Regression channels are a very powerful tool for entry and exit points on assets. Unlike human-drawn lines and channels, they are not subject to biases and attempts to fit price behavior into questionable systems like Elliot's Wave. I decided to use /VX (Current Continuous) rather than spot VIX since /VX is actually what's used to settle your options on VIX (as...
Let's go back a decade and observe how the VIX index played out the 2007-2008 financial crisis and the market's recovery. Previous to July 2007, the highest VIX value was $22.58 observed in June 2006 (minuscule compared to what comes next). Then the crisis happened, and VIX became extremely volatile and created a new support level at $16.7. There is various...
Simple enough. The market is showing extreme divergence between Futures contracts priced for next month, and Futures contracts priced for Q4. This is the largest divergence seen within this Futures cycle. My theory is that it could be indicative of a bottom in VIX and the market pricing for more serious volatility events later in the year. Key: Bolder,...
from a quick analysis of the Vix future we see the volatility which has fallen far below the Bollinger Bands. This technique can be used for mean-reverting strategies when on the assumption that volatility is cyclical.
long we are in C boyz just a matter of when it completes gotta feeling this next one might knock sum sox off GL
Hello :) It feels good to be back. For those of you who know/remember, I used to be a fairly active member on WSB as ScarvesandSuspenders. I left because i took alot of harassment for my trade ideas (whether they worked or didn't). Took a long hiatus to re-evaluate how i would like to interact with the trading community. In short, I am back (here)! Not returning...
The new VIX futures contract (VX) is trading at 25.50 +/- heading for a gap up into the Tuesday open.
Vix futures possible bounce next week
The volatility index otherwise known as the vix is overextended above 30 with the RSI well above it's upper bound. I've opened a short at 32.05 on the March(H) contract. Historically, the vix sells off soon after it breaches the upper RSI boundary. Unless a cataclysmic event occurs, I think history will repeat.
The VIX appears to have bottomed and is forming a wedge. It appears to have good RSI strength, with volume increasing. This has the looks like it will break out in late january, early february. This would have some interesting implications for the S&P500 as it tries to hold all time high valuations.
Ready for blast off...let's see how high she can fly
Targeting just over 30 in VIX for upcoming week or two. Can't make any promises, but it would make sense with the time resistance and the trend line on top. That is, if charts can be trusted :) We shall see how it all plays out.
VIX is now really forming a solid definiitive base. I was surprised to not see it climb as much yesterday due to the new events; however, I was reminded these types of reactions to such massive affairs sometimes take days or weeks to fully realize. Plus the institutional funds rolling in have prevented any type of predicted crashes…just delaying the...
VIX is likely to peak out this week and retract next. After that, I would anticipate late January to early March to be some of the highest peaks it will see this year. It is not a coincidence this will come after about a year from the initial COVD crash. Unsure of how high, but I would start getting in on it later next week before inauguration time and/or early...
Boy that was a nice small spike, VIX, thank you for the appetizer. Mostly likely cause seems to be a sell off due to tax gains being taken in 2021 (new tax year). What's to come for the next course and when? I would expect another more powerful spike in upcoming months, most likely end of February or March when interest rates begin to rise and COVID effects...
Appears as though VIX is about to start heading upward instead of down. We seem to be right at the threshold with the lows are getting higher and the highs soon to be getting higher as well. This makes perfect sense with the estimated timeline of financial crumble in February/March.