I guess it could go to zero, but perhaps it will stop going down once the VVIX/VIX hits the trendline. The long term trendline is shown along with the 4h trendline
Worth keeping an eye on this chart as long-term as over the last few years it called some tops and bottoms
not financial advice
The chart posted is the VIX of the VIX the VVIX has the cycle which I stated on monday and friday last week a short squeeze is now setup as the13.8 to 15.2 week decline would see a sharp rally. And that the IYT RSP BA and TNX were making a ending of a 5WAVES pattern we are only going to see an ABC rally and the last 5 days have been wave A so...
SPX is plowing through higher highs. It is a runaway train.
Have you entered that train yet? You better enter it because SPX will soar!
But runaway trains have the fate of collapsing in on themselves.
Their weight is too much for the foundation to sustain.
Not all is SPX. VIX is also attempting to measure the risk involved in SPX.
And VIX is as bullish as it...
Market volatility and its expected future changes, as indicated by the VVIX/VIX ratio, can greatly impact investment decision-making. The following guide provides insights into different regimes of this ratio, their implications on market conditions, potential sector rotations, and additional investment strategies that investors might consider.
High Ratio (High...
Albeit a bit laggy in some cases, it signaled it on daily and weekly (currently above monthly, which we need to scale down to to save the bearish thesis).
Can you smell what the market is cooking?
mmmm
Reward based behavior is term I learned this year for a concept Ive been studying for many years.
Behavioral finance.
The markets are wild because people are wild.
we get too greedy, then reality shifts. then we panic. then it shifts. and that panic was a fire sale. rinse and repeat.
because math is hard and...
The weekly ADX indicator is sitting at 8 (NO TREND) at the same time VVIX reached it's lowest value since March 2017. EXTREME COMPLACENCY can be presumed. A market without fear is DANGEROUS. Either markets continue higher in the face of continuing rate hikes & QT or markets SELLOFF & VIX spikes catching everyone offsides. I go with the latter. Expecting VVIX...
It is actually a pair I decided to use, no reason behind it, just testing stuff.
The behavior of VVIX*VIX is very similar to what happened in 2008.
Is a crash coming or are they messing with our heads? Maybe they orchestrated it so similar to confuse us into thinking we are falling.
I have posted many times regarding volatility, especially the VVIX&VIX relationship.
There are times when mechanisms need to activate to stabilize the economy, the psychology, the society. Recessions, wars, pandemics are periods that may justify such actions.
It is wise for an investor to understand pressures and their direction. The motto "Don't fight the FED"...
I would like to do some qualitative analysis on VVIX/VIX, and it's behavior/effect on markets. We will try to pinpoint some "wave types".
A. The most consistent/stable growth for SPX occurs in times of stable VIX and stable VVIX. Their ratio remains the same.
B. At times of decreasing VIX and increasing VVIX, we have an unstable, impulsive upwards wave. This...
VIX is a measure of volatility. It takes the last 30 days of SPX, and measures it's variance.
I would guess that VVIX does the exact same thing to VIX, it takes the recent 30 days of VIX, and measures it's variance.
These two, along with SKEW are some of the methods investors calculate risk. I don't have the technical/financial knowledge on the ways investors can...
Believe it or not - The Stocks volatility index (VIX) has it's own Volatility index (VVIX) - and if we compare the two, it looks like VVIX has touched onceagain bottom trendline - how did that reflect on VIX?
VIX bottoming was always delayed for 9 to 100+ days after VVIX bottomed.
What to expect ? That in an average range of 40+ days VIX should bottom and start...
The chart is one which I have talked about for sometime . The vix of the vix NO ONE IS BUYING CALLS in the VIX . fear greed back to 50 % Each time they were shorting vix calls As is Now The pivot bet ! Bull trap set in the indexes
