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Dividend yield hints at new lows, indicating market crash

The dividend yield (DY) is simply the amount of money a company pays a shareholder in dividends divided by the share price. It's therefore a measure of value for a stock. A DY < 1 would mean that the shares cost more to by than the shareholder receives in dividends, therefore extremely overvalued. In a bear market, the DY increases very fast. During a bull ...

44 4 2
ZN1!, 30
Bonds Remain Irrational

Regarding today's bond market behavior, I am reminded of the following words of wisdom mostly attributed to the economist John Maynard Keynes: "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." From Trump's successful efforts in negotiating an end to a 70 year North/South Korean war, and denuclearization of NoKo, to the Fed raising interest ...

SPX500: Global-Review / May 28th : Waiting for VIX sellers to fail !
452 0 42
SPX500, 1W
Global-Review / May 28th : Waiting for VIX sellers to fail !

Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. If you want to see my chart more closely, click the share button below that video.. You will be able to have access to the chart used in that ...

159 2 5
160/SPX, 1D
2018 SPX earnings yield

The SPX volatility so far this year shows some uncertainty over 'fair value'. Based on 2018 earnings estimates from Factset of 160 earnings/share for the SPX, if we divide 160 by the current SPX price the chart reflects what's known as the 'earnings yield'. Shown inversely it is known as the forward P/E ratio. So far this year the SPX earnings yield has ...

holsturr holsturr SLV, 1D, Long ,
122 0 5
SLV, 1D Long
Silver - Price in Bottom of Range of the SLV, Is It Going Up?

Silver - still a good entry point as the last couple days, and moving up from the bottom of its range. There is a whole, whole lot going on in the silver (and gold) story, but that's another article. For now I'd like to point out some action on the SLV's chart. Silver has been bouncing in a tight range for much of 2018. Buying in the low $15's and selling on the ...

holsturr holsturr TBT, 1D, Long ,
39 0 0
TBT, 1D Long
Cup-&-Handle in the TBT- Interest Rates Going Higher, Tax Probs?

Hold tight for this ride, there's a variety of reasons why bond prices will stagnate or fall. Interest rates should rise and be higher than they are now; "should" certainly isn't a reason for something to happen, but there are scant monetary policy maneuverings available for the Fed to keep interest rates low and by extension, prop the stock market up much ...

7 0 0
Big spread between 5 y to 30 y treasuries

Watch this immense gap between the 5 y treasuries and the thirty years bonds. It will close sooner or later and I don´t expect the 5-y to fall or not far enough to close it. We´ll see probably a fast rise of yields in the 30- y bonds and this will cause much losses to the investors who are not aware of this. Sure, the indicators are signalling a correction in the ...

116 0 1
SPY following giant descending triangle

AMEX:SPY S&P 500 is following a giant descending triangle, even though on 04.18.18 it has not touched the triangle. Overall the market is bearish short term , despite being in the earnings season. In a bullish market some neutral and positive earnings report would have been interpreted as bullish . Increasing treasury yields may be partly to blame. As investors ...

55 0 0
US10Y, 1D
mother of all charts US 10 yr yields

higher dxy real rates spread increse => pressure on gold prices? bearish for across the board EM assets terrible news for etf managers china to start thinking about all the 1.3 bn usd worth of almost 0 yield US papers they hold imf and wb funding become more important => sharing policy making decissions with the west again .... for the sector, it means importance ...

169 0 8
US30Y, 1D
Flat Yield Curve Equals...

Are we headed for a flat Yield Curve? The Yield Curve highlights the spread between short term and long term bonds and is an important indicator of economic growth. We are currently in an uptrend, with short interest rates lower than longer maturities. A flat yield curve can signal an adjustment in the economy and a shift in growth. It precedes an inverted ...

20 0 1
EMLC, 1W Long
Not all bonds are declining!

EMLC has just experienced a bullish breakout of a wedge pattern. That occurred above support (23.6% retracement of all-time high to all-time low), which lends to the bullish slant. It's also recently tested and held a rising channel bottom and had a bullish breakout in the RSI, further strengthening the bullish setup. Volume has been robust and accelerating, as ...

72 1 2
Are stocks crashing? Watch the junk credit spread.

With the increased volatility this year after such a long period without any significant declines has got some wondering if the market has peaked, or even about to crash. To get a better idea of what’s going on ‘under the hood’, we can study the high yield ‘junk credit’ market. High yield is also known as ‘junk credit’ for its higher risk of default and being ...

107 0 1
Relative yield spread of currencies of usd-basket VS the usd

This line charts gives an idea how a currencies 10yr yield develop, relatively, vs the usd 10 yr yield. This goes only back to 2012-ish since no earlier data was available via the tickerdata. Trying to acquire new ticker data so we can make it complete up until the 90's. It should provide a clue where the USD is going short/medium term. Considering the output of ...

913 0 42
US10Y, 1D Long
US10Y / D1 : Interesting buy entry to come soon

Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) Indicators used in this forecast are PRO Sinewave BETA & PRO Momentum. You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators Kindly, Phil If you want to learn more about the basic rules to trade with my indicators ...

28 0 0
Major top?

TLT treasury bonds are at a huge support, potentially forming a massive top... A break below the neckline would possibly have huge bearish implications.

Rate 'Normalization'

This chart shows the ML investment grade corporate bond index yield vs the trailing SPX earnings yield (E/P ratio). From 2004-2007 the investment grade bond index and SPX earnings yield appear balanced near equal valuation. The red box from 2007 to 2009 marks the peak of the market to 2009 when the SPX sunk to recession lows. Note the following period of QE when ...

hatzitesla hatzitesla US10, 240, Long ,
90 0 0
US10, 240 Long
Bond Markets as a leading Indicator for futere sentiment

Here is a trade based in 100% Fundamental approach. BUT: Always limit your risk regardless how strong your conviction is. ALWAYS! Trade safe, Trade well

50 0 2
US10Y, 60
Bearish move in the 10yr US yield

After forming a somewhat imperfect rising wedge, a bearish breakout confirmed.

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