yield

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Yikes!

10 year yield is dropping with a quickness to match only stock sell-offs. Might be a good time to look at some REITS? Rates look to me like they will decline for the next 2-3 years. Yields hit .382 fib support today and bounced very slightly higher. News of the end of the Gov shut down could provide the catalyst needed to send yields back to .236 level ...

Another idea of an ETF to hold this year. About 10% upside potential plus a 12 months trailing yield of 6.68%.

This chart compares the real yield of 10 year Treasuries (bottom red) to XAUUSD (top). The real yield is the yield that a treasury buyer can expect to earn after inflation (nominal interest rate minus the inflation rate). At a glance there's visibly a strong negative correlation between real rates and the price of gold over time. Research by _Erb and Harvey ...

Original charts of these trades available at thinkorswimTOOLKIT.com with #TradingViewTOOKIT link US10YR LONG YIELDS Short @ 3.11 targeting Jan 2018 levels 2.55 NOW LONG BIAS from 2.55 with Key Levels, MarketDEPTH, and proMETRICS Momentum Metric Reversal (thin histogram line with "The Great Gatsby" Alert and Cloud Oscillator) [] Price Action Metric Reversal is ...

During several previous liquidity crisis in 2001,2008,2012, 2016 the investment grade corporate yields spread over treasuries hit 200+ bps ... right now at an average spread of 150 basis points, may suggest more pain ahead before capitulation is reached. In other words investment grade corporate bond yields may be still too low. Based on what we've seen during ...

TLT bonds

Top black line is the major resistance line. If yields break this, the US is majorly fucked and signals an end to "cheap money" at a time with debts and unfunded liabilities at all time highs. Yellow line is the support line of the 37+ year channel going back to the early 1980s. Red line is the more recent resistance line which began in June 2007 at the eve of ...

CBOT:UD1! The UD1! is on up trend and explains where all the stock market money has gone the past week...lol. I think I understand yield curve, but missed this one. ; )

We made new lows with the spread today. German and GBP 10 Year Futures major gaps. $TLT $IEF $SPY $GLD $DXY

Amazon could stay in the uptrend (green line) until yield curve inversion (10yr - 2yr Treasuries spread becomes negative) and then crash (red line). Current news about yield curve inversion of 5yr - 3yr Treasuries is premature. That indicator was 4 years early in 1964, 3 years early in 2005, and usually was 2 years early.

Not much arbitrage play for Financiers with this yield, which one of the many reasons I am short Banks. Ichimoku not showing any signs of relent.

DJIA is headed lower tracking investors rotation from stocks into 10yr T-bonds. I am seeing the index breaking down towards 22-21k. Oil has already shed considerably and metals are trading lower too which effects Dow Jones Industrial sectors. Technically we breached a weekly Insidebar to the downside and traded back which gives us an opportunity to get back into ...

Corporate high yield spread is approaching a breakout. Idea - long ITE, short JNK or similar

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Yield curve inversions preceded recessions and stock market declines (by 3-22 months). fred.stlouisfed.org

If yield curve inverts in 2019, there are four likely outcomes.