good evening, --- i'm looking for a dip down into the middle of this month, down to about 3900\3850ish, followed by a rip into the end of this month to about 4200~4250. that peak will mark a significant top in this market, and september will bring forth a cliff dive. downside target at 3400 by the end of this year. --- 💸
good afternoon, as of today, my bear idea has lost most of the probability which it had. it's still possible, just less likely. --- looking at the move down from ath as a completed 3 wave move. weather it's wave (w) or a completed correction is not yet known, but we will know in the month ahead. --- looking for a pullback which starts next week, and goes on...
good morning, i'm seeing a few big bear signals popping up today. ---- -1 day hidden bearish divergence confirmed. -1 day waves master sell signal. -1 day red dot confirmed (distribution signal). -new moon tomorrow. ---- it's possible es makes a push up to 4040 before pivoting down in the days ahead. could get as high as 4110 technically, if the stars...
good evening, --- been thinking about this count today, and i think this correction is going to get larger before seeing new lows. theorizing that the recent three wave move we saw was wave (w) of a higher degree, the pull-back which is to come between july 28th ~ august 12th will be wave (x) and the move up will be wave (y) which takes us up into the 4200...
There is a substantial opportunity setting up for the Cash VIX, Calls are obviously higher into Friday's RT, but should be followed out to and through Feb 2023 at the 25 and 35 Levels. The Arbs are beginning to stretch the Bands to extremes, this almost always provides an outsized opportunity at Levels. 24.30 Was the July Futures Contract Support which traded...
in my previous post, i shared my primary bearish projection; in this one, i'll talk about my primary bullish projection. --- i have shared this idea recently via: --- my only problem is our indicator, and a few other factors. i've lowered the probability for this mid-term bull case to about 10%. raising the probability for my mid-term bear case to about...
good evening my peoples, --- it was just last week when i called out this trade, didn't expect us to get up here so quickly. 👇 --- in the post above, i was targetting 4000~4040, but i'm moving my target up a tad. w4 target = $4105.25 --- ps. it's possible the top was in today - so if price starts moving sideways, it could become a phase of distribution...
good morning, i shared this scenario two weeks ago, and it's been playing out nicely. take a look at the original post: --- with all of the earnings coming up, markets should continue trending up into the end of this month. i'm anticipating a bearish pivot after july 28th. ---- upside target = 4042
good morning o/ ---- es has been working on a little impulse over the last couple of days. my upside target for this current move sits at about 3999~4000. (can take a few days to get there) ---- currently unknown as to what comes next, will be determined based on the reaction we see from that 4k backtest.
good morning ~ --- spx is gearing up for a move up into that 4000+ area. if my count is correct, the rally should begin tomorrow. 3800ish, maybe slightly below can be met, after which a two week rally should take place. upside target at roughly 4060.
good evening, --- we're in a very choppy zone for the next month or so, range is between 3650~4000. --- es will likely grind up to anywhere between 3870~3900, after-which it'll likely see a rejection. that rejection will allow es to retest the range lows before attempting once more to break the range highs. local low should theoretically be in on july 12\13th...
Once they've finished dicking with Vol of Vol - the move Higher will provide an outright collapse in the Indicies. It will fill the Lower SPY Gqps @ 338, 285, and 230. _________________________________________________ The Weekly Bowl on the VX indicates it will retest its Hoghs and exceed them by a large margin. Time is not on Equities Side. Try as they might...
good evening. --- i've two projections in the weeks ahead: #1. a back-test of $4000, followed by a flush out next month down to about 3550. #2. $4000 is reclaimed as support, and price grinds higher in the month ahead into that 4300~4400 region. --- price action is the 🔑 in this market. observe it and vibe with the ever-changing flows of this wild market 💰
The index behaves uncertainly. Tuesday's rise turned out to be a sham. Delta flows were negative or neutral all trading day. The DIX showed a decline on the upside. For a sustained rally we need to buy calls, which we are not seeing for the next few weeks. Volatility sellers are not very active either. VXX again took the lead in dark liquidity by yesterday's...
after todays close, it looks like es is in an ending diagonal. >each lower low will create bullish divergence. >price contracts \ enters into a squeeze. >larger time-frame oscillators get a chance to completely reset. >most people get shaken out. >this is a form of accumulation by the big boys. --- the finishing move can be a capitulation, potentially to...
es ended up rejecting close to the level which i talked about in last nights post - kinda surprised it didn't make it up those last few points. you know what this means though? weakness. --- there's a notable pull wall at 3600, and a notable call wall at 4280 expiring on june 30th, which was opened by jpmorgan. these are our major support \ resistance levels...
it's that time of the month. No, it's not Hygiene. July CT spread is ZERO, the CAsh Vix is positive on Roll Yield as well. The Curve went into backwardation slightly... ___________________________________________________________ Hopefully, a PCC Squeeze into the next DUMP.
Pattern: Bearish Pennant Trend: Bearish on the D and Bearish on the 4HR Entry: Searching for cheap entry around the breaking level Indicators: ATR, Moving Average Position: Short Levels: * StopLoss: above the upper trend line on the pennant -4150.00 *TakeProfit: Retest of the previous low -3880.00 *RiskReward: 2