yields

step_ahead_ofthemarket

Whether it is bitcoin, SPACs, shorted meme stocks, Tesla or other heavily priced in Growth stocks (High Price/Book value), all of these speculative assets have one common factor, that is the cheapness/availability of money. However, this may all change if in the next 2-3 readings inflation pressure are proven to be persistent. Relatively, will be a very in-detail...

RizeSenpai

I think we will see the yields pump after the meeting is over and that the USD will pump against many FX pairs and Commodities.

M4ST3RF0X

Just a fast idea about correlation between SPX500 (US500) and TLT. I'm more bearish than bullish over Sp500, however I just find out TLT correlation with market. Just read more... I was expected a major drop here in September, but seems not strong enough. My other target is around March / April. Why? Because of...

TMoneyBidness

The 10y-2y bond yields are important because it is the long-short of market expectations; that is, how people view the near-term market vs. their perceived evolution of the market (that also anticipates the FOMC's likely reaction. It's several signals in one). The 10y2ys (blue) is the 10 year Treasury constant maturity (now at 0.96%) Minus the 2-Year Treasury...

CHIEF_MACRO

Not really sure what to make of this just yet, but the 10Y yield definitely appears to be heading higher. Ironically enough, this is happening amid a #fed that is committed (at least in the near term) to maintaining low interest rates. My guess is the Fed knows rates will rise on their own, thereby creating a competitive environment among lenders. We will...

gumbtg

24/Sep/2021 08:22 AM AUTHOR: Brandon Gum -- 10 yr yield is breaking out. This is after they were down 5% on Monday of this week on Evergrande default contagion fears. Fed met this week. They indicated tampering(?) Sentiment trader suggested that lots of money managers are not positioned for a move higher in rates and to be careful of your positioning and know...

HK_L61

TLT continues to Wedge out into the Break Down. Althought the Yield Curve appears to be heading into an inversion into 2022, the Long End of the Curve remains in peril... Countdown to Depression is ticking into Q2-Q3 2022. Fed language and statements are beginning to shift into 2022 indicating they are off balance NOW. Volaility will increase well ahead of...

HK_L61

TLT is beginning it's terminal phase for the next decline. We Sold to Open TLT this morning, taking our First Position at our Target, with further Sells to 150s Set. Out dated Maturities, we have been suggesting for the past month are due for a large correction in Yields. Day to day noise is just that... Noise. Bond HODLers are convinced they have it figured...

RizeSenpai

God luck with this potential bull flag trade i will be here in the premarket tomorrow morning to buy.

Fox_Technicals

ARKK making a strong name for itself after the Jackson Hole meeting. Are we nearing the breakout point or will we continue to see more waiting and what will ultimately happen with the ARKK index at this juncture? We will see! Good luck traders :)

Fox_Technicals

Today we are witnessing a sharp turn around in Emerging Markets $EEM after the Jackson Hole meeting. $IWM a strong indicator of risk tolerance has seen a sharp move back up into it's middle pivot. Could the continued low rate environment and strong economy be enough to continue the rush into risk-on assets? Keep a close eye on $EWZ though (Brazil ETF in which PAGS...

HK_L61

96s were our 2nd entry, Tech will lead the declines. Broad Market Selloff today as Dippers have left the arena. Expecting 500 to be yanked out from under NQ this week.

xciiitradingco

Q: What has the highest probability of occurring? Since early July there have been 4 tests of 132.000 resistance. There is a combination of 2 classic patterns forming at resistance. The double top, where both tops have been rejected at 132.000, is currently valid. The head and shoulders, the head consisting of the double top, would need to break the neckline...

HK_L61

Since 2002 when GSCO's Timothy Bitsberger's began his reign as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury. Fiscal Fundings began to move down the curve to under 30 Months and accumulate a large concentration within this timeframe. It placed the burden of Government Finance up on the Short End of the Yield Curve near the region of control for the Federal Reserve and...

10:23

goncalo1971

In this 10-minute video we aim to explain what's happening in the bond market, and as a result its implications to the USD, to stocks, the USDJPY and gold. Today's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data due for release on Wednesday at 1230 GMT may be already priced in and prices may not display logical textbook reactions.

HK_L61

The Inflation statistics are heavily skewed with the potential for a large surprise in store for Chasers. DX, BONDS, FX, YIELDS appear to have the scoop. Insiders buying Puts in SIZE. Crude Oil trade for entry 57-61s after this next retracement. Economic Activity is slowing to a crawl. Spending collapsing. FED wants you to BUY STOCKS. VIX Shakeout. Trade...

DarkPoolTrading

Idea for 10Y Treasury Bond Yields: I speculate that yields cannot and will not rise significantly until the equity bubble pops. I think that it will start a wave reaching 0.7 this month. Why is that? - There is almost $300 trillion in private sector debt globally. - Companies used margin debt for share buybacks to boost EPS, creating the illusion of economic...

quantmaven

The yield curve, defined as the difference between US 10-year treasuries yield and US 2-year treasuries yield, is an excellent predictor of the next intraday moves in the crypto market. If it is going higher, it means that long rates are increasing faster than short rates and that translates to strong economic activity and higher inflation. Crypto markets love...