Moving averages can be applied to many things, from stocks and currencies to fitness measures and crop harvests. Here, the candles show US10Y is finding support off the 200ma, after making a significant decline. The 20ma (blue) and 50ma (dark blue) will indicate the yield's next trend as they separate.
The green line graph shows a serious decline in the U.S....
I'm both a bull and a bear on the 20yr treasury etf (TLT).. I created a long term buy analysis basis on the bullish cypher pattern I see forming at the conclusion of D leg. I like the yield of the 20yr treasury bond which is over 4%.. The dividend yield on the 20yr Treasury etf is 2.49% currently, and I expect it to rise. The dividend is paid monthly. I see the...
Whenever we sow down crossing between FED fund rates and US 2Y yield bull market started (BTC, SPX ...). Now that crossing seem to happen even now but in the past it never happened if inflation was above them.
Can we expect inflation to start rapidly falling in next weeks and months to go below fund rates and yield?
I go over Ethereum and some formations I see quickly, as well as briefly touching on the upcoming Shagnhai update! Let me know what you think and if you have any chart requests!
~EBITDAtiger
$DXY is @ range we expected, took its sweet time
NOW what?
$VIX @ lower end
#Yield also at low end
$NDX $SPX $DJI $BTC $ETH have had nice runs
#Stocks & some #crypto need breather
$TNX is closed atm but if the 2yr is an indication it may open higher
We re-entered long yield after FED day in DEC.
Sold puts on $TYO & bought common
Didn't go heavy because Monthly chart is a tad tough.
Weekly 2yr trading decently above avg's again
So far so good.
We were bullish on STOCKS but that was late Oct/Early Nov, then went bearish for a bit, & are...
$TNX #yield pumping, above both avg's
2Yr not as much
Does this mean the street has finally caved in and believe that longer recession is a sure thing?
#economy
$YEN - Where to next?
Well, we are coming into the end of yr but we still have opportunities we could get. Now be careful we will get end of year moves, portfolio adjustment etc.
However, the way I trade I look at key support & resistance levels we have a very important zone of support: 136 half - 135 now break below that - BEARS come out shorter term. BUT If...
$USDNOK - Now we wait...
Another week for us traders to take advantage of
Excellent set up for usdnok - now we wait for a break to either direction we do have key fundamental data this week. Will Powell be as before dovish or will he hawkish as well as that softer cpi coming our way expected and then taking into consideration the technical view of usdnok it's...
USDJPY - Can we head lower?
We could head lower on USDJPY if dollars bears carry on, we did just have CPI print lower than expected. However with FOMC tomorrow, does powell even go more dovish - decent levels in USDJPY to play on short and long side.
Enjoy
TJ
$EURJPY - Short term trade idea!
We could break towards upside - key target areas noted..
Stick to your own trade plan!
Have a great week ahead,
Trade Journal
Not a signal Provider or investment advice
In recent weeks, the bond market has been sending a strong signal to the Federal Reserve: it may be making a serious mistake. The yield curve, which measures the difference in interest rates between short-term and long-term bonds, is currently more inverted than it has been since the early 1980s.
An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term interest rates are...
$JPY - What can we do?
As mentioned in previous posts, data ISM will impact the market today. However, I am looking at key levels as long as we dont break the lows in the yen - this could be a little bit of a pull back trade we as traders could take advantage of.
Don't forget to trade your own plan.
Trade Journal
#farm farm coin cup and handle at play 4hr chart the volume of this very low max supply coin of 690k and still less than £40 a coin still volume was up over in its 1000s% over a week. And don’t forget it yields the highest apy within defi. It’s a no brainier this coin in my opinion can trade easy over 5k a coin
- Looking for US5Y-Yield to move above DEC Monthly Pivot
- Followed by a drop to DEC S1 = GAP
- Dollar-Index should follow Yield and weaken after 1st week of DEC
Defended support, on high volume, trendline support,
Capitulation already took place, inverse head and shoulders break, semis are overpriced and garbage again after 40% rally. Come with me as we milk this one last time into vix 45
If this market keeps going up slowly or continues consolidating I will keep adding
3month and 10 year yields are inverted like hell...
