XLF touching the 63 quaterly VWMA at first it was rejected but the candle doesnt look nice
The XLF was off to the races this morning as the longer-dated maturities of the yield curve sold off, increasing the spread captured by banks who borrow-short and lend-long. In the middle of the day a key reversal occurred, setting us up for a bearish engulfing candle. This chart pattern is a rally above the previous day's high and a close below the previous...
Here the XLF daily chart: with a negative divergence and a bearish wedge we are on the apex of a potential negative drop. A break of the bearish wedge will be a problem for the bulls
I'm simply posting this chart as a reminder how far Citigroup (C) has fallen since its 2008 highs. Rising long rates will benefit the banking sector as banks borrow short and lend long, keeping the spread. Even though the stock has doubled off the lows, it's still priced at 1.0x book (cheapest in the sector, JPM is 1.7x book) and Barron's thinks the shares could...
Chart is fairly self explanatory. Target on the HVF has been met and price action now looking toppy with dollar collapsing. Financials need to retrace to 23.5 at the very least, although would expect more depending on rate hike narrative
Note the complete disconnect between DXY and the run up in financials as of late. UJ performance is marginal and XAUUSD has been acting bearish. Would lead me to infer that DXY troubles are not related to FOMC forecasts and instead more euro-based. This would support the notion that XAUUSD is setting up to take a dive lower as a correction. Secondary interesting...
Two harmonic patterns have been complited.
I suppose. Is it OK to suppose?
WFC is testing the top of a consolidation range before earnings. WFC has been consolidating since it broke below a weekly uptrend line. Bearish? Short as long as below 60$ Bullish? Buy the breakout?
The Financial Sector The following ETFs are related to the Financial Sector. The ETFs track different sections of the financial sector as noted. There are many more ETFs in financial subsections for the USA and international equities. Included for each ETF are the symbol, the total Assets Under Management (AUM), the Number of Shares in circulation (Shares),...
$BLK closed at a 52 week high on Monday. Financials have shown strength/seen a lot of sector rotation in the past week. RSI Perking back up after some sideways consolidation. Looking to go long with a pullback to the $427 area; stop with a close below ~$424.39. On my watch list for 7/5.
Notice the Sell Zone shown in this chart
This is usually a bearish pattern. The big trade is to wait for a breakout to either side. A short position can be opened here with a stop loss above the descending line. I will open a long position in FAZ (3x Financial Bear) at the market open this AM.
XLF, the financial services ETF, surged as the House voted to repeal Dodd-Frank. However, financials are staring a wall of delinquencies in the face as the delinquency rate continues to rise higher. This will have a bigger effect on the market than passing this legislation. The delinquency rate continues to rise after the surge in lending at the end of 2016. ...
Dodd-Frank got closer to being repealed and likely the Senate will follow suit, from what I he been reading. However, the financial sector is facing a wall of delinquencies as the rate continues to climb. That would be a far greater market mover than the repeal of the legislation that would ultimately prevent financials from getting a wall of delinquencies. It...
XLK has been one of the main forces behind the U.S stocks market rally since Trump was elected. XLK is up almost 20% since the U.S elections and it is now approaching the 2K tech bubble levels. Bearish Bat pattern will be complete just below 60$ Interesting price zone to watch in near future. Are we near the end? Read more in this week's newsletter...