XMR keeps failing at 450 resistance, is a major breakdown comingYello Paradisers— how many times can XMRUSDT hit the same wall before it collapses for good? The rejection from the 448 to 450 zone is starting to look like more than just noise.
💎XMRUSDT respected an ascending channel for a while but that structure has now clearly broken. The recent breakdown along with an internal CHoCH signals a shift in short-term momentum. The impulsive rejection has cooled off the buyers and the current consolidation just below the broken channel shows that sellers are gaining control while buyers struggle to hold ground.
💎After the breakdown, price made a corrective attempt but was quickly rejected again around the 0.5 to 0.618 Fibonacci retracement area. This zone has now become a supply region and continues to suppress any bullish attempts. As long as price stays under that structure with no strong bullish displacement the bias remains bearish with a likely push toward lower liquidity zones and key support levels.
💎This view changes only if price closes a strong candle above the 450 resistance. That would reclaim the previous range high, cancel the bearish structure shift and signal renewed bullish strength with potential to target higher liquidity above the current range.
🎖Right now is not the time for emotional moves. Stay calm and stay focused. We are only interested in the cleanest and most high probability setups. That is how you win in this game long-term.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Wedge
Silver XAG to $47 soonBreaking Out - silver is second most used commodity after oil and reserves are running low. It’s not difficult to work out that soon large companies, like apple , Samsung, Microsoft etc will be HODL silver like a baby on breast milk. Not to mention when the vampires come out to bite you will need your silver bullets so don’t sell your silver .
NZDJPY: Bullish Trend Continuation 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY will likely continue rising after the news,
following a confirmed breakout of a resistance line
of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame.
With a high probability, the price will reach 91.4 level soon.
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Chuck's coin teetering on the brink of a dramatic plunge to 9cCardano, along with many other high market cap tokens, certainly stands out.
As we find ourselves in the crypto bear market,
I would argue that we have actually been in one for quite some time now.
The rapid declines can catch newcomers off guard.
Meanwhile, those who have weathered several cycles tend to quietly withdraw and wait for BTC to undergo its usual year-long downturn.
Will BTC hit a bottom again next November, similar to the previous four-year cycles?
The odds still seem to favor a yes.
Even with the influx of institutional capital.
This situation simply means that the OGs finally have the liquidity to cash out completely.
And they have been doing so with great intensity since the summer.
Unfortunately, altcoins do not benefit from this liquidity, and there are hardly any profitable wallets aside from those of founders and VCs who essentially created the coins or acquired them for a pittance.
Retail investors will likely bear the brunt of falling for the hype once more.
Selena | XAUUSD – Thought On Year Closing December last 2 weeksFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
After a sharp rejection from all-time highs, Gold entered a corrective phase that remained controlled and trend-respecting. Buyers defended the lower parallel support multiple times, creating higher lows. The reclaim of previous rejection as support is a key structural shift, signaling that sellers are losing control. Current price behavior shows compression under psychological resistance, typically preceding an expansion.
This is trend continuation logic, not mean reversion.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation Scenario 🚀
Condition: Hold above psychological demand + channel support
🎯 Target 1: 4,380
🎯 Target 2: 4,450
🎯 Target 3: 4,500 (psychological expansion)
❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario 📉
Condition: 4H close below parallel support
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4,380 – 4,450 – 4,500
Support 🟢: 4,280 – 4,180 – 3,925
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
AMAZON Forming a Bearish Rising Wedge AMAZON UPDATE: 🚨🚨
In the Long term I am very BULLISH ON $AMZN.
However as we have seen with the DOT COM Bubble the same RSI weekly Divergence is beginning to appear!
Every few weeks since the 2024 we have seen New Highs with Lower Highs in the RSI
2021 and 2022 we had a similar situation with New Highs until the end of 2022. Even with all these the RSI failed to make new highs and consistently went lower.
After all that weakness in the stock RSI the Stock fell 55%
Prior to the Great Financial Crisis the Stock was making New Highs from 2007 to 2008 with the same pattern forming and the RSI consistently making Lower Highs.
Just before the really big drop of 2009, the stock had already dropped 39% to make new lows because the weak technicals were already calling for a top before the Great Financial Criss Bubble!
Now going back to the DOT COM Bubble, the RSi Divergence was also seen and the stock continued to make new all time highs with Lower Highs in the RSI until the stock could not keep up with valuations.
We may have already got the blow off top after the last earnings release or we may retest and move towards All time Highs before a sudden and larger drop!
However if this bottom trend line breaks we can expect to test 190 down to 170 levels
I will wait to see if the RSi trend line is tested again before selling out of my position, but either way the RSi needs to break 65 in the weekly in the next few months or else the top will be in!!
I will be on high alert for NASDAQ:AMZN and after final assessment I will exit my position until I can confidently reenter once again!
EURAUD - Rally Into Resistance or Setup for Continuation?📉EURAUD remains structurally bearish , with price still respecting the broader descending trendline.
The recent bounce is corrective in nature and has brought price back into a key supply zone, right at the intersection with the upper trendline.
This area is critical.
⚔️As long as price remains capped below this confluence , the higher-timeframe bias stays bearish. This is exactly the type of zone where trend-following shorts become attractive — not blindly, but through confirmation on lower timeframes.
What matters here is not the level alone, but the reaction:
rejections, momentum loss, and lower-timeframe bearish structure will be the trigger.
If sellers defend this intersection, continuation to the downside remains the higher-probability scenario.
Will sellers step in again at the trendline, or will buyers surprise? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Selena | BTCUSD -Trend Support Holding | Demand Building BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BTC remains inside a bullish macro channel while repeatedly defending the 89.5k–90k demand zone. Price is compressing directly under the buy-side liquidity cluster at 92.9k–93.6k. This is accumulation, not distribution.
A bullish continuation ONLY activates with a clean break of short-term structure.
Bullish Continuation Setup
Requires:
Break above 92.5k
Hold above 92.0k after retest
Once confirmed:
🎯 Target 1 → 93.2k
🎯 Target 2 → 94.0k
🎯 Target 3 → 96.8k–97.5k (major liquidity draw)
Bearish Breakdown Setup
Failure of 89.5k demand = collapse.
Triggers if:
Candle closes below 89.2k
Targets:
📉 87.0k
📉 84.8k
📉 82.0k liquidity shelf
Bias:
Neutral until 92.5k breaks.
Bullish above 92.5k.
Bearish under 89.2k.
⚠️ For educational purposes only.
AAVE ANALYSIS (1D)Hello everyone.
Today I'm going to examine AAVE.
As you can see after a five upward impulsive wave, AAVE has faced a double Zig-Zag correction.
The reason why this pattern is a Double Zig-Zag is simply because the first A-B-C correction was not enough. Therefore another Zig-Zag correction was needed.
This kind of corrections only appears in the market when the main correction wave is not enough to balance the price according to the last impulsive wave.
There are two scenarios comes forward;
First: If it's a double Zig-Zag correction, there is always another possibility that this pattern could turn itself into a triple Zig-Zag. In this case, the mini wedge pattern you see on the chart will break the last low and create a way deeper correction. Target of a possible triple Zig-Zag is marked on the chart.
Bullish scenario: If the double Zig-Zag has ended which is what I'm seeing at the moment, the 4H ascending wedge you see on the chart will create a leading diagonal and a higher high, which will be seen as wave 2 for another five wave upward impulsive move. That's the opportunity you can't afford to miss.
Fortunately, the risk management comes very easy when Elliott patterns are clear.
If you're looking for a swing long position in here your stop-loss should be last low, just below the Wave Y. To make it better, wait for a daily candle close below it, so you won't be hunted for liquidity grabs.
Target of the possible wave 3 is marked on the chart as well.
Elite | XAUUSD | 1H – Bullish Structure, Demand HoldingOANDA:XAUUSD
After a strong impulsive push, price corrected in a controlled manner rather than dumping aggressively — a sign of healthy bullish structure. The current consolidation above demand suggests buyers are defending, but continuation is only valid if price holds above the demand box and reclaims intraday highs. Failure to hold this zone opens a deeper corrective move toward lower channel support.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation 🚀
Condition:
1H close holding above 4310
Break and acceptance above 4340
🎯 Target 1: 4375
🎯 Target 2: 4400
🎯 Target 3: 4430
❌ Bearish Breakdown 📉
Condition:
Strong 1H close below 4300
🎯 Downside Target 1: 4275
🎯 Downside Target 2: 4252 (major structure support)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4340 – 4375
Support 🟢: 4310 – 4300 – 4252
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
This is why $SILVER Bears are WRONGThe TVC:SILVER bears have been arguing that the recent parabolic move in TVC:SILVER will end the same way it did in 2011. However, market conditions were different in 2011 than they are now. In 2011 the long end of the rate curve TVC:US10Y was DECLINING (see bottom chart). The situation now is not the same: Interest rates have broken out from that downtrend and formed bullish technical patterns. Rising interest rates will only add fuel to the fire and push TVC:SILVER much higher. I can already hear the noobs saying: "But the FED is cutting rates." The FED only controls the short end of the curve. Moreover, the FED has initiated a new round of QE, and TVC:SILVER is probably sniffing out the inflation that is on the horizon.
DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH; THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
ETH Holds Support - Bulls Still in Play!?📈ETH has been trading within a rising broadening wedge pattern.
⚔️This week, price rejected the lower boundary of the structure.
🏹As long as the wedge remains intact, and ETH holds above the last major low at $2,750, a bullish continuation toward the upper boundary of the wedge remains the favored scenario.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EURUSD Holds Demand - Retest of 1.1760 Resistance LikelyHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish phase inside a descending channel, EURUSD found a solid base near the lower boundary, where selling pressure weakened and price turned around. This reversal led to a clean breakout above the descending resistance, signaling a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish. Following the breakout, price moved higher but entered a corrective phase, forming a series of pullbacks while maintaining higher lows. As momentum rebuilt, EURUSD broke above the key horizontal level and accelerated into an ascending channel, confirming bullish continuation. Price then pushed into the Seller Zone near 1.1760, where a fake breakout occurred — indicating strong supply but not a full trend reversal. After this rejection, the pair pulled back into the Buyer Zone around 1.1700–1.1720, which aligns with previous resistance turned support and the lower boundary of the ascending structure. Currently, EURUSD is holding above the support level, suggesting that the pullback remains corrective. Buyers continue to defend this zone, keeping the bullish structure intact. My scenario: as long as price holds above the 1.1700 Buyer Zone, EURUSD may bounce and make another attempt toward the 1.1760 Resistance / TP1. A confirmed breakout and acceptance above this level would open the door for further upside continuation. A failure to hold support, however, could lead to a deeper correction within the structure. For now, the bias remains bullish, with support holding and resistance as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Selena | USDJPY | 2H – Institutional Demand Reaction ZoneFX:USDJPY
After multiple rejections from the HTF supply zone, price declined in a controlled manner and reached institutional demand. The current consolidation near the demand zone suggests absorption of selling pressure rather than aggressive continuation. Structure is compressing, indicating a potential liquidity-driven expansion once price resolves from this range.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the institutional demand and reclaims channel midline:
🎯 Target 1: 155.20
🎯 Target 2: 156.00
🎯 Target 3: 156.60 (channel resistance)
❌ Bearish Case 📉
If price breaks and closes below structural support:
🎯 Downside Target 1: 153.80
🎯 Downside Target 2: 153.20 (HTF demand sweep)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 156.00 – 156.60
Support 🟢: 154.20 – 153.80
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Selena | XAUUSD | 30M – Accumulation Before Expansion | CPI DAYFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
After a strong impulsive move, XAUUSD entered a consolidation phase under key highs. Instead of aggressive selling, price is forming a tight range above demand, suggesting smart money accumulation ahead of CPI volatility. As long as demand holds, continuation toward new highs remains the dominant bias.
Momentum pauses here are healthy — not bearish.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Condition: Hold above 4300/4325
🎯 Target 1: 4350
🎯 Target 2: 4400
🎯 Target 3: New ATH above 4400
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Condition: 30M close below 4280
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4350 – 4400
Support 🟢: 4300 – 4285 – 4255
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
GBPJPY: Bullish Wave Almost Confirmed?! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY turned bullish after the news today.
The price is currently breaking a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern.
If a today's daily candle closes above its trend line, there
will be a high chance to see more growth.
Next resistance will be 209.5 then.
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#DASHUSDT #4h (ByBit) Falling wedge breakout and retest [LONG]Digital Cash is pulling back to 50MA regained support where it seem likely to bounce towards 200MA resistance.
⚡️⚡️ #DASH/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (2.0X)
Amount: 5.3%
Current Price:
48.22
Entry Targets:
1) 48.13
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 66.44
Stop Targets:
1) 38.97
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:DASH BYBIT:DASHUSDT.P #4h #DigitalCash #Privacy dash.org
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +76.1%
Possible Loss= -38.1%
Estimated Duration= 1-2 weeks
ALGO – Falling Wedge at Macro Support | Reversal or Breakdown?ALGO has been in a clear downtrend for an extended period, but price is now compressing inside a falling wedge , a pattern that often precedes a bullish reversal.
Price is currently testing a major horizontal support zone aligned with previous macro lows. At the same time, price remains below the SMA 40 and EMA 150, confirming that higher-timeframe momentum is still bearish. As long as these moving averages are not reclaimed, caution is warranted.
🔍 Scenarios:
Bullish scenario:
– Breakout above the falling wedge
– Reclaim of the EMA 150
– First targets toward prior range highs
Bearish scenario:
– Loss of current support
– Acceleration to the downside toward lower liquidity zones
– Wedge failure → trend continuation
This is a key decision area : either a structural trend reversal, or one final flush before a potential bottom forms.
UDMY turning profitable and in deep value territoryNASDAQ:UDMY stock has been left for dead. It's formed a massive falling wedge on the monthly chart and until late has done so with improving momentum.
While not strictly aligned to disciplined charting techniques I view the recent meltdown in momentum as capitulation and a good time to start a small position.
Looking at the annual and quarterly profit figures we can see the company has been bleeding cash for years, but in recent quarters is starting to make a small profit.
It's a speculative buy, so keep the position sizing small, but I think there's room to double or even triple with sufficient time.






















