Bonds - Bearish - 3rd Week of April Looking for Bonds to complete MMSM, perfectly correlated with yields & dxy completing their corresponding MMBM.
Bearish Quarterly Shift on Bonds Possibly Invalidated I thought a possible bearish retracement for this quarter could be possible but bonds seems to be bullish. Bearish price action looks like runs on stops. Will continue to watch. As of now, I switch to neutral. My longer term mmbm idea seems to be playing out a lot more aggressively than I expected.
Bonds - Possible Bearish Quarterly ShiftBonds is continuously breaking daily lows. Would like to see a body close market structure shift lower for a clear sign of bearish shift.
5 Year T-Notes Long Idea Long on Donchian 4 week break out rules for a major change in trend. Lets see where this gets us.
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ZF (and bonds in general) carnageThe expected turnaround did not happened, and the 61.8 Fibo is now a resistance.
T-Notes 4 week breakoutThis is reference chart for my recent trade idea to explain why I am going long T-Notes Futures.
5 Year T-Note Futures 1 tick = 0.0078125
Tick Value = $7.8125
What I call 1 point is 4 ticks or 0.03125 ($31.25)
Bought at 112'09'2 Stop 112'07'0
ZF - looks like a bottomFive year notes show clear divergence against momentum indicators, bottom might be in place.
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5-Year T-Note Futures (Jun 2024)ZFU2024
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Frequently Asked Questions
The nearest expiration date for 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2018) is Sep 28, 2018.
Traders prefer to sell futures contracts when they've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, many consider it a good option to sell 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2018) before Sep 28, 2018.