THE FED IS ATTEMPTING TO BAIL OUT THE CORPORATE DEBT BUBBLE THROUGH THE DIRECT PURCHASE OF CORPORATE BOND ETFs (SIMILAR TO 2008)!
THEY HAVE NOT COMMITTED TO BAILING OUT THE MORTGAGE SECTOR TO THE SAME EXTENT, INDICATING A SECOND WAVE OF SELLING IS POSSIBLE!
I DON'T THINK IT IS POSSIBLE TO SHORT SELL VNQ BUT IT WOULD BE PROFITABLE!
"Defund the police" millions say. "Defund the government" 3 and a half people say.
Free stuff for everybody! A republican congress might veto the budget but it will still end up huge, just not as huge.
A family or a business, when they are broke or out of money, they will reduce spending, they will only buy essentials.
The government does the opposite. The...
I have been tracking this ETF for a long period of time. We just broke one-year resistance and clear evidence on the fib retracement (specifically level 0.5) shows that the price was weakening.
Technicals aside, there is no reason as to why this should move upwards. This pandemic has taken out firms with high leverage, left more than 25 million Americans jobless,...
Following the GFC, Real Estate outperformed the S&P 500 for nearly 3 years. This chart depicts the relationship b/w low rates, and an outperforming real estate sector.
So far during COVID-19 crisis, VNQ:SPY has reached a new all-time low, despite extremely low rates..
1. Year - outside and down, coming back into previous years range
2. Month - inside month,, potential rev strat month to the downside. Well see if they can take it green on the week back into previous range or continue lower
3. Weekly -inside, inside week down, 2 up previous week, wasn't strong enought to stay above highs of previous week. shooter counters hammer....
1. Year - outside and down, coming back into previous years range
2. Month - inside month,, potential rev strat month to the downside. Well see if they can take it green on the week back into previous range or continue lower
3. Weekly -inside, inside week down, 2 up previous week, wasn't strong enought to stay above highs of previous week. shooter counters hammer....
This is a study I wanted to do on strikes with abnormally high open interest and if it affects underlying price movement.
VNQ has pulled back from its ATH to inside the ATB neutral zone.
It also closed with a bearish engulfing candle signaling high probability of sideways to downward trend in next 30-45 days.
Testing a horizontal Iron Condor strategy based on...
For missing out on the energy rally this week, I bought the dip in Real Estate today and yesterday.
I don't think the Fed will allow a deflationary meltdown as in Q4 2018. "Not QE" should be fantastic for inflation hedges such as Real Estate and Energy. This move into oversold on a long standing uptrend is a good place to buy for the long haul.
Long VNQ and...
VNQ is close to breaking down vs Gold. Means Gold more favorable than VNQ if it breaks down.
Why it matters:
Assumption 1: If this long macro cycle rolls over, it is better to own Gold than VNQ.
Assumption 2: If better to own gold than VNQ, is it better to own Gold vs SPY? That too is about to roll over.
One of the core holdings in this growth-slowing environment is having a good day.
I'm long shares of VNQ that I don't really touch very often. Sometimes when I see them oversold I leverage up with calls, but I missed this recent bottom.
There was a break downward but that recovered quickly. It's now poking to the upside. I think this can be bought on any...
![VNQ: [Long] Real Estate](https://s3.tradingview.com/q/qHlOtPqh_mid.png "[Long] Real Estate")
![VNQ: [Long] REITS having a good day](https://s3.tradingview.com/c/cU7OWpQX_mid.png "[Long] REITS having a good day")
![VNQ: [Long+] VNQ and XLU](https://s3.tradingview.com/z/ZAYCcqUi_mid.png "[Long+] VNQ and XLU")