see how this one consolidates and how support builds. No position as this ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD BTCUSD, 1440, Long , 2 years ago
BTCUSD: Repeating moves that we have seen time and time again.
1447 2 24
BTCUSD, 1440 Long
Repeating moves that we have seen time and time again.

I'm expecting another push in the coming weeks if we stabilize 330-350. The MA51 has been our guiding force for the last year and we touched it yet again on this last push up. And, surprisingly, we are guided yet again by a strong bearish trendline that looks ripe for the picking. Sub $300 prices seem unlikely with the gusto that the Bearwhale wall was bought ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD SPX, 2W, Short , 2 years ago
SPX: Divergences start their influence or will the market push on?
556 2 8
SPX, 2W Short
Divergences start their influence or will the market push on?

I've been keeping an eye on the markets since we have had these decades of volatility since the dot.com bubble, and I have never seen compression of indicators (especially the Willy!) like the DOW is showing. While I'm not ruling out we could see continued pushes higher as people have been forecasting these market tops for a year+, I am starting to see resistance ...

lowstrife lowstrife MOD BTCUSD, D, 2 years ago
BTCUSD: Green Channel vs Red Flag for the Daily Outlook
931 5 13
BTCUSD, D
Green Channel vs Red Flag for the Daily Outlook

Will the 51MA and bearish trendline provide enough resistance to keep us below the 61.8% retracement to re-test the bullish trend? Or will the Green untested channel provide enough strength to carry onward to the next target. If $660 (683) breaks, expect $900's. If $550 (540) breaks, expect $400's.

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