📌 ridethepig | VIX Exploding
Morning all... a short post, but one that is full of dramatic events. The 'discovered naked short' from wsb is a wildfire burning...the cleanest place to see the damage is in vol. This discovered vector in GME clarified the damaged relationship between central banks and market pricing while QE infinity provides a cover a 'risk...
I'm thinking to make a nice play on my upcoming correction belief.
Only option I have with my broker is VILX, so started looking into it's history.
Only makes big money with big crashes / corrections, and I think we have two on the way.
Data was so small for the main chart, but looking at the RSI here, some very interested volatility wave patterns.
I'm always...
I'm 100% certain a big correction is coming (possibly barring any stimulus that may scupper this, likelihood is it could even be the cause!) start of Q2 2021.
I want to make a Vix play on this and this is my only option with my broker so been taking a dive.
Straight away, arcs of intent everywhere, clear ebb and flow patterns. Being a fib fan, especially in waves...
Record inflows and volume reported for vix related derivatives in January. Markets are increasingly getting worried about the bubblenomics that the fed has been pursuing investigating cases like GME may be a symptom of an unhealthy market environment.
Rampant speculation has insisted since March boosting asset values but at the cost of what? This is a money game...
Market volume is drying up and we're seeing historic put:call ratio's on the indices. We have the necessary ingredients in the cake for a another wave of volatility to hit the market. Please see my previous post about the VIX and the compression patterns that often occur. Volatility tends to get bottled up and then erupt. We are likely in a bottling-up zone...
I am short the entire market.
What I was just told by a high level politician is earth shattering and biblical.
The USA Corp. is bankrupt. The previous president signed a new Declaration of Independence on July 4, 2020. Check his wife's Twitter posts.
The United States is now running under the original 1776 Constitution and everything that has happened by...
📌 @ridethepig VIX Market Commentary 18.12.2020
A good time to update the VIX chart for the traditional Quad witching flows....After an exchange in Q1 2020 with VIX exploding to the topside as widely expected for all those following, there is now what follows, an opportunity for a panic cycle next week (21st December) followed by another window in January...
Looking at the VIX seems that the market has calmed down since the first market closure. Calm to a point of complacency.
This could be dangerous though, as seen before that these levels usually preceed a strong rise in volatility and a decline in the broader market.
📍 The theme we have set ourselves here for an expansion in Vol into next week, would usually provide enough material for an entire website, but lack of space compels me to moderate this into a short and snappy post.
I shall only point out the most important notions and events from 2019 and save a deeper examination for later.
The most...
Why are we selling?
Updates in bold
Price is expensive and volatile - during the election process in the US, the worlds relationships are affected
The election is coming closer <8 days.
The S&P500 and NAS100 are not shown here but use reference for our previous ideas to show where price has reached our over exposed markers.
The stocks have recovered well...
VVIX is the mother of volatility. It's already elevated, the initial shock and awe stage is done. SPX has to go down from here (which equates to more shock, awe and disbelief) for VVIX to rise substantially and for VIX futures & VIX options to behave accordingly.
Expecting a pullback (similar to my last $VIX chart) before rocketing much higher (March levels)....
📌 Vix - Volatility
An expansion of volatility is coming; the attempt to step against the flow of Covid chapter II is reckless to say the least. According to my models, we have unfinished business to be done at 85 once more. I will continue to hold longs and look to add on dips for example towards 25, or enjoy a momentum gambit when we see the breakup.
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