Hi folks! For what its Worth, I am still bearish - mostly because of the state of all financial markets, but also a clear bearish technical picture which we have seen since the end of july. I am still holding my shorts with TP 30k from 46.3k/49.5k with SL 52k/56k. For the record, I have also stacked up 40% of my portfolio with long VIX contracts for september...
Hi folks! Do I need to say more? VIX more than 20% below its average, massive DIV in addition to a crazy level of risk - I am loading up bigtime on days like this! DYOR. NFA. Never take the word of others as a given, and never take advise from someone without skin in the Game. I wish you all well!
The Chicago Board Options Exchange developed the VIX in 1990 to predict future stock market volatility. The VIX is a real-time indicator that represents market participants' volatility predictions for the following 30 days. When the S&P500 falls, the index rises when it rises, demand for protection falls. The VIX is a gauge of market emotion, thus the name "fear...
Hi folks! This - in addition to almost everything in financial markets ATM - is very scary reading. S&P500 just flashed a third consecutive (i.e. uninterupted by an equivalent buy signal) Triple Divergence (RSI, MACD and Volume) since the covid-correction on the dialy. Usually, one such signal is a bad sign, but three consecutive ones is just madness. Time...
Hi folks! As those of you who have followed my predictions for a while now are aware of, I have a massive bearish bias these days - while my predictions in the last weeks have yet to become a reality, my stated short positions are still alive and well. This is first and foremost due to the extremely scary macroeconomic state (and thus fragility of the financial...
Hi folks! As you may know, FINRA published the Margin Debt Statistics for July the other day. As you may also know, tops in prolonged and explosive runs in margin debt usually precede big corrections/crashes in the S&P500 by a couple of months The Margin Debt reading was down 4.3% from July after 15 consecutive months of increase (!) Here is my idea on how...
Upbeat economic data and further progress in economic recovery will lead to decrease in the market volatility over time. Because of that we would like to set our short term price target for VIX to 15 USD. Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking...
Idea for VIX: - Falling Wedge Breakout, Re-test the Wedge and enter upward ML Channel. - Using 2N-2.2N Frequency SL. GLHF - DPT
Idea for VIX: - VIX finally has touched pre-COVID levels. The debt and margin fueled recovery is complete. - Markets hitting ATH's every day (nearly a record for days in a row). - Yet every warning is flashing, market components are down, yet indices grind up on low volume. - Liquidity is flowing out, tapering has already begun, global credit impulse is negative,...
Idea for Volatility: - Wyckoff Cycle Mapped. - Wave Frequencies synced. - Cause and Effect determined. - Greater Cycle: - Bonds Volatility looks ready: - China Credit Impulse turns negative, consequently the global credit impulse turns negative. - Liquidity Flow: Credit > Bonds/Currencies > Commodities > Stocks. Fighting the Fed: - Reading the Curve: -...
That is all. GLHF - DPT
New all-time highs in the market combined with a creeping VIX are cause for some alarm. Inflation hedges/bets seems to be the talk of late with inflation on the rise.. and this is not unwise considering that money supply is off the chart and velocity is sure to pick up... although velocity is not a necessary component of inflation. Remember that the market is...
Trade for SVXY: - Price has been rejected from the rising upper channel's median line. Shorting the re-test and 2nd rejection. - Price is at the short entry-zone (sliding parallel) of the downward channel, and must return to the median line. - Corrective structure (Measured Move Down) suggests price will reach bottom of downward channel. GLHF - DPT