As global financial markets continue to grind higher and reach new highs, it appears that yields on the US 10-Year Treasury are doing the same.
Yields broke through their previous yearly high of 1.899% (Green Resistance Line), settling at 1.943% (as of Nov 10th), and are trying to make a move higher.
On a technical basis, yields seem to be forming an "Ascending...
We just received the 25 basis points rate cut. The market had already priced it in.
Powell just released the statement. It seems to be a dovish one. He will start his speech at 2:30pm, where the market will try to understand the possibility of a 4th rate cut in December.
The CBOE Fed tool has the 4th cut in December at 26%.
We should see the yield curve...
LQD just bucked a very important trend line. If investors have indeed lost confidence in corporate debt and we see follow through, then I see this as a bearish signal for stocks too. Typically the bond market is known to be correct over the equity market as large institutions with more knowledge than retail traders deal with bonds directly. To see corporate bonds...
The 10 year has rebounded off the major 1M Support this month, making a statement with last week's strong 1W candle. This marked a Triple Top formation on the 1M scale (since 2012) and the trend shift becomes obvious. 1D is trading near overbought territory (RSI = 70.811) pushing the 1W towards neutrality (RSI = 42.781, ADX = 58.406, Highs/Lows = 0.0000),...
Before start reading on; this chart is inverted. More on that later
Interpretation
According to Mike Maloney, the S&P 500 dividend yield curve is the second best way to measure a stocks value (after the Shiller S&P500 PE Ratio -made a post on this, go check it out). The ratio indicates how much a company pays out in dividends each year relative to its share...
High Yield stock with an extended deal with Air Canada. This will probably draw investers with fear of a drop in the markets over the next year. I expect some ranging between $6.85 and $8 but has potential to be a "Safe Haven" for yield seekers. 55% Payout Ratio with a steady dividend for the past 13 years. Calculation of the Graham Number shows it valued around...
VTR is real estate investment trust (REIT). The technicals are great (check chart).
Market analysis:
Generally after an inversion in a yield curve, the following sectors tend to outperform the market:
XLU (Utilities)
XLRE (Real Estate)
XLP (Consumer Staples)
The following tend to underperform:
XLK (Technology)
XL (Industrials)
XLB (Materials)
An inverted yield curve (2/10) is an indicator but the 'cause'. Yields were 6%/5%/4% last times they were inverted and not 1.5% :) If corps can't afford to pay 1.5%, there is nothing Fed can do to resolve that issue. Policy issues are the cause and the cure is fiscal and not monetary. GL
Not a trading call, just sharing my view. Peace
Its not possible to be a coincidence. This is the US Bond 2-10 Year yield chart with Bitcoin overlayed.
Its simply not possible to be a coincidence and is 100% proof that the Federal Reserve is the owner/operator of Bitcoin too, along with everything else. Its long been known that the Federal Reserve has been buying and selling bitcoin based on the premise that...
Looks like loan officers will be selling 2 and 3 percent fixed mortgages before long. ;)
This is an update to my previous idea:
If you're a fan of Fibonacci, then you're already well aware of the significance of the 1.618 and .618 lines.
If you're not. Here's a super simple...
Looks like a big reversal is in store after volume peaks out at resistance and Year Camarilla R4. $TLT $IEF $VXX $SPY $GLD $SLV $GDX $EURUSD $ZB_F $ZN_F
TNX has been trading within a 1M Channel Down since 2000 up until January 2018 when it broke the pattern upwards. The mini uptrend found Resistance on the MA200 and has been declining for the past 7 months. We are currently on the most support tests of all, as it has touched the 2000 Channel's Lower High trend line and will test it as a Support for the first time....
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