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ZQX2022

30 Day Federal Funds Futures (Nov 2022)

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Overview

News Ideas Forward curve Contracts

30 Day Federal Funds Futures (Nov 2022) chart

Contract highlights

Volume

—

Open interest

—

Contract size

4167

Month

Nov 2022

Settlement day

Dec 01, 2022

Ideas

Repricing Interest Rate Cuts! We return to Fed Fund Futures, as the market has been repricing interest rate cut expectations. At the beginning of the year, there were 150bps of cuts expected by the market on the premise of a weaker economy, falling inflation, and a softer labor market. However, none of these expectations have ma

Long

by Blue_Line_Futures

The Final Piece Of The Pre-FOMC Data Jigsaw After a disappointing labour market report last week, where a blowout nonfarm payrolls print was overshadowed by rather dismal details in the household survey, focus now turns to the February US CPI report, being the last significant piece of the data jigsaw before the March FOMC meeting. Off the ba

by Pepperstone

Macro Trader: Swaps = Dots Well, what a turnaround it’s been. Just 57 days ago, markets were flat-out ignoring what the FOMC were saying on the policy outlook, and pricing as many as six 25bp rate cuts over the course of the year ahead. Now, less than two months later, the swaps are in line with the dots, as we see money mark

by Pepperstone

How Many Interest Rate Cuts in 2024?In January 2024, the market had priced in more than 150 basis points worth of interest rate cuts. This suggested six 25-basis-point cuts throughout the year. Market participants believed that economic weakness was on the horizon, thus pricing in more cuts than the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projectio

by Blue_Line_Futures

The Summer Of Rate Cuts London is cold, wet, and grey at present – rather typical of your average British winter. I hope, then, that you’ll forgive me for looking ahead to the brighter summer months, particularly as financial markets are beginning to do the same. Even after a hotter-than-expected January US CPI report, mo

by Pepperstone

Fed Funds Futures - Repricing Economic Resilience?Recent price action in the CME's 30-day Fed Funds Futures has ruled out one cut for 2024. As of the end of 2023, the spread between the front-month Fed Funds Futures and the deferred (December) ones indicated a 150-155 basis points spread, suggesting that the markets were anticipating six cuts in 20

by Blue_Line_Futures

Prepare for a Hard Landing!January-2025 Fed Funds Futures (FFF) contract is one of the indicators that reflects the big increase in the soft landing scenario as the market is beginning to expect rates to fall.

by jlovingfoss

Fed Pause is the New Restricted Policy CME: Micro Russell 2000 ( CME_MINI:M2K1! ) Global financial market orbits around Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions. By concept, hiking interest rates means monetary tightening while cutting them signals easing. In reality, market perception to the Fed actions evolves over time, sometimes bl

Long

by JimHuangChicago

Cracking the Fed Rate-Setting Code CME: Micro Russell 2000 ( CME_MINI:M2K1! ) On August 25th, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered his annual policy remark, “Inflation: Progress and the Path Ahead”, at the Jackson Hole Symposium. The message is very clear: It is the Fed's job to bring inflation down to the 2% policy goal.

Long

by JimHuangChicago

What to Expect in US Inflation Data for July 2023 Consensus data, Headline inflation 3.3, Core CPI 4.8 Scenario 1 If the data prints higher than expected that is core CPI at 5.0 and Headline inflation at 3.5 market participants might interpret inflation as being sticky this will influence them to price for another rate hike either in September or N

by Tush312

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Frequently Asked Questions

The nearest expiration date for 30 Day Federal Funds Futures (Nov 2022) is Dec 1, 2022.

Traders prefer to sell futures contracts when they've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, many consider it a good option to sell 30 Day Federal Funds Futures (Nov 2022) before Dec 1, 2022.

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