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XLB trade ideas

QQQ is overbought; 1st Support at 195, 5.6% from the 206 peakQQQ rallied 33% year-to-date, from 154.26 (12/31/2018) to 204.98 (close on 12/11/2019), driven the Fed rate cuts (three times). The ETF is currently overbought technically as shown in MACD sloping downward. As investors rotate into the cyclical underperformers (energy, materials, industrial, and consumer discretionary), QQQ could potential consolidate and pull back. The first level of support is at 195, prior highs/lows near 50 day MA (196) and 197 (32.8% retracement of 182-206 upswing). Happy Trading!
AMEX:XLBLong
by novvoll12
EPISODE 6/11: US MATERIALS- WAVE 5 RANGE+CYCLE ANALYSIS (XLB TA)Episode 6/11: US (SPX) Sectors Technical Analysis Series - 17th of July 2019 Brief Explanation of the chart : Wave Extension 1.618 target reached 64.34 (based on length of drop from 2009). Sin lines represent the stages of the cycle(it can't always overlap perfectly). Current bullish channel recovery since the drop that happened at the end of 2018 seems weak . This is in comparison to other sectors. Based on the assumption that Trump wins 2020 and/or US/China Trade deal goes through => I have labelled the ranges of potential wave 5 extension. There are 2 primary targets : 70$ and 75$. Otherwise, there aren't many indications that the current top at 64.4 would be broken. This is just a brief "free" and very detailed analysis. Perhaps in the future I might form a premium group, to whose members I will provide all the details of my research. >> I do not share my ideas for the likes or the views. This channel is only dedicated to well informed research and other noteworthy and interesting market stories .>> However, if you'd like to support me and learn more in the greatest of details, every thumbs up or follow is greatly appreciated ! -Step_Ahead_ofthemarket- Check my Previous episodes on the US Sectors : EPISODE 5: US INDUSTRIALS (XLI) : EPISODE 4 : Health Care( XLV ) : Full Disclosure: This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money. For any further references- contact me.
AMEX:XLB
by step_ahead_ofthemarket
'Set It And Forget It' Trade In XLBXLB (Materials ETF) has been consolidating for weeks and looks like it's getting ready to make a move higher. With Squeezes on both the Weekly and Daily Chart this looks like a 'set it and forget it' type trade: In a perfect world, I'll be looking for a pullback tomorrow where I can pick up the 58/57 Put Credit Spread: Put Credit Spread Sell 58 Jan Monthly Put Buy 57 Jan Monthly Put At the current price, you can nearly get a 1x1 spread is what I like doing. In this case (once again at the current closing price) risking $51 to make $49/contract. This is a trade I want to be able to put on and not have to worry about too much. Ideally, the trade will be near max profit far before the contracts expire. If you'd prefer to play an underlying, you can also trade DWDP which makes up 22% of the ETF. It too has a Weekly Squeeze setting up and its chart looks nearly identical to XLB: Playing the ETF is just an easy way to play to movement of the entire sector which as a whole looks bullish. With the ETF you're less susceptible to things like news based moves that can affect an individual stock without affecting the entire sector.
AMEX:XLBLong
by TheCryptosaurusRex
How much will overbought Materials Sector Fall? XLBThe Materials Sector SPDR Fund has been in a bull trend since the end of the financial crisis. The trend has narrowed but remains upright since December 2016. The fund has been in a more specific trend channel since February and has created firm support and resistance levels. The fund is currently at that resistance level. Below I have laid out the reasons and levels to which the fund may dip will it continue its overall bull trend. When we take a look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 64.9868. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI is below overbought levels, however, the RSI has developed a resistance point of its own. The RSI has been reaching lower highs since December 2016 and is once again at this key resistance point. If the RSI begins to retreat, the fund should follow suit. The true strength index (TSI) is currently 4.4168. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. Like the RSI, the TSI has created relative resistance since December. This indicator is about to hit that threshold. Failure to substantially break above this resistance, the fund should drop in the near-term. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.1174 and the negative is at 0.7410. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. These indicators have been in a relatively tight trend since mid-February. When the positive VI was last at its current level, the fund tapered down which ultimately led to a drop to the fund's support line (dotted pinkish-purple on the chart). The stochastic oscillator K value is 92.2124 and D value is 87.3198. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic currently overbought, but the D value has not overtaken the K value, meaning the fund could produce gains for a few more days before ultimately turning downward. The last three times the fund hit its resistance, it did manage to drop down to its support level in less than 12 days. The first drop was in January over 9 trading days and it resulted in a 3.62% decline. March saw a 3.41% decline over then following 6 trading days while April had a 2.91% drop over 11 days. These timeframes and declines could be blueprints for the current bounce off of the resistance level. Considering the RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the downside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the fund could drop at least 2% over the next 23 trading days if not sooner.
AMEX:XLBShort
by StockSignaler
Materials Sector Poised to go Lower? Trade for our Watchlists!We have a Cypher Pattern in the making right now however I will be entering this trade only if point D of the Cypher Pattern has completed.. If Trading is your primary income, it is very important to always have pending setups however you must stay disciplined and not fall into the trap of trading just because! Patience is key in this career and the more you mature as a trader, you start to realize that the most money is made by sitting on your hands and waiting for setups that you have backtested to come to fruition. Once our setups have met all of our rules and conditions, we then enter the trade with pre existing orders for targets and stop losses.. We know exactly where our targets and stop losses should be and there is no uncertainty of how the trade will end!! if you do not know where your Entry, Target or Stop loss is then you should not be in the trade! With that said this is a very good trade to keep on your radar for the weeks ahead. Thanks everyone and if you have any questions regarding my setups please comment below and I will be sure to answer them! Don't forget to check out my most recent ideas. They will aid in giving you the big picture of what may be to come in the materials sector.. Links Below! Good luck trading and $$MAKE SOME MONEY$$
AMEX:XLBLong
by Alec40
Hershey's CoCo Sector Report - January 28, 2017Materials and Finance both started the week flat, moved up for a couple days, then remained steady on Friday while the US and World markets were down. If the US and World indexes are up next week I expect much from these two! Real Estate and Consumer Staples (Non-Cyclical) were the clear Sector losers taking back all the gains they made early in the week to finish weak. Materials had over 60 stocks > 5% for the week... compare that with Real Estate that had only 9! Good trading! Brian Hershey ***************************** Check out my "Hershey's CoCo World" indicator, available now for your US stock and sector evaluations. "CoCo World" helps to answer the following question: Is this stock moving alone or with the US and world markets? No stock is an island, so it's important to see what everyone else is doing. Useful across all time frames, small and packed with info!
AMEX:XLB
by bnh
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